============================================================================== RACE: Chepstow ? · 2026-05-21 David Lucas Best Prices Welsh Sport Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Good To Soft · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. STRONG MAN TOM (GB) (#1) 4yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey William Cox Trainer Barry John Murphy Owner A Evans Pedigree Sire Massaat (IRE) Dam Ssafa (GB) Damsire Motivator Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 151.00 (Bet365) 05:21 201.00 (Bet365) 07:34 251.00 (Bet365) 09:45 201.00 (Bet365) 10:30 251.00 (Bet365) 14:40 201.00 (Betfred) 19:09 301.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1441.5 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1421.1 (2196 runs, 119 wins, 5.4%) Trainer 1421.0 (169 runs, 1 wins, 0.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 211r 18w 9% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 39r 2w 5% A/E 0.50 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 276r 22w 8% A/E 0.63 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 6/8 250/1 31.00L — — William Cox Midfield - weakened 3f out(op 200/1) 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 6/6 250/1 20.00L — — William Cox Took keen hold - dwelt start - held up in rear - no impression from over 3f out(op 150/1 tchd 300/1) 2026-04-11 Newcastle 2m1f Good Cla 9/10 80/1 51.00L — — Dylan O'Connor In touch with leaders - pushed along and reminders halfway - tailed off from over 3f out - eased home straight(op 66/1 tchd 100/1) 2026-03-25 Hereford 2m Good Cla 9/9 25/1 99.00L — — Dylan O'Connor Midfield - dropped to rear back straight - tailed off from 4f out(op 22/1 tchd 20/1) Comment Took keen hold - dwelt start - held up in rear - no impression from over 3f out(op 150/1 tchd 300/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 250/1 (251.000) Beaten (L) 20.00 Total beaten 38.25 In-running comment Took keen hold - dwelt start - held up in rear - no impression from over 3f out(op 150/1 tchd 300/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. BATTLE OF MALDON (IRE) (#2) 3yo G · Draw 4 · p Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer Gordon Elliott Owner Sapphire Racing Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Novelty (GB) Damsire New Approach Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 5.50 (Bet365) 17:20 6.00 (Bet365) 18:41 6.50 (Bet365) 21:20 6.00 (Bet365) 22:01 5.50 (Bet365) 04:31 6.00 (Bet365) 05:01 5.50 (Bet365) 05:21 5.00 (Betfred) 05:33 4.50 (Betfred) 07:07 4.00 (Bet365) 07:25 3.75 (Bet Victor) 07:32 3.50 (BetWright) 07:34 3.25 (Bet365) 15:01 3.50 (Bet365) 15:13 3.25 (Bet365) 15:42 3.50 (Bet365) 17:40 3.75 (Betfred) 17:49 3.50 (Bet365) 18:01 3.75 (Spreadex) 18:03 3.50 (Bet365) 18:22 3.75 (Bet365) 18:55 4.00 (Bet365) 19:00 4.33 (Bet365) 19:04 4.50 (Spreadex) 19:09 5.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1528.2 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1603.2 (10852 runs, 2169 wins, 20.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 75r 15w 20% A/E 1.18 (value) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 9r 1w 11% A/E 1.12 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 167r 22w 13% A/E 0.99 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 296r 26w 9% A/E 0.66 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 1/6 9/2 won — 70 Saffie Osborne Held up in rear - ridden and headway on inner over 2f out - led inside final furlong - kept on well(op 3/1) 2026-04-25 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Good To Y — 8/18 25/1 2.75L — 68 Donagh O'Connor Midfield - kept on from over 1f out - never on terms(op 16/1 tchd 14/1) 2026-03-30 Navan (IRE) 1m Heavy — 4/15 28/1 3.75L — 66 Declan McDonogh Prominent - bit short of room but went third over 2f out - soon lost third and weakened gradually(op 18/1) 2025-06-19 Leopardstown 7f Good — 5/10 9/2 2.25L — 66 Chris Hayes Prominent - went second after 2f - outpaced 1f out - weakened final furlong (trainer's rep said colt scoped badly)(op 7/2) Comment Held up in rear - ridden and headway on inner over 2f out - led inside final furlong - kept on well(op 3/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Held up in rear - ridden and headway on inner over 2f out - led inside final furlong - kept on well(op 3/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. EASWRITH DESTINY (GB) (#3) 3yo G · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Sean Levey Trainer David Menuisier Owner Everard Bloodstock Pedigree Sire Leading Light (IRE) Dam Saucy Sally (IRE) Damsire Declaration Of War Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 26.00 (Bet365) 16:02 51.00 (CopyBet) 16:20 41.00 (CopyBet) 17:41 51.00 (Betfred) 18:41 41.00 (William Hill) 21:20 51.00 (Midnite) 22:01 41.00 (William Hill) 05:27 51.00 (BetWright) 05:33 41.00 (Bet365) 06:55 51.00 (7Bet) 07:32 41.00 (Spreadex) 07:34 36.00 (7Bet) 09:06 34.00 (Bet365) 09:12 36.00 (7Bet) 10:01 41.00 (Boyle Sports) 10:14 36.00 (7Bet) 12:03 34.00 (Bet365) 12:09 36.00 (7Bet) 14:15 34.00 (Bet365) 19:04 36.00 (7Bet) 19:09 34.00 (BetTom) ELO Horse 1468.6 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1679.8 (5951 runs, 709 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1676.9 (1573 runs, 190 wins, 12.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 115r 12w 10% A/E 0.71 (negative) Jockey × trainer 43r 9w 21% A/E 1.66 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 15r 1w 7% A/E 0.50 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 87r 7w 8% A/E 0.46 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 9r 2w 22% A/E 1.11 (value) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 5/6 25/1 5.00L — 50 Sean Levey Took keen hold - prominent - led 5f out - headed 3f out - soon weakened(tchd 33/1) 2026-04-17 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 9/10 200/1 4.75L — 49 Jason Watson Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - weakened over 3f out(op 150/1) Comment Took keen hold - prominent - led 5f out - headed 3f out - soon weakened(tchd 33/1) Finishing result Position 5 SP 25/1 (26.000) Beaten (L) 5.00 Total beaten 18.25 In-running comment Took keen hold - prominent - led 5f out - headed 3f out - soon weakened(tchd 33/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. LEONATO (IRE) (#4) 3yo G · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Billy Loughnane Trainer George Boughey Owner Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Pedigree Sire Lope De Vega (IRE) Dam Jordan Princess (GB) Damsire Cape Cross Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 3.25 (Bet365) 16:02 4.00 (CopyBet) 16:20 3.75 (BetWright) 17:41 4.00 (Bet365) 21:41 4.33 (Midnite) 22:22 4.00 (Bet365) 00:32 4.33 (Midnite) 01:32 4.00 (Bet365) 02:01 4.33 (Midnite) 06:03 4.50 (Bet365) 07:13 5.00 (Midnite) 07:25 4.50 (Bet365) 07:32 5.00 (Bet365) 08:19 5.50 (Bet365) 08:50 6.00 (Bet365) 09:51 6.50 (William Hill) 10:14 7.00 (William Hill) 19:04 8.00 (Bet365) 19:09 8.50 (CopyBet) ELO Horse 1489.2 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1653.1 (3812 runs, 590 wins, 15.5%) Trainer 1669.6 (3400 runs, 591 wins, 17.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 48r 9w 19% A/E 0.96 (fair) Jockey × trainer 783r 144w 18% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 28r 8w 29% A/E 1.15 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 986r 127w 13% A/E 0.83 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 955r 114w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 4/6 6/1 8.00L — 72 Billy Loughnane Prominent - weakened quickly over 1f out(tchd 15/2) 2026-04-28 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 3/8 20/1 0.20L — 73 Billy Loughnane Prominent - led over 3f out - faced challenge over 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 18/1 tchd 14/1) 2025-11-06 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 9/10 11/2 11.00L — 24 Billy Loughnane Dwelt start - took keen hold - in rear - hung left and weakened over 2f out(op 13/2) Comment Prominent - weakened quickly over 1f out(tchd 15/2) Finishing result Position 4 SP 6/1 (7.000) Beaten (L) 8.00 Total beaten 13.25 In-running comment Prominent - weakened quickly over 1f out(tchd 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. WINDBREAKER (GB) (#5) 3yo C · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Shane Foley Trainer William Haggas Owner Forz Europe Ltd Pedigree Sire Sea The Stars (IRE) Dam Cloudy Dawn (IRE) Damsire Kodiac Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 2.88 (Bet365) 17:20 2.50 (Coral) 17:41 2.20 (Bet365) 18:21 2.10 (Bet365) 20:02 2.20 (Bet365) 22:22 2.25 (Bet365) 04:31 2.20 (Bet365) 05:01 2.25 (Bet365) 05:21 2.38 (Bet365) 07:07 2.50 (Bet365) 07:25 2.63 (Bet365) 07:32 2.75 (Bet365) 08:50 2.63 (Bet365) 09:06 2.75 (Bet365) 09:57 2.63 (Bet365) 14:54 2.75 (William Hill) 17:40 2.63 (Bet365) 17:46 2.75 (Grosvenor Sports) 17:49 2.63 (Bet365) 19:04 2.25 (BetTom) ELO Horse 1517.2 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1666.8 (7799 runs, 826 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1730.6 (6888 runs, 1582 wins, 23.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow no data Jockey × trainer 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 123r 31w 25% A/E 0.97 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 647r 118w 18% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 269r 22w 8% A/E 0.62 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 3/6 EvensF 5.00L — 75 Shane Foley Midfield - headway over 2f out - weakened from 1f out(op 6/5 tchd 10/11 and tchd 5/4) 2025-12-18 Chelmsford (A 1m Standard Cla 3/9 9/4 3.50L — 65 Shane Foley Raced wide - in touch with leaders - chased clear leader from over 2f out - pressed leaders over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/4) 2025-12-01 Kempton (AW) 1m Standard Cla 5/10 13/2 3.00L — 66 Cieren Fallon Dwelt start - in rear - ran green 3f out - headway over 2f out - kept on but not pace to challenge Comment Midfield - headway over 2f out - weakened from 1f out(op 6/5 tchd 10/11 and tchd 5/4) Finishing result Position 3 SP EvensF (2.000) Beaten (L) 5.00 Total beaten 5.25 In-running comment Midfield - headway over 2f out - weakened from 1f out(op 6/5 tchd 10/11 and tchd 5/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. HAPINESS (IRE) (#6) 3yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Hector Crouch Trainer Ralph Beckett Owner J H Richmond Watson Pedigree Sire Camelot (GB) Dam Czabo (GB) Damsire Sixties Icon Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:20 3.50 (Bet365) 16:02 3.75 (CopyBet) 16:20 3.50 (Bet365) 17:02 3.75 (Betfred) 17:20 4.00 (Bet365) 18:21 4.33 (Bet365) 20:02 4.00 (Bet365) 21:20 4.33 (Bet365) 05:21 4.50 (Bet365) 07:32 5.00 (Bet365) 09:37 4.50 (Bet365) 14:40 4.33 (Bet365) 14:42 4.50 (Boyle Sports) 14:54 4.33 (Boyle Sports) 19:04 4.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1663.5 (5110 runs, 713 wins, 14.0%) Trainer 1718.6 (5769 runs, 1049 wins, 18.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 95r 17w 18% A/E 1.00 (fair) Jockey × trainer 848r 174w 21% A/E 0.97 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 255r 58w 23% A/E 1.13 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 415r 37w 9% A/E 0.60 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 9r 2w 22% A/E 2.39 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 31r 3w 10% A/E 0.67 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 2/6 3/1 0.30L — — Hector Crouch Led - headed but prominent 5f out - led again 3f out - headed inside final furlong - rallied final 110yds - kept on well(tchd 11/4 and tchd 10/3) Comment Led - headed but prominent 5f out - led again 3f out - headed inside final furlong - rallied final 110yds - kept on well(tchd 11/4 and tchd 10/3) Finishing result Position 2 SP 3/1 (4.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 0.30 In-running comment Led - headed but prominent 5f out - led again 3f out - headed inside final furlong - rallied final 110yds - kept on well(tchd 11/4 and tchd 10/3) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (1 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-21 · Chepstow · 1m2f · Class 3 · Good To Soft David Lucas Best Prices Welsh Sport Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) 1 Battle Of Maldon (IRE) won SP 9/2 2 Hapiness (IRE) 0.30L SP 3/1 3 Windbreaker (GB) 5.00L SP EvensF 4 Leonato (IRE) 8.00L SP 6/1 5 Easwrith Destiny (GB) 5.00L SP 25/1 6 Strong Man Tom (GB) 20.00L SP 250/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely a steady gallop with Battle Of Maldon prominent from stall 4 and the rest happy to track; tactical race suits the more experienced rateable types over the debutants. Narrative: Small-field maiden where Windbreaker has the form-book edge with RPR 75 from two competitive Kempton/Chelmsford runs behind Classic-trail colts, and Haggas (26% 14d) is in superb form. Leonato is the obvious threat after a much-improved Lingfield third, turf debut a slight unknown but family suggests progress. Battle Of Maldon arrives with experience, cheekpieces and Elliott/Osborne booking, while Beckett's filly Hapiness is the unknown but well-bred debutante. The two well-beaten previous performers (Easwrith Destiny, Strong Man Tom) look outclassed. Recommended: Windbreaker Top RPR (75) in the field, ran behind two genuine Classic-trail colts on debut/second start, steps up to a more suitable trip on his turf bow and Haggas is 26% strike rate over 14 days. The layoff is the only real concern. Alternative: Leonato Massive step forward from debut bomb-out to Lingfield third last month, family of Dubawi suggests further improvement, and turf surface should not be a problem given the page. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-30 18:09 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11944803