============================================================================== RACE: Lingfield ? · 2026-05-18 Sporting Times Handicap Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. DANCING TIGER (IRE) (#3 · Σ 69.0) 4yo G · Draw 6 · p Connections Jockey Marco Ghiani Trainer Roger Teal Owner Homecroft Wealth Racing Pedigree Sire Starspangledbanner (AUS) Dam Dream Approach (IRE) Damsire New Approach Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 7.50 (Bet365) 16:21 8.00 (Bet365) 17:21 7.50 (Bet365) 03:30 5.00 (Bet365) 09:11 4.00 (Bet365) 09:48 3.75 (Bet365) 12:33 4.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 86 mid-field but rising RPR trajectory and recent winner reads better than the bald number. Form 9.0/10 Form 134-16 — won LTO, three placed efforts in last five starts. Connections 7.0/10 Marco Ghiani jockey Elo 1699 strong; yard Elo 1606 above average even if cold short-term. Fitness 9.0/10 14 days since LTO win — peak fitness window. Trip 6.0/10 Starspangledbanner sire mainly 6-8f influence but has stayed 1m; 10f a small query. Pace 6.0/10 Tracks the pace style suits a Lingfield turf 10f. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 6 of 8 — neutral. Equipment 8.0/10 Cheekpieces (p) retained after working LTO — same gear that delivered the win. Weight 5.0/10 132lb after recent rise — fair under the circumstances. Value 7.0/10 Form + fitness + jockey combination undersold on prior-grade snapshot. Σ Summary 69.0/100 Most positive boxes ticked — fit, in-form, right gear, capable rider. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1547.1 (11 runs, 2 wins, 18.2%) Jockey 1699.2 (3197 runs, 431 wins, 13.5%) Trainer 1606.2 (2305 runs, 236 wins, 10.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 31r 6w 19% A/E 1.16 (value) Jockey × trainer 16r 3w 19% A/E 1.33 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 105r 9w 9% A/E 0.75 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1392r 161w 12% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 13r 3w 23% A/E 2.02 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1187r 139w 12% A/E 0.84 (negative) Past form (last 12 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 2/8 3/1J 0.75L 72 88 Marco Ghiani Slowly away - towards rear - switched right over 2f out - good headway up the centre from over 1f out - went second towards finish 2026-05-04 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 6/10 10/1 0.50L 73 — Lewis Edmunds Slowly into stride - towards rear - headway over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong(op 11/1) 2026-03-28 Doncaster 1m2f Good To S Cla 1/14 15/2 won 69 78 Owen Lewis Took keen hold - soon raced in second - led 2f out - soon edged right and ridden - edged left inside final furlong - kept on well(tchd 7/1) 2025-10-30 Bath 1m2f Heavy Cla 4/6 6/4F 3.50L 70 64 Jason Watson Led early - soon prominent - weakened over 2f out(op 5/4) 2025-09-17 Sandown 1m2f Soft Cla 3/9 100/30 3.25L 70 69 Rossa Ryan Pressed leader - lost second over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong 2025-09-02 Goodwood 1m2f Heavy Cla 1/10 4/1F won 66 76 Marco Ghiani Pressed leader - led after 1f - ridden and faced challenges when wandered around over 1f out - kept on well final 110yds(op 9/2 tchd 7/2) 2025-08-04 Windsor 1m2f Good Cla 2/5 7/1 1.75L 66 73 Marco Ghiani Slowly into stride - in touch with leaders - switched left over 1f out - soon went second - kept on(op 8/1 and tchd 17/2) 2025-06-27 Doncaster 1m6½f Good To F Cla 5/5 33/1 7.00L 69 62 P J McDonald Prominent - weakened 2f out(op 25/1) 2025-06-13 Goodwood 1m2f Good Cla 7/13 11/1 1.75L 70 65 Jack Mitchell Prominent - led after 1f - ridden 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/1 tchd 8/1) 2025-05-04 Salisbury 1m4f Good To F Cla 5/6 16/1 2.75L — 67 Lewis Edmunds In touch with leaders - outpaced from over 3f out(tchd 14/1) 2025-04-11 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 5/9 100/1 0.50L — 65 Lewis Edmunds Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - outpaced 3f out - weakened over 1f out(op 66/1) 2025-03-01 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 5/8 33/1 0.30L — 71 Lewis Edmunds In touch with leaders - carried head awkwardly and outpaced from over 2f out - some headway inside final furlong(tchd 40/1) Comment Slowly away - towards rear - switched right over 2f out - good headway up the centre from over 1f out - went second towards finish Finishing result Position 2 SP 3/1J (4.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 0.75 OR after 72 In-running comment Slowly away - towards rear - switched right over 2f out - good headway up the centre from over 1f out - went second towards finish ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. KING'S HAND (GB) (#5 · Σ 61.0) 4yo G · Draw 2 · h Connections Jockey David Egan Trainer Joseph Parr Owner J E Parr Pedigree Sire Kingman (GB) Dam Entity (GB) Damsire Shamardal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 3.75 (Bet365) 21:22 4.00 (Bet365) 09:11 5.00 (Bet365) 10:54 5.50 (Bet365) 12:39 5.00 (Bet365) 12:51 5.50 (Coral) 12:55 5.00 (Bet365) 13:04 5.50 (Bet365) 13:17 6.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 87, second best behind Bobacious (93) and ahead of most rivals on revealed form. Form 7.0/10 Last five 73124 — placed thrice including a recent win. Connections 7.0/10 Egan Elo 1763 is elite; Parr a small yard but capable, even if cold short term. Fitness 5.0/10 61 days off — workable but not the optimal turnaround. Trip 7.0/10 Kingman x Shamardal pedigree stays 10f comfortably; has placed at the distance. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile mid-division runner. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 2 of 8 — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 Hood (h) retained — no signal of change. Weight 5.0/10 129lb off OFR 69 — mid-handicap. Value 7.0/10 Best jockey in race plus solid rating make this fair value. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Best supplementary upgrade (jockey class) in the race despite small layoff. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1561.7 (11 runs, 1 wins, 9.1%) Jockey 1763.0 (5948 runs, 686 wins, 11.5%) Trainer 1512.8 (973 runs, 110 wins, 11.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 73r 9w 12% A/E 0.72 (negative) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 17r 2w 12% A/E 0.77 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1404r 248w 18% A/E 0.85 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 13r 1w 8% A/E 0.35 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 2941r 433w 15% A/E 0.95 (fair) Past form (last 12 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 1/8 9/2 won 69 87 David Egan Lost many lengths start - in rear - steady headway from over 3f out - ridden over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - led final 110yds - kept on(tchd 5/1) 2026-03-18 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 4/8 11/4 2.50L 69 68 Luke Morris Took keen hold - midfield - headway to lead after 2f - headed and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2) 2026-02-28 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 2/8 13/8F 1.00L 69 76 Billy Loughnane Slowly into stride - in rear early - took keen hold and midfield after 2f - headway on inner over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 2/1 tchd 9/4) 2026-01-29 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 1/9 9/4J won 65 74 Luke Morris Held up in rear - headway on outer over 3f out - led narrowly over 2f out - pushed along inside final furlong - kept on well(tchd 5/2) 2026-01-17 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 3/9 7/2 2.50L 66 69 Luke Morris Dwelt start - in rear - headway over 1f out - went third inside final 110yds - no match for first two(op 4/1) 2026-01-03 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 7/10 9/4F 0.50L 67 63 Dylan Hogan Took keen hold - towards rear - headway over 1f out - hung left inside final furlong - no telling impression(op 5/2 tchd 11/4) 2025-11-22 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 5/11 11/4J 0.75L 69 68 Connor Planas Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader after 1f - led over 6f out - switched to near side 3f out - ridden and headed over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 3/1) 2025-10-27 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 5/9 5/4F 0.75L 69 70 Luke Morris Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/10) 2025-10-18 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 2/10 6/1 0.50L 66 74 Luke Morris Held up in rear - headway from over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong(op 11/4 tchd 13/2) 2024-09-23 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 7/7 80/1 0.05L — 48 Luke Morris Slowly away - in rear - pushed along over 3f out - no impression(op 66/1 tchd 100/1) 2024-09-14 Lingfield (AW 7f Standard Cla 5/9 40/1 1.75L — 59 Luke Morris Never better than midfield 2024-08-14 Beverley 7½f Good To F Cla 6/9 14/1 0.30L — 55 Luke Morris Took keen hold - led but pestered - headed over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 11/1) Comment Lost many lengths start - in rear - steady headway from over 3f out - ridden over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - led final 110yds - kept on(tchd 5/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 69 In-running comment Lost many lengths start - in rear - steady headway from over 3f out - ridden over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - led final 110yds - kept on(tchd 5/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. OMAN (IRE) (#4 · Σ 59.0) 8yo G · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Clifford Lee Trainer Tony Carroll Owner A W Carroll Pedigree Sire Australia (GB) Dam Awohaam (IRE) Damsire Iffraaj Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 10.00 (Bet365) 21:40 11.00 (Bet365) 09:11 5.50 (Bet365) 09:24 6.00 (Bet365) 10:54 5.50 (Bet365) 12:31 6.00 (Bet365) 13:04 5.50 (Bet365) 13:17 5.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 85 mid-pack, OFR 71 mid-handicap. Form 6.0/10 1-2278 — early-season win and two seconds but two duff runs latest. Connections 7.0/10 Carroll yard 14% over 14 days from a big sample — very live, jockey Lee solid. Fitness 8.0/10 10 days between runs — sharp. Trip 7.0/10 Proven over 10f on multiple surfaces. Pace 5.0/10 Versatile but typically races handy/midfield. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 1 of 8 — neutral on this configuration. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear, no medical changes. Weight 5.0/10 131lb off OFR 71 — reasonable. Value 6.0/10 Yard form gives a small edge over snapshot ratings. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Solid all-round profile — fit yard, in-form trainer offsets age and modest figures. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1555.5 (43 runs, 5 wins, 11.6%) Jockey 1580.6 (4458 runs, 585 wins, 13.1%) Trainer 1526.3 (8177 runs, 933 wins, 11.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 8r 1w 12% A/E 0.82 (negative) Jockey × trainer 213r 28w 13% A/E 1.14 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 251r 28w 11% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1104r 119w 11% A/E 0.78 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 16r 1w 6% A/E 0.64 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1088r 133w 12% A/E 0.87 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 4/8 3/1J 1.25L 71 85 Clifford Lee Prominent - pressed leaders over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 4/1) 2026-05-08 Chester 1m4½f Good Cla 8/15 50/1 0.20L 72 78 Zak Wheatley In touch with leaders - headway over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 40/1) 2026-02-28 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/8 17/2 0.75L 72 67 Tom Marquand In touch with leaders - raced wide and weakened 2f out(tchd 8/1 and tchd 9/1) 2026-01-26 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 2/10 8/1 3.75L 72 76 Jason Watson Prominent early - in touch with leaders after 1f - headway over 2f out - went second over 1f out - no chance with winner inside final 110yds(tchd 15/2) 2026-01-15 Chelmsford (A 1m2f Standard Cla 2/9 14/1 3.25L 72 76 Marco Ghiani Midfield - some headway over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 16/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-12-13 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 1/12 4/1F won 65 75 William Carson Towards rear - headway on outer over 2f out - led up the centre over 1f out - ridden clear inside final furlong - comfortably(op 9/2) 2025-12-06 Wolverhampton 1m4f Standard Cla 5/11 25/1 1.00L 65 68 William Carson Midfield - some headway over 1f out - no telling impression(op 22/1) 2025-10-25 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/12 25/1 4.75L 65 66 William Carson In touch with leaders - raced wide from over 4f out - headway on outer from over 2f out - ran on and went second final strides - no match for winner(op 20/1) 2025-10-06 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 9/13 16/1 0.30L 65 62 Miss Megan Wingrov In rear and raced wide early - still plenty to do and waiting for room over 1f out - nudged along and some headway inside final furlong (enq held into the running and riding of the gelding - which jumped well from stall 11 and was restrained to settle at the rear of the field - before appearing to be tenderly handled inside the final 3f to finish ninth of thirteen runners - beaten by 5 1/4l. Vet examined the gelding on two occasions post-race and had nothing to report. Jockey stated that her instructions were to be positive - obtain a position around mid-division and hopefully the gelding would be staying on at the finish. Jockey explained that from her wide draw - she found herself further back than intended off what she considered only a steady tempo. Jockey acknowledged that passing the 3f marker despite being poorly positioned - she had been slow to commit with her finishing effort - but indicated that off the home bend once she had chosen to mount her challenge down the centre of the track - she encountered traffic problems and was denied clear running both approaching and inside the final furlong - which had prevented her from being able to ride more vigorously. Trainer confirmed the instructions and conceded that the gelding had been further out of his ground than he had anticipated - before agreeing that the rider had been slow to ask the gelding to improve his position between 3f and 2f out - however he felt his rider had been a victim of circumstances in the home straight and did not have much luck in running. Taking into account the riders distinct lack of recent race riding opportunities and relative overall inexperience - she was suspended for 7 days for failing to take all reasonable and permissible measures to ensure the gelding was given full opportunity to obtain the best possible placing - in that she rode her mount with insufficient urgency and vigour throughout much of the final 3f - even allowing for the fact that the gelding had difficulty securing clear running at stages from approaching the final furlong)(op 33/1 tchd 18/1) 2025-09-20 Chester 1m6½f Heavy Cla 10/13 33/1 11.00L 67 — Molly Gunn Midfield - dropped to rear 4f out - lost touch 3f out - tailed off(op 28/1) 2025-06-28 Chester 1m4½f Good Cla 8/8 22/1 14.00L 69 37 Ray Dawson Steadied start - held up in rear - outpaced 2f out - lost touch over 1f out - tailed off(op 20/1 tchd 25/1) 2025-06-14 Chester 1m4½f Soft Cla 6/10 14/1 4.50L 71 51 Zak Wheatley In rear - outpaced 3f out - soon no chance(tchd 12/1) 2025-05-31 Chester 2m Good Cla 8/12 22/1 7.50L 72 56 Jason Watson In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 20/1) 2025-05-09 Chester 1m4½f Good Cla 6/12 11/1 15.00L 74 47 Zak Wheatley Pulled hard - soon midfield - weakened on turn over 1f out(op 16/1) 2024-11-19 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/9 15/2 1.00L 75 75 Richard Kingscote Pressed leader - led narrowly after 2f - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final 110yds(op 10/1) 2024-10-22 Yarmouth 1m2f Soft Cla 1/8 11/2 won 66 76 Neil Callan Midfield - switched right and headway from over 2f out - led over 1f out - went clear inside final furlong - kept on (trainer said - regarding the apparent improvement in form - that gelding benefitted from a drop back in trip from 1m6f to 1m2f)(op 8/1 tchd 17/2) 2024-09-21 Chester 1m6½f Good To S Cla 7/13 25/1 4.00L 67 60 Zak Wheatley Prominent - weakened final furlong(tchd 28/1) 2024-09-14 Chester 1m4½f Soft Cla 7/10 16/1 1.50L 69 63 Jonjo O'Neill Jr Prominent on outer - weakened over 1f out(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) 2024-06-15 Chester 1m4½f Heavy Cla 3/7 4/1 7.00L 71 67 Zak Wheatley In touch with leaders - prominent with one circuit to go - lost ground over 4f out - rallied and went third over 2f out - weakened gradually from over 1f out(tchd 7/2) 2024-05-25 Chester 1m4½f Good To S Cla 2/5 7/2 0.20L 69 76 J F Egan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway 5f out - pressed leader 4f out - led over 3f out - soon increased tempo and went clear - hung right and raced wide home turn - ridden and edged right towards near side inside final furlong - headed final stride (jockey said gelding hung right-handed)(op 4/1) Comment Prominent - pressed leaders over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 4/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 3/1J (4.000) Beaten (L) 1.25 Total beaten 2.25 OR after 71 In-running comment Prominent - pressed leaders over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 4/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. PREMIER (FR) (#6 · Σ 56.0) 4yo G · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Finley Marsh Trainer Warren Greatrex Owner Jim And Claire Limited Pedigree Sire Dariyan (FR) Dam Crush On You (FR) Damsire Muhtathir Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 3.50 (Bet365) 16:01 3.75 (CopyBet) 17:21 4.00 (William Hill) 01:31 4.50 (Midnite) 04:01 5.00 (Midnite) 09:11 7.00 (Bet365) 09:32 7.50 (Bet365) 09:34 8.00 (Bet365) 11:04 8.50 (Bet365) 11:33 9.00 (Coral) 11:50 8.50 (William Hill) 12:04 9.00 (William Hill) 12:25 8.50 (William Hill) 12:33 9.00 (William Hill) 12:45 8.50 (Bet365) 12:51 9.00 (Coral) 12:55 8.50 (Bet365) 12:58 9.00 (Coral) 13:12 9.50 (Bet365) 13:17 9.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 86 mid-field; TS 76 catches the eye for raw figures. Form 5.0/10 53348- before the gap — placed thrice but unwinning streak long. Connections 5.0/10 Greatrex yard cold (8% 14d, RTF 31), but jockey Marsh capable. Fitness 4.0/10 258 days since last flat run — a recent jumps outing 104d ago is mild compensation only. Trip 6.0/10 Has form around 10f including a third on the all-weather. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up type; needs the race to develop. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 4 of 8 — neutral. Equipment 8.0/10 First start after wind surgery — meaningful upside potential. Weight 6.0/10 129lb off OFR 69 — handicap mark looks workable if anything close to best. Value 6.0/10 Wind-op angle plus TS profile generally underrated by markets. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Physical-improvement story battling layoff and cold yard. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1592.5 (15 runs, 2 wins, 13.3%) Jockey 1652.9 (2597 runs, 306 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1559.4 (2570 runs, 333 wins, 13.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 43r 1w 2% A/E 0.17 (negative) Jockey × trainer 10r 1w 10% A/E 0.84 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 67r 16w 24% A/E 1.01 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 38r 5w 13% A/E 0.79 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 6r 2w 33% A/E 1.44 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 189r 21w 11% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 16 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 7/8 9/1 0.20L 69 86 Finley Marsh Never better than midfield - weakened 1f out(op 15/2 tchd 17/2) 2026-02-03 Taunton 2m½f Heavy Cla 3/7 3/1 10.00L 109 88 Sam Twiston-Davies Raced wide - in rear - headway before 3 out - went third before 2 out - weakened approaching last(op 5/2) 2026-01-14 Newbury 2m½f Good To S Cla 3/11 15/2 0.50L 108 97 Will Featherstone In rear - mistake 3rd - short of room on turn before 3 out - headway after 3 out - went third then hit last - kept on but not pace to challenge(op 13/2) 2025-12-11 Taunton 2m½f Good Cla 1/13 11/8F won 100 91 James Bowen Held up in rear - steady headway from 5th - pressed leader before 2 out - led last - soon ridden - hung right and bumped rival final 110yds - kept on well(tchd 5/4) 2025-11-17 Plumpton 2m Good Cla 3/8 EvensF 2.75L 100 84 James Bowen In rear - headway before 3 out - not fluent 2 out - went third before last - no extra inside final 110yds(op 11/10 and tchd 6/5) 2025-11-04 Warwick 2m Good Cla 4/14 15/2 0.50L — 90 James Bowen In rear - plenty to do but headway after 3 out - went modest fourth 2 out - kept on well run-in - never near to challenge(op 5/1 tchd 4/1) 2025-10-19 Kempton 2m Good Cla 2/5 11/2 10.00L — 89 James Bowen Held up in rear - steady headway and went third before 2 out - hampered after 2 out - soon left in second - no chance with winner before last 2025-09-02 Goodwood 1m2f Heavy Cla 8/10 6/1 7.50L 70 52 William Buick Never better than midfield(op 13/2 and tchd 15/2) 2025-07-24 Newbury 1m2f Good To F Cla 4/6 7/2 0.50L 71 73 Charles Bishop Took keen hold - led - headed 2f out - hung left and weakened from over 1f out(op 11/4 tchd 5/2) 2025-06-13 Sandown 1m2f Good Cla 3/9 20/1 0.50L 71 75 Edward Greatrex Took keen hold - led - headed over 1f out - no extra and lost second inside final 110yds(op 14/1 tchd 22/1) 2025-05-31 Chester 1m2½f Good Cla 3/9 16/1 1.00L 71 73 Silvestre De Sousa Soon led - headed 1f out - soon no chance with winner - kept on but lost second towards finish(tchd 12/1 and tchd 18/1) 2025-05-05 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 5/10 33/1 1.00L 71 68 Charles Bishop Slowly away - towards rear - switched left over 2f out - no impression over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 18/1 tchd 16/1) 2024-10-31 Bath 1m Soft Cla 1/6 12/1 won 70 72 Finley Marsh In touch with leaders - headway 2f out - carried right over 1f out - bumped but ran on well inside final furlong - led inside final 110yds - kept on(op 14/1 tchd 6/1) 2024-10-11 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 9/12 40/1 1.00L — 66 Edward Greatrex In rear - some headway from 2f out - weakened final 110yds(op 33/1) 2024-10-03 Salisbury 1m Heavy Cla 5/8 28/1 2.75L — 68 Edward Greatrex In rear - headway over 1f out - no impression(op 25/1) 2024-09-14 Bath 1m Good Cla 9/10 12/1 1.50L — 45 Charles Bishop Slowly into stride - always behind(tchd 11/1) Comment Never better than midfield - weakened 1f out(op 15/2 tchd 17/2) Finishing result Position 7 SP 9/1 (10.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 6.75 OR after 69 In-running comment Never better than midfield - weakened 1f out(op 15/2 tchd 17/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. PANAMA BLACK (IRE) (#8 · Σ 55.0) 4yo G · Draw 5 · p Connections Jockey William Carson Trainer Laura Mongan Owner Mrs P J Sheen Pedigree Sire Tamayuz (GB) Dam Positive Vibration (IRE) Damsire Canford Cliffs Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 7.00 (Bet365) 16:01 11.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 9.50 (BetMGM) 17:21 10.00 (BetMGM) 01:31 11.00 (Midnite) 09:11 13.00 (Bet365) 09:24 15.00 (Bet365) 09:32 17.00 (Bet365) 09:40 19.00 (Bet365) 12:58 17.00 (Bet365) 13:04 19.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 86 ties Premier and Dancing Tiger; TS 78 respectable. Form 4.0/10 Last five 45347 — four single-digit but never closer than fourth. Connections 4.0/10 Trainer 5% strike rate, 1 run last 14 days; Carson respectable journeyman. Fitness 6.0/10 34 days off — fine. Trip 6.0/10 Has form at the trip on turf. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up — race shape will dictate. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 5 of 8 — neutral. Equipment 7.0/10 Cheekpieces (p) retained — has run consistently under the headgear. Weight 7.0/10 123lb is the lowest in the race off OFR 63 — well treated on best form. Value 5.0/10 Form fade limits any edge despite favourable weight. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Light weight and gear are positives; recent form drag holds him back. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1563.0 (18 runs, 1 wins, 5.6%) Jockey 1603.1 (4667 runs, 331 wins, 7.1%) Trainer 1491.6 (1065 runs, 52 wins, 4.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 241r 14w 6% A/E 0.59 (negative) Jockey × trainer 94r 1w 1% A/E 0.28 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 126r 8w 6% A/E 0.72 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1299r 163w 13% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 10r 1w 10% A/E 0.68 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 359r 47w 13% A/E 0.90 (fair) Past form (last 19 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 8/8 18/1 2.75L 63 86 William Carson Never better than midfield - weakened over 1f out 2026-04-14 Lingfield (AW 1m Standard Cla 7/11 25/1 1.25L 75 74 Luke Morris Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened from over 1f out(op 18/1) 2026-03-24 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 4/7 11/2 1.25L 76 77 Joe Leavy In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 5/1 and tchd 6/1) 2026-02-28 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 3/11 11/1 0.20L 75 80 Charles Bishop Held up in rear - headway over 2f out - switched right and ridden over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - lost second final stride(op 12/1) 2026-02-24 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 5/11 11/2 4.50L 75 67 Joe Leavy In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong 2026-01-30 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 4/9 22/1 0.75L 76 79 Joe Leavy In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 25/1) 2025-07-23 Doncaster 1m Good To S Cla 8/9 3/1J 3.75L 65 53 Rossa Ryan Midfield on outer - headway 3f out - weakened inside final furlong (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the poor form shown; vet had nothing to report)(tchd 10/3) 2025-06-29 Ffos Las 1m Soft Cla 6/10 7/2 0.50L 67 63 Tommie Jakes Flag start - hampered start - in rear - short of room after 2f - headway from over 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 9/2 tchd 10/3) 2025-06-13 Sandown 7f Good Cla 6/11 9/1 1.50L 70 65 Tommie Jakes Held up in midfield - headway over 1f out - switched left inside final furlong - no extra inside final 110yds(op 12/1 tchd 17/2) 2025-05-24 Salisbury 7f Good To F Cla 5/10 11/1 0.75L 72 69 Tommie Jakes In rear - some headway on outer over 1f out - kept on but never dangerous(op 14/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-05-09 Ascot 1m Good To F Cla 8/10 22/1 1.50L 77 65 Billy Loughnane Never better than midfield(op 25/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-04-17 Newmarket 7f Good Cla 6/9 15/2 0.75L 77 63 Billy Loughnane Prominent towards far side - weakened from over 1f out(op 13/2) 2025-02-21 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 1/9 4/1 won 70 78 Tommie Jakes Midfield - nudged along over 2f out - headway to lead over 1f out - readily(op 9/2) 2025-02-10 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 2/6 5/2 0.30L 70 74 Sean Levey Took keen hold - led - faced challenge over 1f out - headed final 110yds - kept on(op 7/4) 2025-01-28 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 2/7 7/2 2.50L 70 69 Sean Levey Took keen hold - towards rear - raced wide but headway from over 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - no match for winner(tchd 10/3) 2025-01-15 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 3/11 13/2 0.20L 70 70 Sean Levey Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/1 tchd 6/1 and tchd 15/2) 2024-12-16 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 4/11 14/1 1.50L — 68 Sean Levey In touch with leaders but raced wide early - prominent after 2f - led over 2f out - carried left and headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 25/1) 2024-10-02 Kempton (AW) 6f Standard Cla 10/11 33/1 0.50L — 51 Sean Levey In touch with leaders - weakened from over 1f out(op 20/1) 2024-09-20 Newbury 6f Soft Cla 8/13 40/1 1.00L — 59 Sean Levey Raced centre - led group - lost position from 2f out - weakened final furlong - 3rd of 3 in group Comment Never better than midfield - weakened over 1f out Finishing result Position 8 SP 18/1 (19.000) Beaten (L) 2.75 Total beaten 9.50 OR after 63 In-running comment Never better than midfield - weakened over 1f out ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. PRIMO LARA (IRE) (#1 · Σ 54.0) 5yo G · Draw 3 · tp Connections Jockey George Wood Trainer Jack Morland Owner Rosier Rosier Macauliffe And Don Pedigree Sire New Bay (GB) Dam Fact Or Folklore (IRE) Damsire Lope De Vega Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 10.00 (Bet365) 16:21 6.50 (Bet365) 09:11 9.50 (Bet365) 09:24 9.00 (Boyle Sports) 09:40 7.00 (Bet365) 11:13 6.50 (Bet365) 11:17 7.00 (Coral) 12:45 6.50 (Bet365) 13:17 6.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 89 is joint-third-best in the field, only Bobacious (93) above among non-debutants. Form 3.0/10 Form figures 6769-9 across last five starts — never closer than sixth. Connections 4.0/10 Jack Morland's yard cold: 0 from 5 in last 14 days, RTF 50; jockey George Wood is solid but unremarkable. Fitness 7.0/10 21 days since last run is the textbook turnaround window for a fit handicapper. Trip 6.0/10 Has form around 1m2f but yet to win at the distance; New Bay sire profile fine for 10f. Pace 8.0/10 Likely lone front-runner — tongue-tie indicates need to settle, but should dictate. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 3 in 8-runner Lingfield 1m2f turf is neutral. Equipment 6.0/10 Tongue-tie retained; wind surgery from Nov 2025 had one prep run — second-run-after often better. Weight 4.0/10 Carries top weight of 135lb off OFR 75 — at the top of his handicap window. Value 5.0/10 Hard to make a strong case either way given the poor form line. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Aggregate score reflects competitive class but very ordinary form. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1489.8 (14 runs, 2 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1677.3 (3186 runs, 301 wins, 9.4%) Trainer 1621.0 (212 runs, 24 wins, 11.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 78r 7w 9% A/E 0.67 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 679r 106w 16% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 16r 1w 6% A/E 0.30 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 458r 56w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 15 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 6/8 13/2 2.00L 75 91 George Wood Raced in second - weakened over 1f out(op 11/2 tchd 5/1) 2026-04-27 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 9/9 12/1 0.50L 77 74 Jonny Peate In rear throughout 2025-10-23 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 9/12 16/1 0.30L 80 63 Harry Davies In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 11/1) 2025-09-16 Yarmouth 1m2f Good To S Cla 6/9 15/2 0.50L 82 84 Robert Havlin Towards rear - kept on final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 17/2) 2025-08-24 Beverley 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/7 4/1 5.00L 85 50 Taryn Langley Took keen hold - prominent on outer - weakened over 2f out(tchd 9/2) 2025-08-02 Goodwood 1m1f Good Cla 6/16 40/1 0.50L 87 84 Daniel Muscutt In rear - headway 2f out - never dangerous(op 33/1) 2025-06-28 Windsor 1m3½f Good To F Cla 5/9 14/1 1.00L 90 86 Jonny Peate In touch with leaders - headway over 6f out - against near rail when led 2f out - headed over 1f out - soon weakened gradually(op 16/1) 2025-05-18 Newmarket 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/6 7/2 24.00L 90 39 Billy Loughnane In touch with leaders - outpaced over 2f out - soon lost touch - tailed off (vet said gelding had bled from the nose)(op 10/3 tchd 3/1 and tchd 4/1) 2024-11-13 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 8/8 11/10F 2.75L 91 86 Jonny Peate Midfield - weakened from over 1f out(tchd Evens) 2024-10-26 Doncaster 1m2f Soft Cla 11/17 8/1 0.30L 91 91 Jonny Peate Restless in stalls - dwelt start - in rear - some headway inside final furlong - never dangerous (jockey said gelding was restless in stalls and slowly away)(op 15/2 tchd 17/2) 2024-05-25 York 1m2½f Good To S Cla 1/7 2/1F won 82 97 Jonny Peate Travelled strongly - towards rear but in touch with leaders - switched right and headway 3f out - shaken up and led over 1f out - ridden briefly and edged left inside final furlong - kept on pushed out - comfortably(op 85/40 tchd 9/4) 2024-05-09 Chelmsford (A 1m2f Standard Cla 1/7 9/2 won 77 88 Jonny Peate In rear - going easily 2f out - headway from over 1f out - led inside final furlong - ran on(op 6/1) 2024-04-16 Newmarket 7f Good Cla 8/12 28/1 1.50L — 72 Laura Pearson Took keen hold - always behind(op 25/1 tchd 20/1) 2023-10-17 Leicester 7f Soft Cla 2/3 1/4F 1.50L — 73 David Egan Led - faced challenge from over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(op 2/5) 2023-09-20 Yarmouth 7f Good Cla 4/12 7/2J 0.05L — 76 Marco Ghiani Switched right soon after start - held up in rear - hampered under 6f out - good headway over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 15/2) Comment Raced in second - weakened over 1f out(op 11/2 tchd 5/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 13/2 (7.500) Beaten (L) 2.00 Total beaten 6.50 OR after 75 In-running comment Raced in second - weakened over 1f out(op 11/2 tchd 5/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. BOBACIOUS (GB) (#7 · Σ 54.0) 6yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Ashley Lewis Trainer Mark Hoad Owner Kevin Walls Pedigree Sire Telescope (IRE) Dam First Experience (GB) Damsire Tamayuz Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 12.00 (Bet365) 16:01 15.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 13.00 (Bet365) 03:30 12.00 (William Hill) 09:40 13.00 (Bet365) 10:44 15.00 (Bet365) 12:51 17.00 (Coral) 12:58 15.00 (Bet365) 13:12 19.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 RPR 93 + TS 87 — both top of field; clearly the class horse if anywhere near peak. Form 3.0/10 Form 69776- — four runs off the board before 161-day break. Connections 3.0/10 Hoad trainer Elo 1403 weak, yard inactive (0 runs 14d); 5lb claimer Lewis not a class upgrade. Fitness 3.0/10 161 days off from a small yard — fitness genuinely questionable. Trip 6.0/10 Has form at 1m2f and beyond; Telescope sire ideal stamina influence. Pace 6.0/10 Closer — needs strong gallop, may get it here. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8 of 8 — neutral over 1m2f turf. Equipment 5.0/10 Old wind op from 2024, no new gear. Weight 9.0/10 Carries only 126lb off OFR 66 — significantly lower than his best RPR suggests he can run to. Value 6.0/10 Mark is generous but yard/fitness reservations cap upside. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Best raw figures but several reasons to expect a needs-run effort first up. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1569.3 (27 runs, 4 wins, 14.8%) Jockey 1554.6 (290 runs, 38 wins, 13.1%) Trainer 1402.7 (467 runs, 21 wins, 4.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 13r 5w 38% A/E 1.68 (value) Jockey × trainer 7r 2w 29% A/E 4.26 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 80r 4w 5% A/E 0.92 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 722r 53w 7% A/E 0.70 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 22r 2w 9% A/E 0.64 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 640r 72w 11% A/E 0.89 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 3/8 16/1 0.30L 66 85 Ashley Lewis Took keen hold - led - faced challenges over 1f out - headed final 110yds - no extra and lost second towards finish(op 14/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-12-08 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 6/9 50/1 0.05L 68 64 Liam Wright Led - headed over 3f out - soon weakened(op 33/1 tchd 66/1) 2025-11-25 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/8 14/1 0.30L 70 58 Liam Wright Led - headed over 7f out - soon prominent - weakened over 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 12/1) 2025-10-18 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 7/10 20/1 0.75L 72 73 Mason Paetel Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 25/1 tchd 18/1) 2025-09-08 Windsor 1m2f Good Cla 9/11 100/30F 3.75L 73 56 Mason Paetel Prominent - outpaced 3f out - soon lost position - weakened inside final furlong (jockey said gelding was fractious in stalls)(op 6/1) 2025-08-15 Newmarket (Ju 1m2f Good To F Cla 6/6 4/1 8.50L 73 43 Tom Marquand Took keen hold - led - clear after 1f - much reduced lead over 3f out - headed over 2f out - soon weakened (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 11/4) 2025-07-14 Windsor 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/7 11/4J 0.50L 72 79 Mason Paetel Led at steady pace - increased tempo from 3f out - headed over 1f out - kept on final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 3/1) 2025-07-02 Epsom 1m2f Good Cla 1/7 6/5F won 68 77 Mason Paetel Took keen hold - made all - ridden and faced challenges over 1f out - kept on well against far rail inside final furlong - gamely(op 5/4 tchd 11/10) 2025-06-14 Leicester 1m2f Good To F Cla 1/6 2/1F won 65 76 Mason Paetel Made all - kept on from over 1f out(op 11/4) 2025-05-13 Beverley 1m½f Good To F Cla 6/12 5/2J 0.75L 66 66 Billy Loughnane Prominent - hung right and lost position over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 7/2) 2025-04-29 Nottingham 1m2f Good To F Cla 4/9 3/1 0.30L 67 71 Rossa Ryan Led - headed 2f out - no extra inside final furlong - lost third final strides(op 7/2) 2025-04-12 Nottingham 1m2f Good Cla 2/8 11/4F 3.50L 67 72 Billy Loughnane Led - headed 2f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 5/2 tchd 3/1) 2025-04-05 Yarmouth 1m2f Good Cla 5/8 3/1 2.00L 68 66 David Egan Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/4) 2024-10-14 Wolverhampton 1m4f Standard Cla 5/9 9/4F 0.50L 69 73 Joshua Bryan Reared start - soon prominent - led after 1f - hung left over 1f out - headed and no extra final 110yds(op 7/4 tchd 5/2) 2024-09-14 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 3/11 13/8F 1.75L 69 72 Joshua Bryan In touch with leaders - disputed lead after 2f - led clearly over 4f out - went clear over 2f out - reduced lead 1f out - headed inside final furlong - weakened and lost second inside final 110yds(op 6/4 tchd 7/4) 2024-09-02 Windsor 1m2f Good To F Cla 1/9 6/5F won 60 76 Joshua Bryan Made all - increased tempo from over 3f out - went clear from 2f out - eased towards finish - comfortably(op Evens) 2024-08-11 Leicester 1m4f Good To F Cla 3/12 4/1C 6.50L 62 60 Joshua Bryan Led - headed over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong - just held third 2024-07-26 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 3/10 4/5F 0.50L 58 62 Joshua Bryan Led - joined over 2f out - lost position 1f out - no extra towards finish - lost second final strides(op 8/11) 2024-07-18 Chepstow 1m2f Good Cla 2/13 5/4F 0.50L 58 70 Joshua Bryan Led at fast pace - sustained duel with runner-up from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - headed inside final 110yds - no extra towards finish(op 7/4 tchd 11/10) 2024-07-02 Brighton 1m2f Good To F Cla 1/8 11/4F won 55 63 Joshua Bryan Pressed leader early - led after 1f - pushed along 3f out - hung left when faced challenge 2f out - ridden and headed over 1f out - rallied and ran on well final 110yds - led again towards finish - gamely(op 7/2) Comment Took keen hold - led - faced challenges over 1f out - headed final 110yds - no extra and lost second towards finish(op 14/1 tchd 20/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 1.00 OR after 66 In-running comment Took keen hold - led - faced challenges over 1f out - headed final 110yds - no extra and lost second towards finish(op 14/1 tchd 20/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. CELESTIAS COMET (IRE) (#2 · Σ 50.0) 4yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Ross Coakley Trainer James Fanshawe Owner Mr Mrs Dowling And Mrs Marney Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Tobairin (IRE) Damsire Teofilo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:21 11.00 (Bet365) 17:21 12.00 (Bet365) 21:40 13.00 (Bet365) 01:31 12.00 (William Hill) 09:11 10.00 (Bet365) 10:15 9.50 (Bet365) 10:54 9.00 (Bet365) 11:23 8.50 (Bet365) 11:33 8.00 (Bet365) 11:45 8.50 (Betfred) 12:12 8.00 (Bet365) 12:25 8.50 (Coral) 12:33 8.00 (Bet365) 12:39 8.50 (Coral) 13:10 8.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 82 is bottom of the field by 3 lbs+ on official ratings comparison. Form 4.0/10 210-66 — promising in maidens but two flat sixths since handicap debut. Connections 6.0/10 Fanshawe trainer Elo 1704 outstanding but yard ice-cold short term (0/18 14d). Fitness 7.0/10 18 days since last run, well-spaced campaign. Trip 6.0/10 Saxon Warrior x Teofilo damsire profile stays 10f comfortably. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up type; needs the race run to suit. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 of 8 in 1m2f turf at Lingfield — neutral with the long run to the bend. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment, no story. Weight 5.0/10 133lb off OFR 73 in mid-range of the handicap. Value 4.0/10 Yard form and rating gap suggest he's likely overbet on stable name alone. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Decent yard signal can't overcome the rating and recent strike-rate drag. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1478.8 (7 runs, 1 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1534.3 (2995 runs, 250 wins, 8.3%) Trainer 1704.2 (3162 runs, 463 wins, 14.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Lingfield 12r 3w 25% A/E 1.71 (value) Jockey × trainer 114r 17w 15% A/E 0.95 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Lingfield 164r 31w 19% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 5 415r 64w 15% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 5 2r 1w 50% A/E 1.23 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1604r 191w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Lingfield 1m2f Good Cla 5/8 13/2 2.25L 73 86 Ross Coakley In touch with leaders - headway and challenging over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/1 tchd 6/1) 2026-04-30 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 6/10 12/1 1.25L 75 70 Jonny Peate Towards rear - switched right and headway from over 2f out - in touch with leaders over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 14/1) 2026-03-04 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 6/6 5/1 6.50L 77 61 Jonny Peate Towards rear - outpaced over 2f out - always behind(op 4/1 tchd 10/3) 2025-11-08 Doncaster 1m2f Heavy Cla 18/18 100/1 19.00L 77 — Jonny Peate Raced wide early - midfield - dropped to rear and struggling 3f out - tailed off from 2f out(op 80/1) 2025-09-23 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 1/5 4/11F won 77 71 Jonny Peate In touch with leaders - headway then hung right but led over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong(tchd 1/3 and tchd 2/5) 2025-09-05 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 2/10 4/1 3.00L — 74 Jonny Peate Towards rear - headway from 2f out - ran on final furlong - went second post(op 5/1 tchd 7/2) 2025-08-15 Newmarket (Ju 1m Good To F Cla 2/6 14/1 0.50L — 73 Jonny Peate Dwelt start - in touch with leaders - switched left when headway over 2f out - pressed winner inside final furlong - kept on(op 22/1) 2024-10-11 Newmarket 7f Good To S Cla 15/15 250/1 3.25L — 41 Dylan Hogan Slowly away - raced centre - always behind - 10th of 10 in group(op 200/1) Comment In touch with leaders - headway and challenging over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/1 tchd 6/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 13/2 (7.500) Beaten (L) 2.25 Total beaten 4.50 OR after 73 In-running comment In touch with leaders - headway and challenging over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/1 tchd 6/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (4 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Lingfield · 1m2f · Class 5 · Good Sporting Times Handicap 1 King's Hand (GB) won SP 9/2 2 Dancing Tiger (IRE) 0.75L SP 3/1J 3 Bobacious (GB) 0.30L SP 16/1 4 Oman (IRE) 1.25L SP 3/1J 5 Celestias Comet (IRE) 2.25L SP 13/2 6 Primo Lara (IRE) 2.00L SP 13/2 7 Premier (FR) 0.20L SP 9/1 8 Panama Black (IRE) 2.75L SP 18/1 2026-02-28 · Lingfield (AW) · 1m2f · Class 5 · Standard Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap 2 King's Hand (GB) 1.00L SP 13/8F 7 Oman (IRE) 0.75L SP 17/2 2025-10-18 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 1m1½f · Class 5 · Standard Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I) 2 King's Hand (GB) 0.50L SP 6/1 7 Bobacious (GB) 0.75L SP 20/1 2025-09-02 · Goodwood · 1m2f · Class 5 · Heavy Livescorebet Handicap 1 Dancing Tiger (IRE) won SP 4/1F 8 Premier (FR) 7.50L SP 6/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: No obvious dictator — Primo Lara likes to roll along and could lead; race likely run at a fair tempo with the closers (Dancing Tiger, King's Hand) ideally placed. Narrative: Competitive Class 5 handicap with several runners on similar marks. Dancing Tiger comes here in the best shape — last-time-out winner at Chelmsford, retains cheekpieces, fit jockey Ghiani booked, and the step up to 1m2f looks fine on pedigree. Top-rated Bobacious (RPR 93) hits a layoff of 161 days from a tiny, cold yard and is hard to back on trust. King's Hand and Oman look the chief dangers, with the well-handicapped Premier interesting back from wind surgery. Recommended: Dancing Tiger Won LTO, only 14 days off, headgear retained, decent operator yard with a strong-Elo jockey aboard. Most positives of any runner here. Alternative: King's Hand RPR 87 (second highest of any in-form runner), David Egan (jockey Elo 1763) takes the ride, and the 61-day break is workable for a 4yo on the up. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:35 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944166