============================================================================== RACE: Windsor ? · 2026-05-18 Tattersalls £40 000 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. WITHTEARSINMYEYES (IRE) (#9 · Σ 70.0) 3yo F · Draw 10 Connections Jockey George Bass Trainer Jack Channon Owner Chris Wright David Kilburn Partner Pedigree Sire Invincible Spirit (IRE) Dam Miss Liguria (GB) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 3.75 (Bet365) 16:01 4.33 (CopyBet) 17:00 4.50 (William Hill) 20:01 5.00 (Midnite) 02:00 4.50 (Bet365) 02:31 5.00 (Midnite) 16:02 4.50 (Bet365) 17:00 5.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 9.0/10 RPR 95 the highest in the race by 6lb — clear top-rated. Form 9.0/10 Two consecutive seconds — at the brink of breaking her maiden. Connections 8.0/10 Channon yard trainer Elo 1754, jockey Elo 1706 for George Bass; yard quieter at 8% last 14d but high quality. Fitness 9.0/10 Just 10 days since latest second — peak fitness. Trip 7.0/10 Invincible Spirit x Galileo — 9f well within range. Pace 7.0/10 Hold-up profile suits the likely even tempo. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 10 (widest) — small concern at Windsor 9f but bend gives time to recover. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 7.0/10 Top-rated, in form, peak fitness — fair favourite. Σ Summary 70.0/100 Clear top-rated, twice runner-up, fresh and ready to win — the obvious selection. Verdict Strong contender ELO Horse 1543.0 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1705.9 (1199 runs, 116 wins, 9.7%) Trainer 1754.4 (1091 runs, 174 wins, 15.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 68r 7w 10% A/E 0.97 (fair) Jockey × trainer 254r 38w 15% A/E 1.04 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 73r 15w 21% A/E 1.38 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 1561r 149w 10% A/E 0.83 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 2008r 227w 11% A/E 0.92 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 3/10 7/2 1.50L — 95 George Bass Prominent on outer - led but pestered after 1f - rallied when headed over 2f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds 2026-05-08 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/6 3/1 2.50L — 95 George Bass Led - headed inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(tchd 10/3) 2026-04-18 Nottingham 1m½f Good Cla 2/12 12/1 2.00L — 83 George Bass In touch with leaders - ran green when headway over 2f out - went second over 1f out - kept on inside final 110yds(op 14/1 tchd 16/1) Comment Prominent on outer - led but pestered after 1f - rallied when headed over 2f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds Finishing result Position 3 SP 7/2 (4.500) Beaten (L) 1.50 Total beaten 2.50 In-running comment Prominent on outer - led but pestered after 1f - rallied when headed over 2f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. CHIMES OF THUNDER (GER) (#2 · Σ 68.0) 3yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Tom Marquand Trainer William Haggas Owner Tars Farm Equestrian Stud Pedigree Sire Night Of Thunder (IRE) Dam Campea (GER) Damsire Kingman Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 2.38 (Bet365) 16:01 2.88 (CopyBet) 16:21 2.38 (Bet365) 17:00 2.63 (Bet365) 09:11 2.50 (Bet365) 09:26 2.38 (Bet365) 09:40 2.50 (Unibet) 09:53 2.38 (Bet365) 11:06 2.50 (Bet365) 14:43 2.63 (Bet365) 16:22 2.50 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 RPR 89 is second-best in the field, 6lb behind the topper but clear of the rest. Form 7.0/10 Sixth on debut then runner-up — classic improving Haggas trajectory. Connections 10.0/10 Haggas 28% strike last 14 days (13 from 47), RTF 62, Tom Marquand on board, trainer Elo 1731. Fitness 8.0/10 23 days since the placed effort — fresh enough but battle-hardened. Trip 6.0/10 Night Of Thunder x Kingman damsire — middle-distance pedigree, 9f ideal. Pace 6.0/10 Likely to be ridden patiently; even race shape suits. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5 of 10 — central, no concern at Windsor 9f. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Non-handicap. Value 7.0/10 Haggas/Marquand fillies trading short routinely; still a fair number given the form gap to Withtearsinmyeyes. Σ Summary 68.0/100 The main danger — sharp improver from the strongest stable in the line-up. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1517.5 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1647.1 (9343 runs, 1247 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1730.6 (6888 runs, 1582 wins, 23.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 659r 101w 15% A/E 0.90 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1936r 424w 22% A/E 0.93 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 442r 88w 20% A/E 0.90 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 453r 61w 13% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 56r 5w 9% A/E 0.63 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 5/10 11/8F 0.10L — 92 Tom Marquand Took keen hold - led narrowly - headed and prominent after 1f - no extra over 1f out 2026-04-25 Haydock 1m Good To F Cla 2/8 5/1 0.30L — 77 Tom Marquand Prominent - outpaced over 2f out - switched right when rallying over 1f out - pressed winner inside final furlong - just held(op 11/2) 2025-10-02 Salisbury 7f Good Cla 6/9 12/1 0.50L — 68 Tom Marquand Soon led - disputed lead over 2f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 14/1) Comment Took keen hold - led narrowly - headed and prominent after 1f - no extra over 1f out Finishing result Position 5 SP 11/8F (2.380) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 2.75 In-running comment Took keen hold - led narrowly - headed and prominent after 1f - no extra over 1f out ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. TAHALEL (IRE) (#7 · Σ 61.0) 3yo F · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Pat Dobbs Trainer Richard Hannon Owner Al Shaqab Racing Pedigree Sire Blue Point (IRE) Dam Diantha (IRE) Damsire Dansili Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 4.50 (Bet365) 16:01 5.00 (Bet365) 16:21 5.50 (William Hill) 17:00 6.00 (William Hill) 18:20 6.50 (Midnite) 22:22 6.00 (William Hill) 22:40 6.50 (Midnite) 09:11 4.50 (Bet365) 11:58 5.00 (Bet365) 12:04 4.50 (Bet365) 13:24 5.00 (Bet365) 14:24 4.50 (Bet365) 15:58 5.00 (Bet365) 16:22 4.50 (Bet365) 17:09 4.00 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 87 ranks third in the field; OFR 76 is the only published mark here. Form 6.0/10 203-3 — placed twice but yet to win, and her latest third did not improve RPR. Connections 7.0/10 Hannon 14% 14d strike (8 from 58), trainer Elo 1641, Pat Dobbs jockey Elo 1626. Fitness 7.0/10 23 days since last run — sharp. Trip 6.0/10 Blue Point x Dansili damsire — 9f may be at the upper end. Pace 6.0/10 Likely to be handily placed. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 6 of 10 — central. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 6.0/10 Often-placed types like this can be overbet; still a credible danger. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Consistent placer with solid yard — chief threat to the top two. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1514.6 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1625.7 (4417 runs, 529 wins, 12.0%) Trainer 1640.6 (11041 runs, 1575 wins, 14.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 584r 65w 11% A/E 0.88 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1709r 193w 11% A/E 0.81 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 768r 116w 15% A/E 0.86 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 228r 30w 13% A/E 0.78 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1212r 118w 10% A/E 0.80 (negative) Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 2/10 3/1 1.00L 76 87 Pat Dobbs In touch with leaders - headway and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra towards finish(op 10/3) 2026-04-25 Doncaster 7f Good To F Cla 3/10 11/8F 0.20L 79 74 Sean Levey Led towards near side - headed and ridden over 1f out - rallied inside final 110yds(op 10/11) 2025-10-02 Salisbury 7f Good Cla 3/9 13/8F 1.50L — 74 Sean Levey Led early - soon headed and prominent - disputed lead over 2f out - drifted right over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 16/5) 2025-06-20 Ascot 6f Good To F Cla 17/17 33/1 5.00L — 19 Sean Levey Towards rear throughout - hung right over 2f out - soon no chance(tchd 28/1 and tchd 40/1) 2025-05-23 Haydock 6f Good To F Cla 2/6 6/5F 3.50L — 75 Sean Levey Dwelt start - prominent - pushed along 2f out - ridden inside final furlong - kept on and went second towards finish(op 5/4 tchd 11/8) Comment In touch with leaders - headway and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra towards finish(op 10/3) Finishing result Position 2 SP 3/1 (4.000) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 1.00 OR after 76 In-running comment In touch with leaders - headway and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra towards finish(op 10/3) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. TRELISSICK (GB) (#8 · Σ 59.0) 3yo F · Draw 8 · t Connections Jockey Callum Hutchinson Trainer Andrew Balding Owner Juddmonte Pedigree Sire Kingman (GB) Dam Dandhu (GB) Damsire Dandy Man Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 11.00 (Bet365) 16:01 9.50 (Bet365) 16:21 10.00 (Bet365) 17:00 11.00 (Bet365) 20:01 10.00 (Bet365) 09:11 9.00 (Bet365) 10:07 9.50 (Bet365) 11:19 10.00 (Bet365) 11:52 11.00 (Bet365) 16:49 12.00 (Bet365) 16:56 11.00 (Bet365) 17:00 12.00 (Spreadex) 17:03 11.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 75 — middling on numbers. Form 5.0/10 Fourth on debut, suggests scope for improvement. Connections 8.0/10 Balding 14% strike (11 from 77), trainer Elo 1672, and tongue tie added. Fitness 7.0/10 18 days off — sharp turnaround. Trip 6.0/10 Kingman x Dandy Man — 9f should be ideal. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8 — neutral. Equipment 7.0/10 Tongue tie applied — a positive equipment change after a debut fourth. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 6.0/10 Balding's debutante improvers often progress sharply second start. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Balding type with tongue tie added — typical second-start improver. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1519.0 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1505.7 (1547 runs, 145 wins, 9.4%) Trainer 1672.5 (9623 runs, 1496 wins, 15.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 65r 7w 11% A/E 1.19 (value) Jockey × trainer 381r 54w 14% A/E 0.96 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 680r 99w 15% A/E 0.89 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 697r 87w 12% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 82r 4w 5% A/E 0.37 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 7/10 8/1 0.75L — 75 Callum Hutchinson Stumbled start - slowly away - in rear - brief headway on outer 2f out - never dangerous (jockey said filly stumbled leaving the stalls)(op 10/1) 2026-04-30 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 4/14 10/1 0.75L — 63 Oisin Murphy Dwelt start - midfield - headway from 2f out - no impression inside final furlong(op 14/1) Comment Stumbled start - slowly away - in rear - brief headway on outer 2f out - never dangerous (jockey said filly stumbled leaving the stalls)(op 10/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 8/1 (9.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 5.25 In-running comment Stumbled start - slowly away - in rear - brief headway on outer 2f out - never dangerous (jockey said filly stumbled leaving the stalls)(op 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. QUISANA (IRE) (#5 · Σ 53.0) 3yo F · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Charles Bishop Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton Owner Mrs A G Kavanagh Pedigree Sire Ghaiyyath (IRE) Dam Quipara (GB) Damsire Soldier Hollow Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 41.00 (Bet365) 16:01 34.00 (Bet365) 09:11 51.00 (Bet365) 10:52 41.00 (Bet365) 11:50 51.00 (Bet365) 13:08 41.00 (Bet365) 13:22 51.00 (Bet365) 13:24 41.00 (Bet365) 13:45 51.00 (Bet365) 13:55 41.00 (Bet365) 14:10 34.00 (Bet365) 14:57 29.00 (Bet365) 16:33 34.00 (Bet365) 17:00 41.00 (Spreadex) 17:03 51.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 Unraced — no rating; debut for a mid-tier yard. Form 5.0/10 No form to assess. Connections 6.0/10 Johnson Houghton in steady 16% form (4 from 25), Charlie Bishop a competent rider. Fitness 5.0/10 Debut, fitness unknown. Trip 6.0/10 Ghaiyyath x Soldier Hollow — strong middle-distance breeding. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown style. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 3 — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 6.0/10 Pedigree-laden debutante in a thin maiden — some upside. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Unraced filly from a sensibly placed yard with stamina pedigree. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1538.4 (4940 runs, 478 wins, 9.7%) Trainer 1596.4 (4177 runs, 480 wins, 11.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 377r 33w 9% A/E 0.76 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1840r 215w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 427r 47w 11% A/E 0.89 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 66r 11w 17% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 20r 1w 5% A/E 0.93 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 4/10 40/1 0.10L — — Charles Bishop Slowly away - took keen hold - soon midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 33/1 tchd 50/1) Comment Slowly away - took keen hold - soon midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 33/1 tchd 50/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 40/1 (41.000) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 2.50 In-running comment Slowly away - took keen hold - soon midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 33/1 tchd 50/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. MOONLIT SURF (GB) (#4 · Σ 50.0) 3yo F · Draw 9 Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer Owen Burrows Owner P Winkworth Pedigree Sire Oasis Dream (GB) Dam Surfseeker (GB) Damsire Golden Horn Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 34.00 (Bet365) 16:01 29.00 (Bet365) 17:00 26.00 (Bet365) 20:01 23.00 (Bet365) 09:11 17.00 (Bet365) 10:52 15.00 (Bet365) 11:19 17.00 (Bet365) 13:08 15.00 (Bet365) 17:03 19.00 (Bet365) 17:09 23.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 72 puts her mid-pack of the rated runners. Form 4.0/10 Single run produced sixth and now off 215 days. Connections 8.0/10 Burrows yard trainer Elo 1750, 13% strike last 14d, Saffie Osborne on board. Fitness 2.0/10 215-day layoff is a major negative for a maiden 3yo. Trip 6.0/10 Oasis Dream x Golden Horn — should be fine over 9f. Pace 5.0/10 No clear pace profile. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 9 — wide but not damaging at Windsor 9f. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear noted. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 5.0/10 Strong yard offsets layoff, but punters may overrate the connections. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Top-end yard, but the seven-month absence is hard to ignore. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1492.0 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1750.2 (1283 runs, 254 wins, 19.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 168r 15w 9% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 19r 5w 26% A/E 1.30 (value) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 22r 8w 36% A/E 1.60 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 1393r 136w 10% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 4r 1w 25% A/E 0.88 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 18r 2w 11% A/E 0.82 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 6/10 20/1 1.75L — 72 Saffie Osborne Slowly away - in rear - headway when short of room final 110yds - never dangerous(op 14/1) 2025-10-15 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 6/9 3/1 3.00L — 62 Sean Levey In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/4 tchd 13/8) Comment Slowly away - in rear - headway when short of room final 110yds - never dangerous(op 14/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 4.50 In-running comment Slowly away - in rear - headway when short of room final 110yds - never dangerous(op 14/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. ZERIYA (GB) (#10 · Σ 49.0) 3yo F · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Jason Watson Trainer Andrew Balding Owner Forz Europe Ltd Pedigree Sire Too Darn Hot (GB) Dam Zerkaza (IRE) Damsire Dalakhani Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 10.00 (Bet365) 16:01 9.00 (Bet365) 17:00 5.50 (BetWright) 17:21 5.00 (Bet365) 21:40 5.50 (Midnite) 02:00 5.00 (Bet365) 02:31 5.50 (Midnite) 09:11 15.00 (Spreadex) 11:06 21.00 (Spreadex) 11:19 19.00 (Betfred) 11:39 17.00 (Coral) 11:58 15.00 (Midnite) 12:04 13.00 (Unibet) 13:45 15.00 (Spreadex) 16:39 17.00 (Betfred) 17:00 21.00 (Spreadex) 17:09 23.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 RPR 70 — middling of the rated runners. Form 3.0/10 Single run produced fifth. Connections 7.0/10 Balding yard, Jason Watson up — solid combination. Fitness 5.0/10 46 days off — fine but not optimal. Trip 6.0/10 Too Darn Hot x Dalakhani — should appreciate 9f. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 1 — inside, neutral at Windsor. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 4.0/10 Modest figures despite the yard. Σ Summary 49.0/100 Balding second-stringer with plenty to find on figures. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1469.1 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1535.7 (4714 runs, 582 wins, 12.3%) Trainer 1672.5 (9623 runs, 1496 wins, 15.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 170r 8w 5% A/E 0.37 (negative) Jockey × trainer 501r 92w 18% A/E 0.99 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 680r 99w 15% A/E 0.89 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 156r 14w 9% A/E 0.73 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 480r 47w 10% A/E 0.81 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 8/10 20/1 1.50L — 70 Jason Watson In touch with leaders on inner - outpaced over 2f out - never dangerous after(op 16/1) 2026-04-02 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 5/5 1/2F 3.75L — 58 Shane Foley Bumped start - soon swerved sharply left - always behind (jockey said filly ran green)(op 4/6) Comment In touch with leaders on inner - outpaced over 2f out - never dangerous after(op 16/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 1.50 Total beaten 6.75 In-running comment In touch with leaders on inner - outpaced over 2f out - never dangerous after(op 16/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. CAP SANTA LUCIA (FR) (#1 · Σ 46.0) 3yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Joe Leavy Trainer Brian Meehan Owner Sam Sangster And Partner Pedigree Sire Persian King (IRE) Dam Cap Verite (IRE) Damsire Cape Cross Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 12.00 (Bet365) 16:01 11.00 (Bet365) 17:00 12.00 (Bet365) 09:11 29.00 (Spreadex) 10:27 26.00 (Coral) 10:44 29.00 (Spreadex) 10:46 26.00 (Coral) 11:13 21.00 (BetTom) 11:19 17.00 (William Hill) 11:23 15.00 (BetTom) 11:25 13.00 (Bet365) 11:31 12.00 (Bet365) 13:02 13.00 (Bet365) 13:12 12.00 (Bet365) 13:16 13.00 (Bet365) 13:45 12.00 (Bet365) 14:22 13.00 (Bet365) 15:35 15.00 (Bet365) 17:00 17.00 (Bet365) 17:09 19.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 RPR 78 ranks mid-pack, well behind the 89-95 trio at the top. Form 3.0/10 Solitary run produced a sixth — needs significant improvement. Connections 4.0/10 Meehan a 7% 14d strike (1 from 14) with RTF 21 — yard sluggish; Joe Leavy jockey Elo 1517 modest. Fitness 6.0/10 31 days since last run — within normal range, no freshness issue. Trip 5.0/10 Persian King out of a Cape Cross mare — should stay 9f, no firm evidence. Pace 5.0/10 No confirmed style, neutral assumption. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 of 10 at Windsor 9f — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear, no change of note. Weight 5.0/10 Non-handicap, 128lb level. Value 4.0/10 Modest RPR and cold yard make her likely overbet relative to chance. Σ Summary 46.0/100 A mid-pack maiden type from a yard not currently firing — not a likely winner. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1498.6 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1516.9 (1320 runs, 147 wins, 11.1%) Trainer 1567.4 (2499 runs, 265 wins, 10.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 33r 2w 6% A/E 0.69 (negative) Jockey × trainer 48r 5w 10% A/E 0.94 (fair) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 759r 73w 10% A/E 0.81 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 30r 5w 17% A/E 1.02 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 914r 101w 11% A/E 0.91 (fair) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 1/10 16/1 won — 78 Joe Leavy Took keen hold - prominent - led over 2f out - faced challenge and ridden over 1f out - ran on final 110yds(op 14/1) 2026-04-17 Newbury 7f Good Cla 6/11 18/1 1.00L — 63 Joe Leavy Disputed lead - lost position 2f out - weakened final furlong(op 40/1) Comment Took keen hold - prominent - led over 2f out - faced challenge and ridden over 1f out - ran on final 110yds(op 14/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Took keen hold - prominent - led over 2f out - faced challenge and ridden over 1f out - ran on final 110yds(op 14/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. RAJWAAH (GB) (#6 · Σ 44.0) 3yo F · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Gina Mangan Trainer Archie Watson Owner Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum Pedigree Sire Pinatubo (IRE) Dam Baiddaa (IRE) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 67.00 (Bet365) 16:21 71.00 (7Bet) 17:00 81.00 (Bet365) 09:11 126.00 (Bet365) 15:22 101.00 (Bet365) 15:35 126.00 (Bet365) 16:22 151.00 (Bet365) 16:49 126.00 (Bet365) 16:56 151.00 (Bet365) 17:00 201.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 2.0/10 RPR 69 is near the bottom of the rated runners. Form 2.0/10 Figures 60 — last of 9 on most recent start. Connections 6.0/10 Watson yard 13% strike (2 from 16), trainer Elo 1560, Mangan a 7lb claimer. Fitness 7.0/10 18 days off — fresh. Trip 5.0/10 Pinatubo x Dubawi — should handle 9f. Pace 4.0/10 Form suggests struggling at this level on the pace. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 2 — fine at Windsor. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 3.0/10 Beaten well last time — hard to make a case. Σ Summary 44.0/100 Low-rated and well beaten last day — needs huge improvement. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1466.2 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1584.5 (1535 runs, 141 wins, 9.2%) Trainer 1560.1 (5276 runs, 825 wins, 15.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 99r 9w 9% A/E 0.98 (fair) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor 103r 14w 14% A/E 0.81 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 65r 10w 15% A/E 1.19 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 657r 78w 12% A/E 0.86 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 9/10 150/1 1.75L — 69 Gina Mangan Midfield - weakened over 2f out(op 125/1) 2026-04-30 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 10/12 40/1 0.75L — 36 Laura Coughlan Led - headed but prominent from over 4f out - weakened from over 2f out(op 33/1) 2026-04-01 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 6/7 17/2 2.00L — 57 Hollie Doyle Took keen hold - pressed leader - weakened over 1f out(op 7/1) Comment Midfield - weakened over 2f out(op 125/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 150/1 (151.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 8.50 In-running comment Midfield - weakened over 2f out(op 125/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. MADAME PASSANT (FR) (#3 · Σ 36.0) 3yo F · Draw 4 · h Connections Jockey Thomas Greatrex Trainer Charlie Pike Owner Rc Vip Syndicate Vii Pedigree Sire Muhaarar (GB) Dam Pippa Chope (FR) Damsire Captain Chop Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:01 201.00 (Bet365) 18:20 251.00 (Midnite) 20:01 201.00 (Bet365) 02:00 251.00 (Midnite) 02:31 201.00 (Bet365) 09:11 301.00 (Bet365) 11:19 251.00 (Bet365) 15:35 301.00 (Bet365) 16:39 451.00 (Coral) 16:49 301.00 (Bet365) 16:56 451.00 (Coral) 17:00 501.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 1.0/10 RPR 57 the lowest in the race by 12lb — vastly outclassed. Form 2.0/10 Figures 70 — pulled up well beaten last time, hood reapplied. Connections 2.0/10 Pike yard 0 from 5 in 14 days, jockey Greatrex Elo 1466. Fitness 6.0/10 30 days off — within range. Trip 4.0/10 Muhaarar x Captain Chop — likely better short. Pace 4.0/10 No identifiable edge. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 4 — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 Hood worn; nothing new. Weight 5.0/10 Level weights. Value 2.0/10 Genuine no-hoper on figures. Σ Summary 36.0/100 RPR-rock-bottom with cold connections — a true outsider. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1479.7 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1465.6 (1083 runs, 106 wins, 9.8%) Trainer 1489.7 (36 runs, 1 wins, 2.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m no data Jockey @ 1m no data Jockey @ Windsor 33r 3w 9% A/E 1.02 (fair) Jockey × trainer 15r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m no data Trainer @ Windsor no data Sire progeny @ 1m no data Sire progeny in Class 2 314r 32w 10% A/E 0.94 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 1m no data Damsire grand in Class 2 no data Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m Good Cla 10/10 400/1 12.00L — 57 Thomas Greatrex Always behind(tchd 500/1) 2026-04-18 Newbury 1m Good Cla 21/25 200/1 0.75L — 45 Nicola Currie Always behind(op 150/1 tchd 100/1 and 250/1) 2026-04-01 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 7/13 66/1 0.10L — 43 Edward Greatrex Slowly away - took keen hold - towards rear - headway over 1f out - no impression final 110yds (jockey said filly ran too free)(tchd 80/1) Comment Always behind(tchd 500/1) Finishing result Position 10 SP 400/1 (401.000) Beaten (L) 12.00 Total beaten 20.50 In-running comment Always behind(tchd 500/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (2 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Windsor · 1m · Class 2 · Good Tattersalls £40 000 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) 1 Cap Santa Lucia (FR) won SP 16/1 2 Tahalel (IRE) 1.00L SP 3/1 3 Withtearsinmyeyes (IRE) 1.50L SP 7/2 4 Quisana (IRE) 0.10L SP 40/1 5 Chimes Of Thunder (GER) 0.10L SP 11/8F 6 Moonlit Surf (GB) 1.75L SP 20/1 7 Trelissick (GB) 0.75L SP 8/1 8 Zeriya (GB) 1.50L SP 20/1 9 Rajwaah (GB) 1.75L SP 150/1 10 Madame Passant (FR) 12.00L SP 400/1 2025-10-02 · Salisbury · 7f · Class 2 · Good British EBF Quidhampton Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) 3 Tahalel (IRE) 1.50L SP 13/8F 6 Chimes Of Thunder (GER) 0.50L SP 12/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: No confirmed front-runner — likely a steady, even-tempo mile and a furlong on good ground, which should suit hold-up types like Withtearsinmyeyes and Chimes Of Thunder over the one-paced sorts. Narrative: Withtearsinmyeyes tops the field on raw RPR (95) and has banked two consecutive seconds — the obvious progressive type for a yard whose Elo (1754) screams quality despite a quiet 14-day return. Chimes Of Thunder is the chief threat: RPR 89 after a much-improved second on her reappearance, with Haggas firing at 28% over 14 days and Marquand up. Tahalel adds further depth on official ratings, but her placed-not-won profile (203-3) is a worry in a fillies' maiden of this calibre. Below the top three this is a typical second-tier Windsor maiden with one debutante (Quisana) and a stable of mid-70s RPR types who would all need to find improvement. Recommended: Withtearsinmyeyes Top RPR (95) by 6lb over Chimes Of Thunder, two consecutive seconds suggesting a maiden win is overdue, only 10 days since last run, and a yard with elite Elo 1754. The most likely winner on the static numbers. Alternative: Chimes Of Thunder Sharp improver on RPR (6 then 2), Haggas in red-hot 14-day form (28% strike), Marquand booked, and a clear second on the form lines. The danger if the favourite fails to fire. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944296