============================================================================== RACE: Windsor ? · 2026-05-18 Find Us At fitzdares.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Good · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. SIR WILLIAM (IRE) (#7 · Σ 63.0) 4yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer Charlie Johnston Owner Hussain Alabbas Lootah Pedigree Sire Night Of Thunder (IRE) Dam Lady G (IRE) Damsire Golden Horn Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 15.00 (Bet365) 17:21 17.00 (Bet365) 18:20 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 9.00 (Bet365) 09:53 9.50 (Bet365) 10:31 10.00 (Bet365) 14:31 9.50 (Bet365) 16:10 10.00 (Bet365) 17:43 9.50 (Bet365) 18:12 9.00 (Bet365) 18:30 10.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 97 jointly third, TS 87 the best in the race. Form 5.0/10 Form 224-50 — has been placed often, last two below par. Connections 7.0/10 Johnston 15% 14d, jockey Elo 1626; Osborne reliable. Fitness 7.0/10 32 days off — fresh-enough window. Trip 6.0/10 Night Of Thunder x Golden Horn — comfortable at 1m3f. Pace 6.0/10 Likely to track the speed. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 6 — middle of the pack. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 7.0/10 126lb low — gets weight-for-age from older rivals. Value 7.0/10 Underrated by market when last two figures dominate the eye. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Lightweight 4yo with figures the rest can't match. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1550.2 (15 runs, 1 wins, 6.7%) Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1633.3 (3386 runs, 450 wins, 13.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 168r 15w 9% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 4r 1w 25% A/E 2.41 (value) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 35r 3w 9% A/E 0.70 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 867r 157w 18% A/E 1.03 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 11r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 42r 8w 19% A/E 0.95 (fair) Past form (last 16 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 2/7 10/1 0.75L 76 97 Saffie Osborne Raced in second - briefly led 2f out - kept on(op 17/2) 2026-04-16 Ripon 1m2f Good To S Cla 10/10 17/2 0.50L 78 13 Callum Shepherd Midfield - some headway over 3f out - squeezed out over 2f out - soon weakened(op 8/1 tchd 15/2) 2026-03-10 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 5/6 5/1 4.25L 80 69 Jason Hart Raced wide early - in touch with leaders - prominent after 4f - weakened over 1f out(op 13/2) 2025-10-13 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 4/9 7/2 2.50L 80 82 Cieren Fallon Prominent on outer early - soon led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 3/1) 2025-09-17 Sandown 1m2f Soft Cla 2/9 2/1F 5.50L 79 86 Cieren Fallon Took keen hold - led but pestered - headed over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(op 15/8) 2025-08-28 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 2/9 11/4F 0.10L 76 84 Tom Marquand Took keen hold - led - faced challenges final furlong - disputed lead towards finish - just failed(op 2/1) 2025-08-04 Windsor 1m2f Good Cla 1/5 6/4F won 72 83 Tom Marquand Prominent - headway on outer over 2f out - ridden to lead over 1f out - soon wandered around - kept on(op 6/5 tchd 13/8) 2025-07-19 Doncaster 1m4f Good To S Cla 3/6 5/4F 4.75L 75 75 Cieren Fallon Wore earplugs - held up in rear - outpaced and pushed along over 3f out - rallied and went third over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 6/5) 2025-07-02 Thirsk 1m4f Good Cla 3/4 9/4 2.25L 77 81 Tom Marquand Raced in third - pressed leader over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds 2025-06-13 Sandown 1m2f Good Cla 4/9 13/2 0.50L 78 81 Tom Marquand Towards rear - switched left when headway over 1f out - not pace to challenge(op 15/2 tchd 6/1) 2025-05-31 Chester 1m2½f Good Cla 3/8 5/1 1.50L 78 78 Adam Farragher Slowly into stride - raced in last - headway inside final furlong - nearest finish(Mkt1: op 11/2 tchd 6/1; Mkt2 tchd 9/2) 2025-04-22 Epsom 1m½f Good Cla 7/13 7/2F 1.50L 80 72 Tom Marquand Took keen hold - midfield - steady headway over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 4/1) 2024-10-12 York 1m Soft Cla 5/10 3/1 0.30L 81 78 Cieren Fallon Towards rear - good headway over 1f out - weakened inside final 110yds(op 7/2) 2024-09-28 Haydock 1m Soft Cla 2/6 11/8F 0.20L — 83 Cieren Fallon In touch with leaders - switched to near side 4f out - headway on near side of group and led 2f out - went clear with winner final 110yds - ran on but headed final strides(op 13/8 tchd 7/4) 2024-09-03 Goodwood 1m Good Cla 6/10 14/1 0.50L — 76 Tom Marquand Midfield - bit short of room 3f out - brief headway on inner over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(tchd 12/1) 2024-08-09 Newmarket (Ju 7f Good Cla 6/12 100/30 1.25L — 62 Tom Marquand Raced in second - weakened over 1f out(op 5/2) Comment Raced in second - briefly led 2f out - kept on(op 17/2) Finishing result Position 2 SP 10/1 (11.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 0.75 OR after 76 In-running comment Raced in second - briefly led 2f out - kept on(op 17/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. NAVAL COMMAND (GB) (#2 · Σ 61.0) 4yo G · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Rossa Ryan Trainer Ralph Beckett Owner Clarendon Partnership Pedigree Sire Lope De Vega (IRE) Dam All At Sea (GB) Damsire Sea The Stars Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 2.88 (Bet365) 16:01 3.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 2.90 (7Bet) 16:42 3.00 (Bet365) 17:00 2.88 (Virgin Bet) 20:22 2.75 (Bet365) 21:22 2.88 (Midnite) 09:11 3.00 (William Hill) 09:53 2.75 (William Hill) 10:25 2.63 (William Hill) 16:04 2.75 (William Hill) 18:23 2.63 (Bet365) 18:30 2.88 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 Joint third-best RPR 97 from only three runs — potential well above the mark. Form 5.0/10 Form 4/42- — placed but never tested fully; trajectory unclear after long break. Connections 9.0/10 Beckett trainer Elo 1719 with 17% 14-day strike; Ryan jockey Elo 1623 at 15% — elite combo. Fitness 2.0/10 331 days off — biggest absence in field, must take on trust. Trip 7.0/10 Lope De Vega over Sea The Stars stamina should suit 1m3f well; debut at trip but bred for it. Pace 6.0/10 Likely to be held up off a steady tempo. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 1 of 8 — inside but should get cover. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment change noted. Weight 5.0/10 135lb off 85 on handicap debut — par. Value 8.0/10 Stable + handicap + unexposed angle is the textbook overlay profile if punters dismiss the absence. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Best raw upside in the race tempered by needing the run. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1533.1 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1623.3 (7127 runs, 1087 wins, 15.3%) Trainer 1718.6 (5769 runs, 1049 wins, 18.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 316r 50w 16% A/E 0.93 (fair) Jockey × trainer 978r 205w 21% A/E 0.97 (fair) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 578r 93w 16% A/E 0.96 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 2031r 313w 15% A/E 0.95 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 5r 2w 40% A/E 2.07 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 740r 103w 14% A/E 0.84 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 6/7 15/8F 1.75L 85 97 Rossa Ryan In touch with leaders - hung left and weakened 2f out(op 7/4) 2025-06-21 Newmarket (Ju 1m Good To F Cla 2/5 5/2 5.50L — 82 Dougie Costello Raced in second - led halfway - headed over 1f out - outpaced and edged left inside final furlong - eased towards finish(tchd 9/4 and tchd 3/1) 2025-04-26 Leicester 1m2f Good Cla 4/10 5/2 2.50L — 74 William Buick Raced wide early - prominent - pressed leader after 3f - weakened from 1f out(op 9/4 tchd 3/1) 2024-10-14 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 4/9 5/4J 0.10L — 70 William Buick Towards rear - ran green over 2f out - pushed out and stayed on inside final furlong(tchd 11/10 and 11/8) Comment In touch with leaders - hung left and weakened 2f out(op 7/4) Finishing result Position 6 SP 15/8F (2.880) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 8.25 OR after 85 In-running comment In touch with leaders - hung left and weakened 2f out(op 7/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. DUE TO HENRY (GB) (#5 · Σ 61.0) 5yo G · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Charles Bishop Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton Owner Hp Racing Due To Henry Pedigree Sire Due Diligence (USA) Dam Rivas Rhapsody (IRE) Damsire Hawk Wing Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 5.00 (Bet365) 16:01 5.50 (CopyBet) 16:21 5.00 (Bet365) 16:42 5.50 (Bet365) 17:00 6.00 (Bet365) 17:21 6.50 (William Hill) 18:20 6.00 (Bet365) 09:11 4.50 (Bet365) 09:40 5.00 (Bet365) 18:35 4.33 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 96 competitive; OFR 78 mid-pack. Form 6.0/10 Form 9400-2 — well beaten earlier but encouraging recent 2nd. Connections 6.0/10 Johnston Houghton 16% 14d, decent but Bishop and Elo numbers modest. Fitness 8.0/10 23 days since strong run — sharp. Trip 6.0/10 TS 79 second-best in race suggests stamina-laden type effective at the trip. Pace 5.0/10 Tactically versatile. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 3 — favourable inner berth. Equipment 6.0/10 Wind op last summer — second run after. Weight 6.0/10 128lb off 78 — sensible. Value 6.0/10 Solid each-way profile, in-form line. Σ Summary 61.0/100 Hits enough boxes to be a contender. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1514.0 (15 runs, 3 wins, 20.0%) Jockey 1538.4 (4940 runs, 478 wins, 9.7%) Trainer 1596.4 (4177 runs, 480 wins, 11.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 377r 33w 9% A/E 0.76 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1840r 215w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 427r 47w 11% A/E 0.89 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 358r 39w 11% A/E 0.95 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 13r 1w 8% A/E 0.83 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 669r 69w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Past form (last 16 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 5/7 100/30 2.00L 78 96 Charles Bishop Led - headed 2f out - soon weakened(op 7/2 tchd 3/1) 2026-04-25 Haydock 1m2½f Good To F Cla 2/8 10/1 0.20L 75 84 Charles Bishop In touch with leaders - steady headway over 2f out - soon went second - hung left over 1f out - pressed winner inside final 110yds - just held(op 8/1) 2025-10-20 Pontefract 1m2f Soft Cla 10/12 25/1 17.00L 78 — Tom Marquand Raced wide early - disputing second - edged right and weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 20/1) 2025-10-08 Nottingham 1m2f Good To S Cla 13/14 5/1 12.00L 80 36 Daniel Tudhope Prominent - hung left and weakened from 2f out (jockey said gelding stopped quickly; vet had nothing to report)(op 11/2) 2025-09-20 Newbury 1m2f Good To S Cla 4/11 12/1 1.50L 83 80 Rhys Clutterbuck Led - led field to near side home straight - headed over 1f out - keeping on when short of room inside final furlong - staying on towards finish(op 18/1) 2025-07-26 Chester 1m2½f Good Cla 9/9 16/1 4.50L 85 72 Charles Bishop Slowly into stride - prominent - pressed leader after 3f - lost second 2f out - weakened quickly over 1f out(op 12/1 tchd 11/1) 2025-06-13 Sandown 1m2f Good Cla 8/8 3/1F 0.75L 87 80 Oisin Murphy In touch with leaders - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/2) 2025-05-28 Kempton (AW) 1m4f Standard Cla 12/13 11/1 3.00L 89 81 Tom Marquand Led - headed over 1f out - soon weakened(op 12/1 tchd 10/1 and tchd 14/1) 2024-10-11 Newmarket 1m4f Good To S Cla 11/15 20/1 2.00L 90 63 William Buick Took keen hold - midfield - weakened from 3f out(op 16/1) 2024-09-20 Newbury 1m2f Soft Cla 1/10 11/2 won 84 94 Tom Marquand Made virtually all - raced wide early - joined main group after 2f - clear when ridden over 1f out - wandered around but kept on from 1f out(op 6/1) 2024-08-15 Windsor 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/11 9/2 1.00L 84 87 Charles Bishop Midfield - headway and pressed leaders on outer over 2f out - ridden and hung left over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(tchd 4/1) 2024-07-26 Sandown 1m2f Good Cla 2/7 100/30 1.50L 83 89 Charles Bishop Raced in second - led after 3f - increased tempo 3f out - clear 2f out - soon went further clear - reduced lead when edged left inside final furlong - no extra when headed inside final 110yds(tchd 3/1) 2024-07-15 Windsor 1m2f Soft Cla 1/7 11/4 won 77 86 William Buick Disputed lead - led clearly after 3f - pushed along and hung left from over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - clear inside final furlong - comfortably(op 5/2 tchd 9/4) 2024-07-04 Yarmouth 1m2f Good Cla 4/7 4/1 0.10L 77 80 George Downing Towards rear - waiting for room against far rail over 2f out - dropped to last over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong - bit short of room but ran on well inside final 110yds - eyecatcher(tchd 5/1) 2024-06-10 Lingfield 7½f Good Cla 1/10 11/2 won — 77 George Downing Prominent - alone towards near side - switched left and joined main group after 1f - ridden and led over 1f out - faced challenge inside final furlong - kept on well(op 7/1) 2024-05-31 Chepstow 7f Good To S Cla 5/11 80/1 0.50L — 67 George Downing Slowly away - in rear - switched right and headway when towards near side from 3f out - ran green from 2f out - kept on but not pace to challenge(op 40/1) Comment Led - headed 2f out - soon weakened(op 7/2 tchd 3/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 100/30 (4.330) Beaten (L) 2.00 Total beaten 6.50 OR after 78 In-running comment Led - headed 2f out - soon weakened(op 7/2 tchd 3/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. SON OF MAN (IRE) (#3 · Σ 60.0) 5yo G · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Paddy Bradley Trainer Jim Boyle Owner Mark Aljoe Pedigree Sire Dark Angel (IRE) Dam Crisolles (FR) Damsire Le Havre Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 5.00 (Bet365) 17:00 5.50 (Bet365) 17:21 4.50 (Bet365) 09:11 5.00 (Bet365) 09:46 5.50 (Betfred) 09:55 5.00 (Bet365) 12:45 5.50 (Betfred) 14:12 6.00 (Betfred) 17:49 6.50 (Betfred) 18:35 6.00 (BetTom) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 96 close to top, OFR 85 second-highest. Form 8.0/10 Won last out and improving line -33512 with each run better than the last. Connections 3.0/10 Jim Boyle 0/12 last 14 days, RTF 20 — yard clearly out of form. Fitness 8.0/10 21 days since winning run — peak window. Trip 6.0/10 Last win came at this kind of trip; comfortable at 1m3f. Pace 6.0/10 Typically races prominently; should be on or near the speed. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 — central, no issue. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 Up to 135lb after winning; rises 5lb post-win. Value 6.0/10 Form-pick angle but cold yard creates uncertainty — could drift, could not. Σ Summary 60.0/100 Form and fitness top-notch; stable form drags rating down. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1644.5 (25 runs, 2 wins, 8.0%) Jockey 1654.3 (1969 runs, 167 wins, 8.5%) Trainer 1626.6 (2121 runs, 211 wins, 9.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 102r 8w 8% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer 108r 6w 6% A/E 0.66 (negative) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 381r 20w 5% A/E 0.64 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 3908r 456w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 15r 4w 27% A/E 1.49 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 213r 33w 15% A/E 1.02 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 3/7 9/2 1.25L 85 96 Paddy Bradley In touch with leaders - went third over 1f out - kept on but not pace to challenge(tchd 4/1) 2026-04-27 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 2/8 2/1F 0.05L 82 91 Connor Planas Led - headed and pressed leader after 2f - led again 3f out - kept on well - headed final stride 2026-04-03 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 1/15 7/2F won 78 88 Connor Planas Prominent early - in touch with leaders after 1f - headway over 2f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - edged left inside final 110yds - stayed on(op 4/1) 2026-03-02 Kempton (AW) 1m4f Standard Cla 5/9 20/1 0.75L 80 83 Connor Planas Dwelt start - midfield - some headway under 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 18/1) 2026-02-18 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 3/9 15/2 0.75L 80 86 Connor Planas In touch with leaders - headway to lead 2f out - headed 1f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) 2026-01-21 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 3/6 11/1 2.25L 81 83 Paddy Bradley Dwelt start - in rear - headway from 2f out - no impression inside final furlong(op 9/1) 2025-10-29 Nottingham 1m2f Soft Cla 2/5 11/2 2.00L 81 87 Hector Crouch Led - headed over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong - slightly hampered and no extra inside final 110yds(op 15/2 tchd 5/1) 2025-10-13 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 4/7 17/2 2.75L 82 83 Paddy Bradley Took keen hold - pressed leader - weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 15/2 tchd 7/1 and tchd 10/1) 2025-08-29 Sandown 1m2f Soft Cla 3/11 28/1 1.25L 82 88 Paddy Bradley Led - headed over 2f out - rallied inside final furlong - lost second inside final 110yds(tchd 33/1) 2025-07-31 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 13/13 16/1 2.50L 85 68 Paddy Bradley Midfield - dropped to rear 3f out - raced wide home turn(tchd 20/1) 2025-07-11 Ascot 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/9 16/1 1.00L 86 85 Paddy Bradley Towards rear - midfield halfway - switched right and some headway over 2f out - no impression final furlong(tchd 14/1) 2025-06-06 Epsom 1m2f Good To S Cla 11/13 40/1 3.25L 87 71 Sean D Bowen Prominent on outer - weakened over 1f out(op 25/1) 2025-04-18 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 2/14 8/1 0.05L 84 91 Paddy Bradley In touch with leaders - prominent after 4f - lost position 6f out - headway from 2f out - briefly led inside final 110yds - kept on well final strides - just held(op 7/1) 2025-03-31 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 2/10 11/2 0.50L 83 89 Paddy Bradley Prominent - disputed lead with one circuit to go - lost position and lost ground over 4f out - headway on outer from 2f out - kept on and went second final strides(op 5/1) 2025-03-08 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 3/10 9/2 1.50L 83 88 Paddy Bradley Prominent - dropped to midfield after 4f - ran on inside final furlong - went third towards finish(op 17/2 tchd 9/1) 2024-11-16 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 6/12 17/2 0.75L 85 85 Sean D Bowen Dwelt start - towards rear - headway over 2f out - switched left inside final furlong - not reach leaders(op 12/1 and tchd 14/1) 2024-10-13 Goodwood 1m Heavy Cla 6/8 28/1 1.50L 89 88 Hector Crouch Towards rear but in touch with leaders - no impression from over 1f out(op 25/1 tchd 22/1) 2024-09-27 Haydock 7f Heavy Cla 7/9 18/1 3.25L 92 79 Pat Cosgrave Towards rear - switched to near side over 3f out - soon outpaced - hung left 2f out - never dangerous(op 16/1) 2024-09-06 Ascot 1m Soft Cla 8/9 28/1 2.50L 95 86 Pat Cosgrave Dwelt start - soon in touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 20/1) 2024-06-20 Ascot 1m Good To F Cla 20/29 40/1 0.20L 93 77 David Egan Towards far side - midfield - headway and edged right 2f out - weakened inside final furlong - 4th of 10 in group(op 50/1 tchd 66/1) Comment In touch with leaders - went third over 1f out - kept on but not pace to challenge(tchd 4/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 1.25 Total beaten 2.00 OR after 85 In-running comment In touch with leaders - went third over 1f out - kept on but not pace to challenge(tchd 4/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. CHARLIE'S CHOICE (GB) (#6 · Σ 53.0) 6yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Taryn Langley Trainer David Simcock Owner The Future Pedigree Sire Lightning Spear (GB) Dam Aliyana (IRE) Damsire Iffraaj Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 21.00 (Bet365) 16:01 26.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 23.00 (William Hill) 17:00 29.00 (Midnite) 17:21 31.00 (7Bet) 18:20 29.00 (William Hill) 20:22 31.00 (7Bet) 09:11 34.00 (Bet365) 09:40 36.00 (7Bet) 09:46 34.00 (Bet365) 09:53 36.00 (7Bet) 10:44 34.00 (Bet365) 10:52 36.00 (7Bet) 10:58 34.00 (Bet365) 11:00 36.00 (7Bet) 11:52 34.00 (Bet365) 12:45 29.00 (Coral) 12:55 26.00 (Bet365) 13:57 23.00 (Bet365) 15:01 26.00 (Midnite) 15:04 23.00 (Bet365) 15:24 26.00 (Bet365) 15:49 23.00 (Bet365) 18:16 26.00 (Bet365) 18:30 29.00 (Spreadex) 18:35 26.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 95 second-bottom; OFR 78. Form 4.0/10 Last two figures 70 — clear regression. Connections 4.0/10 Simcock yard cool (1/11), Langley fine but inexperienced for level. Fitness 6.0/10 45 days — within usable window but not freshly tuned. Trip 6.0/10 Has handled middle distances previously. Pace 7.0/10 Often goes forward — could dictate. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8 — widest, may have to work early. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 6.0/10 128lb off 78 — fair after the recent regression. Value 5.0/10 Fading form line offset by Elo number. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Mid-pack profile without a standout signal. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1635.1 (46 runs, 8 wins, 17.4%) Jockey 1614.8 (392 runs, 35 wins, 8.9%) Trainer 1526.8 (4207 runs, 575 wins, 13.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 6r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer 71r 9w 13% A/E 0.78 (negative) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 219r 24w 11% A/E 0.83 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 117r 12w 10% A/E 1.01 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 30r 4w 13% A/E 0.93 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 968r 116w 12% A/E 0.85 (fair) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 4/7 25/1 2.50L 78 95 Taryn Langley Dwelt start - in rear - plenty to do when switched left over 2f out - headway over 1f out - stayed on but not reach leaders 2026-04-03 Lingfield (AW 2m Standard Cla 11/14 14/1 0.10L 79 68 Taryn Langley Always behind(op 18/1) 2026-03-21 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 7/7 9/1 11.00L 80 56 Hollie Doyle Held up in rear - weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding ran flat)(op 17/2 tchd 10/1) 2026-03-13 Wolverhampton 1m6f Standard Cla 2/5 7/2 2.00L 80 84 Jack Dace Raced in fourth - raced wide 2f out - headway and went second 1f out - no chance with winner final 110yds(op 4/1) 2026-03-10 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 3/6 4/1 4.25L 80 80 Taryn Langley Held up in rear - steady headway over 1f out - went modest third inside final furlong - no match for first two 2026-02-28 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 1/7 5/2 won 77 85 Taryn Langley Towards rear - ridden and headway over 1f out - led inside final furlong - kept on well 2026-02-21 Lingfield (AW 1m5f Standard Cla 1/12 7/2 won 75 81 Taryn Langley Dwelt start - soon held up in midfield - raced wide when headway on turn over 1f out - ridden to lead towards finish(op 4/1) 2026-02-03 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 5/6 13/2 0.75L 77 77 Taryn Langley In touch with leaders - headway on outer over 2f out - drifted left inside final furlong - soon weakened(op 5/1) 2026-01-13 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/6 11/8F 1.50L 77 81 Taryn Langley In rear - some headway from over 1f out - in touch with leaders but no impression inside final furlong(op 6/4) 2026-01-10 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 3/8 11/10F 0.50L 77 82 Taryn Langley Held up in rear - still plenty to do 2f out - hung left inside final furlong - ran on final 110yds - not pace to challenge(op 5/4 tchd Evens) 2026-01-03 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 1/9 6/1 won 72 83 Taryn Langley In rear - some headway halfway - ran on when in the clear over 1f out - led inside final furlong - readily 2025-12-20 Wolverhampton 1m4f Standard Cla 2/10 4/1 2.25L 72 82 Taryn Langley Midfield - switched right and not clear run over 2f out - headway from over 1f out - kept on but no impression inside final furlong(op 6/1) 2025-12-17 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 2/7 8/1 1.50L 72 79 Taryn Langley In touch with leaders - raced wide but good headway home turn - edged left and hampered rival over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - outpaced final 110yds(op 9/1 tchd 15/2) 2025-12-02 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/7 5/1 3.25L 71 69 Luke Morris Towards rear - kept on well inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 9/2 tchd 13/2) 2025-11-25 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 2/9 5/1 0.20L 71 81 Taryn Langley Midfield - headway and went second over 1f out - pressed winner inside final furlong - just held(tchd 11/2) 2025-11-03 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 6/13 10/1 0.75L 73 72 Taryn Langley In rear - steady headway when against near rail from 2f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 9/1 tchd 11/1) 2025-10-13 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 7/9 28/1 0.10L 76 66 Luke Morris Dwelt start - in rear - some headway over 1f out - never dangerous(op 22/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-06-19 Chelmsford (A 1m2f Standard Cla 3/10 18/1 1.00L 77 79 Taryn Langley In rear - raced wide 2f out - headway over 1f out - kept on and went third towards finish(op 12/1) 2025-05-10 Lingfield 1m3½f Good To F Cla 2/5 18/1 1.50L 77 79 Silvestre De Sousa Slowly into stride - raced in last - headway over 4f out - went second 3f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 14/1) 2025-04-18 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 9/16 20/1 0.75L 78 79 Taryn Langley In rear - steadied soon after start - raced wide from over 3f out - headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 25/1) Comment Dwelt start - in rear - plenty to do when switched left over 2f out - headway over 1f out - stayed on but not reach leaders Finishing result Position 4 SP 25/1 (26.000) Beaten (L) 2.50 Total beaten 4.50 OR after 78 In-running comment Dwelt start - in rear - plenty to do when switched left over 2f out - headway over 1f out - stayed on but not reach leaders ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. DON SIMON (IRE) (#8 · Σ 53.0) 5yo G · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Tom Marquand Trainer Ed Dunlop Owner Anamoine Limited Pedigree Sire Sea The Stars (IRE) Dam Snow Fairy (IRE) Damsire Intikhab Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 11.00 (Bet365) 17:00 12.00 (Bet365) 17:21 13.00 (Bet365) 18:20 12.00 (Bet365) 20:22 13.00 (Bet365) 09:16 12.00 (Bet365) 09:40 13.00 (Unibet) 09:53 12.00 (Bet365) 11:00 13.00 (Bet365) 11:06 12.00 (Bet365) 11:52 13.00 (Bet365) 12:29 12.00 (Bet365) 13:02 13.00 (Coral) 14:24 15.00 (Bet365) 18:30 13.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 RPR 94 the lowest; OFR 75 the lowest. Form 3.0/10 Last out 0; only one placing in last five. Connections 7.0/10 Dunlop hot 4/15 (27%) 14d; Marquand top-class jockey Elo 1647. Fitness 7.0/10 30 days — usable. Trip 5.0/10 Sea The Stars x Snow Fairy — should stay all day but yet to translate to wins. Pace 5.0/10 Generally midfield. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 — favourable. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 7.0/10 Bottom weight 125lb — gets relief. Value 4.0/10 Marquand booking can shorten him beyond his form. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Stable form and rider help, but the horse hasn't done it. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1576.9 (11 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1647.1 (9343 runs, 1247 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1595.3 (4540 runs, 477 wins, 10.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 659r 101w 15% A/E 0.90 (fair) Jockey × trainer 79r 5w 6% A/E 0.64 (negative) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 395r 36w 9% A/E 0.75 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 1666r 272w 16% A/E 0.87 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 8r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 587r 74w 13% A/E 1.00 (fair) Past form (last 12 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 7/7 10/1 2.75L 75 94 Tom Marquand Towards rear throughout(op 12/1) 2026-04-18 Thirsk 1m4f Good Cla 10/12 15/2 0.50L 76 67 Toby Moore Soon midfield - hung left and weakened over 1f out(op 13/2 tchd 6/1) 2026-03-14 Southwell (AW 2m½f Standard Cla 2/6 7/4 2.50L 77 82 Rossa Ryan Prominent - pressed leader over 2f out - briefly led over 1f out - no chance with winner inside final 110yds(op 15/8 tchd 13/8) 2026-02-27 Wolverhampton 1m4f Standard Cla 3/6 7/1 0.75L 77 81 Daniel Muscutt Prominent - in touch with leaders from over 7f out - lost position and not clear run over 2f out - some headway over 1f out - kept on but no impression inside final furlong(op 6/1) 2025-06-25 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 8/14 9/2 0.50L 79 80 Robert Havlin Prominent - led narrowly over 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(tchd 4/1) 2025-05-14 York 1m4f Good To F Cla 9/14 7/2F 0.20L 80 79 Ryan Moore Prominent - lost position over 3f out - soon outpaced - eased inside final furlong (jockey said gelding had no more to give)(op 11/4) 2025-04-18 Chelmsford (A 1m6f Standard Cla 2/14 9/2C 0.10L 77 87 Ryan Moore Prominent - led over 1f out - disputed lead inside final furlong - just held(op 5/1 tchd 4/1) 2025-03-25 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 2/7 7/4 0.50L 77 76 Rossa Ryan In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - faced challenge inside final furlong - headed and no extra towards finish(tchd 13/8) 2024-09-26 Newmarket 1m4f Soft Cla 3/8 14/1 14.00L 77 59 Rossa Ryan Raced in third - no extra from 2f out(op 9/1) 2024-09-03 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/14 17/2 0.20L — 76 Silvestre De Sousa Disputed lead - prominent after 1f - pressed winner 2f out - no extra when lost second over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong - lost third inside final 110yds(op 14/1 tchd 16/1) 2024-07-29 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 6/11 4/1 3.00L — 74 Silvestre De Sousa Held up in rear - short of room over 2f out - headway over 1f out - stayed on(op 11/2) 2023-11-04 Chelmsford (A 1m Standard Cla 5/8 13/2 0.10L — 73 Billy Loughnane In touch with leaders - headway and challenging over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 11/2) Comment Towards rear throughout(op 12/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 10/1 (11.000) Beaten (L) 2.75 Total beaten 11.00 OR after 75 In-running comment Towards rear throughout(op 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. WISPER (IRE) (#1 · Σ 50.0) 8yo M · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Kieran Shoemark Trainer Alan King Owner The Wisper Partnership Pedigree Sire Belardo (IRE) Dam Whisp (GER) Damsire Rainbow Quest Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 14:21 9.00 (Bet365) 16:01 12.00 (CopyBet) 16:21 11.00 (William Hill) 17:00 8.00 (BetWright) 17:21 7.00 (Bet365) 18:20 7.50 (Bet365) 20:22 6.50 (Bet365) 00:31 6.00 (Bet365) 09:11 7.00 (William Hill) 09:55 7.50 (William Hill) 10:13 7.00 (Bet365) 10:25 7.50 (William Hill) 13:51 7.00 (William Hill) 14:33 6.50 (William Hill) 15:01 6.00 (Bet365) 18:16 6.50 (Bet365) 18:23 6.00 (Bet365) 18:30 7.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 9.0/10 Top RPR 100 in the field, OFR 86 the highest mark — clear class edge on paper. Form 3.0/10 Form figures 18585- — last four runs all 5th or worse before going off the boil. Connections 6.0/10 Alan King a top yard but cool 14d (2/28, 7%) and primarily a jumps stable; Shoemark capable. Fitness 2.0/10 226 days since last run — a stiff ask first up especially given age. Trip 6.0/10 Belardo out of a Rainbow Quest mare should stay 1m3f comfortably; ratings achieved over middle distances. Pace 5.0/10 Versatile tactically, no strong shape preference indicated. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5 of 8 over 1m3f99y at Windsor — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear or medical change noted. Weight 4.0/10 Top weight 136lb off career-high mark 86 — no relief in handicap. Value 4.0/10 Top-rated horse with the most obvious negatives (age + layoff) tends to be overbet. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Ratings edge balanced by hefty fitness and form concerns. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1619.1 (47 runs, 7 wins, 14.9%) Jockey 1585.9 (5381 runs, 634 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1721.7 (5879 runs, 845 wins, 14.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 278r 36w 13% A/E 1.00 (fair) Jockey × trainer 11r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 204r 23w 11% A/E 0.99 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 498r 45w 9% A/E 0.75 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 12r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 4260r 433w 10% A/E 0.77 (negative) Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Windsor 1m3½f Good Cla 1/7 11/2 won 86 100 Kieran Shoemark Held up in rear - good headway on outer over 2f out - led over 1f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong(tchd 6/1) 2025-10-04 Newmarket 1m4f Good Cla 5/6 12/1 4.25L 88 83 Hollie Doyle Bumped start - held up in rear - brief headway over 3f out - no extra over 1f out(tchd 10/1) 2025-09-20 Newbury 1m2f Good To S Cla 8/11 11/1 1.75L 89 78 Cieren Fallon Slowly away - raced in last and detached - some headway 3f out - no impression from over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong(op 10/1) 2025-07-30 Goodwood 1m2f Good Cla 5/14 7/1 0.30L 89 94 Rossa Ryan Slowly away - held up in rear - headway over 1f out - went fourth inside final 110yds - lost fourth towards finish (jockey said mare was slowly away)(tchd 15/2) 2025-07-13 Southwell (AW 1m3f Standard Cla 8/11 14/1 0.50L 89 87 Tom Marquand In rear - not clear run over 1f out - some headway then bit short of room inside final furlong (jockey said mare was slowly away and then was denied a clear run approximately 1 1/2f out)(op 8/1) 2025-06-28 Windsor 1m3½f Good To F Cla 1/9 11/2 won 84 96 Rossa Ryan In rear - on outer when headway from 2f out - led 1f out - soon ridden - kept on well(tchd 5/1) 2025-06-01 Chelmsford (A 1m2f Standard Cla 2/9 28/1 0.30L 83 90 David Egan Slowly away - in rear - headway from over 1f out - switched left and kept on inside final furlong(tchd 33/1) 2025-05-10 Ascot 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/6 16/5 3.25L 85 81 Rossa Ryan Towards rear but in touch with leaders - weakened final 110yds(op 10/3 tchd 11/4) 2024-10-05 Newmarket 1m2f Good To S Cla 3/11 16/1 1.75L 84 89 Marco Ghiani Slowly away - in rear - headway on outer from over 1f out - pressed leaders inside final furlong - went third final strides(op 20/1) 2024-09-05 Haydock 1m2f Good To S Cla 7/10 15/2 2.00L 85 80 Joe Fanning Dwelt start - took keen hold - never better than midfield(tchd 7/1 and tchd 8/1) 2024-08-13 Lingfield 1m1f Good To F Cla 2/7 5/2 3.50L 86 90 Oisin Murphy Towards rear - outpaced over 2f out - rallied over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - went second but no chance with winner inside final 110yds(op 9/4 tchd 11/5) 2024-07-31 Goodwood 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/9 10/1 0.50L 86 91 Kieran Shoemark Dwelt start - in rear - headway over 1f out - not clear run and switched right inside final 110yds - not recover (jockey said mare was denied a clear run on 2 separate occasions on run to line)(op 11/1) 2024-07-01 Windsor 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/7 12/1 0.50L 84 91 Dougie Costello In rear - on outer when headway from over 2f out - going okay over 1f out - ridden when challenging inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 14/1) 2024-06-14 Sandown 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/10 9/1 2.75L 85 76 Kaiya Fraser Held up in rear - bit short of room but some headway over 2f out - weakened quickly final 110yds (jockey said mare was denied a clear run approximately 2f out)(op 8/1) 2024-05-25 Windsor 1m2f Good Cla 4/11 12/1 0.30L 85 90 Dougie Costello Dwelt start - niggled along early - in rear - headway 4f out - ridden and challenging 1f out - no extra and lost two places towards finish(op 14/1) 2024-04-30 Brighton 1m2f Good Cla 2/7 9/2 2.75L 84 91 Dougie Costello Held up in rear - on outer from over 3f out - up the centre home straight - soon some headway - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/1) 2023-10-05 Salisbury 1m2f Soft Cla 5/8 9/1 1.75L 86 86 Aidan Keeley Dwelt start - in rear - some headway 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 17/2 and tchd 10/1) 2023-09-16 Chester 1m2½f Good To S Cla 8/10 7/1 0.75L 87 83 Aidan Keeley Lost many lengths start - in rear - headway on outer over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 17/2) 2023-08-20 Sandown 1m2f Good Cla 2/9 12/1 2.75L 87 91 Aidan Keeley Took keen hold - towards rear - steady headway from 3f out - went second 1f out - kept on but no match for winner(op 16/1) 2023-07-04 Ffos Las 1m2f Good Cla 5/5 13/2 4.75L 87 78 Connor Planas In rear - outpaced from 2f out(op 7/1 tchd 8/1) Comment Held up in rear - good headway on outer over 2f out - led over 1f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong(tchd 6/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/2 (6.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 86 In-running comment Held up in rear - good headway on outer over 2f out - led over 1f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong(tchd 6/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. SIOUXFONIC (NR) (#NR · Σ 66.0) 5yo R · 129lb · Draw 7 · tp Connections Jockey Mason Paetel(5) Trainer James Owen (Newmarket, Suffolk) Owner Cambrianway Ltd Breeder Zcjd Bloodstock Trainer 14d 7/49 (14%) DOB 2021-04-25 Pedigree Sire Sioux Nation (USA) Dam Velvet Ribbon (IRE) Damsire Duke Of Marmalade Form / ratings Form string 21-397 Last run (days) 10 OFR 79 RPR 97 TS 70 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 3/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 2/4 Coral - (-) · EW 2/4 Betfred - (-) · EW 2/4 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 2/4 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 2/4 Unibet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetTom - (-) · EW 2/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 2/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 3/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 3/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 2/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 2/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 3/5 Betano - (-) · EW 2/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 2/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 2/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 2/4 BresBet - (-) · EW 2/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 2/4 7Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 2/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 2/4 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 2/4 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 14:21 7.00 (Bet365) 17:00 7.50 (Bet365) 17:21 8.00 (Bet365) 18:20 7.50 (Bet365) 20:22 8.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 97 equal-third in field — well above OFR 79. Form 5.0/10 Form 21-397 — won and second early in line but last two below standard. Connections 7.0/10 Owen yard hot (14% 14d, Elo 1698); Paetel 5lb claim useful on the weights. Fitness 8.0/10 Just 10 days since last run — race fit. Trip 6.0/10 Sioux Nation x Duke Of Marmalade — stamina should be fine. Pace 7.0/10 Tongue-tie suggests they want him to settle; can race handy. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 7 of 8 — wide over 1m3f, has to work to position. Equipment 7.0/10 Tongue-tie applied plus had wind surgery in October — fresh-air angle live. Weight 7.0/10 Carries 129lb effective after 5lb claim — generous. Value 8.0/10 Hot-yard, wind-op, fit, light weight — classic value profile. Σ Summary 66.0/100 Most positive signals stacked of any runner. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1605.6 (8 runs, 2 wins, 25.0%) Jockey 1591.7 (351 runs, 43 wins, 12.3%) Trainer 1698.4 (2204 runs, 420 wins, 19.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ 1m3½f no data Jockey @ Windsor 10r 1w 10% A/E 0.65 (negative) Jockey × trainer 105r 15w 14% A/E 0.86 (fair) Trainer @ 1m3½f no data Trainer @ Windsor 30r 4w 13% A/E 0.86 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m3½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 383r 45w 12% A/E 0.77 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m3½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 4r 1w 25% A/E 1.57 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m3½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 426r 66w 15% A/E 1.10 (value) Spotlight Bumper winner who landed a Wolverhampton maiden (1m4f) in December but he's been well held in two turf handicaps this spring; ran into some trouble at Chester (12.3f, good) ten days ago but he needs to find more to defy this mark; tongue-tie added. Comment Lightly raced 5yo but he's been well held in both handicaps and needs to find more ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (4 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Windsor · 1m3½f · Class 4 · Good Find Us At fitzdares.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) 1 Wisper (IRE) won SP 11/2 2 Sir William (IRE) 0.75L SP 10/1 3 Son Of Man (IRE) 1.25L SP 9/2 4 Charlie's Choice (GB) 2.50L SP 25/1 5 Due To Henry (GB) 2.00L SP 100/30 6 Naval Command (GB) 1.75L SP 15/8F 7 Don Simon (IRE) 2.75L SP 10/1 2026-03-10 · Southwell (AW) · 1m3f · Class 4 · Standard Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) 3 Charlie's Choice (GB) 4.25L SP 4/1 5 Sir William (IRE) 4.25L SP 5/1 2025-10-13 · Kempton (AW) · 1m3f · Class 4 · Standard To Slow Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus) (Div II) 4 Sir William (IRE) 2.50L SP 7/2 7 Charlie's Choice (GB) 0.10L SP 28/1 2025-09-20 · Newbury · 1m2f · Class 2 · Good To Soft Dubai Duty Free Handicap (GBBPlus Race) 4 Due To Henry (GB) 1.50L SP 12/1 8 Wisper (IRE) 1.75L SP 11/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely steady to honest tempo with Charlie's Choice and Siouxfonic potentially going forward; suits hold-up types who can pick up off a true gallop over 1m3f at Windsor. Narrative: Wide-open Class 4 handicap with the top eight on RPR covered by just 6lb. Naval Command is the obvious RP angle on handicap/stable debut for Beckett-Ryan but the 331-day absence is a major concern. Son Of Man brings the only recent winning form but trots out for a stable running 0/12 in the last fortnight. Siouxfonic is fit, post-wind-op and from a Newmarket yard scoring at 14%, while lightweight 4yo Sir William has the rating profile to step forward. Recommended: Naval Command Lightly-raced 4yo making handicap debut off 85 for a 17%-strike Beckett yard with Rossa Ryan booked. RPR 97 from just three starts suggests upside, but the 331-day layoff means he must prove fitness. Alternative: Siouxfonic Recent runner from James Owen's in-form yard (51r/7w/14% 14d), post-wind-surgery, RPR 97 off OFR 79 means he's well in at the weights with claimer's 5lb taken off. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:37 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944335