============================================================================== RACE: Lingfield ? · 2026-05-18 Sporting Times/Sri Lanka Awaits You EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. NOTABLE DREAM (IRE) (#4 · Σ 64.0) 2yo C · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Marco Ghiani Trainer Marco Botti Owner Scuderia Sagam Srls Pedigree Sire Bayside Boy (IRE) Dam La Reveuse (IRE) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 3.00 (Bet365) 16:21 3.25 (William Hill) 20:01 3.50 (Bet365) 21:22 3.25 (Bet365) 09:24 3.00 (Bet365) 14:06 2.90 (7Bet) 14:11 2.88 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 Top RPR in the field at 72 after a placed Newmarket debut; the only horse with a TS figure (22). Form 7.0/10 Finished 3rd on debut 16 days ago, an honest run that gives a tangible benchmark the debutants must match. Connections 8.0/10 Marco Botti firing at 25% strike rate (12 runs, 3 wins) over the last 14 days; trainer Elo 1789 is the highest in the race and Ghiani a competent claimer. Fitness 8.0/10 16-day turnaround from a placed debut is the ideal sweet spot for natural improvement on second start. Trip 6.0/10 Bayside Boy progeny out of a Galileo-line mare should appreciate the step in trip from whatever the debut was; 7f looks within scope. Pace 6.0/10 Likely to be ridden with cover; suits a steadily-run maiden where experience tells late. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 6 of 6 is wide but Lingfield 7f on turf is not especially draw-biased for juveniles. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear, no changes — neutral signal on a runner with race experience. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights maiden, all carry 133lb; no weight angle. Value 7.0/10 Form pick with the in-form yard — typically respected in the market but the experience edge in a mostly-debutant field is genuine. Σ Summary 64.0/100 Best on the form book with the best trainer in the race in red-hot form — the obvious pick to beat. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1507.0 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1699.2 (3197 runs, 431 wins, 13.5%) Trainer 1788.9 (4305 runs, 528 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 31r 6w 19% A/E 1.16 (value) Jockey × trainer 330r 62w 19% A/E 1.07 (value) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 103r 13w 13% A/E 0.80 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 no data Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 2086r 237w 11% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 1/6 2/1F won — 72 Marco Ghiani Made all - faced challenge over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - went clear inside final 110yds - readily(op 15/8 tchd 13/8) 2026-05-02 Doncaster 6f Good To F Cla 3/6 13/2 0.30L — 65 Jack Gilligan Held up in rear - headway from over 2f out - in touch with leaders 1f out - no impression inside final furlong(tchd 15/2) Comment Made all - faced challenge over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - went clear inside final 110yds - readily(op 15/8 tchd 13/8) Finishing result Position 1 SP 2/1F (3.000) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Made all - faced challenge over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - went clear inside final 110yds - readily(op 15/8 tchd 13/8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. ENCOUNTER (IRE) (#3 · Σ 61.0) 2yo C · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Ryan Moore Trainer S Woods Owner S P C Woods Pedigree Sire Blue Point (IRE) Dam Eye Witness (GER) Damsire Adlerflug Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 3.25 (Bet365) 20:01 2.90 (7Bet) 20:20 2.88 (Virgin Bet) 20:41 2.63 (Bet365) 02:31 2.50 (Bet365) 09:11 2.75 (Unibet) 09:22 2.88 (Unibet) 09:24 3.00 (Unibet) 09:42 3.13 (Unibet) 09:46 3.25 (Bet365) 09:53 3.13 (Unibet) 10:07 3.25 (Bet365) 10:34 3.00 (Bet365) 10:44 3.25 (Bet365) 14:06 3.50 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 Unraced, no rating to assess against the field; default mid until proven. Form 5.0/10 Debutant, no form line to weigh. Connections 9.0/10 Ryan Moore (jockey Elo 1888, 21% career strike) booked for Sean Woods (RTF 75, 25% last 14d) is as strong a stable-confidence signal as a debutant can carry. Fitness 6.0/10 First-time fitness unknown but Woods's debut runners tend to be ready. Trip 6.0/10 Blue Point x Adlerflug mare — sharp enough for 7f, should not be over-faced. Pace 6.0/10 Moore typically rides positively from a low draw; stall 1 gives him tactical options. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 1 at Lingfield 7f turf is a neutral-to-favourable rail draw, useful for an unraced colt. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear; standard debut kit. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights, no angle. Value 7.0/10 Ryan Moore + 25% yard + draw 1 on debut is the kind of profile that often wins these. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Strongest connections angle in the race compensates for lack of form lines. Verdict Each-way ELO Jockey 1888.4 (6170 runs, 1289 wins, 20.9%) Trainer 1643.8 (1059 runs, 127 wins, 12.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 271r 42w 15% A/E 0.77 (negative) Jockey × trainer 11r 1w 9% A/E 0.55 (negative) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 105r 11w 10% A/E 0.69 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 178r 27w 15% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 13r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 2/6 9/4 6.00L — — Ryan Moore Prominent - pressed winner over 2f out - weakened inside final 110yds(tchd 11/5 and tchd 5/2) Comment Prominent - pressed winner over 2f out - weakened inside final 110yds(tchd 11/5 and tchd 5/2) Finishing result Position 2 SP 9/4 (3.250) Beaten (L) 6.00 Total beaten 6.00 In-running comment Prominent - pressed winner over 2f out - weakened inside final 110yds(tchd 11/5 and tchd 5/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. BIN WAARY (IRE) (#1 · Σ 55.0) 2yo C · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Hector Crouch Trainer Charlie Johnston Owner Jaber Abdullah Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Rapid Reaction (IRE) Damsire Shamardal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 4.33 (Bet365) 20:01 4.50 (Bet365) 02:31 5.00 (Bet365) 09:11 4.50 (Bet365) 09:36 4.00 (Bet365) 09:53 3.75 (Bet365) 10:07 4.00 (Bet365) 11:56 3.75 (Bet365) 12:02 4.00 (Bet365) 12:06 3.75 (Bet365) 13:08 4.00 (Bet365) 13:24 3.75 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 66 is below Notable Dream's 72 and would need solid improvement to be involved. Form 5.0/10 Finished 4th on debut, beaten but not disgraced; needs to step forward. Connections 7.0/10 Charlie Johnston solid 15% strike rate over the last 14 days (41 runs, 6 wins), Hector Crouch a useful pilot. Fitness 7.0/10 14-day turnaround from a debut effort is ideal for second-start improvement. Trip 6.0/10 Saxon Warrior x Shamardal-line — should be effective at 7f and beyond. Pace 5.0/10 No strong style read; neutral. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 4 of 6 is fine at Lingfield 7f turf. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear changes. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 5.0/10 Honest profile but Notable Dream looks the better experienced runner. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Has the experience edge over debutants but the form figure ranks behind Notable Dream. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1505.3 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1663.5 (5110 runs, 713 wins, 14.0%) Trainer 1633.3 (3386 runs, 450 wins, 13.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 155r 26w 17% A/E 1.10 (value) Jockey × trainer 13r 1w 8% A/E 0.47 (negative) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 34r 6w 18% A/E 0.81 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 167r 22w 13% A/E 0.99 (fair) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 958r 139w 15% A/E 1.01 (fair) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 3/6 3/1 4.00L — 66 Hector Crouch Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/4 tchd 7/2) 2026-05-04 Kempton (AW) 6f Standard Cla 4/9 9/2 1.50L — — Silvestre De Sousa Raced wide - midfield - some headway from over 1f out(op 11/2) Comment Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/4 tchd 7/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 3/1 (4.000) Beaten (L) 4.00 Total beaten 10.00 In-running comment Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/4 tchd 7/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. RAFE'S DA MAN (GB) (#5 · Σ 55.0) 2yo C · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Sean Levey Trainer Richard Hannon Owner I Wight Pedigree Sire Ghaiyyath (IRE) Dam Fracherette (IRE) Damsire Exceed And Excel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 4.33 (Bet365) 20:01 5.00 (Bet365) 03:02 5.50 (Midnite) 09:11 6.50 (William Hill) 09:22 7.00 (William Hill) 09:24 7.50 (William Hill) 09:53 8.00 (William Hill) 10:15 7.50 (William Hill) 11:45 7.00 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 Unraced — no rating to anchor on. Form 5.0/10 Debutant. Connections 7.0/10 Richard Hannon (11,041 runs, 14% career, 14% last 14d) is one of the strongest 2yo yards in Britain; Sean Levey reliable jockey with Elo 1680. Fitness 6.0/10 Hannon's debut juveniles are generally race-ready. Trip 6.0/10 Ghaiyyath x Exceed And Excel-line mare — 7f a sensible debut trip. Pace 5.0/10 No clue to running style; neutral. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 5 of 6 is neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 6.0/10 Hannon debutants are usually well-supported; reasonable rather than standout edge. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Classic Hannon juvenile profile — respected but lacks the elite jockey angle of Encounter. Verdict Each-way ELO Jockey 1679.8 (5951 runs, 709 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1640.6 (11041 runs, 1575 wins, 14.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 119r 16w 13% A/E 0.81 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3399r 446w 13% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 269r 44w 16% A/E 0.87 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 32r 8w 25% A/E 1.06 (value) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 1064r 113w 11% A/E 0.82 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 4/6 9/2 7.00L — — Sean Levey In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 6/1) Comment In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 6/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 7.00 Total beaten 17.00 In-running comment In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 6/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. DASHING DIGGER (GB) (#2 · Σ 45.0) 2yo C · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Ross Coakley Trainer William Stone Owner Ron Spore Pedigree Sire Masar (IRE) Dam Black Lotus (GB) Damsire Declaration Of War Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 34.00 (Bet365) 16:21 36.00 (7Bet) 20:41 41.00 (Bet365) 09:11 81.00 (William Hill) 09:22 101.00 (William Hill) 09:59 126.00 (William Hill) 12:43 151.00 (William Hill) 13:08 126.00 (William Hill) 14:11 101.00 (BetTom) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 Unraced from a yard well below the top tier in raw numbers. Form 5.0/10 Debutant. Connections 3.0/10 William Stone 0 wins from 2 runs last 14d, only 963 career runs, trainer Elo 1559 — middling profile; Coakley a solid jockey but no statistical edge. Fitness 5.0/10 Unknown — neutral on debut. Trip 5.0/10 Masar x Declaration Of War — should stay 7f but no obvious precocity angle. Pace 5.0/10 No data. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 3 is fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 4.0/10 Low-profile debutant from a cold yard; little reason to upgrade beyond the basics. Σ Summary 45.0/100 Lightly-armed debutant from a low-strike yard — needs to be a hidden talent to win. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1534.3 (2995 runs, 250 wins, 8.3%) Trainer 1558.8 (963 runs, 102 wins, 10.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 12r 3w 25% A/E 1.71 (value) Jockey × trainer 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 30r 1w 3% A/E 0.28 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 31r 2w 6% A/E 0.54 (negative) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 9r 2w 22% A/E 1.11 (value) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 6/6 50/1 0.30L — — Ross Coakley Dwelt start - always behind(op 66/1 and tchd 80/1) Comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 66/1 and tchd 80/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 18.00 In-running comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 66/1 and tchd 80/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. THEHEATISON (GB) (#6 · Σ 45.0) 2yo C · Draw 2 Connections Jockey George Wood Trainer Nick Scholfield Owner Felstead Partnership Pedigree Sire Too Darn Hot (GB) Dam All Out (GB) Damsire Acclamation Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 51.00 (Bet365) 16:42 41.00 (Bet365) 09:59 34.00 (Bet365) 10:07 29.00 (Bet365) 10:21 26.00 (Bet365) 14:11 29.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 Unraced from a predominantly NH stable; very limited Flat sample (trainer Elo 1499, 124 runs). Form 5.0/10 Debutant. Connections 3.0/10 Nick Scholfield primarily a jumps operation with only 124 career flat runs and RTF 20; George Wood a serviceable jockey but no realistic edge. Fitness 5.0/10 Unknown debut. Trip 5.0/10 Too Darn Hot x Acclamation should be sharp enough for 7f, perhaps too sharp. Pace 5.0/10 No data. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 2 fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 4.0/10 Jumps yard debutant in a flat maiden — hard to make a positive case. Σ Summary 45.0/100 NH-based stable's flat debutant — needs a freak ability to upset this. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1677.3 (3186 runs, 301 wins, 9.4%) Trainer 1499.2 (124 runs, 21 wins, 16.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 78r 7w 9% A/E 0.67 (negative) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 8r 1w 12% A/E 0.53 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 150r 18w 12% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 675r 65w 10% A/E 0.75 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 7f Good Cla 5/6 22/1 0.75L — — George Wood Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 25/1 and tchd 33/1) Comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 25/1 and tchd 33/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 22/1 (23.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 17.75 In-running comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 25/1 and tchd 33/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (1 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Lingfield · 7f · Class 3 · Good Sporting Times/Sri Lanka Awaits You EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) 1 Notable Dream (IRE) won SP 2/1F 2 Encounter (IRE) 6.00L SP 9/4 3 Bin Waary (IRE) 4.00L SP 3/1 4 Rafe's Da Man (GB) 7.00L SP 9/2 5 Theheatison (GB) 0.75L SP 22/1 6 Dashing Digger (GB) 0.30L SP 50/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Maiden 2yo 7f tends to be steady-into-quickening; no obvious lone-speed runner means a moderate gallop favouring the more experienced/professional types. Narrative: Six-runner Lingfield maiden with only two having race experience. Notable Dream sets the form standard (RPR 72 after a 3rd at Newmarket) and represents an in-form Botti yard. Encounter is the obvious debutant threat — Ryan Moore booked for Sean Woods, whose 14-day strike of 25% and RTF 75 screams confidence. Rafe's Da Man brings the typical Hannon juvenile-debut profile, while Bin Waary needs more after a tame 4th. The two cold-stable debutants (Dashing Digger, Theheatison) look outclassed. Recommended: Notable Dream Highest RPR in the field after a placed debut, drawn wide but Lingfield 7f is fair, Botti 25% strike last 14 days and trainer Elo 1789 the highest in race. Alternative: Encounter Ryan Moore (jockey Elo 1888) booked for Sean Woods on debut — yard 25% last 14d, RTF 75. Blue Point colt out of an Adlerflug mare bred to be sharp enough at 7f. Stable-confidence proxy is the strongest single signal for an unraced runner. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944140