============================================================================== RACE: Carlisle ? · 2026-05-18 Follow Racing TV On X Handicap Soft · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. CHARLIE DARLING (FR) (#7 · Σ 69.0) 6yo G · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Sean Kirrane Trainer Alan Brown Owner Scott Mcmillan Alan Brown Pedigree Sire Ultra (IRE) Dam Femme Kyoto (FR) Damsire Divine Light Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 6.00 (Bet365) 16:01 6.50 (William Hill) 18:20 7.00 (Midnite) 18:41 6.50 (Bet365) 20:01 7.00 (William Hill) 03:02 7.50 (Midnite) 09:11 10.00 (Coral) 09:20 11.00 (Coral) 09:28 10.00 (Unibet) 09:34 12.00 (Coral) 10:17 11.00 (BetWright) 10:25 12.00 (Coral) 10:44 11.00 (BetWright) 10:48 9.50 (Unibet) 10:52 10.00 (Coral) 11:10 11.00 (Coral) 12:16 12.00 (Coral) 13:51 13.00 (Midnite) 14:04 12.00 (Coral) 14:28 11.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 87 second only to Loki and 7lb clear of his nearest in-form rival. Form 9.0/10 Won last two starts (5-7-3-1-1) — clear upward trajectory. Connections 7.0/10 Alan Brown yard hot with RTF 57, 2 from 14 in 14d; Sean Kirrane jockey Elo 1616. Fitness 9.0/10 Just 11 days off after a winning run — peak form. Trip 7.0/10 Has won at this trip — proven stayer. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile tactically. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5 central — fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 6.0/10 122lb after consecutive rises but still beatable. Value 7.0/10 Hat-trick seekers often slightly under-bet vs reality. Σ Summary 69.0/100 Best combination of current form, fitness and class for the level. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1603.6 (30 runs, 4 wins, 13.3%) Jockey 1615.5 (2008 runs, 203 wins, 10.1%) Trainer 1522.4 (1194 runs, 100 wins, 8.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 73r 10w 14% A/E 1.15 (value) Jockey × trainer 30r 3w 10% A/E 1.62 (value) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 87r 8w 9% A/E 1.23 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 8r 1w 12% A/E 4.35 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 no data Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 11r 3w 27% A/E 2.06 (value) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 6/9 10/1 1.00L 63 87 Sean Kirrane Held up in rear - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 9/1) 2026-05-07 Southwell (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 1/9 7/2 won 60 67 Sean Kirrane (op 9/2) 2026-04-28 Southwell (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 1/11 6/1 won 55 63 Sean Kirrane Midfield - headway 2f out - ridden over 1f out - switched left and went second final 110yds - led towards finish(op 11/2) 2026-04-02 Southwell (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 3/8 66/1 1.50L 56 60 Sean Kirrane Swerved right start - took keen hold - in rear - headway over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 50/1) 2026-03-11 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 7/8 66/1 13.00L 60 40 Sean Kirrane Led - headed over 3f out - weakened from over 2f out 2026-03-02 Wolverhampton 2m½f Standard Cla 5/7 40/1 5.00L 60 58 Jake Dickson Took keen hold - prominent - slightly hampered after 1f - in touch with leaders halfway - not clear run and lost position over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out - hung left inside final furlong(op 28/1) 2024-10-23 Navan (IRE) 1m6f Yielding — 3/20 5/1C 0.50L 60 61 Gary Carroll Pressed leader on inner - prominent after 2f - briefly led over 1f out - no extra and lost second inside final 110yds(tchd 9/2) 2024-10-17 Curragh (IRE) 1m6f Yielding — 5/19 10/1 0.50L 60 66 Dylan Browne McMon Midfield - headway up the centre over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - not reach leaders(op 12/1) 2024-10-10 Thurles (IRE) 2m½f Good — 6/11 8/1 0.30L 60 56 Robert Whearty Prominent - soon went third - weakened final furlong(op 13/2) 2024-09-06 Down Royal (I 2m2½f Good — 2/9 6/1 0.30L 57 63 Robert Whearty Towards rear but in touch with leaders - headway on near side of group from over 3f out - sustained duel with winner from over 1f out - soon briefly led - just held(op 17/2) 2024-08-29 Navan (IRE) 1m6f Good — 7/22 14/1 0.20L 54 57 Gary Carroll Soon towards rear - headway up the centre when ridden 2f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 16/1) 2024-08-17 Tramore (IRE) 2m½f Yielding — 1/12 13/2 won 48 60 Wayne Hassett Midfield - good headway on outer over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - ridden and ran on well to lead inside final 110yds(tchd 8/1) 2024-07-17 Killarney (IR 1m6½f Good — 6/12 25/1 4.50L 51 36 Robert Whearty Never better than midfield - kept on final furlong(op 16/1) 2024-07-05 Bellewstown ( 1m4f Good — 5/9 7/1 0.50L 52 43 Sean Bird In rear - outpaced early - detached 3f out - ran on well final furlong - never near to challenge(op 17/2 tchd 10/1) 2024-05-17 Leopardstown 1m4f Good — 21/21 15/2 14.00L 53 — Robert Whearty Midfield - pushed along briefly over 6f out - pushed along and weakened over 4f out - tailed off(tchd 9/1) 2024-05-07 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Yielding — 3/17 7/1 2.25L 53 49 Gary Carroll In touch with leaders - outpaced 2f out - rallied 1f out - stayed on inside final furlong - went third final strides(op 8/1) 2024-04-24 Gowran Park ( 1m5½f Yielding — 10/14 9/1 4.00L 54 38 Gary Carroll Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - prominent after 2f - pressed leader up the centre over 2f out - weakened gradually from under 2f out(op 12/1) 2023-09-28 Bellewstown ( 1m4f Heavy — 7/12 11/1 3.50L 55 50 Robert Whearty Prominent on inner - outpaced under 2f out - weakened final furlong(op 12/1) 2023-09-13 Tramore (IRE) 1m4f Good — 7/12 6/1 0.30L 56 57 Robert Whearty Towards rear of midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on - never on terms(tchd 13/2) 2023-09-08 Down Royal (I 1m5f Good — 5/13 13/2 0.50L 56 58 Robert Whearty Towards rear of midfield - switched left and headway from over 1f out - stayed on(op 7/1) Comment Held up in rear - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 9/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 10/1 (11.000) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 7.50 OR after 63 In-running comment Held up in rear - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 9/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. AS FAST AS WIND (IRE) (#6 · Σ 67.0) 6yo M · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Rowan Scott Trainer Tristan Davidson Owner Tony Harrison Pedigree Sire Galileo Gold (GB) Dam Balkaya (IRE) Damsire Rock Of Gibraltar Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 3.75 (Bet365) 17:41 4.00 (Bet365) 09:11 5.50 (Coral) 09:26 5.00 (Coral) 09:34 4.50 (BetTom) 09:55 4.33 (Bet365) 09:59 4.50 (Midnite) 12:02 4.33 (Bet365) 13:57 4.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 85 close to top, TS 74 sound. Form 8.0/10 514-1 — won last with good cluster. Connections 7.0/10 Davidson yard local 14d 10% (1/10), Rowan Scott jockey Elo 1609 solid. Fitness 8.0/10 19 days since winning run — primed. Trip 7.0/10 Galileo Gold x stamina dam — won at trip. Pace 6.0/10 Can race prominently. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 3 fine over 1m6f. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 6.0/10 126lb after rise for win, still workable. Value 7.0/10 In-form local yard might be under-rated by visiting punters. Σ Summary 67.0/100 Combines recent win, local angle and respectable ratings. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1665.0 (34 runs, 3 wins, 8.8%) Jockey 1608.6 (3836 runs, 316 wins, 8.2%) Trainer 1576.6 (920 runs, 124 wins, 13.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 126r 11w 9% A/E 0.87 (fair) Jockey × trainer 78r 14w 18% A/E 1.40 (value) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 67r 7w 10% A/E 0.94 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 397r 41w 10% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 7r 1w 14% A/E 2.14 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 2016r 208w 10% A/E 0.81 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 3/9 3/1 4.00L 66 85 Rowan Scott Towards rear - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side over 2f out - headway and prominent over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(tchd 5/2) 2026-04-29 Musselburgh 1m4½f Good Cla 1/9 4/7F won 63 71 Rowan Scott In touch with leaders on inner - switched left and pushed along over 3f out - ridden over 2f out - led narrowly up the centre over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - always doing enough(tchd 4/6) 2026-04-11 Newcastle 2m1f Good Cla 3/6 5/2F 0.30L 103 103 Harry Reed Held up in rear - headway and prominent before 3 out - went second 2 out - no extra run-in - lost position final 110yds(tchd 9/4) 2026-03-20 Musselburgh 2m1½f Good To S Cla 3/14 11/2 0.75L 101 105 Harry Reed Held up in rear - not fluent 3 out - headway 2 out - pressed leaders run-in - no extra towards finish(op 6/1) 2026-02-27 Doncaster 2m½f Good To S Cla 3/8 11/2 10.00L 102 93 Robert Dunne Towards rear - mistake 4th - not fluent 2 out - no impression after 2 out - left in modest third last(op 13/2) 2026-01-31 Musselburgh 1m7½f Good To S Cla 2/9 15/2 2.00L 101 105 Paul O'Brien Towards rear - not fluent 3rd - headway before 2 out - kept on and went second inside final 110yds - no match for winner(op 13/2) 2026-01-21 Catterick 2m3½f Good To S Cla 6/15 12/1 3.50L 103 100 Harry Reed Towards rear - headway before last (usual 2 out) - weakened inside final 110yds(tchd 11/1) 2025-12-26 Market Rasen 2m2½f Good To S Cla 6/8 15/2 6.00L 104 98 Harry Reed Held up in rear - some headway but still plenty to do before 2 out - keeping on when bad mistake last - no impression run-in(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) 2025-11-24 Sedgefield 2m4f Soft Cla 3/11 5/1 0.20L 101 101 Harry Reed In rear - headway before 3 out - switched right and led 2 out - ridden and 2 lengths ahead last - reduced lead inside final 110yds - weakened and lost two places final strides(op 4/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-11-02 Huntingdon 2m Good Cla 3/6 11/8F 2.25L 101 97 Robbie David Held up in rear - headway after 3 out - went third after 2 out - kept on(tchd 6/5) 2025-10-19 Kempton 2m Good Cla 1/9 3/1F won 97 105 Robbie David Took keen hold - towards rear - good headway after 3 out - disputed lead 2 out - ridden when led before last - readily(op 10/3) 2025-10-03 Fontwell 2m1½f Good Cla 3/6 13/2 0.50L 97 102 Robbie David Held up in last but in touch with leaders - went third home turn - disputing second last - kept on (jockey said mare ran too free)(op 15/2 tchd 8/1) 2025-09-08 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/6 15/2 0.20L 64 67 Millie Wonnacott Prominent - pressed leader over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 17/2 tchd 9/1) 2025-08-29 Salisbury 1m6f Good To S Cla 1/13 14/1 won 60 68 Millie Wonnacott Held up in rear - steady headway on outer from over 3f out - ridden from over 1f out - up the centre when led inside final 110yds(op 22/1 tchd 12/1) 2025-08-19 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 5/11 33/1 0.20L 60 62 Millie Wonnacott Held up in midfield - kept on final furlong(op 28/1) 2025-01-08 Taunton 2m½f Soft Cla 2/10 14/1 1.50L 95 95 Harry Reed In rear - headway before 5th - in touch with leaders when outpaced after 3 out - rallied from 2 out - not fluent last - went second and drifted left run-in - kept on(tchd 12/1) 2024-12-12 Taunton 2m½f Good Cla 5/13 40/1 0.75L 97 95 Harry Reed Held up in rear - headway after 3 out - disputing fourth last - kept on(op 25/1) 2024-11-22 Chepstow 2m Good To S Cla 6/11 50/1 7.50L — 80 Harry Reed In rear - not fluent 2nd - some headway 3 out - kept on but never dangerous(op 80/1) 2024-10-27 Wincanton 1m7f Good Cla 9/16 16/1 0.75L — 82 Harry Reed Held up in rear - stayed on from 2 out - never dangerous(op 10/1) 2024-10-10 Exeter 2m½f Good Cla 7/9 80/1 0.20L — 85 Harry Reed Took keen hold - in rear - detached 3rd - 20 lengths down 5th - headway before 3 out - kept on from 2 out - never near to challenge(tchd 66/1 and tchd 100/1) Comment Towards rear - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side over 2f out - headway and prominent over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(tchd 5/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 3/1 (4.000) Beaten (L) 4.00 Total beaten 4.25 OR after 66 In-running comment Towards rear - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side over 2f out - headway and prominent over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(tchd 5/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. ASHDOWN FOREST (IRE) (#5 · Σ 59.0) 4yo G · Draw 7 · p Connections Jockey Jack Garritty Trainer Jedd O'Keeffe Owner Caron Paul Chapman Pedigree Sire Camelot (GB) Dam Fuaigh Mor (IRE) Damsire Dubai Destination Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 21.00 (Bet365) 17:41 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 23.00 (Betano) 09:14 19.00 (BetTom) 09:20 17.00 (Coral) 10:54 15.00 (Bet365) 12:55 13.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 86 third in field, TS 82 strong. Form 6.0/10 333-54 — frequent placer but yet to win. Connections 3.0/10 O'Keeffe yard cold (0 from 6 in 14d, RTF 17), jockey Garritty average. Fitness 7.0/10 Just 16 days off, in regular work. Trip 6.0/10 Camelot sire stays; placed in similar. Pace 6.0/10 Held-up style suits if pace honest. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 fine. Equipment 7.0/10 Wears cheekpieces; wind surgery Feb 2026 still in scoring window. Weight 6.0/10 127lb manageable off OFR 67. Value 6.0/10 Could be over-bet as a perennial nearly-horse but wind surgery angle live. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Solid figures but cold stable and persistent maiden status caps probability. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1507.9 (11 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1513.9 (3234 runs, 294 wins, 9.1%) Trainer 1505.3 (2193 runs, 257 wins, 11.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 142r 12w 8% A/E 0.72 (negative) Jockey × trainer 798r 85w 11% A/E 0.85 (fair) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 166r 16w 10% A/E 0.84 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1196r 152w 13% A/E 0.90 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 23r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1274r 140w 11% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 12 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 9/9 16/1 44.00L 68 86 Jack Garritty Dwelt start - soon pressed leader - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 12/1) 2026-05-02 Thirsk 1m6f Good To F Cla 4/5 13/2 4.00L 68 68 Billy Garritty Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - weakened final furlong (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 9/2) 2026-04-07 Pontefract 1m4f Good To S Cla 5/12 17/2 0.30L 69 73 Billy Garritty Prominent on inner - no extra inside final furlong(op 13/2 tchd 10/1) 2026-03-17 Wetherby 2m Good To S Cla 6/11 7/2F 0.75L 92 78 Craig Nichol Midfield - not fluent and dropped to rear 2nd - headway 5th - jumped left and weakened 2 out(tchd 10/3) 2026-01-22 Wetherby 2m Soft Cla 7/10 40/1 7.50L — 75 Sean Quinlan In rear - headway before 3 out - weakened before 2 out - not fluent last(op 25/1) 2026-01-01 Musselburgh 1m7½f Good To S Cla 7/10 14/1 6.00L — 83 Sean Quinlan Took keen hold - prominent on outer - jumped left and not fluent 4th - led after 4 out - headed 3 out - not fluent and weakened 2 out(op 9/1) 2025-12-12 Doncaster 2m½f Good To S Cla 6/8 EvensF 12.00L — 71 Conor O'Farrell Raced in second - weakened 2 out(op 15/8) 2025-10-23 Nottingham 2m2f Heavy Cla 3/8 100/30 5.50L 70 63 Kieran Shoemark In touch with leaders - steady headway over 4f out - went second over 3f out - lost second when weakening inside final furlong(op 5/2) 2025-09-27 Haydock 1m6f Good To S Cla 3/6 100/30 1.75L 70 75 Joe Leavy In rear - headway 2f out - no impression but kept on and went third towards finish(op 7/2) 2025-08-02 Hamilton 1m3f Good Cla 3/6 4/5F 5.00L — 69 Jonny Peate Raced in third behind clear leader - disputing second over 2f out - weakened from 1f out(op 8/11 tchd 8/13) 2025-07-09 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 6/12 33/1 4.00L — 74 Callum Hutchinson In rear - headway from 2f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 40/1 tchd 50/1) 2024-10-13 Goodwood 1m1f Heavy Cla 2/7 5/1 10.00L — 71 Tom Marquand Lost many lengths start - in rear - pushed along halfway - switched left and on outer over 2f out - soon ridden and headway - stayed on and went remote second inside final 110yds (jockey said colt was slowly away)(op 11/2 tchd 13/2) Comment Dwelt start - soon pressed leader - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 12/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 44.00 Total beaten 70.00 OR after 68 In-running comment Dwelt start - soon pressed leader - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. CASCADE HALL (IRE) (#9 · Σ 58.0) 7yo G · Draw 4 · h Connections Jockey Lauren Young Trainer Jim Goldie Owner Whitestonecliffe Racing Partnership Pedigree Sire Court Cave (IRE) Dam Bacchonthebottle (IRE) Damsire Bob Back Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 4.50 (Bet365) 16:01 5.50 (CopyBet) 18:20 6.00 (CopyBet) 22:01 5.50 (BetTom) 22:22 5.00 (Bet365) 00:31 5.50 (Bet Victor) 03:02 5.00 (Bet365) 09:11 3.25 (Bet365) 09:20 3.50 (Bet365) 10:54 3.75 (Bet365) 11:10 3.50 (Bet365) 11:23 3.75 (Bet365) 14:28 4.00 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 56 and RPR 82 lowest competitive in field. Form 7.0/10 Won last after 5507- — improvement. Connections 5.0/10 Goldie yard ticking 4 from 34 (12%) 14d, claimer aboard. Fitness 7.0/10 13 days off after winning run. Trip 6.0/10 Court Cave sire stays; won at trip. Pace 5.0/10 No clear style edge. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 central, fine. Equipment 6.0/10 Hood applied — small edge. Weight 7.0/10 Bottom weight 116lb after 5lb claim, racing off ~111. Value 5.0/10 Last-time winner could attract money but class drop limited. Σ Summary 58.0/100 Light weight and recent win keep him relevant but lowest rated. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1500.6 (21 runs, 1 wins, 4.8%) Jockey 1606.8 (238 runs, 31 wins, 13.0%) Trainer 1517.8 (4743 runs, 610 wins, 12.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer 224r 31w 14% A/E 1.16 (value) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 301r 30w 10% A/E 0.92 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1337r 142w 11% A/E 0.82 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 13r 1w 8% A/E 0.58 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1421r 164w 12% A/E 0.84 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 2/9 5/2F 0.30L 56 82 Lauren Young Led but pestered - switched to near side over 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 3/1) 2026-05-05 Ayr 1m7f Good To F Cla 1/4 3/1 won 50 — Lauren Young Made all - clear after 3f - went further clear after 5f - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong - eased towards finish - unchallenged(op 10/3 tchd 11/4) 2025-11-24 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 7/9 13/2 6.00L 53 42 Lauren Young Took keen hold - towards rear - switched right and headway after 2f - soon pulled way into lead - headed over 2f out - soon weakened(tchd 6/1) 2025-10-27 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 11/13 20/1 0.10L 56 47 Lauren Young Took keen hold - led - headed under 2f out - soon weakened(op 14/1) 2025-10-09 Ayr 1m2f Heavy Cla 5/8 28/1 2.00L 58 50 William Pyle Prominent - soon led - headed over 1f out - soon weakened(op 22/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-09-21 Hamilton 1m4f Soft Cla 5/6 5/1 18.00L 60 18 Paul Mulrennan Disputed lead early - led overall after 2f - headed after 5f - lost ground quickly over 3f out - eased from 2f out - tailed off(op 9/2 tchd 4/1) 2025-08-21 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 13/13 66/1 36.00L 64 — Amie Waugh Took keen hold - prominent on outer - weakened from over 4f out(op 40/1) 2025-08-08 Musselburgh 1m4½f Good Cla 2/5 9/4 2.25L 60 65 Paul Mulrennan Took keen hold - led but pestered - headed over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 5/2) 2025-07-22 Musselburgh 2m Good Cla 3/6 4/1 4.00L 62 64 Paul Mulrennan Reared start and slowly into stride - held up in rear - went third and no impression inside final furlong(op 5/1) 2025-07-14 Ayr 1m5f Good Cla 4/5 4/1 1.00L 62 63 Rhys Elliott Took keen hold - led - headed 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 5/1) 2025-06-28 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 3/11 25/1 0.50L 61 65 Paul Mulrennan Led - headed over 1f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 20/1) 2025-06-15 Hamilton 1m3f Good To S Cla 10/14 33/1 0.20L 64 58 Amie Waugh Never better than midfield 2025-06-13 York 1m2½f Good To F Cla 13/20 50/1 3.50L 64 45 Amie Waugh Never on terms(op 66/1) 2025-05-30 Carlisle 1m3f Good To S Cla 6/11 9/4F 0.75L 65 58 Paul Mulrennan In touch with leaders - steady headway over 3f out - edged right and weakened over 1f out(op 2/1 tchd 9/5) 2025-05-12 Catterick 2m Good To F Cla 5/9 11/4 1.50L 65 66 Paul Mulrennan Took keen hold - towards rear - dropped to last after 3f - steady headway from 4f out - kept on but not pace to challenge (jockey said gelding was restless in stalls and was slowly away as a result)(op 3/1) 2025-05-01 Ayr 1m7f Good To F Cla 2/4 16/5 0.20L 65 70 Paul Mulrennan Led at steady pace - pestered halfway - went clear with winner inside final furlong - headed inside final 110yds - kept on(op 5/2 tchd 3/1) 2025-04-13 Musselburgh 1m4½f Good Cla 6/13 28/1 5.00L 66 65 David Egan Towards rear - some headway over 1f out - never on terms(op 18/1 tchd 16/1) 2025-03-25 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 3/7 50/1 10.00L — 59 Paul Mulrennan Held up in rear - some headway over 2f out - switched right and headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - no match for first two(tchd 40/1) 2025-02-21 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/6 40/1 1.75L — 61 Amie Waugh Dwelt start - raced in last - still plenty to do when raced wide home turn - went fourth 2f out - soon hung left - no telling impression(op 28/1) 2025-02-08 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 6/7 25/1 2.25L — 43 Paul Mulrennan Slowly away - always behind(op 18/1 tchd 28/1) Comment Led but pestered - switched to near side over 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 3/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 5/2F (3.500) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 0.30 OR after 56 In-running comment Led but pestered - switched to near side over 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 3/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. SWINGING LONDON (IRE) (#3 · Σ 57.0) 8yo G · Draw 2 · tp Connections Jockey Ray Dawson Trainer John Mackie Owner Eventmasters Racing Pedigree Sire Dark Angel (IRE) Dam Malka (FR) Damsire Green Tune Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 6.00 (Bet365) 16:01 6.50 (William Hill) 18:20 7.00 (Midnite) 18:41 6.50 (Bet365) 20:01 7.00 (Bet365) 03:02 7.50 (Midnite) 09:11 15.00 (William Hill) 09:28 13.00 (William Hill) 10:13 15.00 (William Hill) 11:50 13.00 (William Hill) 13:51 15.00 (William Hill) 14:18 21.00 (Spreadex) 14:23 19.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 84 mid-pack, TS 77 reasonable. Form 7.0/10 Won last time on this profile after 14-441. Connections 3.0/10 Trainer John Mackie has 0 from 0 in 14 days, RTF blank — a real concern. Fitness 7.0/10 25 days off after a winning run is acceptable. Trip 6.0/10 Dark Angel sire not classic stayer but he's won over similar. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-pack pace style. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 OK. Equipment 6.0/10 Tongue tie applied — small positive. Weight 6.0/10 130lb, only up modestly after the win. Value 5.0/10 Last-time winner but stable form a question. Σ Summary 57.0/100 Last-time-out winner but trainer cold; live but not strong. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1678.4 (57 runs, 6 wins, 10.5%) Jockey 1543.6 (2900 runs, 317 wins, 10.9%) Trainer 1565.9 (1469 runs, 140 wins, 9.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle no data Jockey × trainer 10r 1w 10% A/E 0.47 (negative) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 73r 5w 7% A/E 0.58 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 5064r 641w 13% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 22r 3w 14% A/E 0.95 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 433r 51w 12% A/E 0.94 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 8/9 16/1 0.50L 70 84 Ray Dawson Midfield - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 14/1 tchd 18/1) 2026-04-23 Southwell (AW 1m6f Standard Cla 1/5 9/4 won 68 77 Finley Marsh In touch with leaders - prominent from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - led towards finish(op 3/1 tchd 2/1) 2026-04-07 Pontefract 1m4f Good To S Cla 4/12 11/2 0.50L 68 74 Connor Beasley Towards rear - headway from over 1f out - squeezed through and challenging inside final 110yds - short of room towards finish(op 6/1) 2026-03-10 Southwell (AW 1m6f Standard Cla 4/6 11/2 0.50L 69 73 P J McDonald Towards rear but in touch with leaders - steady headway over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - no extra towards finish(op 8/1 tchd 17/2) 2026-02-16 Carlisle 2m1f Soft Cla 4/14 7/1 4.50L 103 98 Ben Jones Towards rear on inner - headway before 2 out - kept on from last - no impression(op 13/2) 2026-02-02 Kempton 2m Good To S Cla 5/10 11/1 5.00L 105 99 Ben Jones Held up in rear - some headway before 2 out - no chance but stayed on run-in(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) 2025-12-11 Warwick 2m5f Good To S Cla 4/8 18/1 1.25L 107 102 Jack Andrews Held up in rear - steady headway after 3 out - went fourth 2 out - no impression when not fluent last - weakened final 110yds(op 12/1) 2025-11-17 Leicester 1m7½f Soft Cla 2/7 15/2 0.20L 103 106 Ben Jones Held up in rear - smooth headway on inner and challenging 2 out - soon sustained duel with winner - just failed(op 11/2) 2025-10-23 Nottingham 1m6f Heavy Cla 4/7 5/1 0.50L 69 70 Warren Fentiman Towards rear - headway and went fourth over 3f out - outpaced over 2f out - not pace to challenge(tchd 9/2 and tchd 11/2) 2025-10-17 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 1/8 4/1 won 65 73 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - towards rear - headway on far side of group 2f out - pressed leader and clear with one other inside final furlong - pushed along and led towards finish(op 9/2) 2025-09-20 Chester 1m6½f Heavy Cla 3/13 18/1 1.75L 66 65 Joe Leavy In touch with leaders - outpaced over 2f out - raced wide home turn - kept on inside final furlong(op 16/1) 2025-09-11 Uttoxeter 2m4f Good Cla 7/10 33/1 0.50L 105 103 Paddy Hanlon Held up in rear - outpaced after 3 out - no chance but kept on run-in(op 28/1 tchd 50/1) 2025-08-25 Southwell (AW 1m6f Standard Cla 4/12 11/1 0.50L 68 63 P J McDonald Slowly away - in rear - headway and pressed leaders 3f out - in touch with leaders over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 13/2) 2025-08-17 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 7/11 40/1 2.00L 68 65 Tom Eaves Towards rear - headway when not clear run from over 1f out - no chance when kept on inside final furlong(op 22/1) 2025-08-08 Haydock 1m6f Good Cla 7/9 25/1 1.50L 69 62 Mr Paddy Barlow Always behind - hung left from 2f out - finished 8th - placed 7th(op 20/1 tchd 28/1) 2025-04-07 Wolverhampton 1m6f Standard Cla 4/8 5/1 2.00L 70 73 David Egan Towards rear - some headway over 1f out - no impression(op 7/2) 2025-03-19 Southwell (AW 1m6f Standard Cla 3/6 7/1 1.50L 71 75 Finley Marsh Held up in last - headway from 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - weakened final 110yds(op 17/2) 2025-03-01 Southwell (AW 1m6f Standard Cla 3/9 9/2 0.50L 71 75 Billy Loughnane Held up in rear - headway when not clear run and switched right over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 5/1) 2025-02-21 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/9 4/1 0.10L 72 73 Ryan Sexton Slowly away - in rear - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not reach leaders(tchd 9/2) 2025-02-15 Newcastle (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 4/8 5/2F 0.50L 72 76 Paul Mulrennan Dwelt start - in rear - headway against near rail over 2f out - bit short of room over 1f out - kept on but not reach leaders(op 11/4 tchd 9/4) Comment Midfield - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 14/1 tchd 18/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 26.00 OR after 70 In-running comment Midfield - pushed along 4f out - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 14/1 tchd 18/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. BILLY NO MATES (IRE) (#8 · Σ 55.0) 10yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Rhys Elliott Trainer Michael Dods Owner J Sagar And M Dods Pedigree Sire Clodovil (IRE) Dam Sabaidee (IRE) Damsire Beat Hollow Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 17.00 (Bet365) 16:01 19.00 (William Hill) 16:21 17.00 (Bet365) 20:01 19.00 (Bet365) 22:01 17.00 (Bet365) 09:40 19.00 (Bet365) 09:42 17.00 (Bet365) 09:48 19.00 (Bet365) 10:34 17.00 (Bet365) 10:48 19.00 (Bet365) 11:00 15.00 (Bet365) 11:56 17.00 (Bet365) 14:23 19.00 (Spreadex) 14:28 17.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 85 mid-field, TS 83 actually the best. Form 5.0/10 4649-3 — third last time but inconsistent. Connections 4.0/10 Dods yard 1 from 27 14d (4%), claimer up. Fitness 7.0/10 11 days off — sharp turnaround. Trip 6.0/10 Has form at staying trips. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-pack runner. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8 fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 7.0/10 119lb plus 5lb claim — racing off effectively 114. Value 5.0/10 Age and stable form likely deter punters fairly. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Reasonable on figures but cold yard and age push him toward outsider tier. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1599.8 (54 runs, 6 wins, 11.1%) Jockey 1464.7 (576 runs, 33 wins, 5.7%) Trainer 1580.7 (5160 runs, 596 wins, 11.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 22r 1w 5% A/E 0.55 (negative) Jockey × trainer 120r 6w 5% A/E 0.49 (negative) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 643r 58w 9% A/E 0.70 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1592r 173w 11% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 30r 5w 17% A/E 1.37 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 763r 95w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 4/9 14/1 2.00L 59 85 Rhys Elliott Slowly away - raced in last - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - hung right and no extra inside final furlong(tchd 16/1) 2026-05-07 Redcar 1m6f Good Cla 3/6 17/2 0.75L 60 71 Connor Beasley Held up in rear - outpaced over 2f out - rallied inside final furlong - kept on well final 110yds - went third final strides - nearest finish(op 9/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-11-18 Newcastle (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 9/13 28/1 0.50L 62 60 Jonny Peate Never better than midfield(tchd 33/1) 2025-10-09 Newcastle (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 4/9 14/1 0.75L 64 66 Connor Beasley Held up in rear - headway over 1f out - not reach leaders(op 16/1 tchd 12/1 and tchd 18/1) 2025-09-19 Ayr 1m5f Soft Cla 6/13 8/1 0.75L 65 56 Connor Beasley Dwelt start - never better than midfield(op 10/1) 2025-09-03 Hamilton 1m5f Good To S Cla 4/14 9/1 0.20L 64 71 Connor Beasley Dwelt start - towards rear - took keen hold early - headway towards near side from 4f out - stayed on inside final 110yds(tchd 10/1) 2025-07-25 Thirsk 1m4f Good Cla 3/7 7/2 2.25L 65 68 Rhys Elliott Took keen hold - towards rear - headway and briefly disputed lead over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 4/1 tchd 3/1) 2025-07-07 Ayr 1m5f Good To S Cla 8/11 11/1 2.25L 66 61 Rhys Elliott Slowly into stride - in rear - some headway over 2f out - weakened 1f out 2025-06-26 Hamilton 1m5f Good Cla 2/7 4/1 0.50L 65 71 Mr Thomas Easterby Held up in rear - headway from 4f out - went second and challenging over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - just held(tchd 7/2) 2025-06-16 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 2/11 6/1 1.00L 65 69 Connor Beasley In rear - headway over 2f out - went second towards finish - kept on(op 13/2) 2025-04-08 Pontefract 1m4f Good Cla 4/10 6/1 0.30L 67 70 Connor Beasley Held up in rear - headway over 1f out - no impression final 110yds(op 11/2) 2024-11-05 Redcar 1m6f Soft Cla 6/7 16/1 0.30L 69 72 Lewis Edmunds Towards rear - outpaced 2f out - bit short of room over 1f out - kept on but no impression final 110yds(op 12/1) 2024-10-05 Redcar 1m6f Soft Cla 4/9 12/1 2.75L 71 64 Rhys Elliott Took keen hold - held up in rear - outpaced 2f out - soon no impression (jockey said gelding lost his right fore shoe)(tchd 14/1) 2024-09-27 Haydock 1m6f Heavy Cla 4/6 5/1 1.50L 72 66 Connor Beasley Towards rear - switched to near side over 4f out - headway over 2f out - no extra and lost third inside final furlong(op 9/2) 2024-09-06 Haydock 1m6f Good To S Cla 5/11 8/1 0.30L 73 75 Rhys Elliott Took keen hold - held up in rear - outpaced over 2f out - headway over 1f out - kept on - not reach leaders(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) 2024-07-12 York 1m4f Good To S Cla 9/11 11/1 1.00L 75 75 Rhys Elliott Took keen hold - held up in rear - outpaced over 2f out - kept on final 110yds - never on terms(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) 2024-06-16 Thirsk 1m6f Good To S Cla 12/15 20/1 1.00L 77 67 Connor Beasley Never better than midfield(op 16/1) 2024-05-31 Doncaster 1m4f Good To S Cla 5/9 33/1 0.75L 78 82 Rhys Elliott Slowly away - took keen hold - in rear - switched sharply right over 2f out - never dangerous - ran on inside final furlong (jockey said gelding hung right-handed in home straight)(op 28/1) 2024-04-27 Ripon 2m Soft Cla 6/6 17/2 63.00L 79 — Phil Dennis Took keen hold - always behind (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the poor form shown other than jockey reported gelding was never travelling and stopped quickly)(op 15/2 tchd 7/1 and tchd 9/1) 2024-04-02 Pontefract 1m4f Heavy Cla 2/3 3/1 1.00L 79 84 Connor Beasley Took keen hold - raced in third - went second 2f out - led narrowly 1f out - headed and no extra inside final 110yds(op 4/1 tchd 9/2) Comment Slowly away - raced in last - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - hung right and no extra inside final furlong(tchd 16/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 14/1 (15.000) Beaten (L) 2.00 Total beaten 6.25 OR after 59 In-running comment Slowly away - raced in last - switched to near side over 2f out - headway over 1f out - hung right and no extra inside final furlong(tchd 16/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. LOKI (GER) (#1 · Σ 54.0) 4yo G · Draw 9 Connections Jockey P J McDonald Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Owner Cottrell Conway Cottrell Pedigree Sire Best Solution (IRE) Dam Lutindi (GER) Damsire Adlerflug Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 7.00 (Bet365) 18:20 6.50 (Bet365) 22:01 7.00 (Bet365) 00:31 7.50 (Bet365) 09:11 12.00 (BetTom) 09:40 9.50 (Bet365) 09:48 10.00 (Unibet) 09:55 9.50 (Bet365) 10:11 10.00 (Unibet) 10:17 9.50 (Bet365) 10:25 10.00 (Unibet) 11:00 9.50 (Bet365) 11:10 10.00 (Bet365) 13:35 11.00 (Bet365) 14:18 12.00 (Spreadex) 14:23 11.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 9.0/10 Highest RPR in field at 94, 7lb clear of next on ratings. Form 5.0/10 Form 10222- shows placing form but no recent run. Connections 8.0/10 Trainer 14d 24% strike with 4 winners from 17, P J McDonald a solid pilot. Fitness 2.0/10 199 days since last run is a major negative; no recent prep visible. Trip 6.0/10 Pedigree (Best Solution) suits stamina; no recent confirmation at trip. Pace 5.0/10 No clear pace info; likely held-up given previous placings. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 9 on Carlisle 1m6f is broadly neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change noted. Weight 3.0/10 Top weight 135lb in a 0-75; carrying full handicap penalty. Value 6.0/10 Ratings edge plus hot yard could overlay returning vibes. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Top form-rated but the layoff plus top weight caps conviction. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1465.8 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1572.7 (7964 runs, 954 wins, 12.0%) Trainer 1613.2 (1630 runs, 233 wins, 14.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 363r 47w 13% A/E 0.95 (fair) Jockey × trainer 16r 1w 6% A/E 0.64 (negative) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 65r 10w 15% A/E 0.98 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 8r 2w 25% A/E 1.19 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 40r 10w 25% A/E 1.33 (value) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 1/9 11/2 won 75 94 P J McDonald Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and switched to near side over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 10/1) 2025-06-02 Capannelle (I 1m3f Good — 15/18 131/10 10.00L — 51 Thore Hammer Hanse Midfield - driven over 3f out - no impression - soon struggling and beaten over 2f out Comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and switched to near side over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 10/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/2 (6.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 75 In-running comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and switched to near side over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. LORD (GER) (#2 · Σ 53.0) 4yo G · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Paul Mulrennan Trainer Donald McCain Owner David Carol Shaw Pedigree Sire Best Solution (IRE) Dam Linaria (GER) Damsire Soldier Hollow Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 9.00 (Bet365) 21:22 8.50 (Bet365) 22:01 8.00 (Bet365) 09:11 8.50 (BetTom) 09:40 7.50 (Bet Victor) 10:54 7.00 (Bet365) 11:23 6.50 (Bet365) 11:37 7.00 (Bet365) 13:18 6.50 (Bet365) 14:18 7.00 (Spreadex) 14:23 7.50 (Spreadex) 14:28 8.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 79 is bottom of the field by a clear margin. Form 6.0/10 4/2-3 form shows promise but small sample. Connections 6.0/10 McCain a quality yard but 14d strike just 9% with 2 from 23. Fitness 7.0/10 26 days since last run is a fair gap, not stale. Trip 5.0/10 Best Solution sire suggests stamina; unproven specifically. Pace 5.0/10 No clear pace style. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 1 fine over this trip at Carlisle. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change. Weight 6.0/10 Carries 134lb, second top, off OFR 74. Value 4.0/10 Limited evidence at this trip/class to justify a strong call. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Progressive but ratings gap and weak yard form leave him a peripheral hope. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1570.6 (9 runs, 4 wins, 44.4%) Jockey 1508.4 (8375 runs, 1024 wins, 12.2%) Trainer 1525.9 (5398 runs, 791 wins, 14.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 593r 69w 12% A/E 0.81 (negative) Jockey × trainer 61r 6w 10% A/E 0.94 (fair) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 772r 119w 15% A/E 0.83 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 no data Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 90r 18w 20% A/E 1.50 (value) Past form (last 10 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 7/9 6/1 18.00L 74 79 Paul Mulrennan Prominent - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 11/2 tchd 13/2) 2026-04-22 Catterick 1m4f Good Cla 3/5 17/2 0.50L — 73 Paul Mulrennan Led - headed over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 15/2 tchd 7/1) 2026-04-09 Aintree 2m1f Good To S Cla 9/10 66/1 14.00L 126 95 Theo Gillard Led - pestered from 4th - headed on turn before 3 out - soon weakened 2026-01-31 Musselburgh 1m7½f Good To S Cla 2/6 9/4F 2.25L 126 117 Danny McMenamin Didn't always jump with fluency - led - faced challenge before 3 out - headed and no extra inside final 110yds(op 3/1 tchd 10/3) 2025-12-06 Aintree 2m1f Soft Cla 1/7 6/1 won 119 110 Brian Hughes Made all - clear after 4th - hit 3 out - soon reduced lead - ridden and went clear again after 2 out - hit last - kept on well(op 7/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-11-15 Cheltenham 2m½f Heavy Cla 6/8 12/1 16.00L 121 89 Harry Cobden In touch with leaders - raced in third when mistake and lost position 2 out - weakened before last - tailed off(op 11/1 tchd 9/1) 2025-09-27 Market Rasen 2m½f Good Cla 1/3 30/100F won 121 109 Sean Bowen Made all - didn't jump well - pushed along and went clear run-in(op 2/5) 2025-09-09 Newton Abbot 2m1f Good To S Cla 1/6 4/7F won — 109 Sean Bowen Raced in fourth - ridden and led before 2 out - not fluent last - comfortably(tchd 8/15) 2025-08-29 Fontwell 2m1½f Good To S Cla 1/8 4/9F won — 104 Sean Bowen Raced in second - left in lead 1st - joined home turn - went clear again after 2 out - easily(op 4/6) 2025-07-20 Newton Abbot 2m1f Good Cla 2/5 7/1 4.75L — 93 Sean Bowen In rear - outpaced 3 out - rallied before 2 out - no chance with winner but went second last - kept on(op 9/2 tchd 15/2) Comment Prominent - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 11/2 tchd 13/2) Finishing result Position 7 SP 6/1 (7.000) Beaten (L) 18.00 Total beaten 25.50 OR after 74 In-running comment Prominent - switched to near side and weakened over 2f out(op 11/2 tchd 13/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. HAARAR (GB) (#4 · Σ 41.0) 7yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Tom Eaves Trainer Sam England Owner Maximum Racing Haarar Pedigree Sire Muhaarar (GB) Dam Interchange (IRE) Damsire Montjeu Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:41 15.00 (Bet365) 16:01 17.00 (William Hill) 16:21 19.00 (CopyBet) 17:21 17.00 (William Hill) 18:02 15.00 (Bet365) 19:41 13.00 (Betfred) 20:01 12.00 (BetWright) 20:22 10.00 (Virgin Bet) 00:31 11.00 (Bet Victor) 09:34 12.00 (Unibet) 11:00 11.00 (Bet365) 11:04 12.00 (Unibet) 11:23 11.00 (Bet365) 11:50 12.00 (Virgin Bet) 12:06 11.00 (Bet365) 12:51 10.00 (Bet365) 13:35 11.00 (Bet365) 13:43 10.00 (Bet365) 14:18 11.00 (Spreadex) 14:28 12.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 68 mid-low, no current RPR to confirm. Form 2.0/10 Form 29851/ with a / signalling long break. Connections 5.0/10 Sam England yard moderate 14d 13%, jockey Elo just 1521. Fitness 1.0/10 559 days off is exceptional; readiness highly uncertain. Trip 5.0/10 Muhaarar sire stamina marginal; previous form lower trip. Pace 5.0/10 No pace info. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 6 neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 6.0/10 128lb off OFR 68 manageable. Value 3.0/10 Too many unknowns to recommend. Σ Summary 41.0/100 Comeback after eighteen months from a moderate yard — very difficult to back. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1662.5 (40 runs, 8 wins, 20.0%) Jockey 1521.4 (7824 runs, 570 wins, 7.3%) Trainer 1507.8 (1929 runs, 227 wins, 11.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ 1m6f no data Jockey @ Carlisle 606r 41w 7% A/E 0.67 (negative) Jockey × trainer 47r 4w 9% A/E 1.10 (value) Trainer @ 1m6f no data Trainer @ Carlisle 85r 14w 16% A/E 1.12 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m6f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1196r 167w 14% A/E 0.95 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m6f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 17r 4w 24% A/E 1.26 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m6f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 2710r 333w 12% A/E 0.89 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Carlisle 1m6f Soft Cla 5/9 12/1 0.20L 68 — Tom Eaves Midfield - steady headway and switched to near side over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/1) 2026-03-31 Newcastle 2m4½f Good To S Cla 4/6 8/1 4.25L 118 113 Jonathan England In touch with leaders - niggled along briefly 6th - outpaced approaching last - no impression run-in (vet reported gelding had bled from the nose)(op 13/2) 2026-03-20 Musselburgh 2m1½f Good To S Cla 10/14 11/1 1.25L 119 109 Jonathan England Towards rear on outer throughout(tchd 10/1 and tchd 12/1) 2026-02-09 Catterick 1m7½f Soft Cla 4/7 10/11F 8.00L 118 96 Jonathan England Held up in last - mistake 3 out - soon no impression (jockey said gelding never travelled; vet had nothing to report)(op Even) 2026-02-03 Carlisle 2m1f Good To S Cla 1/11 9/2 won 111 119 Jonathan England Midfield - headway just before 2 out - led narrowly last - ridden clear final 110yds - comfortably(op 4/1 tchd 7/2) 2025-12-20 Haydock 2m3f Good To S Cla 1/9 7/1 won 105 109 Tom Midgley Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader after 4 out - led 2 out - ridden and went clear approaching last - kept on well(op 5/1 tchd 9/2) 2025-12-03 Haydock 2m3f Good To S Cla 3/6 11/10F 18.00L 106 98 Brendan Powell In touch with leaders - not fluent 2nd - not fluent 3rd - went third 3 out - soon outpaced - weakened run-in(op 10/11) 2025-11-08 Aintree 2m1f Good To S Cla 2/12 10/1 11.00L 106 104 Jonathan England Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - mistake last (usual 3 out) - stayed on and went second inside final 110yds - no match for winner(tchd 9/1) 2025-03-21 Musselburgh 2m1½f Good To S Cla 3/12 5/1F 4.75L 107 105 Jonathan England Midfield - headway 3 out - outpaced 2 out - rallied and went third inside final 110yds(op 9/2) 2025-02-10 Catterick 1m7½f Good To S Cla 1/7 13/8F won 103 105 Jonathan England In touch with leaders - smooth headway and disputed lead 2 out - ridden when led before last - stayed on(op 7/4 and tchd 9/5) 2025-02-03 Carlisle 2m1f Soft Cla 2/8 11/2 0.30L 103 105 Jonathan England Prominent - led before 2 out - ridden approaching last - kept on but headed final strides 2024-12-31 Uttoxeter 2m4f Good To S Cla 3/8 11/2 21.00L 104 91 Jonathan England Held up in rear - not fluent early - headway after 4 out - went third after 3 out - weakened before 2 out - no match for first two (jockey said gelding did not jump fluently)(op 9/2 tchd 4/1) 2024-12-04 Haydock 2m3f Soft Cla 2/8 4/1 3.00L 104 103 Jonathan England Took keen hold - towards rear - headway 5th - pressed leader when badly hampered by loose horse and lost ground 4 out - headway on outer before 3 out - outpaced after 2 out - rallied and went second towards finish - did well in the circumstances(op 9/2) 2024-11-05 Redcar 1m6f Soft Cla 1/7 12/1 won 65 74 Tom Eaves Raced in second - led over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong - comfortably(op 17/2) 2024-10-24 Nottingham 1m6f Soft Cla 5/14 33/1 0.75L 67 69 Cam Hardie Prominent - switched to centre 4f out - challenging over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 18/1) 2024-09-27 Worcester 2m4f Soft Cla PU/12 50/1 — 106 — Jonathan England Prominent behind clear leaders and on inner - dropped to rear after 5th - tailed off when pulled up after 7th(op 66/1) 2024-09-06 Haydock 1m6f Good To S Cla 8/11 13/2 0.50L 69 67 David Egan Never better than midfield(op 8/1) 2024-08-22 Newcastle (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 9/13 40/1 0.50L 71 67 Brandon Wilkie Towards rear - kept on when towards near side home straight - no impression(tchd 50/1) 2024-06-23 Hexham 2m4f Good Cla 7/7 11/2 1.75L 110 104 Jonathan England Held up in rear - slow jump 3rd - outpaced after 2 out - headway but not fluent last - weakened final 110yds(op 10/3) 2024-05-29 Cartmel 2m1f Soft Cla 1/8 6/5F won 106 105 Jonathan England In touch with leaders - not fluent 1st - slow jump 3rd - mistake last (usual 2 out) - pushed along and headway before straight - led inside final furlong - ridden out(op 4/5) Comment Midfield - steady headway and switched to near side over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 12/1 (13.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 6.50 OR after 68 In-running comment Midfield - steady headway and switched to near side over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (5 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Carlisle · 1m6f · Class 5 · Soft Follow Racing TV On X Handicap 1 Loki (GER) won SP 11/2 2 Cascade Hall (IRE) 0.30L SP 5/2F 3 As Fast As Wind (IRE) 4.00L SP 3/1 4 Billy No Mates (IRE) 2.00L SP 14/1 5 Haarar (GB) 0.20L SP 12/1 6 Charlie Darling (FR) 1.00L SP 10/1 7 Lord (GER) 18.00L SP 6/1 8 Swinging London (IRE) 0.50L SP 16/1 9 Ashdown Forest (IRE) 44.00L SP 16/1 2026-04-07 · Pontefract · 1m4f · Class 5 · Good To Soft Tommy Hepple Memorial Handicap 4 Swinging London (IRE) 0.50L SP 11/2 5 Ashdown Forest (IRE) 0.30L SP 17/2 2026-03-20 · Musselburgh · 2m1½f · Class 2 · Good To Soft Racing Post+ Subscription Go North Sea Pigeon Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) 3 As Fast As Wind (IRE) 0.75L SP 11/2 10 Haarar (GB) 1.25L SP 11/1 2024-11-05 · Redcar · 1m6f · Class 5 · Soft Wear Your Poppy With Pride Handicap 1 Haarar (GB) won SP 12/1 6 Billy No Mates (IRE) 0.30L SP 16/1 2024-09-06 · Haydock · 1m6f · Class 5 · Good To Soft Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Stayers Series Qualifier) 5 Billy No Mates (IRE) 0.30L SP 8/1 8 Haarar (GB) 0.50L SP 13/2 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: No obvious lone front-runner; likely steady gallop with Charlie Darling and As Fast As Wind able to race prominently, suiting hold-up types like Ashdown Forest if the pace honest. Narrative: Tricky 1m6f Class 5 handicap headed by Loki on RPR (94) but who returns from a 199-day break with top weight. Form picks Charlie Darling (won last two off short breaks for a yard at RTF 57) and locally-trained As Fast As Wind (won last under a 7lb rise) look more solid. Swinging London also won last but his trainer is in dire 14-day form. The race could turn into a battle between the in-form winners and the higher-rated returners. Recommended: Charlie Darling Won last two starts (3-1-1), highest RPR among in-form runners at 87, off just 11 days for a yard with strong 57 RTF and a hot jockey Elo 1616. Carries a manageable 122lb after the rises. Alternative: As Fast As Wind Won last time out (5-1-4-1 cluster) for a sharp local Cumbrian yard, horse Elo 1665 the highest of any runner with meaningful starts, only 19 days off and reasonable weight. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944075