============================================================================== RACE: Windsor ? · 2026-05-18 Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. FIRE THUNDER (IRE) (#8 · Σ 66.0) 2yo F · Draw 10 Connections Jockey Benoit De La Sayette Trainer Marco Botti Owner Mamba Racing Les Boyer Partnership Pedigree Sire Sioux Nation (USA) Dam Bosphorus Queen (IRE) Damsire Sri Pekan Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 4.50 (Bet365) 16:21 5.00 (Bet365) 09:11 6.00 (Bet365) 09:14 6.50 (Betfred) 10:40 7.00 (Betfred) 11:25 7.50 (Betfred) 12:12 7.00 (William Hill) 12:18 7.50 (Betfred) 14:45 7.00 (Coral) 15:01 6.50 (William Hill) 15:08 7.00 (Spreadex) 15:51 6.50 (Betfred) 15:59 6.00 (Grosvenor Sports) 16:04 6.50 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 72 just behind the leaders but Botti debut-runs often underrate. Form 8.0/10 Second on debut — strong line, likely to improve markedly. Connections 9.0/10 Botti hot 3/12 last 14d (25%), trainer Elo 1789 — top operation; De La Sayette 12% career. Fitness 8.0/10 10 days off — yard happy to run him back quickly. Trip 6.0/10 Sioux Nation progeny precocious sprint-milers. Pace 6.0/10 Unknown but likely forward. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 10, mid-high — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 6.0/10 Gets 5lb fillies' allowance — meaningful. Value 7.0/10 Quick reappearance from elite yard a strong signal markets sometimes miss. Σ Summary 66.0/100 Top-yard second-debut runner with weight relief — primary alternative. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1514.1 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1601.0 (1509 runs, 189 wins, 12.5%) Trainer 1788.9 (4305 runs, 528 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 59r 13w 22% A/E 1.55 (value) Jockey × trainer 101r 11w 11% A/E 0.78 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 210r 29w 14% A/E 1.02 (fair) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 166r 21w 13% A/E 1.06 (value) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 10r 1w 10% A/E 1.41 (value) Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 235r 23w 10% A/E 1.10 (value) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 2/12 9/2 1.25L — 72 Benoit De La Sayet Dwelt start - towards rear - hampered after 1f - waiting for room over 2f out - switched left and kept on well up the centre from over 1f out - ran on and went second final strides(tchd 5/1) 2026-05-08 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 2/6 25/1 0.20L — — Benoit De La Sayet Slowly away - in rear - headway under 2f out - switched left and against far rail inside final furlong - kept on and just held - eyecatcher(op 20/1) Comment Dwelt start - towards rear - hampered after 1f - waiting for room over 2f out - switched left and kept on well up the centre from over 1f out - ran on and went second final strides(tchd 5/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 1.25 Total beaten 1.25 In-running comment Dwelt start - towards rear - hampered after 1f - waiting for room over 2f out - switched left and kept on well up the centre from over 1f out - ran on and went second final strides(tchd 5/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. MAY BEE IN PROFIT (GB) (#9 · Σ 65.0) 2yo F · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Rossa Ryan Trainer Tim Easterby Owner The Wolf Pack 2 And Partner Pedigree Sire Profitable (IRE) Dam Bee Ina Bonnet (GB) Damsire Helmet Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 5.00 (Bet365) 09:11 6.00 (Bet365) 09:14 6.50 (Spreadex) 09:40 7.00 (Unibet) 14:55 7.50 (Spreadex) 15:51 8.00 (Unibet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 9.0/10 Top RPR (83) and top TS (57) — 2lb clear of nearest rival. Form 7.0/10 Recent second after needing the debut — improving line. Connections 6.0/10 Rossa Ryan jockey Elo 1623 (15% career), Easterby trainer Elo 1635 but 14d 10% only, RTF 39. Fitness 7.0/10 14 days off — ideal. Trip 6.0/10 Profitable progeny suit 5-7f, Helmet on dam-side adds stamina. Pace 6.0/10 Likely up with the pace based on improving line. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 8 — central, neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 6.0/10 Filly carrying 9-02 vs colts on 9-07 — useful allowance. Value 7.0/10 Top RPR + jockey upgrade often overlooked when stable strike rate is moderate. Σ Summary 65.0/100 Highest-rated filly with weight allowance and Ryan booked — primary win pick. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1509.8 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1623.3 (7127 runs, 1087 wins, 15.3%) Trainer 1635.0 (11825 runs, 1281 wins, 10.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 316r 50w 16% A/E 0.93 (fair) Jockey × trainer 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 31r 1w 3% A/E 0.36 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 181r 8w 4% A/E 0.46 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 28r 2w 7% A/E 0.67 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 3/12 6/1 0.30L — 83 Rossa Ryan Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong - lost second final strides(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) 2026-05-04 Beverley 5f Good To S Cla 2/11 22/1 0.50L — — Sean Kirrane Took keen hold - prominent - joined winner over 1f out - no extra towards finish(tchd 20/1) 2026-04-15 Beverley 5f Good To S Cla 9/11 33/1 0.50L — 45 David Allan Slowly into stride - towards rear - some headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out Comment Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong - lost second final strides(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 6/1 (7.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 1.50 In-running comment Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and pressed winner over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong - lost second final strides(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. CONCERT PITCH (IRE) (#3 · Σ 63.0) 2yo C · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Tom Marquand Trainer Brian Ellison Owner Keith Brown Pedigree Sire Kuroshio (AUS) Dam Ilulisset (FR) Damsire Rock Of Gibraltar Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 4.00 (Bet365) 09:11 3.75 (Bet365) 09:40 4.00 (Unibet) 10:07 3.75 (Bet365) 10:21 4.00 (Unibet) 11:58 3.75 (Bet365) 12:04 4.00 (Unibet) 12:10 3.75 (Bet365) 13:08 3.50 (Bet365) 14:55 3.75 (Bet365) 15:10 3.50 (Bet365) 15:39 3.75 (Unibet) 16:04 4.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 RPR 81, just 2lb behind top-rated May Bee In Profit and clear of most. Form 7.0/10 Placed third then second — consistent improvement. Connections 6.0/10 Marquand top-tier (jockey Elo 1647), but Ellison cold at 1/18 over 14 days. Fitness 7.0/10 14 days off — ideal turnaround. Trip 6.0/10 Already raced over 5-6f without disgrace. Pace 6.0/10 Likely up with the pace based on placed efforts. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 6 — central, no bias. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change. Weight 5.0/10 Top colt weight, non-handicap. Value 7.0/10 Experience edge undervalued vs flashy debutants. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Genuine top-two RPR with Marquand and two placings — primary form pick. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1534.9 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1647.1 (9343 runs, 1247 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1539.2 (5569 runs, 617 wins, 11.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 659r 101w 15% A/E 0.90 (fair) Jockey × trainer 14r 2w 14% A/E 1.18 (value) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 12r 3w 25% A/E 1.83 (value) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 26r 1w 4% A/E 0.67 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 464r 46w 10% A/E 0.90 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 6/12 4/1F 1.00L — 81 Tom Marquand Prominent - short of room over 2f out - switched left but outpaced from over 1f out(op 5/2) 2026-05-04 Beverley 5f Good To S Cla 2/9 9/4 0.50L — 70 Ben Robinson Pressed leader - led over 1f out - headed towards finish(op 5/2) 2026-04-23 Beverley 5f Good Cla 3/9 80/1 0.05L — 60 Cam Hardie Ducked left start - midfield - some headway over 1f out - ran on final 110yds(op 50/1) Comment Prominent - short of room over 2f out - switched left but outpaced from over 1f out(op 5/2) Finishing result Position 6 SP 4/1F (5.000) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 3.25 In-running comment Prominent - short of room over 2f out - switched left but outpaced from over 1f out(op 5/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. TOP COTE (IRE) (#7 · Σ 58.0) 2yo C · Draw 12 · p Connections Jockey Jonny Peate Trainer Jack Morland Owner Broderick And Everist Pedigree Sire Cotai Glory (GB) Dam Amber Kite (IRE) Damsire New Bay Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 8.50 (Bet365) 09:11 10.00 (Bet365) 09:14 11.00 (Spreadex) 10:40 12.00 (Spreadex) 12:25 13.00 (William Hill) 15:55 15.00 (Bet365) 16:04 21.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 73 mid-rank, within reach of top. Form 7.0/10 Placed second then third — consistent. Connections 5.0/10 Morland small operation, RTF 50 OK but 0/5 in last 14 days. Fitness 6.0/10 14 days off — fine. Trip 6.0/10 Already placed at 5-6f. Pace 6.0/10 Forward type based on placed runs. Draw 4.0/10 Wide stall 12 — slight disadvantage. Equipment 7.0/10 First-time cheekpieces after two placed efforts — sharpener. Weight 5.0/10 Standard colt weight. Value 6.0/10 Headgear angle often delivers boost. Σ Summary 58.0/100 Reliable placed colt with cheekpieces tweak — solid each-way profile. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1538.4 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1596.8 (1506 runs, 122 wins, 8.1%) Trainer 1621.0 (212 runs, 24 wins, 11.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 15r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer 7r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 200r 20w 10% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 4/12 16/1 0.30L — 73 Jonny Peate Soon prominent on outer - outpaced over 1f out - kept on(op 12/1 tchd 18/1) 2026-05-04 Bath 5f Good Cla 3/10 85/40 3.50L — 66 Pat Cosgrave Prominent - bit short of room 1f out - weakened final 110yds - no match for first two(op 2/1 tchd 9/4) 2026-04-25 Leicester 5f Good To F Cla 2/12 33/1 0.75L — 64 Jason Hart Towards rear - ran green 3f out - headway 2f out - edged right inside final furlong - went second towards finish(tchd 28/1) Comment Soon prominent on outer - outpaced over 1f out - kept on(op 12/1 tchd 18/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 1.75 In-running comment Soon prominent on outer - outpaced over 1f out - kept on(op 12/1 tchd 18/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. TINA FROMTRANSPORT (GB) (#11 · Σ 57.0) 2yo F · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Jason Watson Trainer Dylan Cunha Owner Elb Bloodstock Ltd Pedigree Sire Masar (IRE) Dam Illuzzi (IRE) Damsire Kodiac Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 17.00 (Bet365) 09:11 12.00 (Bet365) 09:20 13.00 (Bet365) 10:46 12.00 (Unibet) 10:48 11.00 (Bet365) 15:10 10.00 (Bet365) 15:45 11.00 (Bet365) 15:55 10.00 (Bet365) 15:59 11.00 (Unibet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 68 — rates 15lb behind topweight on ratings. Form 6.0/10 Third on debut — line worth respecting. Connections 7.0/10 Cunha 5/22 last 14d (23%), trainer Elo 1528 modest overall but in form, jockey 12% career. Fitness 7.0/10 19 days — fresh enough. Trip 5.0/10 Masar progeny stay further, 6f tight. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown style. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 2 inside, neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 6.0/10 Filly allowance. Value 6.0/10 Stable form often missed by markets at minor tracks. Σ Summary 57.0/100 Hot yard plus debut place — live but ratings gap is real. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1514.3 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1535.7 (4714 runs, 582 wins, 12.3%) Trainer 1527.9 (989 runs, 115 wins, 11.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 170r 8w 5% A/E 0.37 (negative) Jockey × trainer 9r 1w 11% A/E 0.72 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 24r 3w 12% A/E 0.93 (fair) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 35r 6w 17% A/E 1.51 (value) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 279r 24w 9% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 1/12 17/2 won — 68 Jason Watson Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and led narrowly over 1f out - ran on(op 9/1) 2026-04-29 Bath 5½f Firm Cla 3/10 40/1 0.20L — 56 Jason Watson Prominent - outpaced 2f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 66/1) Comment Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and led narrowly over 1f out - ran on(op 9/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 17/2 (9.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Took keen hold - disputed lead - ridden and led narrowly over 1f out - ran on(op 9/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. GRACEFUL GEORGE (IRE) (#4 · Σ 54.0) 2yo G · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Paddy Bradley Trainer Charlie Fellowes Owner David Collins Pedigree Sire Inns Of Court (IRE) Dam Khibrah (GB) Damsire Dark Angel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 11.00 (Bet365) 16:21 10.00 (Bet365) 09:11 9.00 (Boyle Sports) 09:14 8.50 (Bet365) 10:07 8.00 (Bet365) 11:50 8.50 (Bet365) 11:52 8.00 (Bet365) 12:58 8.50 (Bet365) 15:10 8.00 (Bet365) 15:31 8.50 (Bet365) 15:59 9.00 (Betfred) 16:04 8.50 (Unibet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 69 mid-pack, 12lb behind top. Form 5.0/10 Fourth on debut — fair effort. Connections 6.0/10 Fellowes a sharp 2yo yard (trainer Elo 1711) but 1/13 over 14 days; Bradley journeyman. Fitness 6.0/10 18 days off after debut — natural step. Trip 6.0/10 Pedigree fine over 6f, Inns Of Court progeny precocious. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown style from one run. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 3 inside, neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Standard colt weight. Value 5.0/10 Likely overlooked but plenty needs to come right. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Improver from a 2yo-savvy yard but rating gap to leaders is the snag. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1509.7 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1654.3 (1969 runs, 167 wins, 8.5%) Trainer 1711.1 (2609 runs, 319 wins, 12.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 102r 8w 8% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer 27r 9w 33% A/E 2.06 (value) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 89r 13w 15% A/E 1.09 (value) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 63r 5w 8% A/E 0.69 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 6r 1w 17% A/E 1.81 (value) Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 372r 34w 9% A/E 0.81 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 8/12 15/2 0.50L — 69 Paddy Bradley Prominent against rail - hung left and weakened 2f out (jockey said gelding hung left-handed inside the final 2f)(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) 2026-04-30 Kempton (AW) 6f Standard Cla 4/10 25/1 0.30L — 62 Harry Davies In touch with leaders - outpaced and hung left over 1f out - rallied inside final furlong (jockey said gelding hung left-handed)(op 33/1 tchd 22/1) Comment Prominent against rail - hung left and weakened 2f out (jockey said gelding hung left-handed inside the final 2f)(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) Finishing result Position 8 SP 15/2 (8.500) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 4.75 In-running comment Prominent against rail - hung left and weakened 2f out (jockey said gelding hung left-handed inside the final 2f)(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. CELTIC CHARIOTEER (GB) (#2 · Σ 53.0) 2yo C · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer James Ferguson Owner Ms L Mars Pedigree Sire Mondialiste (IRE) Dam Just Jealous (IRE) Damsire Lope De Vega Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 13.00 (Bet365) 16:21 15.00 (William Hill) 18:20 17.00 (Coral) 09:11 15.00 (Coral) 09:34 12.00 (Bet365) 10:40 13.00 (Bet365) 13:45 12.00 (Bet365) 15:16 11.00 (Bet365) 15:45 12.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 Unraced, no RPR. Form 3.0/10 No form. Connections 8.0/10 Ferguson 1/4 last 14d, RTF 75, jockey Elo 1626 with Osborne — strong combo. Fitness 6.0/10 Fresh debut from in-form yard. Trip 5.0/10 Pedigree neutral over 6f. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 1 — inside rail on Windsor straight is fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Standard colt weight. Value 6.0/10 Yard placement signal often strong. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Hot connections firing in debutant — must respect. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1678.2 (1164 runs, 161 wins, 13.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 168r 15w 9% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 41r 3w 7% A/E 0.48 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 42r 2w 5% A/E 0.36 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 17r 1w 6% A/E 0.59 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 151r 14w 9% A/E 0.65 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 9/12 7/1 0.30L — — Saffie Osborne Slowly into stride - towards rear throughout - kept on towards finish(op 11/1) Comment Slowly into stride - towards rear throughout - kept on towards finish(op 11/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 7/1 (8.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 5.25 In-running comment Slowly into stride - towards rear throughout - kept on towards finish(op 11/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. SERENITY BAY (GB) (#10 · Σ 52.0) 2yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Kieran Shoemark Trainer Ed Dunlop Owner Nick Bradley Racing 25 Dunlop Pedigree Sire Bayside Boy (IRE) Dam Star Story (GB) Damsire Sea The Stars Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 21.00 (Bet365) 09:11 23.00 (Bet365) 09:14 26.00 (Bet365) 10:48 23.00 (Bet365) 11:37 21.00 (Bet365) 11:52 19.00 (Bet365) 12:04 17.00 (Bet365) 14:31 19.00 (Bet365) 15:10 17.00 (Bet365) 15:43 19.00 (Bet365) 15:45 17.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 No RPR — unraced. Form 3.0/10 No form. Connections 7.0/10 Dunlop 4/15 in last 14d (27%), Shoemark experienced (Elo 1586) — yard signal positive. Fitness 6.0/10 Fresh debut. Trip 5.0/10 Bayside Boy progeny OK at 6f but Sea The Stars line wants more. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5, central — fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 6.0/10 Filly allowance helps. Value 5.0/10 Yard form is strongest live-debut clue. Σ Summary 52.0/100 Yard firing but pedigree suggests this trip a touch sharp first up. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1585.9 (5381 runs, 634 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1595.3 (4540 runs, 477 wins, 10.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 278r 36w 13% A/E 1.00 (fair) Jockey × trainer 48r 4w 8% A/E 0.77 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 395r 36w 9% A/E 0.75 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 260r 45w 17% A/E 1.08 (value) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 11/12 16/1 3.50L — — Kieran Shoemark Dwelt start - in rear - switched left 2f out - up the centre and weakened over 1f out(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) Comment Dwelt start - in rear - switched left 2f out - up the centre and weakened over 1f out(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) Finishing result Position 11 SP 16/1 (17.000) Beaten (L) 3.50 Total beaten 8.75 In-running comment Dwelt start - in rear - switched left 2f out - up the centre and weakened over 1f out(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. TERRY O (GB) (#6 · Σ 51.0) 2yo G · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Dylan Hogan Trainer Jim & Suzi Best Owner Milldean Racing Syndicate Pedigree Sire Aclaim (IRE) Dam Poly Pomona (GB) Damsire Green Desert Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 13.00 (Bet365) 09:11 19.00 (William Hill) 09:24 21.00 (William Hill) 09:40 19.00 (Spreadex) 10:40 23.00 (Spreadex) 12:51 21.00 (Coral) 12:58 23.00 (Spreadex) 13:35 21.00 (Coral) 13:41 23.00 (Spreadex) 13:45 21.00 (Coral) 14:55 19.00 (William Hill) 15:45 21.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 74 — fourth-best of those with ratings. Form 5.0/10 Fourth on sole start, just a single line. Connections 3.0/10 Jim & Suzi Best yard Elo 1357 — well below average; 0/9 last 14d. Fitness 6.0/10 14 days off, ideal gap. Trip 5.0/10 Aclaim progeny generally suited to sprints. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 — middle of straight track. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 5.0/10 Standard. Value 5.0/10 RPR vs perception of yard could create overlay. Σ Summary 51.0/100 Decent RPR offset by very weak yard signal. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1509.9 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1521.1 (2885 runs, 268 wins, 9.3%) Trainer 1357.4 (410 runs, 39 wins, 9.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 58r 6w 10% A/E 0.95 (fair) Jockey × trainer 15r 2w 13% A/E 1.31 (value) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 8r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 145r 11w 8% A/E 0.79 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1345r 104w 8% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 5/12 20/1 0.50L — 74 Dylan Hogan Slightly awkward start - took keen hold - midfield against rail - not clear run and dropped to rear over 2f out - switched left but short of room over 1f out - ran on when in the clear inside final furlong - did well in the circumstances (jockey said gelding was denied a clear run on multiple occasion inside the final 1 1/2f)(tchd 18/1) 2026-05-04 Bath 5f Good Cla 4/10 25/1 0.50L — 67 Dougie Costello In touch with leaders - short of room and hit rail 1f out - ran on final 110yds - did well in the circumstances(op 20/1 tchd 40/1) Comment Slightly awkward start - took keen hold - midfield against rail - not clear run and dropped to rear over 2f out - switched left but short of room over 1f out - ran on when in the clear inside final furlong - did well in the circumstances (jockey said gelding was denied a clear run on multiple occasion inside the final 1 1/2f)(tchd 18/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 2.25 In-running comment Slightly awkward start - took keen hold - midfield against rail - not clear run and dropped to rear over 2f out - switched left but short of room over 1f out - ran on when in the clear inside final furlong - did well in the circumstances (jockey said gelding was denied a clear run on multiple occasion inside the final 1 1/2f)(tchd 18/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. KACH ABOVE (GB) (#5 · Σ 46.0) 2yo C · Draw 9 Connections Jockey Laura Pearson Trainer David Loughnane Owner David Lowe Pedigree Sire Far Above (IRE) Dam Kachess (GB) Damsire Kyllachy Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 13.00 (Bet365) 16:21 12.00 (Bet365) 09:11 13.00 (Bet365) 09:14 15.00 (Betfred) 09:20 12.00 (Bet365) 09:34 11.00 (Bet365) 09:40 10.00 (Bet365) 09:46 11.00 (Bet365) 10:54 12.00 (Bet365) 11:52 13.00 (Bet365) 12:10 12.00 (Bet365) 12:58 13.00 (Bet365) 15:51 12.00 (Betfred) 15:59 10.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 63 the lowest of those with figures. Form 4.0/10 Fourth on debut — modest. Connections 3.0/10 Loughnane on a cold streak 0/15, Pearson modest jockey Elo 1516. Fitness 7.0/10 7 days off — sharp reappearance suggests confidence. Trip 5.0/10 Pedigree OK at 5-6f. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 9, neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Standard. Value 4.0/10 Hard to back with yard so cold. Σ Summary 46.0/100 Quick turnaround the only real plus — RPR and stable form against. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1515.5 (1327 runs, 123 wins, 9.3%) Trainer 1609.3 (3245 runs, 333 wins, 10.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 32r 7w 22% A/E 1.51 (value) Jockey × trainer 359r 39w 11% A/E 1.00 (fair) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 56r 11w 20% A/E 1.34 (value) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 23r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 352r 19w 5% A/E 0.52 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 7/12 15/2 1.00L — 63 Laura Pearson In touch with leaders on outer - weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 9/1 tchd 7/1) 2026-05-11 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 4/11 14/1 0.75L — — Daniel Muscutt Towards rear - headway from over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(op 18/1) Comment In touch with leaders on outer - weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 9/1 tchd 7/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 15/2 (8.500) Beaten (L) 1.00 Total beaten 4.25 In-running comment In touch with leaders on outer - weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 9/1 tchd 7/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11. BETTER NATURE (GB) (#1 · Σ 44.0) 2yo G · Draw 11 Connections Jockey Joe Leavy Trainer Jonathan Portman Owner Shelmore Bloodstock And Partners Pedigree Sire Lightning Spear (GB) Dam Awesomebynature (GB) Damsire Kodiac Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 17.00 (Bet365) 16:21 21.00 (William Hill) 00:31 23.00 (William Hill) 09:11 29.00 (William Hill) 10:46 26.00 (Unibet) 10:48 23.00 (William Hill) 11:50 21.00 (Bet365) 11:52 23.00 (Spreadex) 12:10 26.00 (Bet365) 13:45 29.00 (Spreadex) 14:22 34.00 (Spreadex) 14:33 29.00 (William Hill) 15:10 34.00 (Coral) 15:39 29.00 (Bet365) 15:55 34.00 (Bet365) 15:59 36.00 (7Bet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 Unraced with no RPR vs rivals up to 83. Form 3.0/10 No form to assess. Connections 6.0/10 Portman 14d 3/19 (16%), trainer Elo 1704 solid, but Leavy is journeyman 11% career. Fitness 5.0/10 Debutant — fresh but untested racecourse-wise. Trip 4.0/10 Lightning Spear progeny usually want further; 6f stiff a query. Pace 5.0/10 Style unknown on debut. Draw 4.0/10 Drawn 11 of 12 on Windsor straight 6f neutral-to-slight-low bias. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 5.0/10 Top colt weight 9-07, non-handicap. Value 4.0/10 Hard to back blind against placed rivals. Σ Summary 44.0/100 Unraced colt from solid yard but no obvious edge over experienced rivals. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1516.9 (1320 runs, 147 wins, 11.1%) Trainer 1704.1 (2766 runs, 273 wins, 9.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 33r 2w 6% A/E 0.69 (negative) Jockey × trainer 32r 7w 22% A/E 1.64 (value) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 551r 39w 7% A/E 0.75 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 18r 3w 17% A/E 1.82 (value) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 279r 24w 9% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 10/12 20/1 0.10L — — Joe Leavy Dwelt start - towards rear - no impression (jockey said gelding hung right-handed under pressure)(op 33/1) Comment Dwelt start - towards rear - no impression (jockey said gelding hung right-handed under pressure)(op 33/1) Finishing result Position 10 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 5.25 In-running comment Dwelt start - towards rear - no impression (jockey said gelding hung right-handed under pressure)(op 33/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12. VELMA DINKLEY (GB) (#12 · Σ 43.0) 2yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Charles Bishop Trainer Faye Bramley Owner Studart James Bloodstock Pedigree Sire Expert Eye (GB) Dam Visala (GB) Damsire Exceed And Excel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 26.00 (Bet365) 09:11 41.00 (Bet365) 09:34 51.00 (Midnite) 10:13 41.00 (Bet365) 14:10 34.00 (Coral) 14:31 29.00 (Bet365) 15:45 41.00 (Coral) 16:04 51.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 Unraced, no RPR. Form 3.0/10 No form. Connections 3.0/10 Bramley 0/11 in last 14 days, RTF 27 (poor), Bishop modest 10% career. Fitness 5.0/10 Fresh debutant. Trip 5.0/10 Expert Eye progeny OK at sprint distances. Pace 5.0/10 Unknown. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7, central — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear. Weight 6.0/10 Filly allowance. Value 3.0/10 Yard form discourages support. Σ Summary 43.0/100 Unraced from a yard out of form — easily passed over. Verdict Outsider ELO Jockey 1538.4 (4940 runs, 478 wins, 9.7%) Trainer 1590.1 (148 runs, 20 wins, 13.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 6f no data Jockey @ 6f no data Jockey @ Windsor 377r 33w 9% A/E 0.76 (negative) Jockey × trainer 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 6f no data Trainer @ Windsor 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 6f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 87r 6w 7% A/E 0.71 (negative) Dam progeny @ 6f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 no data Damsire grand @ 6f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 712r 69w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 6f Good Cla 12/12 40/1 0.30L — — Charles Bishop Never better than midfield - ran green and weakened 2f out Comment Never better than midfield - ran green and weakened 2f out Finishing result Position 12 SP 40/1 (41.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 9.00 In-running comment Never better than midfield - ran green and weakened 2f out ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (2 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Windsor · 6f · Class 2 · Good Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) 1 Tina Fromtransport (GB) won SP 17/2 2 Fire Thunder (IRE) 1.25L SP 9/2 3 May Bee In Profit (GB) 0.30L SP 6/1 4 Top Cote (IRE) 0.30L SP 16/1 5 Terry O (GB) 0.50L SP 20/1 6 Concert Pitch (IRE) 1.00L SP 4/1F 7 Kach Above (GB) 1.00L SP 15/2 8 Graceful George (IRE) 0.50L SP 15/2 9 Celtic Charioteer (GB) 0.30L SP 7/1 10 Better Nature (GB) 0.10L SP 20/1 11 Serenity Bay (GB) 3.50L SP 16/1 12 Velma Dinkley (GB) 0.30L SP 40/1 2026-05-04 · Bath · 5f · Class 3 · Good Blast Event Hire EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) 3 Top Cote (IRE) 3.50L SP 85/40 4 Terry O (GB) 0.50L SP 25/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: No confirmed dominant front-runner, so expect a fair tempo with a small group disputing the lead; suits horses with proven racing experience over fancied debutants on this stiff straight 6f. Narrative: Open Band D maiden where May Bee In Profit tops the ratings with RPR 83 after a placed second last time, but Concert Pitch (RPR 81, 32 form, Marquand) and the Botti-trained Fire Thunder (debut second, hot yard) look the chief threats. Top Cote gets first-time cheekpieces after two placed efforts and is solid each-way material. Four unraced runners add uncertainty but only Serenity Bay (Dunlop on a 27% 14-day strike) screams live debut. Race shape likely even with no obvious lone leader on a stiff Windsor 6f. Recommended: May Bee In Profit Top RPR (83) in the field by 2lb, placed second last time after needing the debut, and Rossa Ryan stays loyal. Easterby's 2yos go forward for experience. Alternative: Fire Thunder Botti yard firing at 25% over 14 days with Elo 1789, finished second on debut at this trip — natural progression line and gets weight allowance off the colts. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944309