============================================================================== RACE: Redcar ? · 2026-05-18 Marske Fabrication & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap (Straight Mile Series Qualifier) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. UP THE JAZZ (IRE) (#5 · Σ 67.0) 5yo G · Draw 1 · p Connections Jockey Oisin Orr Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey Owner The Musley Bank Partnership Partner Pedigree Sire Buratino (IRE) Dam Gwyllion (USA) Damsire Red Ransom Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 6.50 (Bet365) 18:20 6.00 (Bet365) 09:11 5.50 (William Hill) 10:54 5.00 (Bet365) 11:25 4.50 (Bet365) 12:06 5.00 (Coral) 13:33 4.50 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 80 above median, TS 83 best in field. Form 7.0/10 -83923 with a recent close third. Connections 7.0/10 Richard & Peter Fahey 14d 6/45, RTF 44, Orr Elo 1599. Fitness 8.0/10 9 days since last run — sharp and fit. Trip 6.0/10 Buratino progeny effective at this trip on good ground. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile tactically with handy cruising speed. Draw 8.0/10 Stall 1 — best of the low draws at Redcar. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces stay, ridden in them recently. Weight 5.0/10 131lb off OFR 65 — race-fair. Value 8.0/10 Strongest combination of fitness, draw and connections in the race. Σ Summary 67.0/100 Best blend of fitness, draw and stable form makes him the most likely winner. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1564.0 (32 runs, 3 wins, 9.4%) Jockey 1599.3 (4200 runs, 450 wins, 10.7%) Trainer 1637.0 (105 runs, 11 wins, 10.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 97r 15w 15% A/E 0.97 (fair) Jockey × trainer 25r 2w 8% A/E 0.52 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 8r 3w 38% A/E 2.06 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 302r 36w 12% A/E 1.10 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 96r 14w 15% A/E 1.42 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1947r 199w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 6/12 7/2J 0.20L 65 86 Oisin Orr Midfield - no impression(tchd 10/3) 2026-05-09 Leicester 1m Good To F Cla 3/9 7/2F 0.30L 65 79 David Nolan Steadied start - in rear - bit short of room over 1f out - switched left and ridden inside final furlong - kept on well inside final 110yds - pressed leaders towards finish(op 10/3) 2026-04-25 Ripon 1m Good Cla 2/10 6/1 0.50L 63 71 Oisin Orr Towards rear - headway on outer from 3f out - went second and ridden over 1f out - challenging inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/1) 2026-03-28 Doncaster 1m2f Good To S Cla 9/15 5/1 1.25L 65 54 Ethan Tindall Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 4/1) 2026-03-20 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 3/9 10/1 2.00L 66 70 Harry Russell Midfield - took keen hold after 2f - headway over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 9/1 tchd 17/2) 2026-02-14 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 8/9 10/1 3.00L 68 57 Ethan Tindall Took keen hold - midfield - towards rear after halfway(tchd 9/1) 2025-10-14 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 8/9 17/2 1.50L 70 68 Ethan Tindall Took keen hold - prominent - weakened 1f out(op 7/1 tchd 13/2 and tchd 9/1) 2025-09-04 Haydock 1m2f Good Cla 6/14 28/1 0.20L 72 72 Billy Garritty Midfield - waiting for room 3f out - headway over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 33/1) 2025-07-31 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 10/13 66/1 0.30L 73 69 Cam Hardie Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on outer - weakened from over 1f out(op 40/1) 2025-07-27 Pontefract 1m2f Good Cla 5/9 15/2 0.30L 73 74 Oisin Orr In rear - headway on outer over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - nearest finish(tchd 7/1) 2025-07-11 York 1m2½f Good Cla 7/9 12/1 1.50L 73 69 Barry McHugh Midfield - going easily and disputing third 3f out - no response when pushed along 2f out 2025-07-05 Beverley 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/6 3/1 0.50L 73 78 Oisin Orr Midfield - headway when ridden over 1f out - led inside final 110yds - kept on but headed towards finish(op 7/2) 2025-06-14 York 1m1f Good To F Cla 7/11 33/1 0.30L 74 71 Cam Hardie In touch with leaders - prominent 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 28/1 tchd 40/1) 2025-03-29 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 6/7 11/1 3.50L 75 69 Oisin McSweeney Towards rear throughout(op 16/1) 2024-12-12 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 8/8 8/1 1.75L 76 71 Oisin Orr Led - soon headed and raced in second - pressed leader over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 12/1) 2024-11-19 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/9 12/1 0.75L 74 74 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - in rear - some headway over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong (jockey said gelding ran too freely)(op 15/2) 2024-11-11 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 1/11 8/1 won 74 81 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader after 3f - pushed along and hung right home turn - challenging 1f out - led inside final furlong - ran on(op 7/1) 2024-10-15 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 8/12 13/2 0.30L 72 73 Oisin Orr Took keen hold - prominent - no extra final 110yds(op 11/2) 2024-10-10 Ayr 1m2f Good Cla 2/12 8/1 0.50L 72 80 Aiden Brookes Midfield - headway over 3f out - went second over 1f out - pressed leader inside final furlong - just held(op 9/1) 2024-09-25 Redcar 1m2f Good Cla 3/10 9/1 1.50L 72 77 Oisin Orr In touch with leaders against rail - switched right over 3f out - keeping on over 1f out - went third final 110yds - no match for first two Comment Midfield - no impression(tchd 10/3) Finishing result Position 6 SP 7/2J (4.500) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 6.25 OR after 65 In-running comment Midfield - no impression(tchd 10/3) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. WE'VE GOT THIS (IRE) (#4 · Σ 63.0) 4yo F · Draw 13 · p Connections Jockey Jason Hart Trainer Ivan Furtado Owner The Graham Lee Racing Club Pedigree Sire Invincible Army (IRE) Dam Silver Sabre (IRE) Damsire Epaulette Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 9.00 (Bet365) 09:11 12.00 (Bet365) 11:29 13.00 (Midnite) 11:39 12.00 (Bet365) 12:49 13.00 (Bet365) 13:04 12.00 (Bet365) 13:10 13.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 78 with scope to improve as a four-year-old. Form 7.0/10 1242-6 shows quality; ignore the last as easily explained. Connections 7.0/10 Furtado in form (15% last 14d), Hart strong jockey Elo 1570. Fitness 7.0/10 19 days off after a freshener. Trip 6.0/10 Trip and going look fine on pedigree and previous wins. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-division type, needs tempo. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 13 widest — has to commit early or hope the inside doesn't dominate. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces remain — has run well in them. Weight 5.0/10 131lb off OFR 65 a fair mark. Value 7.0/10 Talent + yard form make him underrated next to flashier names. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Progressive 4yo for a yard in form; only the draw really concerns. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1582.9 (12 runs, 1 wins, 8.3%) Jockey 1570.1 (8326 runs, 977 wins, 11.7%) Trainer 1596.6 (3088 runs, 291 wins, 9.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 484r 65w 13% A/E 1.05 (fair) Jockey × trainer 320r 37w 12% A/E 0.87 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 80r 9w 11% A/E 1.09 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 334r 43w 13% A/E 0.95 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 84r 11w 13% A/E 0.98 (fair) Past form (last 13 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 5/12 12/1 1.75L 65 78 Jason Hart Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 11/1) 2026-04-29 Pontefract 1m Good Cla 6/9 11/2 1.00L 65 60 David Allan Ducked sharply right start - never better than midfield(op 5/1) 2025-09-19 Ayr 1m Soft Cla 2/9 8/1 4.25L 63 66 Tom Eaves Led - faced challenge over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - soon no extra(tchd 15/2 and tchd 17/2) 2025-09-18 Ayr 7f Good To S Cla 4/14 17/2 1.75L 63 62 Billy Loughnane Took keen hold - midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 8/1) 2025-07-23 Doncaster 1m Good To S Cla 2/9 18/1 1.00L 63 68 Tom Eaves Prominent on inner - ridden and kept on inside final furlong - went second final strides(op 10/1) 2025-06-20 Redcar 7f Good To F Cla 1/8 13/8F won 60 69 Jason Hart In touch with leaders on near side of group - pushed along over 2f out - ridden and went second over 1f out - challenging inside final furlong - led towards finish(op 9/4 tchd 6/4) 2025-05-19 Redcar 7f Good To F Cla 3/10 100/30 0.05L 59 62 Joe Fanning Prominent - ridden and led narrowly over 1f out - edged left inside final furlong - headed towards finish - lost second post(op 8/1) 2025-04-20 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 4/5 16/1 0.75L 61 58 Tom Eaves In touch with leaders - going best over 2f out - outpaced from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) 2024-11-12 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 4/12 12/1 1.25L 62 58 Joe Fanning Raced wide - midfield - headway from over 2f out - switched left over 1f out - in touch with leaders 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 9/1) 2024-11-05 Newcastle (AW 6f Standard Cla 4/9 15/2 1.25L 62 58 Joe Fanning Held up in rear - switched right and headway against near rail over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 7/1 tchd 13/2 and tchd 9/1) 2024-07-08 Ripon 6f Good Cla 3/14 9/1 3.75L — 55 Joe Fanning Dwelt start - in rear - switched right and headway from 2f out - went third final 110yds(op 20/1) 2024-06-10 Carlisle 6f Good Cla 9/9 3/1 0.75L — 46 Hollie Doyle Led narrowly - headed under 2f out - soon weakened(op 9/4) 2024-05-20 Redcar 6f Good To F Cla 2/10 11/2 2.25L — 58 Tom Eaves In rear - headway over 2f out - ran on inside final furlong - went second towards finish(op 7/1) Comment Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 11/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 12/1 (13.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 6.00 OR after 65 In-running comment Prominent - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 11/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. MARINER (IRE) (#3 · Σ 61.0) 5yo G · Draw 3 · p Connections Jockey Darragh Keenan Trainer Jennie Candlish Owner Mrs Ros Marriott Pedigree Sire Kingman (GB) Dam Kissed (IRE) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 5.50 (Bet365) 04:01 6.00 (Midnite) 09:11 7.00 (Bet365) 09:40 7.50 (Midnite) 09:53 8.00 (Midnite) 09:55 7.50 (Bet365) 10:01 8.00 (Midnite) 10:07 7.50 (Bet365) 10:17 8.00 (Midnite) 10:31 7.50 (Bet365) 10:38 8.00 (Midnite) 10:52 7.50 (Bet365) 10:54 8.00 (Midnite) 11:02 7.50 (Bet365) 11:13 8.00 (Midnite) 12:16 8.50 (Midnite) 12:18 8.00 (Bet365) 13:30 8.50 (Bet365) 13:33 9.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 81 above field average, TS 75 the best in race. Form 6.0/10 69-872 culminating in a clear-cut second. Connections 5.0/10 Candlish 13% 14d strike, Keenan capable. Fitness 7.0/10 23 days since last run — sweet spot. Trip 6.0/10 Kingman x Galileo damsire — relishes a mile. Pace 6.0/10 Can race prominently or just behind, versatile. Draw 7.0/10 Low stall 3 a marginal plus at Redcar straight mile. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces continue after recent improved effort. Weight 5.0/10 132lb off OFR 66 — race-fair. Value 7.0/10 Likely overlooked vs proven types and offers genuine each-way edge. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Improving profile with the right gear, trip and stable form. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1531.0 (27 runs, 3 wins, 11.1%) Jockey 1547.7 (3643 runs, 289 wins, 7.9%) Trainer 1505.0 (2809 runs, 344 wins, 12.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 18r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer 27r 5w 19% A/E 1.49 (value) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 38r 6w 16% A/E 1.16 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1404r 248w 18% A/E 0.85 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 19r 1w 5% A/E 0.61 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 5622r 745w 13% A/E 0.89 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 8/12 7/1 1.00L 66 83 Darragh Keenan Held up in midfield - no impression (vet reported gelding lost his left-hind shoe)(op 15/2) 2026-04-25 Doncaster 1m Good To F Cla 2/12 12/1 0.30L 64 73 Cam Hardie Took keen hold - midfield - ridden and outpaced over 1f out - kept on inside final 110yds - went second and pressed winner towards finish - just held(op 8/1 tchd 15/2) 2026-04-10 Thirsk 1m Good Cla 7/13 18/1 0.05L 66 67 Darragh Keenan In touch with leaders - prominent 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 20/1 tchd 22/1) 2026-03-20 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 8/11 22/1 0.20L 68 65 George Wood Towards rear - some headway inside final furlong(op 18/1) 2025-06-30 Pontefract 1m2f Good To F Cla 9/9 11/2 2.50L 69 54 Mr Eireann Cagney In touch with leaders - lost position 2f out - weakened inside final furlong (jockey said gelding weakened quickly)(op 9/2) 2025-05-29 Ripon 1m Good To S Cla 6/6 13/2 3.00L 70 63 P J McDonald Towards rear throughout(op 5/1) 2025-05-17 Doncaster 1m4f Good To F Cla 4/6 4/1 1.25L 70 71 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - held up in rear - headway on outer over 3f out - weakened final furlong (vet said gelding lost his left-fore shoe)(op 9/2) 2025-05-09 Ripon 1m2f Good Cla 1/9 9/2 won 67 75 Paul Mulrennan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - steady headway on outer from 4f out - led over 1f out - soon ridden and kept on(op 4/1) 2025-04-26 Doncaster 1m Good To F Cla 1/7 5/1 won 64 72 Lewis Edmunds Prominent - ridden to lead over 1f out - ran on well(op 13/2) 2025-04-01 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 6/9 11/2 0.75L 64 63 George Wood Bumped start - midfield - no telling impression(op 9/2) 2025-03-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/9 100/30 1.00L 64 69 George Wood Prominent - kept on but no extra inside final furlong(op 7/2 tchd 4/1) 2025-02-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 1/8 7/2 won 60 70 George Wood In touch with leaders - going easily over 2f out - switched right and headway from over 1f out - led inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(tchd 4/1) 2025-02-10 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 3/9 20/1 0.75L 60 65 George Wood Took keen hold - midfield - headway and went third inside final furlong - kept on(op 28/1) 2025-01-21 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 11/12 33/1 1.00L 64 56 George Wood Always behind(op 40/1 tchd 28/1) 2024-12-13 Doncaster 2m½f Good To S Cla 4/7 8/1 4.25L — 86 Sean Quinlan Took keen hold - midfield - steady headway before 3 out - weakened after 2 out(op 13/2 tchd 9/1) 2024-11-28 Musselburgh 1m7½f Good To S Cla 4/8 12/1 6.50L — 86 Sean Quinlan Took keen hold - didn't always jump with fluency - in rear - headway before 2 out - never dangerous(op 8/1) 2024-09-10 Leicester 1m2f Good To S Cla 7/10 20/1 1.00L 66 59 Callum Hutchinson Dwelt start - prominent on inner - switched left and pressed leaders under 3f out - short of room under 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 16/1) 2024-08-14 Beverley 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/8 18/1 2.00L 67 59 Ben Sanderson Steadied start - took keen hold - always behind(op 22/1) 2024-07-20 Doncaster 1m4f Good Cla 5/6 14/1 12.00L 68 49 Lewis Edmunds Steadied start - always behind(op 12/1) 2024-06-27 Leicester 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/6 10/1 0.50L 67 70 George Wood Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - switched left and headway from 2f out - no chance with winner but kept on well and went second towards finish(op 11/1 tchd 8/1 and tchd 12/1) Comment Held up in midfield - no impression (vet reported gelding lost his left-hind shoe)(op 15/2) Finishing result Position 8 SP 7/1 (8.000) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 8.25 OR after 66 In-running comment Held up in midfield - no impression (vet reported gelding lost his left-hind shoe)(op 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. KISS ME MY LOVE (IRE) (#10 · Σ 59.0) 4yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Joanna Mason Trainer Roger Fell Owner R G Fell Pedigree Sire Invincible Spirit (IRE) Dam Love Street (USA) Damsire Kitten's Joy Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 9.00 (Bet365) 09:11 5.50 (Bet365) 13:12 5.00 (William Hill) 13:38 4.50 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 79 around field median. Form 6.0/10 5-0452 with a clear placing last time. Connections 5.0/10 Fell 1/11 14d, Joanna Mason Elo 1598. Fitness 7.0/10 16 days off — fresh. Trip 6.0/10 Invincible Spirit × Kitten's Joy — mile suits. Pace 5.0/10 Closer who needs honest gallop. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 5 low and helpful at Redcar. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 128lb off OFR 62 race-fair. Value 7.0/10 Improving 4yo against exposed sorts — overlay potential. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Right profile to improve again from a workable draw. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1537.6 (21 runs, 2 wins, 9.5%) Jockey 1597.7 (2964 runs, 311 wins, 10.5%) Trainer 1612.0 (3274 runs, 333 wins, 10.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 137r 11w 8% A/E 0.78 (negative) Jockey × trainer 60r 7w 12% A/E 1.09 (value) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 200r 25w 12% A/E 1.19 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 4643r 681w 15% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 10r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 101r 9w 9% A/E 0.68 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 1/12 7/2J won 62 81 Joanna Mason Travelled strongly - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led narrowly over 1f out - ridden and sustained duel with runner-up final furlong - just prevailed(tchd 10/3) 2026-05-02 Thirsk 1m Good To F Cla 2/9 100/30J 2.25L 61 67 Joanna Mason Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on outer - headway to lead over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - weakened gradually final 110yds(op 7/2 tchd 4/1) 2026-04-25 Ripon 1m Good Cla 5/10 14/1 1.25L 62 60 Luke Morris Reared start and slowly away - hampered against rail 2f out - soon switched left - in the clear on outer final furlong - kept on - nearest finish (jockey said filly fly leapt leaving the stalls and was slowly away)(op 16/1) 2026-04-05 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 4/6 40/1 1.25L 62 64 Joanna Mason Held up in rear - nudged along from over 2f out - headway from over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong - eyecatcher 2026-03-20 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 11/11 28/1 1.25L 64 52 Oisin Orr In rear throughout(tchd 25/1) 2025-10-15 Nottingham 1m½f Good Cla 5/11 6/1 0.20L 64 58 Joanna Mason Dwelt start - towards rear - some headway over 1f out - not pace to challenge (jockey said filly ran too freely)(op 9/1) 2025-09-23 Beverley 1m½f Soft Cla 1/9 12/1 won 60 69 Joanna Mason In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - ridden and faced challenge inside final furlong - clear with one other inside final 110yds - kept on(op 11/1) 2025-09-02 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 6/10 50/1 0.50L 62 63 Joanna Mason Midfield - some headway 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 40/1 tchd 66/1) 2025-08-19 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 10/12 28/1 0.30L 64 59 Mark Winn Held up in rear - some headway inside final furlong(op 25/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-08-02 Thirsk 6f Good To F Cla 8/10 5/1 1.00L 65 37 Jason Watson In rear - weakened over 1f out(op 6/1) 2025-06-26 Nottingham 6f Good To F Cla 2/5 15/8F 0.30L 64 72 Hector Crouch Awkward start - raced centre - prominent - pressed leader from under 2f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 7/4 tchd 9/4) 2025-06-02 Wetherby 7f Good To F Cla 5/11 12/1 0.20L 65 63 Connor Beasley Prominent on outer - went second over 2f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 14/1) 2025-05-04 Hamilton 6f Good To F Cla 3/6 10/1 0.50L 65 68 Andrew Mullen Pressed leader - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - soon edged left - no extra final 110yds(op 8/1) 2025-04-01 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 5/8 11/4 1.75L 67 54 Billy Loughnane Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 4/1 tchd 5/2) 2025-01-23 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 4/7 18/1 0.50L 68 66 Joe Fanning Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/1) 2024-12-31 Lingfield (AW 6f Standard Cla 3/8 7/2 0.30L 69 68 Jack Mitchell Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong - lost second towards finish(op 4/1) 2024-08-04 Haydock 6f Good Cla 6/6 16/1 6.50L 71 35 Joe Fanning Prominent - lost ground quickly over 1f out - weakened and lost touch inside final furlong(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) 2024-07-18 Hamilton 5f Good Cla 4/5 15/8 0.20L 73 69 Joe Fanning Dwelt start - raced in last - switched left halfway - headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 2/1) 2024-06-19 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 19/24 200/1 0.10L — 64 Joe Fanning Prominent towards near side - weakened from over 1f out - 11th of 14 in group(op 125/1) 2024-06-10 Carlisle 6f Good Cla 1/9 2/1F won — 67 Joe Fanning Ducked left start - took keen hold - led going easily under 2f out - ridden inside final furlong - kept on(op 9/4) Comment Travelled strongly - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led narrowly over 1f out - ridden and sustained duel with runner-up final furlong - just prevailed(tchd 10/3) Finishing result Position 1 SP 7/2J (4.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 62 In-running comment Travelled strongly - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led narrowly over 1f out - ridden and sustained duel with runner-up final furlong - just prevailed(tchd 10/3) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. THE SWEET ESCAPE (GB) (#8 · Σ 56.0) 4yo G · Draw 2 · t Connections Jockey William Pyle Trainer David Loughnane Owner David Lowe Pedigree Sire Zoustar (AUS) Dam Stepping Out (IRE) Damsire Tagula Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 8.00 (Bet365) 17:21 7.50 (Bet365) 09:11 6.50 (William Hill) 09:26 6.00 (Bet365) 09:28 6.50 (Coral) 13:33 6.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 80 around field median, has shown improvement. Form 6.0/10 -86162 culminating in a clear second. Connections 4.0/10 Loughnane 0/15 14d, Pyle a 5lb-tier rider. Fitness 7.0/10 9 days since the placed effort — sharp. Trip 5.0/10 Improving with stamina, mile looks fine. Pace 5.0/10 Closer; needs pace ahead. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 2 inside — works well at Redcar. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue-tie retained, no change otherwise. Weight 5.0/10 129lb off OFR 63 — fair. Value 6.0/10 Improving profile undervalued against established types. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Right type and recent form, just needs yard to spark. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1536.7 (14 runs, 1 wins, 7.1%) Jockey 1518.0 (1047 runs, 94 wins, 9.0%) Trainer 1609.3 (3245 runs, 333 wins, 10.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 62r 6w 10% A/E 0.82 (negative) Jockey × trainer 53r 5w 9% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 47r 2w 4% A/E 0.45 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 750r 92w 12% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 30r 6w 20% A/E 1.33 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1025r 97w 9% A/E 0.78 (negative) Past form (last 16 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 4/12 5/1 0.50L 63 80 William Pyle Prominent - led over 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 9/2) 2026-05-09 Leicester 1m Good To F Cla 2/9 9/2 0.05L 62 77 Rowan Scott Prominent - pushed along to lead over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - headed post(op 5/1) 2026-04-25 Ripon 1m Good Cla 6/10 9/2 0.75L 62 58 Hollie Doyle Took keen hold - pressed leader on outer - weakened final furlong(op 11/2) 2026-04-08 Nottingham 1m½f Good Cla 1/15 5/1 won 59 66 Rossa Ryan Prominent early - in touch with leaders after 1f - steady headway over 3f out - ridden when pressed leader over 1f out - disputed lead inside final furlong - just prevailed(op 13/2 tchd 9/2) 2026-02-28 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 6/8 10/1 2.50L 62 59 Hollie Doyle Led at steady pace - increased tempo then headed over 3f out - weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 8/1) 2026-01-24 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 8/12 11/1 4.25L 64 45 Finley Marsh Led early - headed after 1f - clear with one other after 2f - headed over 2f out - soon weakened quickly - flashed tail inside final furlong(op 8/1) 2025-12-30 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 6/12 4/1 1.00L 66 65 Hollie Doyle Prominent - no impression from over 1f out(op 5/1) 2025-12-22 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 6/8 7/2J 0.20L 66 65 Rowan Scott Bumped start - raced wide and towards rear throughout(op 9/2 tchd 7/2) 2025-12-11 Chelmsford (A 1m Standard Cla 3/9 11/2 1.00L 66 70 Rossa Ryan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders early - midfield over 4f out - headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 6/1 tchd 5/1) 2025-09-14 Bath 1m Heavy Cla 4/10 14/1 0.30L 67 64 Dougie Costello Led - headed over 1f out - soon lost second - no extra and lost third final stride(op 12/1) 2025-08-25 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 4/10 16/1 1.50L 69 66 Connor Planas Awkward start - raced wide - in touch with leaders - disputing third over 2f out - no extra from over 1f out(op 18/1) 2025-07-22 Musselburgh 7f Good Cla 4/8 12/1 2.25L 71 67 William Pyle Reared start and slowly away - soon midfield - went fourth and no impression inside final furlong(op 20/1 tchd 14/1) 2025-07-10 Doncaster 7f Good Cla 11/11 28/1 3.25L 73 51 Richard Kingscote Towards near side - led group - headed in group over 2f out - weakened over 1f out - 6th of 6 in group 2025-05-30 Catterick 6f Good To S Cla 5/10 20/1 0.20L — 72 William Pyle Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - lost ground 4f out - headway on outer from under 2f out - no extra final furlong(op 28/1 tchd 16/1 and tchd 33/1) 2025-05-12 Windsor 6f Good To F Cla 7/12 18/1 3.25L — 62 Richard Kingscote Led - headed 2f out - weakened 1f out(op 33/1) 2025-03-17 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 4/7 15/2 2.00L — 65 Rossa Ryan Prominent - hung right and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding hung right-handed)(op 13/2 tchd 11/2) Comment Prominent - led over 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 9/2) Finishing result Position 4 SP 5/1 (6.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 4.25 OR after 63 In-running comment Prominent - led over 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 9/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. STRAIGHT A (GB) (#1 · Σ 55.0) 5yo G · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Alistair Rawlinson Trainer Michael Appleby Owner Mrs Elisabeth Cash Pedigree Sire Aclaim (IRE) Dam Straight Away (GB) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 8.00 (Bet365) 04:01 9.00 (Midnite) 09:11 10.00 (Coral) 12:45 9.50 (BetAhoy) 12:49 9.00 (Bet365) 13:04 8.50 (Bet365) 13:30 9.00 (Bet365) 13:33 9.50 (Betfred) 13:38 9.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 78 around field average; sits mid-pack on official ratings. Form 6.0/10 Three placings in last five (-42442) but no recent winner. Connections 3.0/10 Appleby 0% in last 14 days from 23 runners, Rawlinson modest 10% career. Fitness 7.0/10 Last run only 16 days ago after a steady campaign. Trip 6.0/10 Form across similar 7f-1m distances suggests trip is fine. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up type, neutral pace fit in likely steady race. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 of 13 is central — neither help nor hindrance at Redcar straight mile. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear, no change. Weight 4.0/10 Top weight 135lb off OFR 69 — carries the burden. Value 6.0/10 Often overlooked because he never wins; chance bigger than the bare figures suggest. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Reliable placer but cold yard and top weight blunt his winning chance. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1635.2 (35 runs, 4 wins, 11.4%) Jockey 1541.2 (3248 runs, 327 wins, 10.1%) Trainer 1582.0 (9033 runs, 1042 wins, 11.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 62r 8w 13% A/E 1.25 (value) Jockey × trainer 2286r 258w 11% A/E 0.87 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 123r 11w 9% A/E 0.87 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 632r 74w 12% A/E 0.96 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 33r 2w 6% A/E 0.29 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 2442r 318w 13% A/E 0.84 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 2/12 8/1 0.05L 69 78 Alistair Rawlinson Towards rear - headway on far side of group from over 2f out - ridden and sustained duel with winner final furlong - just failed(tchd 15/2) 2026-05-02 Doncaster 7f Good To F Cla 2/10 10/1 3.50L 69 70 Alistair Rawlinson Taken down early - held up in rear - headway from over 2f out - prominent 1f out - kept on but no impression inside final furlong(op 12/1) 2026-03-30 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 4/6 9/5F 4.50L 69 64 Alistair Rawlinson In touch with leaders - brief headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 7/4 tchd 15/8) 2026-02-06 Newcastle (AW 7f Standard Cla 4/9 9/1 0.30L 69 75 Robert Havlin Prominent towards far side - pressed leader over 1f out - kept on(op 15/2 tchd 10/1) 2026-01-29 Chelmsford (A 1m Standard Cla 2/7 7/1 3.75L 69 73 Robert Havlin Midfield - waiting for room over 2f out - headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 11/2) 2026-01-02 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 4/7 9/4 0.50L 70 73 Alistair Rawlinson Held up in rear - headway over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 11/4) 2025-12-06 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 6/12 100/30F 0.75L 71 70 Alistair Rawlinson Took keen hold - raced wide early - in touch with leaders - pressed leader after 1f - no extra inside final furlong(tchd 3/1) 2025-11-29 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 2/8 11/8F 0.20L 70 77 Alistair Rawlinson In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - headed towards finish(op 13/8) 2025-10-23 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 5/9 5/1 1.00L 72 66 Alistair Rawlinson Took keen hold - pressed leader - carried left inside final furlong - soon weakened(op 9/2 tchd 10/3) 2025-10-08 Nottingham 1m½f Good To S Cla 8/11 16/1 0.75L 73 51 Alistair Rawlinson Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened from over 2f out(op 22/1 and tchd 25/1) 2025-05-07 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 9/10 9/2 0.20L 74 71 Kyle McHugh Raced wide - in rear - some headway over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 7/2 tchd 10/3) 2025-04-04 Leicester 1m Good To F Cla 2/6 7/2 1.75L 72 79 Alistair Rawlinson Towards rear - headway against rail 2f out - ridden and went second inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 10/3 and tchd 4/1) 2025-03-24 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 2/11 7/2 0.30L 72 81 Alistair Rawlinson Prominent - not clear run and switched left over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - just held(op 4/1) 2025-03-11 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/9 7/1 0.10L 72 79 Alistair Rawlinson Prominent - challenging from 3f out - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - soon rallied and kept on(op 13/2 tchd 11/2) 2025-02-22 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 10/12 17/2 0.75L 72 66 Alistair Rawlinson Took keen hold - raced wide - in rear - brief headway over 1f out - no impression(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-02-17 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 3/10 9/2 0.50L 72 79 Frederick Larson Prominent - went second 6f out - disputed lead under 2f out - lost position final 110yds - kept on(op 4/1 tchd 7/2) 2025-02-05 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 2/8 3/1 0.30L 71 79 Frederick Larson In touch with leaders - headway from over 1f out - pressed leader inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 7/2) 2025-01-25 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 1/8 9/1 won 68 76 Frederick Larson Took keen hold - midfield - going easily but waiting for room over 1f out - ridden inside final furlong - ran on well and led towards finish(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) 2025-01-13 Lingfield (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/7 8/1 1.50L 69 74 Alistair Rawlinson In touch with leaders - kept on but no match for first two(op 17/2 tchd 15/2 and 9/1) 2024-12-28 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 10/12 9/1 0.50L 70 57 Alistair Rawlinson Took keen hold - prominent - lost position over 1f out - weakened final furlong(op 12/1) Comment Towards rear - headway on far side of group from over 2f out - ridden and sustained duel with winner final furlong - just failed(tchd 15/2) Finishing result Position 2 SP 8/1 (9.000) Beaten (L) 0.05 Total beaten 0.05 OR after 69 In-running comment Towards rear - headway on far side of group from over 2f out - ridden and sustained duel with winner final furlong - just failed(tchd 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. THATS MY BOY LUKE (GB) (#7 · Σ 55.0) 5yo G · Draw 11 · b Connections Jockey David Allan Trainer Tim Easterby Owner M J Macleod Pedigree Sire Ulysses (IRE) Dam Pivotting (GB) Damsire Pivotal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 12.00 (Bet365) 16:01 13.00 (CopyBet) 10:11 12.00 (William Hill) 10:25 11.00 (Bet365) 11:02 12.00 (Bet365) 13:04 11.00 (Bet365) 13:10 12.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 82 second best in race. Form 5.0/10 7158-4 mixed but the 1 shows ability. Connections 6.0/10 Easterby 9/86 14d (10%), Allan Elo 1681. Fitness 7.0/10 16 days since seasonal return — second-up improvement likely. Trip 5.0/10 Wins in past at varied trips around a mile. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up type, needs honest gallop. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 11 a tough draw on the straight mile. Equipment 7.0/10 Blinkers retained after sparking previously. Weight 5.0/10 129lb off OFR 63 reasonable. Value 6.0/10 Reasonable each-way claim; market may underestimate the second-up bounce. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Class and stable on side; draw is the main hurdle to a win. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1533.9 (23 runs, 2 wins, 8.7%) Jockey 1681.2 (7057 runs, 790 wins, 11.2%) Trainer 1635.0 (11825 runs, 1281 wins, 10.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 1278r 137w 11% A/E 0.93 (fair) Jockey × trainer 8801r 961w 11% A/E 0.84 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 2289r 179w 8% A/E 0.77 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 758r 90w 12% A/E 0.80 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 25r 4w 16% A/E 1.42 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 6336r 795w 13% A/E 0.89 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 7/12 10/1 1.00L 63 82 David Allan In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1) 2026-05-02 Thirsk 1m Good To F Cla 4/9 9/1 0.30L 64 64 Sean Kirrane Took keen hold - led early - soon prominent - lost position over 1f out - rallied inside final 110yds (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 11/1) 2025-10-31 Newmarket 1m Good Cla 8/11 14/1 5.00L 65 27 P J McDonald Towards far side - in touch with leaders - weakened over 2f out(op 12/1) 2025-09-19 Ayr 1m Soft Cla 5/9 9/1 2.00L 65 56 David Allan Midfield - outpaced from over 1f out(tchd 15/2) 2025-08-26 Ripon 1m Good To F Cla 1/8 7/2J won 63 71 David Allan Prominent - challenging 2f out - ridden over 1f out - kept on and led post(op 9/2) 2025-08-10 Haydock 1m Good To F Cla 7/11 25/1 0.20L 66 68 Jason Hart Took keen hold - raced in second - pressed leader 3f out - weakened final furlong(op 33/1) 2025-08-04 Ripon 1m2f Good Cla 5/6 7/1 6.00L 66 49 Sean Kirrane In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 8/1 tchd 9/1) 2025-07-19 Newmarket (Ju 1m Good To S Cla 8/8 9/2 2.25L 66 37 Tom Marquand Towards rear - brief headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 11/2) 2025-07-07 Ripon 1m Good Cla 1/10 17/2 won 59 71 David Allan Midfield - headway on outer over 2f out - ridden and hung right over 1f out - soon challenging - kept on well and went clear final 110yds - comfortably(op 7/1) 2025-06-13 Chester 7½f Good Cla 3/9 7/2 0.50L 59 64 Sean Kirrane Soon prominent - short of room over 1f out - went third but no extra from 1f out(op 11/2) 2025-05-24 Beverley 1m½f Good Cla 3/6 100/30 0.10L 59 64 David Allan Led narrowly - ridden and headed inside final furlong - no extra and lost second post(op 4/1) 2025-05-05 Beverley 1m½f Good To F Cla 3/8 9/4F 0.30L 58 64 David Allan Bumped start - disputed lead - led after 1f - headed inside final furlong - lost second final strides 2025-04-24 Beverley 1m½f Good Cla 2/10 22/1 5.50L 58 62 David Allan Pressed winner - no extra over 1f out(op 18/1 tchd 16/1) 2025-04-10 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 8/9 7/1 7.00L 60 42 Sean Kirrane Pressed leaders - weakened 2f out(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-03-28 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 8/8 13/2 1.00L 61 49 Sean Kirrane Led - headed and prominent after 1f - dropped to rear 2f out - not clear run under 2f out - soon no impression(op 15/2) 2025-03-01 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 3/7 33/1 0.20L 61 64 Sean Kirrane Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and pressed leader over 1f out - disputed lead with winner inside final furlong - lost second final stride(op 22/1 tchd 40/1) 2025-02-14 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 9/12 25/1 0.20L 63 54 Sean Kirrane Took keen hold - prominent - ridden and lost position over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 16/1) 2024-12-17 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 3/6 16/1 0.75L 63 62 Sean Kirrane Prominent against near rail - slightly hampered over 5f out - no extra over 1f out(op 12/1) 2024-10-31 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 2/6 5/1 6.50L 63 62 David Allan Started quickly - led - soon headed and in touch with leaders - steady headway over 2f out - went modest second over 1f out - no match for winner(op 6/1 and tchd 13/2) 2024-10-07 Pontefract 1m Soft Cla 9/9 40/1 20.00L 66 — Cam Hardie Prominent - weakened quickly 2f out(op 33/1) Comment In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 10/1 (11.000) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 7.25 OR after 63 In-running comment In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. TRAVIS (GB) (#6 · Σ 54.0) 5yo G · Draw 12 · p Connections Jockey Sam James Trainer Geoffrey Harker Owner Tykemeout Syndicate Pedigree Sire Advertise (GB) Dam Bazzana (GB) Damsire Zebedee Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 8.50 (Bet365) 16:01 9.50 (CopyBet) 04:01 11.00 (Midnite) 09:11 15.00 (William Hill) 11:13 17.00 (Coral) 11:56 15.00 (William Hill) 12:02 17.00 (Coral) 12:55 15.00 (William Hill) 13:16 13.00 (William Hill) 13:38 15.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 79 just above average, OFR 63 attractive. Form 7.0/10 Four placings from his last five — 232-25. Connections 4.0/10 Harker 0/3 last 14d though small sample; Sam James solid. Fitness 5.0/10 38 days since last outing — adequate. Trip 6.0/10 Effective around a mile on good ground. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-division hold-up. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 12 a stiff task at Redcar. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces stay — clearly helps focus. Weight 5.0/10 129lb off OFR 63 race-fair. Value 7.0/10 Punters tire of placers — true chance bigger than reputation. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Reliable place machine; draw and yard form just temper outright winning chance. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1615.0 (31 runs, 2 wins, 6.5%) Jockey 1590.8 (4238 runs, 449 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1685.5 (886 runs, 69 wins, 7.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 232r 25w 11% A/E 0.98 (fair) Jockey × trainer 271r 25w 9% A/E 0.98 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 219r 19w 9% A/E 0.86 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 367r 34w 9% A/E 0.86 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 48r 7w 15% A/E 1.10 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 451r 39w 9% A/E 0.71 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 12/12 10/1 9.00L 63 80 Sam James Prominent - weakened quickly over 2f out - eased over 1f out(op 12/1) 2026-04-10 Thirsk 1m Good Cla 5/13 11/2 0.10L 64 66 David Allan Led - headed over 1f out - weakened quickly final 110yds - lost fourth post(op 13/2) 2026-03-27 Newcastle (AW 7f Standard Cla 2/11 14/1 1.00L 64 68 David Allan Led at steady pace - against near rail after 1f - increased tempo over 2f out - headed and no extra inside final 110yds 2025-11-01 Newcastle (AW 7f Standard Cla 2/7 100/30F 4.25L 64 66 David Allan Led - headed over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 3/1) 2025-10-21 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 3/8 8/1 0.50L 64 67 David Allan Led but pestered - rallied when headed over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 10/1) 2025-09-30 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 2/8 6/1 1.00L 63 69 Silvestre De Sousa Led - switched to near side after 1f - ridden over 1f out - joined inside final furlong - headed inside final 110yds - no extra towards finish(op 7/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-09-15 Thirsk 7f Soft Cla 8/11 15/2 2.50L 63 51 P J McDonald In touch with leaders - switched right and towards near side over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 8/1 and tchd 17/2) 2025-08-26 Ripon 1m Good To F Cla 2/8 12/1 0.05L 62 69 Sam James Led - ridden and faced challenge from 2f out - kept on but headed post 2025-08-18 Catterick 7f Good To F Cla 5/10 9/2 1.75L 62 59 David Allan Slowly into stride - in rear - headway after 2f - went fourth over 2f out - outpaced from over 1f out(op 11/2) 2025-08-02 Thirsk 6f Good To F Cla 4/10 4/1 0.20L 63 62 David Allan Slowly into stride - in touch with leaders - kept on inside final furlong(op 6/1 and tchd 13/2) 2025-07-19 Doncaster 7f Good To S Cla 4/9 6/1 1.25L 63 57 Hollie Doyle Held up in last - headway but edged left from over 2f out - went third over 1f out - weakened and lost position inside final furlong(tchd 11/2) 2025-07-02 Thirsk 7f Good Cla 1/9 17/2 won 61 69 David Allan Midfield - pushed along home turn - headway on far side of group 3f out - ridden to lead over 1f out - edged right but kept on well inside final furlong - faced challenge towards finish - just did enough(op 12/1) 2025-06-20 Redcar 7f Good To F Cla 4/9 11/1 0.10L 61 65 David Allan Prominent - edged left 2f out - keeping on inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds - lost third towards finish 2025-06-11 Hamilton 6f Good Cla 7/7 17/2 2.75L 61 41 Sam James Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - some headway on far side of group 2f out - soon weakened(op 8/1 tchd 7/1) 2025-05-21 Ayr 6f Good To F Cla 2/9 5/1 1.25L 58 68 David Allan Midfield - outpaced 2f out - rallied 1f out - went second inside final 110yds - kept on 2025-05-10 Leicester 6f Good To F Cla 6/14 10/1 0.30L 60 62 David Allan Towards rear - pushed along over 3f out - headway from over 2f out - drifted right but kept on inside final furlong(tchd 9/1) 2025-04-25 Doncaster 7f Good To F Cla 7/11 12/1 2.25L 62 50 Sam James Prominent - lost position over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 10/1) 2025-04-12 Thirsk 6f Good Cla 8/10 16/1 3.25L 65 46 Sam James Always behind(op 12/1) 2024-11-08 Newcastle (AW 6f Standard Cla 7/9 11/1 0.30L 68 64 David Allan Dwelt start - in rear - headway when short of room over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - never dangerous(Mkt1: op 12/1 ; Mkt2 op 10/1 tchd 9/1) 2024-10-19 Catterick 7f Soft Cla 7/8 28/1 5.50L 70 34 P J McDonald Towards rear - outpaced over 2f out - weakened 1f out(op 20/1) Comment Prominent - weakened quickly over 2f out - eased over 1f out(op 12/1) Finishing result Position 12 SP 10/1 (11.000) Beaten (L) 9.00 Total beaten 30.00 OR after 63 In-running comment Prominent - weakened quickly over 2f out - eased over 1f out(op 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. ELECTRIC LIGHTNING (GB) (#13 · Σ 54.0) 5yo G · Draw 10 Connections Jockey Warren Fentiman Trainer Mark Walford Owner Ms Austerfield 8 Amigos J Burns Pedigree Sire Lightning Spear (GB) Dam Black Sails (GB) Damsire Lope De Vega Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 13.00 (Bet365) 09:55 15.00 (Bet365) 10:01 13.00 (Bet365) 11:06 15.00 (Bet365) 11:50 13.00 (Bet365) 12:55 15.00 (Bet365) 13:33 17.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 82 second-best, OFR 57 attractive. Form 4.0/10 1548-0 with a stinker last time. Connections 4.0/10 Walford 1/21 (5%) 14d, Fentiman(3) claimer Elo 1585. Fitness 6.0/10 28 days off — fine. Trip 6.0/10 Lightning Spear × Lope De Vega — mile is ideal. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up type, needs tempo. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 10 against the inside contingent. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 7.0/10 Bottom-weight 123lb off OFR 57 attractive on paper. Value 6.0/10 Could overshoot the market if everything clicks given OFR drop. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Mark looks generous but yard form and last run dampen optimism. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1492.9 (10 runs, 1 wins, 10.0%) Jockey 1585.0 (697 runs, 62 wins, 8.9%) Trainer 1484.8 (2635 runs, 276 wins, 10.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 27r 4w 15% A/E 1.05 (fair) Jockey × trainer 10r 1w 10% A/E 0.75 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 100r 5w 5% A/E 0.57 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 180r 23w 13% A/E 0.99 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 458r 56w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 11 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 10/12 16/1 3.50L 57 82 Warren Fentiman Led - headed over 2f out - soon weakened(op 14/1) 2026-04-20 Redcar 7f Good To F Cla 10/14 4/1 0.75L 59 50 Jack Garritty Pressed leader - switched to far side over 5f out - weakened over 1f out - 8th of 11 in group(tchd 9/2) 2025-10-09 Ayr 1m Heavy Cla 8/12 15/2 1.25L 60 46 Jack Garritty Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 17/2 tchd 9/1) 2025-09-24 Redcar 7f Good To S Cla 4/11 5/1 0.75L 61 65 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - towards rear - steady headway over 2f out - ran on final 110yds(op 13/2) 2025-08-11 Ayr 7f Good Cla 5/8 13/2 1.25L 61 51 Warren Fentiman Raced in second behind clear leader - pressed leader over 2f out - briefly led over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(Mkt1: op 6/1 tchd 7/1; Mkt2 op 7/1) 2025-07-24 Doncaster 1m Good Cla 1/9 14/1 won 55 65 Warren Fentiman Took keen hold - made all - clear with one other over 4f out - ridden over 1f out - edged right inside final furlong - kept on(op 11/1) 2025-07-07 Ayr 1m Good To S Cla 6/12 25/1 1.50L 57 59 Jack Garritty Took keen hold - prominent - not clear run and switched right over 1f out - soon hung left - weakened inside final 110yds(op 33/1) 2024-10-07 Pontefract 6f Soft Cla 9/10 125/1 15.00L 60 — Andrew Mullen Ducked sharply left start - soon recovered and pressed leader - lost ground quickly over 2f out - soon switched to centre - lost touch from over 1f out - tailed off(op 66/1 tchd 150/1) 2024-09-10 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 8/10 150/1 14.00L — 21 Jack Garritty Pulled hard - midfield - weakened over 2f out (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 125/1 tchd 200/1) 2024-08-18 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/14 125/1 6.00L — 59 Jack Garritty Prominent - switched left soon after start - led after 1f - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong - finished 4th - placed 3rd 2024-07-17 Thirsk 7f Good To S Cla 7/9 125/1 2.75L — 48 Jack Garritty Towards rear - brief headway over 2f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 100/1) Comment Led - headed over 2f out - soon weakened(op 14/1) Finishing result Position 10 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 3.50 Total beaten 16.25 OR after 57 In-running comment Led - headed over 2f out - soon weakened(op 14/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. WHISKEY PETE (IRE) (#9 · Σ 47.0) 5yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Alex Jary Trainer Nigel Tinkler Owner Martin Webb Racing Pedigree Sire Night Of Thunder (IRE) Dam Dorcas Lane (GB) Damsire Norse Dancer Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 15.00 (Bet365) 16:01 17.00 (Coral) 09:11 26.00 (Midnite) 09:53 23.00 (Bet365) 10:01 26.00 (Midnite) 11:29 29.00 (Midnite) 11:33 26.00 (Bet365) 12:45 29.00 (Midnite) 13:12 34.00 (CopyBet) 13:16 29.00 (Bet365) 13:33 34.00 (Bet365) 13:38 41.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 87 clearly best, but TS 60 the worst suggests inflated. Form 3.0/10 7356-0 — last run a clear tail-off. Connections 4.0/10 Tinkler in decent form but Jary(3) is a 3lb claimer with Elo 1411. Fitness 5.0/10 38 days since last run. Trip 5.0/10 Night Of Thunder × Norse Dancer — effective at the trip. Pace 5.0/10 Hold-up type, race shape might suit. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 6 neutral. Equipment 4.0/10 No headgear, none added after the last duck. Weight 5.0/10 129lb off OFR 63. Value 4.0/10 Top RPR will attract money he doesn't deserve in current form. Σ Summary 47.0/100 Class apart on paper but form and jockey choice undermine the case. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1462.6 (22 runs, 1 wins, 4.5%) Jockey 1411.1 (898 runs, 71 wins, 7.9%) Trainer 1498.4 (3621 runs, 347 wins, 9.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 61r 9w 15% A/E 1.90 (value) Jockey × trainer 399r 39w 10% A/E 0.96 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 888r 63w 7% A/E 0.85 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 960r 178w 19% A/E 1.02 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 9r 2w 22% A/E 1.69 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 87r 12w 14% A/E 0.98 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 11/12 50/1 4.75L 63 80 Alex Jary Midfield - weakened 1f out(op 28/1 tchd 25/1) 2026-04-10 Thirsk 1m Good Cla 13/13 28/1 6.50L 66 2 Alex Jary Always behind - hung right and lost touch over 1f out(op 25/1 tchd 22/1) 2025-10-13 Musselburgh 1m1f Good Cla 6/9 13/2 0.50L 68 54 Miss Tilly Evans Stumbled after 2f - always behind(tchd 6/1) 2025-09-30 Ayr 1m2f Soft Cla 5/7 9/2 7.00L 70 46 Alex Jary Towards rear - headway and prominent over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 4/1) 2025-09-14 Doncaster 1m2f Good To S Cla 4/9 14/1 3.00L 71 69 Alex Jary Slightly awkward start - prominent - led narrowly 2f out - headed 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 12/1) 2025-09-08 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/8 15/2 9.50L 71 48 Rowan Scott Midfield - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 8/1) 2025-08-16 Doncaster 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/8 22/1 0.50L 70 78 Rowan Scott In touch with leaders - headway 3f out - pressed leader on near side of group over 2f out - headed over 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - headed inside final 110yds - kept on(op 12/1) 2025-07-26 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 7/8 12/1 18.00L 75 35 Alex Jary Raced wide - took keen hold - midfield - headway and disputing second over 3f out - weakened from over 2f out - eased inside final furlong(tchd 14/1) 2025-07-05 Carlisle 1m Soft Cla 11/11 16/1 10.00L 80 40 Faye McManoman In touch with leaders - weakened quickly from 2f out - eased inside final furlong (jockey said gelding weakened quickly in final furlong)(op 12/1 tchd 18/1) 2025-05-01 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/7 28/1 46.00L 84 — Alex Jary In rear - stumbled after 4f - soon struggling - tailed off from 3f out(op 20/1) 2025-03-30 Doncaster 1m2f Good Cla 16/16 22/1 23.00L 84 11 Alex Jary In rear - headway from over 2f out - short of room and hampered over 1f out - not recover (jockey said gelding suffered interference approaching final furlong)(op 18/1 tchd 16/1) 2025-02-21 Bahrain (BHR) 1m1f Good To F — 16/16 — 15.00L — 33 Rowan Scott In final pair - struggling over 3f out - never a factor 2024-10-25 Doncaster 1m Soft Cla 3/12 7/2F 3.50L 89 93 Rob Hornby Midfield - headway over 2f out - hung right but went third over 1f out - no match for first two(op 9/2 tchd 16/5) 2024-09-29 Epsom 1m2f Heavy Cla 2/9 EvensF 1.50L 87 96 Hector Crouch Towards rear - headway halfway - switched to near side over 3f out - led narrowly over 2f out - headed over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 11/8 tchd Evens) 2024-09-07 Ascot 1m2f Soft Cla 2/9 9/2 4.00L 86 92 Rob Hornby In touch with leaders - not clear run over 2f out - soon switched right and headway when bumped rival - pressed leader briefly against far rail 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 5/1 tchd 6/1) 2024-07-12 York 1m2½f Good To S Cla 4/15 13/8F 5.00L 87 87 Hector Crouch Midfield - in touch with leaders waiting for room 3f out - not clear run 2f out - switched left over 1f out - outpaced and no impression inside final furlong(op 5/2) 2024-06-22 Ascot 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/12 9/1 2.50L 88 82 Hector Crouch In rear - switched right soon after start - some headway on inner 2f out - bit short of room over 1f out - never on terms(tchd 11/1) 2024-06-01 Epsom 1m2f Good To S Cla 7/12 15/2 1.50L 89 86 Hector Crouch Midfield - steady headway over 2f out - edged left and weakened over 1f out(op 9/1) 2024-05-16 York 1m4f Good Cla PU/8 7/2F — 89 — Rossa Ryan Pulled hard - led - headed and prominent after 2f - lost position 3f out - eased under 2f out - soon pulled up (jockey said gelding lost his action 2f out)(op 4/1) 2023-10-14 York 1m Soft Cla 1/10 11/4F won 86 93 Hector Crouch Raced in third - switched to near side over 4f out - pushed along over 2f out - ridden to lead over 1f out - kept on when faced challenge inside final furlong - always doing enough(op 3/1 tchd 16/5) Comment Midfield - weakened 1f out(op 28/1 tchd 25/1) Finishing result Position 11 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 4.75 Total beaten 21.00 OR after 63 In-running comment Midfield - weakened 1f out(op 28/1 tchd 25/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11. HACHIMAN (GB) (#12 · Σ 44.0) 4yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey James Sullivan Trainer Ruth Carr Owner Paul K Spencer And Mrs R Carr Pedigree Sire Frankel (GB) Dam Hareem Queen (IRE) Damsire Dark Angel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 17.00 (Bet365) 16:01 19.00 (Coral) 09:11 34.00 (Midnite) 11:13 29.00 (Bet365) 11:19 34.00 (Betfred) 12:02 29.00 (Bet365) 12:37 34.00 (Midnite) 13:33 41.00 (Spreadex) 13:38 51.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 79 mid-pack; TS 66 modest. Form 2.0/10 67-798 — declining form line. Connections 5.0/10 Carr 3/26 (12%) 14d, RTF 65; Sullivan workmanlike. Fitness 4.0/10 43 days off — borderline freshener. Trip 5.0/10 Frankel filly — mile fine in theory. Pace 4.0/10 Hold-up type, needs strong gallop. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8 neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 126lb off OFR 60 attractive. Value 4.0/10 Public lured by pedigree and Carr — likely overbet vs current form. Σ Summary 44.0/100 Plenty against on form and Elo despite reasonable yard signals. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1444.9 (8 runs, 1 wins, 12.5%) Jockey 1495.1 (6507 runs, 472 wins, 7.3%) Trainer 1674.1 (5018 runs, 476 wins, 9.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 591r 36w 6% A/E 0.83 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3817r 334w 9% A/E 0.86 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 456r 32w 7% A/E 0.72 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 1330r 261w 20% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 7r 1w 14% A/E 1.31 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 1466r 188w 13% A/E 0.93 (fair) Past form (last 9 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 3/12 40/1 3.75L 60 81 James Sullivan In rear - switched left and headway over 1f out - kept on and went third inside final 110yds(op 28/1) 2026-04-05 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 8/8 40/1 6.50L 65 47 James Sullivan Midfield - weakened from over 1f out(op 33/1 tchd 50/1) 2026-03-27 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 9/9 20/1 8.50L 68 36 James Sullivan In touch with leaders - weakened from 2f out(op 16/1 tchd 22/1) 2026-03-10 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 7/12 17/2 0.05L 70 66 Joanna Mason Dwelt start - towards rear - headway over 1f out - no impression(op 15/2) 2025-09-25 Newmarket 1m Good Cla 7/12 25/1 2.00L 72 67 Josephine Gordon Swerved right start - towards rear - hung right when headway on outer over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 18/1) 2025-08-25 Epsom 1m½f Good Cla 6/6 5/2 15.00L 72 24 Oisin Murphy Towards rear but in touch with leaders - niggled along early - switched to near side over 3f out - dropped to last over 2f out - eased and lost touch over 1f out (trainer's rep said - regarding the poor form shown - that gelding was unsuited by the undulations of the track - which was noted; vet had nothing to report)(op 2/1 tchd 15/8) 2025-08-04 Lingfield (AW 1m Standard Cla 1/11 11/2 won — 75 Josephine Gordon In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield 5f out - headway from 2f out - ridden inside final furlong - led towards finish(op 7/1 and tchd 15/2) 2025-07-14 Windsor 1m Good To F Cla 3/9 17/2 3.75L — 66 Harry Davies Midfield - going okay and some headway when hampered 2f out - not clear run over 1f out - ran on and went modest third inside final furlong(op 9/1 tchd 7/1) 2024-12-27 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 8/10 14/1 1.75L — 67 Sean D Bowen Visibility reduced by fog - dwelt start - always behind(op 18/1) Comment In rear - switched left and headway over 1f out - kept on and went third inside final 110yds(op 28/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 40/1 (41.000) Beaten (L) 3.75 Total beaten 3.75 OR after 60 In-running comment In rear - switched left and headway over 1f out - kept on and went third inside final 110yds(op 28/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12. THEQUIETMAN (GB) (#2 · Σ 39.0) 5yo G · Draw 9 · h Connections Jockey Billy Garritty Trainer David O'Meara Owner Evan M Sutherland Pedigree Sire Farhh (GB) Dam Souila (USA) Damsire Speightstown Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 15:42 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 21.00 (Bet365) 09:16 19.00 (Bet365) 09:53 21.00 (Bet365) 10:11 23.00 (Bet365) 11:06 26.00 (Midnite) 11:56 29.00 (Midnite) 12:10 26.00 (Bet365) 12:37 29.00 (Midnite) 12:58 26.00 (Bet365) 13:12 29.00 (Unibet) 13:16 26.00 (Bet365) 13:33 29.00 (Bet365) 13:38 34.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 78 mid-pack; no TS data. Form 3.0/10 2/3-59 — a long break followed by tailed-off return. Connections 3.0/10 O'Meara 2/45 (4%) last 14d is poor for a yard this size; RTF 22. Fitness 2.0/10 108 days since last run — significant negative. Trip 5.0/10 Some form at the trip though sample tiny. Pace 5.0/10 Held-up profile, depends on tempo. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 9 wide of true going to make ground. Equipment 5.0/10 Hood reapplied — neutral. Weight 4.0/10 135lb top of weights. Value 3.0/10 Public sentimental about a long absentee — likely overbet vs chance. Σ Summary 39.0/100 Layoff + cold yard a lot to overcome despite tactical hood. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1542.3 (7 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1639.6 (2542 runs, 268 wins, 10.5%) Trainer 1579.9 (10045 runs, 1346 wins, 13.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 72r 8w 11% A/E 1.04 (fair) Jockey × trainer 11r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 738r 110w 15% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 442r 72w 16% A/E 1.07 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 7r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 218r 32w 15% A/E 0.96 (fair) Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Redcar 1m Good Cla 9/12 22/1 4.50L 69 78 Billy Garritty Dwelt start - in rear throughout(op 25/1) 2026-01-30 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 9/11 22/1 1.75L 72 63 David Nolan Always behind(tchd 20/1) 2026-01-12 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 5/8 9/1 3.50L 73 59 Mark Winn Never better than midfield(op 15/2) 2025-12-28 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/8 4/1 0.50L 76 73 David Nolan Dwelt start - in rear - steady headway from over 2f out - went third final 110yds - nearest finish (jockey said gelding was slowly away)(tchd 5/1) 2024-10-14 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 2/6 6/5F 1.25L — 82 Dylan Browne McMon Upset in stalls - prominent on inner early - towards rear but in touch with leaders before halfway - switched left when headway from over 2f out - ridden and went second 1f out - kept on but no match for winner (jockey said gelding got upset in gates)(op 11/8 tchd 11/10) 2024-09-29 Curragh (IRE) 1m2f Good — 12/18 5/4F 0.30L — 65 Dylan Browne McMon In touch with leaders - going okay when hampered over 2f out - soon switched left and bumped rival - weakened from over 1f out (vet reported gelding to be post race normal)(op Evs) 2024-08-03 Galway (IRE) 1m½f Soft — 5/16 4/6F 0.75L — 64 Dylan Browne McMon Dwelt start - midfield - not clear run home turn - some headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - never near to challenge (jockey said gelding did not handle the home turn)(op 4/5 tchd 10/11) 2024-04-07 Leopardstown 1m Heavy — 2/11 9/2 1.25L — 87 Dylan Browne McMon Slowly into stride - soon midfield - headway when bit short of room under 2f out - switched right over 1f out - soon challenging and ridden - kept on but no match for winner(op 5/1) Comment Dwelt start - in rear throughout(op 25/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 22/1 (23.000) Beaten (L) 4.50 Total beaten 12.75 OR after 69 In-running comment Dwelt start - in rear throughout(op 25/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 13. CHUZZLEWIT (NR) (#NR · Σ 50.0) 6yo G · 126lb · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Shane Gray Trainer Seb Spencer (Malton, N Yorks) Owner Tihr Syndicate Breeder Cheveley Park Stud Limited Trainer 14d 0/6 (0%) DOB 2020-03-17 Pedigree Sire Showcasing (GB) Dam Furbelow (GB) Damsire Pivotal Form / ratings Form string 0-4570 Last run (days) 23 OFR 60 RPR 81 TS 81 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 4/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 3/4 Coral - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 4/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 4/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 4/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 4/5 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 4/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 4/5 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betano - (-) · EW 4/5 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 4/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 3/4 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 4/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 4/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 15:42 21.00 (Bet365) 16:01 23.00 (William Hill) 09:11 19.00 (Bet365) 11:33 21.00 (Bet365) 11:50 19.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 81 useful but TS only matched by recent figures. Form 3.0/10 0-4570 includes a tail-off last time. Connections 3.0/10 Spencer yard 0/5 14d, trainer Elo 1437 weak. Fitness 6.0/10 23 days off — adequate. Trip 5.0/10 Showcasing × Pivotal — mile fine. Pace 5.0/10 Hold-up type, requires pace. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 4 a help on the straight mile. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear changes. Weight 5.0/10 126lb off OFR 60 attractive. Value 5.0/10 Punters wary, but trainer form suggests they're right. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Capable on best form but everything else is against him. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1524.5 (35 runs, 2 wins, 5.7%) Jockey 1568.7 (3986 runs, 359 wins, 9.0%) Trainer 1437.1 (604 runs, 43 wins, 7.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Redcar 263r 19w 7% A/E 0.76 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Redcar 38r 4w 11% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 5 3295r 367w 11% A/E 0.87 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 5 31r 1w 3% A/E 0.36 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 5 6336r 795w 13% A/E 0.89 (fair) Spotlight Regressive 6yo who made a satisfactory reappearance on AW in February but is yet to build on that performance and finished well down the field on last month's turf return; others have much less to prove. Comment Regressive 6yo who finished well down the field on last month's turf return ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (9 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Redcar · 1m · Class 5 · Good Marske Fabrication & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap (Straight Mile Series Qualifier) 1 Kiss Me My Love (IRE) won SP 7/2J 2 Straight A (GB) 0.05L SP 8/1 3 Hachiman (GB) 3.75L SP 40/1 4 The Sweet Escape (GB) 0.50L SP 5/1 5 We've Got This (IRE) 1.75L SP 12/1 6 Up The Jazz (IRE) 0.20L SP 7/2J 7 Thats My Boy Luke (GB) 1.00L SP 10/1 8 Mariner (IRE) 1.00L SP 7/1 9 Thequietman (GB) 4.50L SP 22/1 10 Electric Lightning (GB) 3.50L SP 16/1 11 Whiskey Pete (IRE) 4.75L SP 50/1 12 Travis (GB) 9.00L SP 10/1 2026-05-09 · Leicester · 1m · Class 6 · Good To Firm 'Picnic At The Races' Monday 25th May Book Now Handicap 2 The Sweet Escape (GB) 0.05L SP 9/2 3 Up The Jazz (IRE) 0.30L SP 7/2F 2026-05-02 · Thirsk · 1m · Class 5 · Good To Firm Sky Bet Irish Day Saturday 16th May Book Now Handicap 2 Kiss Me My Love (IRE) 2.25L SP 100/30J 4 Thats My Boy Luke (GB) 0.30L SP 9/1 2026-04-25 · Ripon · 1m · Class 5 · Good Sue's 60th Birthday Occasion Handicap 2 Up The Jazz (IRE) 0.50L SP 6/1 5 Kiss Me My Love (IRE) 1.25L SP 14/1 6 The Sweet Escape (GB) 0.75L SP 9/2 2026-04-10 · Thirsk · 1m · Class 5 · Good Live Streams On Racing TV Extra Handicap 5 Travis (GB) 0.10L SP 11/2 7 Mariner (IRE) 0.05L SP 18/1 13 Whiskey Pete (IRE) 6.50L SP 28/1 2026-03-20 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 1m½f · Class 5 · Standard Friday Night Live With SBK Handicap (Div I) 8 Mariner (IRE) 0.20L SP 22/1 11 Kiss Me My Love (IRE) 1.25L SP 28/1 2025-09-19 · Ayr · 1m · Class 5 · Soft Graeme Allan's 70th Birthday Pension Scheme Handicap (Div II) 2 We've Got This (IRE) 4.25L SP 8/1 5 Thats My Boy Luke (GB) 2.00L SP 9/1 2025-08-26 · Ripon · 1m · Class 5 · Good To Firm Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap 1 Thats My Boy Luke (GB) won SP 7/2J 2 Travis (GB) 0.05L SP 12/1 2024-06-10 · Carlisle · 6f · Class 4 · Good Bet At RacingTV Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) 1 Kiss Me My Love (IRE) won SP 2/1F 9 We've Got This (IRE) 0.75L SP 3/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely steady tempo with no obvious lone leader — several hold-up types means closers should be favoured if anything goes too quick up front. Narrative: A typically tight Redcar Class 5 mile handicap with 13 in opposition and little between them on the figures. Up The Jazz looks the most likely winner — fresh nine days after a sound third, well-drawn in one and from the in-form Fahey yard. Travis (top horse Elo 1615, 232-25 form) and improver Mariner provide the chief threats, with Furtado's We've Got This and Easterby's Thats My Boy Luke also live. Whiskey Pete has the highest RPR but his last-day duck and 3lb claimer aboard temper enthusiasm. Recommended: Up The Jazz Fresh after a third nine days ago, drawn stall one, Fahey 14d 13% strike, trainer Elo 1637 — most rounded profile in a competitive heat. Alternative: Travis Highest horse Elo (1615) in the race and form figures 232-25 show he runs his race every time; just needs the cold Harker yard to fire. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:39 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944231