============================================================================== RACE: Windsor ? · 2026-05-18 Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap (Fitzdares Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. REGAL ENVOY (IRE) (#8 · Σ 73.0) 7yo G · Draw 8 · p Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer William Knight Owner Oakman Racing Club Pedigree Sire Ardad (IRE) Dam Regina (GB) Damsire Green Desert Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 4.33 (CopyBet) 15:01 5.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 4.75 (CopyBet) 17:21 5.00 (William Hill) 19:02 5.50 (Coral) 09:11 7.00 (William Hill) 10:03 7.50 (Coral) 13:10 8.00 (William Hill) 13:37 7.50 (William Hill) 13:43 8.00 (Coral) 14:31 7.50 (William Hill) 15:31 8.00 (Coral) 15:45 7.50 (Bet365) 15:49 8.00 (Coral) 16:18 8.50 (Bet365) 16:29 8.00 (Bet365) 16:36 9.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 112, TS 98 — competitive class figures, just below the 114 trio. Form 8.0/10 806-31 — recent win at lower level; clearly in form. Connections 9.0/10 Knight 14d 23% (3/13) RTF 62; Saffie Osborne Elo 1626 in form. Strong combination. Fitness 8.0/10 14 days since last run — bang in the sweet spot. Trip 7.0/10 Ardad progeny clearly suited to 5-6f. Pace 7.0/10 Should track the pace and pounce, race shape suits. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 8 neutral at Windsor 5f. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces reapplied — same gear as for last win. Weight 7.0/10 121lb bottom-tier weight off OFR 88 — handicapper might already be catching up but still workable. Value 8.0/10 Winning profile from a hot yard tends to be slightly under-rated when the recent win was at lower class. Σ Summary 73.0/100 Hits every important box — class par, recent win, hot stable, light weight, good Elo profile. Most likely winner. Verdict Strong contender ELO Horse 1676.1 (45 runs, 13 wins, 28.9%) Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1723.4 (2543 runs, 301 wins, 11.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 168r 15w 9% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 12r 2w 17% A/E 1.25 (value) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 197r 18w 9% A/E 0.83 (negative) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 209r 19w 9% A/E 0.94 (fair) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 12r 2w 17% A/E 1.87 (value) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1345r 104w 8% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 2/9 15/2 1.75L 88 115 Saffie Osborne Taken down early - dwelt start - raced in last - switched left and headway over 1f out - ridden and went second inside final furlong - ran on but no chance with winner towards finish(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) 2026-05-04 Bath 5f Good Cla 1/6 5/1 won 85 93 Taylor Fisher Made all - pushed along 2f out - ridden over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong - always doing enough(tchd 9/2 and tchd 11/2) 2026-04-14 Newmarket 5f Good Cla 3/8 11/2 1.00L 86 81 Oisin Murphy Led group that raced near side - weakened gradually inside final furlong - 1st of 5 in group(op 5/1 tchd 9/2) 2025-10-18 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 6/10 14/1 7.00L 88 67 Luke Morris In touch with leaders - chased clear leader 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 9/1) 2025-09-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 10/14 40/1 0.10L 90 82 Marco Ghiani Midfield - towards rear 2f out - some headway inside final furlong 2025-08-28 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 8/14 33/1 0.30L 92 91 Darragh Keenan Pressed leader - carried right when weakening inside final furlong(tchd 28/1 and tchd 40/1) 2025-08-09 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 8/10 12/1 0.50L 94 90 Joanna Mason Pressed leader - weakened final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-07-29 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 20/20 28/1 3.25L 95 50 William Buick Prominent switched to far side - lost position over 2f out - weakened over 1f out 2025-06-28 York 5f Good Cla 5/7 11/2 1.25L 95 79 Oisin Murphy Led but pestered - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/2) 2025-06-09 Windsor 5f Good Cla 1/10 9/2 won 91 100 Oisin Murphy Made all - kept on from over 1f out - hung left inside final furlong(op 4/1 tchd 7/2) 2025-05-19 Windsor 5f Good To F Cla 1/8 7/2 won 88 95 Oisin Murphy Pressed leader on outer - led narrowly 2f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong - just did enough(op 10/3) 2025-05-12 Windsor 6f Good To F Cla 2/10 8/1 0.50L 88 94 Oisin Murphy Pressed leader - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 13/2 tchd 8/1) 2025-04-17 Newmarket 5f Good Cla 1/9 8/1 won 84 94 Oisin Murphy Took keen hold - disputed lead - raced in second after 1f - ridden to lead 1f out - kept on well(op 13/2 tchd 17/2) 2025-04-04 Bath 5f Good To F Cla 4/9 8/1 0.20L 84 81 Brandon Wilkie In touch with leaders - headway 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(tchd 7/1) 2024-11-09 Chelmsford (A 5f Standard Cla 1/10 8/1 won 81 93 Brandon Wilkie Prominent - ridden over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on to lead towards finish - cosily(op 10/1) 2024-10-12 Chelmsford (A 6f Standard Cla 1/8 11/2 won 79 85 Brandon Wilkie Prominent - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - kept on inside final 110yds - just held on(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) 2024-09-21 Newmarket 6f Good To F Cla 6/11 18/1 2.50L 80 75 Neil Callan Raced centre - pressed leader and led group - challenging 2f out - hung left and headed in group over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong(tchd 16/1) 2024-08-15 Windsor 6f Good To F Cla 2/9 33/1 0.50L 79 88 Hayley Turner Took keen hold - led - headed under 2f out - hung left from 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 25/1) 2024-07-26 York 6f Good To F Cla 17/21 18/1 1.75L 81 54 Brandon Wilkie Pressed leader up the centre - weakened over 1f out(op 20/1) 2024-07-19 Newmarket (Ju 5f Good Cla 6/9 17/2 1.75L 81 79 Jack Mitchell In touch with leaders - disputing second over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 8/1) Comment Taken down early - dwelt start - raced in last - switched left and headway over 1f out - ridden and went second inside final furlong - ran on but no chance with winner towards finish(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 15/2 (8.500) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 1.75 OR after 88 In-running comment Taken down early - dwelt start - raced in last - switched left and headway over 1f out - ridden and went second inside final furlong - ran on but no chance with winner towards finish(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. REDORANGE (GB) (#3 · Σ 69.0) 4yo G · Draw 1 · t Connections Jockey Rossa Ryan Trainer Clive Cox Owner Al Mohamediya Racing Pedigree Sire Mehmas (IRE) Dam Ring For Baileys (GB) Damsire Kyllachy Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 3.75 (CopyBet) 15:01 3.50 (CopyBet) 17:21 3.25 (Bet365) 19:02 2.50 (Bet365) 03:30 2.38 (Bet365) 09:11 2.25 (Coral) 09:34 2.38 (Coral) 12:12 2.50 (Coral) 16:31 2.63 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 Joint-top RPR 114 with TS 102; second-best OFR (100) in the race. Form 5.0/10 3287-8 — placed early but tailing off; 8th LTO is the latest line. Connections 7.0/10 Cox 14d 14% (3/21) is solid; Rossa Ryan (Elo 1623) is a high-volume strong rider. Fitness 8.0/10 Just 4 days off the last run — Cox very rarely runs a horse back this quickly without intent. Trip 7.0/10 Mehmas progeny built for 5-6f; well established at the trip. Pace 7.0/10 Hold-up style suits a strong tempo over 5f at Windsor. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 1 — lowest rail draw can be a plus if it gets cover on the inner. Equipment 7.0/10 Tongue tie applied — equipment tweak worth noting on quick comeback. Weight 6.0/10 133lb — high but reflective of his class. Value 7.0/10 Class plus quick turnaround plus equipment tweak is a confidence signal often under-rated by the market. Σ Summary 69.0/100 Joint-top RPR, sharp connections and tactical pointers tilt this strongly in his favour relative to the rest. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1679.7 (12 runs, 2 wins, 16.7%) Jockey 1623.3 (7127 runs, 1087 wins, 15.3%) Trainer 1776.0 (4868 runs, 692 wins, 14.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 316r 50w 16% A/E 0.93 (fair) Jockey × trainer 285r 46w 16% A/E 0.91 (fair) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 605r 82w 14% A/E 0.87 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 447r 47w 11% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 18r 1w 6% A/E 0.41 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 352r 19w 5% A/E 0.52 (negative) Past form (last 14 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 1/9 11/8F won 100 114 Rossa Ryan Prominent against rail - switched left over 1f out - ran on to lead inside final furlong - kept on well(op 6/4 tchd 13/8) 2026-05-14 York 5f Good Cla 8/21 10/1 0.50L 100 112 Ryan Moore Raced far side - in rear - waiting for room over 2f out - going okay when not clear run over 1f out - not clear run when headway inside final 110yds - eyecatcher - 6th of 15 in group (jockey said gelding was denied a clear run on several occasions from 2f out) 2025-09-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 7/14 13/2 0.50L 102 99 Rossa Ryan In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - carried left and weakened inside final furlong(op 15/2 tchd 6/1) 2025-08-30 Beverley 5f Good To F Cla 8/9 10/1 3.75L 104 79 Oisin Orr Always behind(op 8/1 tchd 11/1) 2025-08-10 Deauville (FR 5f Good — 2/11 29/10F 1.50L — 108 Rossa Ryan Tracked leader - led 2f out - shaken up 1 1/2f out - ran on - headed final 100yds - no extra 2025-07-29 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 3/20 5/1 0.50L 100 109 Rossa Ryan In rear towards near side - switched left when headway over 1f out - went third inside final 110yds - kept on well(op 9/2) 2025-07-12 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 4/17 5/1 0.20L 99 101 David Probert Midfield - switched left over 2f out - headway and went fourth over 1f out - did well in the circumstances(tchd 11/2) 2025-06-20 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 3/24 12/1 0.10L 95 104 Rossa Ryan Raced far side - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led narrowly over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - kept on - 1st of 7 in group (jockey said gelding hung left-handed in final furlong)(op 11/1) 2025-05-07 Chester 5f Good Cla 1/10 11/10F won 86 98 Rossa Ryan Started quickly - in touch with leaders on inner - ridden and headway over 1f out - led inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/4) 2025-04-25 Sandown 5f Good Cla 3/9 100/30 0.75L 85 90 Finley Marsh Started quickly - disputed lead - pressed winner 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 16/5 tchd 3/1) 2024-09-19 Yarmouth 6f Good To F Cla 1/6 9/4 won 79 85 Rossa Ryan Made all - nudged along over 2f out - readily(op 5/2 tchd 11/4) 2024-08-14 Salisbury 6f Good To F Cla 2/12 11/1 2.50L — 79 Kieran Shoemark Prominent - pressed leader on near side of group 2f out - outpaced inside final furlong - soon no chance with winner - kept on(op 14/1 tchd 10/1) 2024-06-14 Sandown 5f Good Cla 3/12 5/1 0.30L — 70 Richard Kingscote In touch with leaders - headway when edged right over 1f out - soon went third - kept on(op 6/1) 2024-05-24 Bath 5f Good Cla 5/8 14/1 0.30L — 60 John Fahy Took keen hold - led - joined over 3f out - headed over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 12/1 tchd 11/1) Comment Prominent against rail - switched left over 1f out - ran on to lead inside final furlong - kept on well(op 6/4 tchd 13/8) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/8F (2.380) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 100 In-running comment Prominent against rail - switched left over 1f out - ran on to lead inside final furlong - kept on well(op 6/4 tchd 13/8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. RHYTHM N HOOVES (GB) (#10 · Σ 65.0) 6yo G · Draw 3 · p Connections Jockey Joe Leavy Trainer Robert Cowell Owner The Cool Silk Partnership Pedigree Sire Pearl Secret (GB) Dam Street Jazz (GB) Damsire Acclamation Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 8.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 10.00 (Bet365) 18:41 11.00 (Bet365) 09:11 8.50 (Bet365) 09:59 8.00 (Bet365) 10:19 7.50 (Bet365) 14:57 8.00 (Bet365) 15:10 7.50 (Bet365) 15:16 8.00 (Bet365) 15:45 7.50 (Bet365) 16:10 7.00 (Bet365) 16:18 7.50 (Bet365) 16:31 7.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 Joint-top RPR 114 with the highest TS (110) in the field. Form 5.0/10 5-4454 — running consistently in mid-pack but no winning figure of late. Connections 5.0/10 Cowell 14d 10% (1/10), RTF 40; jockey Leavy Elo 1517 below average. Fitness 7.0/10 17 days since last — fitness window fine. Trip 7.0/10 Pearl Secret progeny built for 5f; trip ideal. Pace 6.0/10 Mid-pack style; needs race to flow. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 3 — fine low-rail draw at Windsor. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces reapplied. Weight 8.0/10 119lb off mark 86 — well handicapped if his Elo is anywhere near right. Value 7.0/10 Elo and TS suggest more ability than the 86 mark; market may over-rate the recent figures. Σ Summary 65.0/100 Class metrics and weight combine well; pilot and yard form are the only real handicaps to enthusiasm. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1751.4 (46 runs, 7 wins, 15.2%) Jockey 1516.9 (1320 runs, 147 wins, 11.1%) Trainer 1612.9 (3020 runs, 365 wins, 12.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 33r 2w 6% A/E 0.69 (negative) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 211r 21w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 45r 4w 9% A/E 1.09 (value) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 21r 1w 5% A/E 0.47 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 632r 50w 8% A/E 0.71 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 3/9 11/2 1.50L 86 114 Joe Leavy In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - kept on but no match for first two(op 6/1) 2026-05-01 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 4/11 11/2 0.75L 88 81 Saffie Osborne Prominent on near side of group - edged right and no extra inside final furlong(op 6/1) 2026-04-04 Musselburgh 5f Soft Cla 5/14 12/1 0.50L 89 89 Jason Hart Pressed leaders on outer - led 2f out - headed over 1f out - soon hampered and switched right - weakened inside final 110yds(tchd 14/1) 2026-03-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 4/12 9/1 0.75L 90 94 Marco Ghiani Prominent - no extra inside final 110yds(op 8/1) 2026-02-06 Newcastle (AW 5f Standard Cla 4/14 14/1 0.05L 91 91 Marco Ghiani Led but pestered - headed over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds - lost third post(tchd 16/1) 2025-12-20 Wolverhampton 5f Standard Cla 5/6 7/4F 2.00L 92 84 Billy Loughnane Taken down early - prominent early - in touch with leaders after 1f - weakened and hung left inside final furlong(op 13/8) 2025-12-09 Newcastle (AW 5f Standard Cla 3/9 7/1 0.20L 92 96 Tom Eaves Led - headed over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - lost second final strides(op 15/2 tchd 13/2) 2025-11-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 2/7 7/1 0.10L 90 96 Tom Eaves Led - faced challenge inside final furlong - headed towards finish(op 9/1 tchd 6/1) 2025-11-08 Wolverhampton 5f Standard Cla 2/10 9/2 1.00L 90 94 Marco Ghiani Disputed lead early - in touch with leaders after 1f - outpaced halfway - headway and went second inside final furlong - kept on but no match for winner(op 5/1) 2025-10-10 York 5f Good Cla 6/18 14/1 1.00L 91 88 Silvestre De Sousa Prominent towards near side - ridden over 1f out - edged right inside final furlong - kept on inside final 110yds(op 20/1) 2025-09-13 Doncaster 5½f Good Cla 19/21 25/1 0.50L 91 74 Billy Loughnane Prominent towards far side - weakened final furlong(op 18/1) 2025-08-16 Newbury 5f Good To F Cla 1/11 9/2J won 87 97 Billy Loughnane Towards rear - headway on near side of group from over 1f out - ridden final furlong - kept on and led towards finish(tchd 5/1) 2025-07-26 Ascot 5f Good Cla 2/14 16/1 0.75L 85 91 Silvestre De Sousa Prominent - led 1f out - kept on but headed towards finish(op 11/1) 2025-07-12 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 7/17 14/1 0.30L 87 82 Silvestre De Sousa Midfield - headway over 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(tchd 16/1) 2025-06-27 Newcastle (AW 5f Standard Cla 6/14 14/1 0.30L 88 87 Barry McHugh Towards rear - headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - weakened towards finish(op 12/1) 2025-06-07 Epsom 5f Good Cla 14/19 28/1 1.00L 89 69 James Sullivan Took keen hold - midfield on near side of group - short of room over 3f out - no impression when hampered over 1f out(op 22/1) 2025-05-19 Windsor 5f Good To F Cla 3/8 5/1 0.75L 89 93 Rossa Ryan Soon towards rear - headway from 2f out - challenging inside final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 13/2) 2025-05-02 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 4/7 10/1 0.75L 90 92 Luke Morris Pressed leader - lost position and carried head awkwardly from 1f out - soon no extra (vet said gelding lost his right-fore shoe)(tchd 9/1) 2025-04-06 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 2/13 10/1 0.75L 87 96 Billy Loughnane In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - headed but kept on inside final furlong(tchd 9/1) 2025-03-12 Wolverhampton 5f Standard Cla 4/9 4/1 2.00L 87 83 Billy Loughnane Midfield - headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - no impression final 110yds(op 7/2) Comment In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - kept on but no match for first two(op 6/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 11/2 (6.500) Beaten (L) 1.50 Total beaten 3.25 OR after 86 In-running comment In touch with leaders - prominent over 1f out - kept on but no match for first two(op 6/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. ALL WAYS GLAMOROUS (GB) (#9 · Σ 63.0) 5yo G · Draw 2 · p Connections Jockey Gina Mangan Trainer Christopher Mason Owner Robert Nina Bailey Pedigree Sire Cable Bay (IRE) Dam Go Glamorous (IRE) Damsire Elnadim Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 5.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 7.00 (Bet365) 18:20 6.50 (Bet365) 18:41 7.50 (Bet365) 09:11 12.00 (Midnite) 09:36 9.00 (Coral) 10:13 8.50 (Coral) 16:04 8.00 (Bet365) 16:36 8.50 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 110, TS 105 — class figures fully competitive at this level. Form 7.0/10 2227-3 — four consecutive placings; reliable each-way profile. Connections 4.0/10 Mason 14d 0/4, RTF 50; jockey Gina Mangan Elo 1584 — workmanlike. Fitness 7.0/10 17 days since last run — solid window. Trip 6.0/10 Cable Bay sireline 5-7f range; trip suits. Pace 6.0/10 Closer in style; needs strong tempo. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 — low draws fine at Windsor 5f. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces reapplied. Weight 8.0/10 Just 119lb to carry — well treated on placed form. Value 6.0/10 Consistent each-way runner who can be over-looked on win-only basis. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Reliable each-way profile and feather weight keep her dangerous despite the lack of wins. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1666.7 (17 runs, 3 wins, 17.6%) Jockey 1584.5 (1535 runs, 141 wins, 9.2%) Trainer 1601.4 (661 runs, 84 wins, 12.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 99r 9w 9% A/E 0.98 (fair) Jockey × trainer 186r 33w 18% A/E 1.31 (value) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 67r 10w 15% A/E 1.30 (value) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 221r 15w 7% A/E 0.74 (negative) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 9r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 160r 18w 11% A/E 1.13 (value) Past form (last 18 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 9/9 8/1 3.75L 86 111 Gina Mangan Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader halfway - weakened quickly over 1f out(op 7/1) 2026-05-01 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 3/17 13/2 0.50L 86 89 Gina Mangan Pressed leader towards near side - hung right and led narrowly over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - soon no extra(op 15/2 tchd 9/1) 2025-11-04 Lingfield (AW 5f Standard Cla 7/7 9/2 6.50L 86 49 Gina Mangan Towards rear - hung badly right throughout - always behind (jockey said gelding hung badly right-handed)(op 7/2) 2025-09-27 Haydock 5f Good To S Cla 2/10 4/1F 1.00L 83 89 Gina Mangan Bumped start - raced near side - led overall - headed inside final 110yds - kept on(op 7/2) 2025-09-06 Ascot 5f Good To S Cla 2/16 12/1 1.25L 81 89 Gina Mangan Ducked right start - led at fast pace - headed and no extra towards finish (jockey said gelding hung right-handed throughout)(op 14/1) 2025-08-23 Goodwood 5f Good To F Cla 2/8 11/4J 1.50L 81 86 Gina Mangan Pressed leader - hung badly right final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 7/2) 2025-08-07 Chepstow 5f Good To S Cla 5/12 7/2 0.50L 82 82 Saffie Osborne Awkward start - in rear - headway into midfield after 2f - ran on inside final furlong(Mkt1: op 9/2 tchd 4/1) 2025-07-08 Lingfield 5f Good To S Cla 2/7 5/2 0.50L 81 86 Gina Mangan In touch with leaders - bit short of room 2f out - ran on inside final furlong - carried right final 110yds (vet said gelding bled from the nose)(tchd 9/4) 2025-06-23 Chepstow 5f Good To F Cla 1/6 15/8F won 71 87 Gina Mangan Prominent - led halfway - ridden over 1f out - clear inside final furlong - comfortably(op 5/2 tchd 11/4) 2025-06-13 Sandown 5f Good Cla 8/11 11/4F 0.50L 71 60 Gina Mangan Taken down early - dwelt start - soon pressed leader - weakened inside final 110yds (trainer could offer no explanation for the poor form shown other than jockey said gelding stopped quickly)(op 3/1 tchd 5/2) 2025-05-26 Windsor 5f Good To F Cla 1/9 5/2 won 66 78 Gina Mangan Prominent - challenging 2f out - led over 1f out - kept on - comfortably(op 3/1) 2025-05-12 Windsor 5f Good To F Cla 2/6 6/1 0.75L 66 71 Rossa Ryan Took keen hold - led - faced challenge 2f out - hung left and headed 1f out - kept on (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 7/2 tchd 13/2) 2024-10-08 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 1/5 7/4F won 69 58 Luke Morris Prominent - led over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - kept on(op 6/4 tchd 11/8 and tchd 15/8) 2024-09-30 Wolverhampton 5f Standard Cla 4/7 11/4 0.50L 69 67 David Probert Led - hung right on turn over 2f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra and lost third towards finish (jockey said gelding hung both ways throughout)(op 3/1 tchd 10/3) 2024-09-15 Bath 5f Good Cla 2/5 3/1 0.30L 69 73 George Rooke Took keen hold - soon led - ridden inside final furlong - headed final strides(tchd 10/3) 2024-08-26 Chepstow 5f Good To S Cla 2/3 2/1 0.50L — 70 George Rooke Took keen hold - led - headed over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 15/8 tchd 7/4) 2024-08-12 Windsor 5f Good To F Cla 2/5 12/1 8.50L — 63 Gina Mangan Prominent early - led after 2f - edged left and headed over 1f out - soon outpaced(tchd 11/1 and tchd 14/1) 2024-07-27 Salisbury 6f Good To F Cla 4/6 16/1 7.50L — 40 George Rooke Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) Comment Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader halfway - weakened quickly over 1f out(op 7/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 8/1 (9.000) Beaten (L) 3.75 Total beaten 10.00 OR after 86 In-running comment Took keen hold - prominent - pressed leader halfway - weakened quickly over 1f out(op 7/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. DEMOCRACY DILEMMA (IRE) (#2 · Σ 58.0) 6yo G · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Jack Mitchell Trainer Robert Cowell Owner Mrs Fitri Hay Pedigree Sire Cotai Glory (GB) Dam Majestic Alexander (IRE) Damsire Bushranger Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 12.00 (CopyBet) 18:41 15.00 (Coral) 19:02 17.00 (Coral) 00:31 15.00 (William Hill) 03:02 13.00 (Bet365) 09:11 8.00 (Bet365) 09:20 7.50 (Bet365) 09:28 8.00 (Bet365) 09:34 8.50 (Bet365) 09:55 9.00 (Bet365) 10:25 9.50 (Coral) 11:17 9.00 (Bet365) 11:52 9.50 (Bet365) 12:55 10.00 (William Hill) 13:22 11.00 (Bet365) 13:49 10.00 (Bet365) 15:45 9.50 (Bet365) 15:49 10.00 (Coral) 15:56 9.50 (Bet365) 16:18 10.00 (Unibet) 16:22 9.50 (Ladbrokes) 16:36 8.50 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 112 and TS 108 put him in the top tier of this field on raw figures. Form 5.0/10 13-309 — won early in the campaign then tailed off with a 9th LTO, so trend is downward. Connections 6.0/10 Jockey Elo 1714 is elite; trainer 14d 10% (1/10) with RTF 40 drags this back to par. Fitness 7.0/10 17 days since last run is in the sweet spot for sprinters. Trip 6.0/10 Cotai Glory sireline is built for sprints; has form at 5-6f. Pace 6.0/10 Mid-pack racer; should track the pace and run on. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 at Windsor is a workable middle-to-low slot. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change recorded. Weight 5.0/10 134lb, second top — gives weight all round. Value 5.0/10 Top jockey hooks the eye but yard form is a real handbrake. Σ Summary 58.0/100 Class rating and jockey booking are positives but cold trainer form and a downward trajectory cap the upside. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1644.5 (41 runs, 8 wins, 19.5%) Jockey 1714.1 (5804 runs, 873 wins, 15.0%) Trainer 1612.9 (3020 runs, 365 wins, 12.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 299r 35w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Jockey × trainer 77r 9w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 211r 21w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 200r 20w 10% A/E 0.92 (fair) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 28r 4w 14% A/E 0.96 (fair) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 46r 6w 13% A/E 0.93 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 6/9 13/2 0.10L 101 112 Jack Mitchell Taken down early - soon led - against rail after 1f - pestered halfway - headed 1f out - soon weakened(op 15/2) 2026-05-01 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 9/11 5/1 0.30L 104 81 Daniel Muscutt Led on far side of group - headed 1f out - soon weakened(op 9/2) 2026-04-04 Musselburgh 5f Soft Cla 13/14 9/2 0.50L 105 77 Rossa Ryan Prominent - weakened inside final furlong (trainer said - regarding the poor form shown - that gelding was unsuited by the soft going - having shown all of his best recent form on a quicker surface) 2026-02-21 Lingfield (AW 5f Standard Cla 3/6 100/30 0.10L 106 106 Tom Marquand Taken down early - soon led - headed inside final 110yds - lost second towards finish(op 11/2) 2025-09-23 Beverley 5f Soft Cla 3/5 5/2 0.30L 108 102 Tom Eaves Taken down early - took keen hold - led - increased tempo over 1f out - headed towards finish(op 10/3) 2025-09-06 Haydock 5f Good Cla 1/9 12/1 won 99 116 Tom Eaves Took keen hold - made all - clear when switched right and against near rail over 3f out - shaken up over 1f out - ridden final 110yds - unchallenged (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the apparent improvement in form)(op 16/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-06-28 York 5f Good Cla 6/7 9/1 2.75L 102 76 Tom Eaves Taken down early - pressed leader - weakened over 1f out(op 10/1 tchd 8/1) 2025-06-07 Epsom 5f Good Cla 7/19 8/1 0.20L 104 99 Rossa Ryan Taken down early - led narrowly in centre of group - edged right and headed over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(tchd 15/2) 2025-05-31 Haydock 5f Good Cla 5/8 14/1 1.25L 105 102 Marco Ghiani Led - headed and weakened final 110yds(op 16/1 tchd 18/1) 2025-05-03 Newmarket 5f Good Cla 11/11 20/1 0.20L 106 91 Tom Marquand Led - headed 2f out - weakening when edged right 1f out(op 18/1) 2024-10-05 Ascot 5f Soft Cla 6/6 5/1 7.00L 106 57 Jamie Spencer Taken down early - blindfold off late - soon led - headed over 1f out - soon weakened - eased inside final furlong (trainer's rep said gelding was unsuited by the soft - good to soft in places going and would prefer a quicker surface)(op 6/1) 2024-09-21 Newbury 5f Heavy Cla 4/8 9/1 0.30L 106 109 Rossa Ryan Started quickly - led - headed inside final 110yds - weakened and lost two places towards finish(op 15/2) 2024-08-31 Beverley 5f Good To F Cla 1/7 8/1 won 105 111 Tom Eaves Made all - pushed along 2f out - ridden final furlong - just held on(op 13/2 tchd 6/1) 2024-08-21 York 5½f Good To F Cla 4/22 11/1 0.05L 104 112 Rossa Ryan Raced far side - led overall - faced challenges from over 1f out - lost three places inside final 110yds - 4th of 11 in group(op 12/1) 2024-07-13 York 5f Good To S Cla 3/7 12/1 0.50L 104 109 Jack Mitchell Taken down early - blindfold off late - soon recovered and led at fast pace - clear halfway - reduced lead over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra and lost second inside final 110yds(op 10/1) 2024-06-08 Haydock 5f Good Cla 6/8 9/1 1.50L 105 77 Rossa Ryan Took keen hold - pressed leader - weakened and lost three places inside final furlong(op 7/1) 2024-06-01 Epsom 5f Good To S Cla 2/14 8/1 0.50L 102 112 Rossa Ryan Travelled strongly - led - switched right soon after start - against near rail under 4f out - disputed lead from 3f out - ridden and led again over 1f out - drifted left and headed towards finish 2024-05-25 Windsor 5f Good Cla 2/5 9/4 0.20L 100 109 Jack Mitchell Taken down early - took keen hold - led - ridden over 1f out - went clear with winner and drifted left inside final furlong - headed final strides(Mkt1: op 3/1; Mkt2 op 5/2) 2024-05-09 Chester 5f Good Cla 1/11 11/4F won 97 106 Tom Marquand Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - headway 1f out - soon ridden - led towards finish(op 7/2) 2024-02-10 Jebel Ali (UA 5f Fast — 9/15 11/1 0.75L 98 84 Pat Cosgrave In touch - every chance 2f out - not quicken Comment Taken down early - soon led - against rail after 1f - pestered halfway - headed 1f out - soon weakened(op 15/2) Finishing result Position 6 SP 13/2 (7.500) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 3.75 OR after 101 In-running comment Taken down early - soon led - against rail after 1f - pestered halfway - headed 1f out - soon weakened(op 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. GAELI (ITY) (#1 · Σ 55.0) 5yo G · Draw 9 · b Connections Jockey Jack Gilligan Trainer Marco Botti Owner Scuderia Sagam Srls Pedigree Sire Exceed And Excel (AUS) Dam Cralegre (ITY) Damsire Montalegre Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 12.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 13.00 (Bet365) 18:02 12.00 (Bet365) 18:20 13.00 (Bet365) 18:41 15.00 (Bet365) 19:02 13.00 (Bet365) 09:11 26.00 (Coral) 09:22 23.00 (Bet365) 09:59 26.00 (William Hill) 10:09 23.00 (Bet365) 10:25 26.00 (William Hill) 11:00 29.00 (William Hill) 11:43 26.00 (Coral) 13:08 23.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 110 is mid-pack here behind the trio rated 114; OFR 102 is the highest of the field, so class par is on the borderline. Form 6.0/10 Form figures 434-16 include a recent win, then a 6th. Trajectory is OK but not eye-catching. Connections 8.0/10 Botti yard hot at 25% (3/12) over the last fortnight with RTF 64; jockey Elo 1627 from Gilligan is solid if not flashy. Fitness 4.0/10 58 days since the latest run isn't disastrous but well off the 14-28d sweet spot for sprinters. Trip 6.0/10 Exceed And Excel sireline is built for sprint trips; horse has run over 5-6f but only three starts so unproven C&D. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile tactically; likely held up on a fast pace which should suit at the trip. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 9 at Windsor 5f is neutral — no strong bias documented here. Equipment 5.0/10 Wears blinkers as usual — no equipment change to flag. Weight 4.0/10 Top-weight 135lb after an OFR rise to 102 — gives 17lb to the bottom and that's a stiff task off lay-off. Value 5.0/10 Reasonable profile but layoff and topweight make her hard to over-back. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Hot yard and class par carry her into the mix but the layoff and top weight cap upside in a competitive handicap. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1566.6 (3 runs, 1 wins, 33.3%) Jockey 1627.0 (228 runs, 35 wins, 15.4%) Trainer 1788.9 (4305 runs, 528 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 15r 1w 7% A/E 0.47 (negative) Jockey × trainer 22r 4w 18% A/E 1.21 (value) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 210r 29w 14% A/E 1.02 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 1430r 141w 10% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 5/9 18/1 0.10L 102 110 Jack Gilligan In touch with leaders on outer - outpaced inside final furlong(op 22/1) 2026-03-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 6/12 9/2 0.30L 102 103 Jack Gilligan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - midfield after 1f - some headway inside final furlong - no extra towards finish(tchd 5/1) 2026-03-04 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 1/10 25/1 won 96 105 Jack Gilligan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - drifted right and hampered rival 3f out - pushed along and good headway on far side of group from over 1f out - led inside final furlong - ran on well final 110yds - comfortably(op 50/1) 2025-10-26 Capannelle (I 6f Heavy — 3/7 11/1 3.25L — 98 Mario Sanna Comment In touch with leaders on outer - outpaced inside final furlong(op 22/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 18/1 (19.000) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 3.75 OR after 102 In-running comment In touch with leaders on outer - outpaced inside final furlong(op 22/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. MARTY HOPKIRK (IRE) (#11 · Σ 54.0) 4yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Laura Pearson Trainer David Loughnane Owner D Lowe S Hoyland Pedigree Sire Kodi Bear (IRE) Dam Slovak (IRE) Damsire Iffraaj Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 26.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 34.00 (Bet365) 16:21 41.00 (William Hill) 18:41 51.00 (William Hill) 00:31 41.00 (Bet365) 09:11 51.00 (Bet365) 09:34 67.00 (Spreadex) 09:42 51.00 (Bet365) 10:25 41.00 (Bet365) 11:00 51.00 (William Hill) 11:23 41.00 (William Hill) 14:39 34.00 (Bet365) 15:10 41.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 113 implies class par; OFR 85 the lowest in the field. Form 4.0/10 5200-5 — single-figure finishes with one second; struggling sequence. Connections 3.0/10 Loughnane 14d 0/15; jockey Laura Pearson Elo 1516 — combination uninspired. Fitness 6.0/10 39 days since last run — workable but not sharp. Trip 6.0/10 Kodi Bear progeny works at 5-6f. Pace 5.0/10 Pace presser but spotlight says flattered when ahead. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 6 mid-field. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 8.0/10 Just 118lb — bottom weight; mark may yet be too high per spotlight. Value 4.0/10 Negative spotlight + winless stable + struggling form makes this a swerve. Σ Summary 54.0/100 Rating still respectable but the qualitative picture is firmly against him. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1505.8 (7 runs, 1 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1515.5 (1327 runs, 123 wins, 9.3%) Trainer 1609.3 (3245 runs, 333 wins, 10.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 32r 7w 22% A/E 1.51 (value) Jockey × trainer 359r 39w 11% A/E 1.00 (fair) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 56r 11w 20% A/E 1.34 (value) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 185r 14w 8% A/E 0.75 (negative) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 303r 34w 11% A/E 0.91 (fair) Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 4/9 40/1 0.30L 85 111 Laura Pearson Slightly awkward start - in rear - switched left 2f out - kept on up the centre from over 1f out - went modest fourth final stride(tchd 33/1) 2026-04-09 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 5/6 13/2 0.30L 87 79 David Egan Pressed leader - no extra over 1f out(op 7/1 tchd 6/1 and 15/2) 2025-08-20 York 5½f Good To F Cla 13/20 40/1 1.25L 89 71 Rossa Ryan Always behind(tchd 50/1) 2025-07-31 Goodwood 5f Heavy Cla 11/13 16/1 1.75L 89 70 Oisin Murphy Prominent and alone up the centre - weakened over 1f out(op 12/1) 2025-07-04 Doncaster 5f Good To F Cla 2/6 22/1 0.30L 87 91 Jack Mitchell Led - headed inside final 110yds - just held 2025-06-14 Sandown 5f Good To F Cla 5/7 80/1 2.75L — 85 Tom Marquand Prominent - led after 1f - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 40/1) 2025-05-19 Wolverhampton 5f Standard Cla 1/10 18/1 won — 84 Richard Kingscote Made all - hung right over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 22/1 tchd 16/1 and tchd 25/1) 2025-05-05 Kempton (AW) 6f Standard Cla 11/12 50/1 3.75L — 25 Laura Pearson Raced wide - took keen hold - in touch with leaders early - prominent after 1f - weakened from over 2f out (jockey said gelding ran too free)(tchd 66/1) Comment Slightly awkward start - in rear - switched left 2f out - kept on up the centre from over 1f out - went modest fourth final stride(tchd 33/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 40/1 (41.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 3.50 OR after 85 In-running comment Slightly awkward start - in rear - switched left 2f out - kept on up the centre from over 1f out - went modest fourth final stride(tchd 33/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. ROGUE ENFORCER (GB) (#5 · Σ 53.0) 5yo G · Draw 5 · b Connections Jockey Kieran Shoemark Trainer Archie Watson Owner The Rogues Gallery Pedigree Sire Profitable (IRE) Dam Skip To My Lou (GB) Damsire Foxwedge Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 21.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 29.00 (Bet365) 15:21 26.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 23.00 (Betfred) 16:42 17.00 (Coral) 17:21 19.00 (William Hill) 19:02 21.00 (William Hill) 19:20 19.00 (Betfred) 00:31 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 29.00 (William Hill) 09:36 34.00 (William Hill) 10:09 41.00 (Midnite) 11:23 51.00 (William Hill) 11:43 41.00 (Coral) 12:12 51.00 (Spreadex) 12:16 41.00 (William Hill) 13:22 34.00 (William Hill) 14:24 41.00 (Spreadex) 14:37 34.00 (William Hill) 14:39 41.00 (Midnite) 14:43 34.00 (Coral) 14:57 41.00 (Midnite) 15:04 34.00 (Coral) 15:56 41.00 (Midnite) 16:02 34.00 (Bet365) 16:04 41.00 (Midnite) 16:31 51.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 107, lowest in the field by 3lb, and OFR 95 also bottom-tier of the seeded runners. Form 5.0/10 1921-0 — won earlier in career but last finish was a beaten 10th. Connections 6.0/10 Watson 14d 13% (2/16), Shoemark Elo 1586 — workmanlike combo. Fitness 7.0/10 17 days since last run — fine fitness window. Trip 6.0/10 Profitable progeny built for 5-6f. Pace 7.0/10 Front-running tendencies can be dangerous if loose on the lead in a 5f sprint. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 5 neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 Blinkers reapplied as usual — no new headgear story. Weight 6.0/10 128lb mid-weight on a lower OFR 95. Value 3.0/10 Class profile is the worst in the race; tough to make a case at any but the biggest prices. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Pace angle is the lone positive — class shortfall is the obvious problem. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1537.9 (15 runs, 3 wins, 20.0%) Jockey 1585.9 (5381 runs, 634 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1560.1 (5276 runs, 825 wins, 15.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 278r 36w 13% A/E 1.00 (fair) Jockey × trainer 111r 13w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 103r 14w 14% A/E 0.81 (negative) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 181r 8w 4% A/E 0.46 (negative) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 35r 5w 14% A/E 0.96 (fair) Past form (last 16 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 8/9 50/1 2.25L 95 107 Kieran Shoemark Prominent - pressed leader halfway - ridden and briefly led 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 40/1) 2026-05-01 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 11/11 33/1 0.30L 98 70 Ashley Lewis Prominent - weakened final furlong(op 28/1) 2025-08-30 Deauville (FR 5f Soft — 2/14 19/1 0.30L — — Cristian Demuro 2025-06-24 Chantilly (FR 5f Good — 8/12 29/1 4.00L — 70 Cristian Demuro 2025-05-25 Longchamp (FR 5f Good To S — 1/13 79/10 won — 84 Cristian Demuro 2025-04-28 Chantilly (FR 5½f Good To S — 4/15 16/1 1.00L — 87 Maxime Guyon 2024-11-22 Chantilly (FR 6½f Standard — 10/10 14/1 2.50L — 50 Pierre Bazire 2024-10-26 Chantilly (FR 5½f Heavy — 5/10 16/1 5.00L — 65 Pierre Bazire 2024-10-01 Chantilly (FR 5½f Very Soft — 5/10 18/1 0.20L — 87 Pierre Bazire 2024-09-09 Saint-Cloud ( 6½f Very Soft — 7/10 58/10 0.20L — 60 Pierre Bazire 2024-06-01 Epsom 5f Good To S Cla PU/19 28/1 — 84 — Sean D Bowen Raced wide - midfield - weakened over 2f out - pulled up inside final furlong (jockey said colt lost his action) 2024-04-26 Sandown 5f Good Cla 7/9 11/1 4.75L 85 63 Tom Marquand In rear on outer - brief headway 2f out - weakened 1f out(op 10/1) 2023-10-31 Catterick 5f Heavy Cla 1/5 11/10F won 77 87 Rossa Ryan Ducked right start - pressed leader - pushed along to lead 1f out - ridden and drifted left inside final furlong - kept on well towards finish - just did enough(op 10/11 tchd 5/6) 2023-09-20 Beverley 5f Soft Cla 1/13 11/4J won — 77 Daniel Tudhope Pressed leader - led halfway - ridden over 1f out - kept on well(op 10/3 tchd 7/2) 2023-09-05 Ripon 6f Good Cla 2/6 8/11F 0.50L — 76 Robert Havlin Led - faced challenge halfway - headed over 1f out - kept on and just held(op Evens) 2023-08-19 Newmarket (Ju 6f Good Cla 3/6 18/1 0.20L — 71 Robert Havlin Slowly into stride - took keen hold - in rear - soon switched left against far rail - prominent 5f out - ridden and outpaced from over 1f out(op 20/1 tchd 16/1) Comment Prominent - pressed leader halfway - ridden and briefly led 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 40/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 2.25 Total beaten 6.25 OR after 95 In-running comment Prominent - pressed leader halfway - ridden and briefly led 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 40/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. ADRESTIA (GB) (#4 · Σ 48.0) 4yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Tom Marquand Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford Owner Victorious Forever Pedigree Sire Havana Grey (GB) Dam In Trutina (GB) Damsire Firebreak Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 12:01 5.50 (CopyBet) 14:21 7.00 (Bet365) 19:02 7.50 (Bet365) 19:20 8.00 (Bet365) 02:31 8.50 (Midnite) 09:11 9.00 (Coral) 09:20 8.50 (Bet365) 09:28 8.00 (Coral) 11:27 7.50 (Bet365) 12:16 7.00 (Bet365) 13:10 6.50 (Bet365) 14:43 7.00 (Bet365) 14:49 6.50 (Bet365) 14:57 7.00 (Bet365) 15:56 6.50 (Bet365) 16:31 7.00 (Spreadex) 16:36 6.50 (Unibet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 112 with TS 101 puts her in the top half on raw class. Form 5.0/10 14226- — placed three times but no win since first start in figures; finished off campaign nearly 8 months ago. Connections 5.0/10 Marquand is a major positive but Crisford yard only 6% (1/17) with RTF 29 — markedly out of form. Fitness 1.0/10 239 days since last run is well beyond any sweet spot; cold-stable comeback. Trip 6.0/10 Havana Grey progeny strong sprint sire; trip is fine. Pace 6.0/10 Mid-pack runner — should slot in OK if fit enough. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 neutral at Windsor 5f. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 132lb — mid-weight, fair on her best form. Value 3.0/10 Big-name connections often inflate market price beyond what a 239-day layoff for a cold yard merits. Σ Summary 48.0/100 Talent is undoubted but the absence and stable form combination puts a heavy ceiling on expectations. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1686.9 (12 runs, 3 wins, 25.0%) Jockey 1647.1 (9343 runs, 1247 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1752.1 (2430 runs, 469 wins, 19.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 659r 101w 15% A/E 0.90 (fair) Jockey × trainer 16r 3w 19% A/E 1.13 (value) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 90r 20w 22% A/E 1.03 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 342r 38w 11% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 5r 1w 20% A/E 1.11 (value) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 22r 2w 9% A/E 0.78 (negative) Past form (last 13 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 5f Good Cla 7/9 6/1 0.30L 99 112 Tom Marquand Soon towards rear - ran on inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 5/1) 2025-09-21 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 6/14 5/1 0.20L 100 99 James Doyle Ducked right start - in touch with leaders - prominent 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 4/1) 2025-08-30 Beverley 5f Good To F Cla 2/9 9/4 2.25L 102 97 David Allan In touch with leaders on inner - switched left under 2f out - went second and chased clear leader inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds - no match for winner(op 7/2) 2025-07-29 Goodwood 5f Good Cla 2/20 9/2 0.05L 97 106 Oisin Murphy In touch with leaders towards near side - headway over 1f out - soon went second - pressed winner inside final 110yds - just held(op 7/2 tchd 9/2) 2025-07-05 Sandown 5f Good To F Cla 4/11 7/2F 0.30L 97 97 Oisin Murphy In rear - headway over 1f out - went third inside final furlong - kept on but lost third final strides(op 4/1) 2025-06-20 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 1/24 10/1 won 89 102 Oisin Murphy Raced near side of centre - in touch with leaders - bit short of room when headway over 2f out - pressed leader over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - ran on well - 1st of 12 in group(op 9/1) 2025-06-09 Windsor 5f Good Cla 3/10 12/1 0.30L 89 92 Callum Shepherd Slowly away - in rear - headway from over 1f out - no impression final 110yds(op 11/1 tchd 16/1) 2024-08-31 Chester 6f Good Cla 5/6 13/8F 1.00L 91 76 James Doyle Took keen hold - towards rear - waiting for room over 2f out - no impression when in the clear up the centre from over 1f out(op 7/4) 2024-08-16 Newbury 5f Good Cla 11/13 2/1F 1.50L 91 66 Callum Shepherd Extremely awkward start - raced near side - in touch with leaders - headway 2f out - no impression from over 1f out - weakened final 110yds - 3rd of 5 in group (jockey said filly jumped awkwardly) 2024-07-31 Sandown 5f Good To F Cla 1/8 9/4F won 82 90 Callum Shepherd Hampered start - towards rear - waiting for room then headway over 1f out - short of room then ran on well to lead inside final furlong - ran on - comfortably(op 7/4) 2024-07-17 Yarmouth 5f Good Cla 1/11 2/5F won — 79 James Doyle In touch with leaders - smooth headway to lead over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(tchd 4/9) 2024-06-19 Ascot 5f Good To F Cla 11/24 50/1 0.50L — 76 Callum Shepherd In touch with leaders towards near side - hung right from over 2f out - no impression - 7th of 14 in group(op 66/1 tchd 40/1) 2024-06-10 Windsor 6f Good To F Cla 3/11 7/4F 0.50L — 71 James Doyle Took keen hold - raced in second - challenging from over 1f out - hung left and no extra towards finish - soon lost second(op 2/1) Comment Soon towards rear - ran on inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 5/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 6/1 (7.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 4.00 OR after 99 In-running comment Soon towards rear - ran on inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 5/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. BALDOMERO (NR) (#NR · Σ 57.0) 8yo G · 121lb · Draw 11 · v Connections Jockey Jason Watson Trainer Michael Appleby (Oakham, Rutland) Owner The Horse Watchers 6 Breeder C-Squared Investments Trainer 14d 0/23 (0%) DOB 2018-02-03 Pedigree Sire Shalaa (IRE) Dam Besotted (IRE) Damsire Dutch Art Form / ratings Form string 1-4506 Last run (days) 33 OFR 88 RPR 111 TS 87 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 3/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 3/5 Coral - (-) · EW 3/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 3/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 3/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/5 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/5 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetMGM - (-) · EW 3/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/5 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/5 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/5 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/5 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/5 Spreadex - (-) · EW 3/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/5 BestOdds - (-) · EW 3/5 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Midnite - (-) · EW 3/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 3/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 12:01 13.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 17.00 (Bet365) 16:21 21.00 (William Hill) 18:41 23.00 (Coral) 19:02 26.00 (Coral) 19:41 23.00 (William Hill) 00:31 21.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 Joint-top RPR 114 — proven at this level historically. Form 5.0/10 1-4506 — won fresh but tailed off since, latest 6th. Connections 3.0/10 Appleby 14d 0% from 23, RTF 36 — yard is in dreadful form; Watson Elo 1536 modest. Fitness 6.0/10 33 days since last run, reasonable but not sharp. Trip 7.0/10 Shalaa progeny built for 5-6f; established at trip. Pace 7.0/10 Likely pace-presser — could be aggressive early. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 11 widest — can be a disadvantage at Windsor 5f. Equipment 6.0/10 Visor reapplied as usual. Weight 7.0/10 121lb attractive off mark 88 — historically peaked off higher. Value 5.0/10 Class and weight pull one way, stable form pulls the other. Σ Summary 57.0/100 Has the class par on RPR but cold yard and wide draw curtail enthusiasm. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1639.4 (68 runs, 8 wins, 11.8%) Jockey 1535.7 (4714 runs, 582 wins, 12.3%) Trainer 1582.0 (9033 runs, 1042 wins, 11.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 170r 8w 5% A/E 0.37 (negative) Jockey × trainer 217r 27w 12% A/E 0.72 (negative) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 120r 11w 9% A/E 0.76 (negative) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 101r 5w 5% A/E 0.50 (negative) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 33r 3w 9% A/E 0.79 (negative) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 301r 29w 10% A/E 0.82 (negative) Spotlight His turf wins have come on good or slower including heavy ground; three wins during his latest spell on AW but he's been well held back on turf in last two runs; bit to prove again but he's now 2lb lower than for his last success and has claims if he can get back on track; change of headgear. Comment Well held back on turf in last two runs but he's now 2lb lower than for last success ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11. DESERT COP (NR) (#NR · Σ 55.0) 6yo G · 123lb · Draw 10 Connections Jockey Charles Bishop Trainer George Baker (Epsom Downs, Surrey) Owner Turf Club 2024 And Partners Breeder Littleton Stud Trainer 14d 2/13 (15%) DOB 2020-04-19 Pedigree Sire Oasis Dream (GB) Dam Speed Cop (GB) Damsire Cadeaux Genereux Form / ratings Form string 035730 Last run (days) 2 OFR 90 RPR 110 TS 103 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 3/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 3/5 Coral - (-) · EW 3/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 3/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 3/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/5 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/5 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetMGM - (-) · EW 3/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/5 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/5 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/5 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/5 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/5 Spreadex - (-) · EW 3/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/5 BestOdds - (-) · EW 3/5 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Midnite - (-) · EW 3/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 3/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 12:01 19.00 (CopyBet) 14:21 26.00 (Bet365) 16:21 29.00 (Bet365) 18:20 26.00 (Bet365) 19:02 23.00 (William Hill) 19:20 21.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 110 with TS 103 keeps him in the conversation despite low OFR 90. Form 3.0/10 035730 — no figure better than a 3rd in six runs; recent 0 is concerning. Connections 6.0/10 Baker 14d 15% (2/13) decent, RTF 69 best in race; jockey Bishop Elo 1538 modest. Fitness 8.0/10 Just 2 days since last run — very fresh, peak fitness. Trip 7.0/10 Oasis Dream/Speed Cop pedigree pure 5f; ran respectably here 5 days ago per comment. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile; on-pace tactics likely. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 10 at Windsor 5f — wide draws can struggle to get cover. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change. Weight 6.0/10 123lb — well-handicapped on best but the form figures suggest the mark isn't generous enough. Value 4.0/10 Comment paints a clear picture — modest strike-rate for the yard and over-due syndrome rarely a value angle. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Fitness and trip suit but the absence of any recent winning evidence keeps this a stab. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1631.7 (35 runs, 4 wins, 11.4%) Jockey 1538.4 (4940 runs, 478 wins, 9.7%) Trainer 1698.8 (2632 runs, 264 wins, 10.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 5f no data Jockey @ 5f no data Jockey @ Windsor 377r 33w 9% A/E 0.76 (negative) Jockey × trainer 55r 6w 11% A/E 1.18 (value) Trainer @ 5f no data Trainer @ Windsor 253r 23w 9% A/E 0.86 (fair) Sire progeny @ 5f no data Sire progeny in Class 2 1393r 136w 10% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 5f no data Dam progeny in Class 2 58r 7w 12% A/E 1.30 (value) Damsire grand @ 5f no data Damsire grand in Class 2 1024r 89w 9% A/E 0.84 (negative) Spotlight His only win in two years came in Bahrain last March; returned to Britain with respectable efforts at Nottingham (5f) and Windsor (6f) this spring but he was laboured at Newbury on Saturday; this is another quick turnaround and others are more convincing. Comment Just one win since May 2024 and was laboured at Newbury on Saturday; down the list ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (13 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Windsor · 5f · Class 2 · Good Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap (Fitzdares Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier) 1 Redorange (GB) won SP 11/8F 2 Regal Envoy (IRE) 1.75L SP 15/2 3 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 1.50L SP 11/2 4 Marty Hopkirk (IRE) 0.30L SP 40/1 5 Gaeli (ITY) 0.10L SP 18/1 6 Democracy Dilemma (IRE) 0.10L SP 13/2 7 Adrestia (GB) 0.30L SP 6/1 8 Rogue Enforcer (GB) 2.25L SP 50/1 9 All Ways Glamorous (GB) 3.75L SP 8/1 2026-05-01 · Goodwood · 5f · Class 2 · Good Fitzdares Official Partner Of Season Opener Handicap 4 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 0.75L SP 11/2 9 Democracy Dilemma (IRE) 0.30L SP 5/1 11 Rogue Enforcer (GB) 0.30L SP 33/1 2026-04-04 · Musselburgh · 5f · Class 2 · Soft Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap 5 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 0.50L SP 12/1 13 Democracy Dilemma (IRE) 0.50L SP 9/2 2026-03-21 · Southwell (AW) · 5f · Class 2 · Standard Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap 4 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 0.75L SP 9/1 6 Gaeli (ITY) 0.30L SP 9/2 2025-09-21 · Southwell (AW) · 5f · Class 2 · Standard To Slow attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap 6 Adrestia (GB) 0.20L SP 5/1 7 Redorange (GB) 0.50L SP 13/2 10 Regal Envoy (IRE) 0.10L SP 40/1 2025-08-30 · Beverley · 5f · Class 1 · Good To Firm William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes () 2 Adrestia (GB) 2.25L SP 9/4 8 Redorange (GB) 3.75L SP 10/1 2025-07-29 · Goodwood · 5f · Class 2 · Good Coral Golden Rewards Shaker Handicap 2 Adrestia (GB) 0.05L SP 9/2 3 Redorange (GB) 0.50L SP 5/1 20 Regal Envoy (IRE) 3.25L SP 28/1 2025-07-12 · Ascot · 5f · Class 2 · Good To Firm LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap 4 Redorange (GB) 0.20L SP 5/1 7 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 0.30L SP 14/1 2025-06-28 · York · 5f · Class 2 · Good Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap 5 Regal Envoy (IRE) 1.25L SP 11/2 6 Democracy Dilemma (IRE) 2.75L SP 9/1 2025-06-20 · Ascot · 5f · Class 2 · Good To Firm Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (Handicap) 1 Adrestia (GB) won SP 10/1 3 Redorange (GB) 0.10L SP 12/1 2025-06-09 · Windsor · 5f · Class 2 · Good Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap (Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier) 1 Regal Envoy (IRE) won SP 9/2 3 Adrestia (GB) 0.30L SP 12/1 2025-06-07 · Epsom · 5f · Class 2 · Good Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) 7 Democracy Dilemma (IRE) 0.20L SP 8/1 14 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 1.00L SP 28/1 2025-05-19 · Windsor · 5f · Class 2 · Good To Firm Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap (Fitzdares Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier) 1 Regal Envoy (IRE) won SP 7/2 3 Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 0.75L SP 5/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: A 5f Windsor sprint with several need-to-lead types (Rogue Enforcer, Baldomero) should produce a genuine tempo, helping the hold-up/closing types like Regal Envoy and Redorange. Narrative: Competitive sprint handicap with five runners sharing RPR 110-114, so class lines barely separate the top half of the field. Regal Envoy is the most attractive on profile — recent winner off 14 days for the in-form Knight yard with Saffie Osborne and a 29% career strike-rate. Redorange and Rhythm N Hooves share top RPR (114) but each carries a recent-form question. Adrestia's 239-day layoff and a 6% Crisford 14-day stat is a significant red flag despite the rating, while Baldomero is unproven for a yard sitting on 0 from 23. Recommended: Regal Envoy Most recent winner in the race, off only 14 days, drawn 8, for a Knight yard running at 23% in the last fortnight. Career 29% strike-rate, horse Elo 1676 and a sharp jockey/trainer combo make him the most reliable value play at the bottom of the weights. Alternative: Redorange Shares top RPR 114 in the field with progressive Cox four-year-old, Rossa Ryan booked. Quick four-day turnaround is the only knock; cheekpieces/tongue-tie back on and best mark in handicap suggests Cox thinks the engine is on tap. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944322