============================================================================== RACE: Redcar ? · 2026-05-26 Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands A B C and D) (GBB Race) Good To Firm · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. POPPEYE (GB) (#1) 4yo G · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Oliver Stammers Trainer Grant Tuer Owner Grant Tuer Pedigree Sire Expert Eye (GB) Dam Easy Terms (GB) Damsire Trade Fair Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 26.00 (CopyBet) 16:40 23.00 (Bet365) 00:31 26.00 (William Hill) 04:02 29.00 (Midnite) 05:43 26.00 (Bet365) 06:20 29.00 (Midnite) 06:59 31.00 (7Bet) 07:05 34.00 (Spreadex) 07:25 36.00 (7Bet) 09:39 41.00 (Midnite) 09:50 36.00 (7Bet) 10:10 41.00 (Midnite) 10:35 34.00 (Bet365) 10:45 41.00 (Midnite) 10:49 34.00 (Bet365) 10:55 41.00 (Midnite) 11:02 34.00 (Bet365) 11:24 41.00 (Bet365) 13:30 51.00 (Betfred) ELO Horse 1470.4 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1614.2 (1374 runs, 146 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1627.3 (2133 runs, 250 wins, 11.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 40r 5w 12% A/E 1.01 (fair) Jockey × trainer 509r 61w 12% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 119r 10w 8% A/E 0.80 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 400r 37w 9% A/E 0.70 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 21r 1w 5% A/E 0.48 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 78r 7w 9% A/E 0.82 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 4/6 50/1 7.50L — 68 Oliver Stammers Reluctant to load - took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - brief headway and went fourth over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong 2026-04-16 Ripon 1m3f Good To S Cla 7/7 12/1 23.00L — — Oliver Stammers Pressed leader early - lost position after 3f - dropped to rear over 3f out - soon lost touch - tailed off (jockey said gelding weakened quickly inside final 2 furlongs; vet had nothing to report) 2026-04-05 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/9 9/1 4.00L — 64 Oliver Stammers Dwelt start - midfield - headway and in touch with leaders 3f out - pressed leader 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 18/1) Comment Reluctant to load - took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - brief headway and went fourth over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong Finishing result Position 4 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 7.50 Total beaten 8.50 In-running comment Reluctant to load - took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - brief headway and went fourth over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. MATILDA BEA (IRE) (#2) 4yo F · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Jason Hart Trainer Ivan Furtado Owner W P Flynn Friend Pedigree Sire Australia (GB) Dam Nianga (GER) Damsire Lomitas Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 51.00 (Bet365) 07:05 67.00 (Bet365) 07:09 81.00 (Bet365) 07:15 71.00 (7Bet) 07:58 81.00 (Midnite) 08:07 71.00 (7Bet) 08:13 81.00 (Midnite) 10:49 101.00 (Bet365) 13:42 126.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1474.0 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1570.1 (8326 runs, 977 wins, 11.7%) Trainer 1596.6 (3088 runs, 291 wins, 9.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 484r 65w 13% A/E 1.05 (fair) Jockey × trainer 320r 37w 12% A/E 0.87 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 80r 9w 11% A/E 1.09 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 785r 89w 11% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 6r 1w 17% A/E 0.82 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 670r 88w 13% A/E 0.98 (fair) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 6/6 125/1 2.75L — 53 Jason Hart Dwelt start - always behind(op 100/1) 2026-04-26 Wetherby 1m2f Good To F Cla 6/7 66/1 2.50L — 48 Kieran Shoemark Dwelt start - towards rear - hung right and weakened over 1f out(op 50/1) Comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 100/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 125/1 (126.000) Beaten (L) 2.75 Total beaten 17.75 In-running comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 100/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. CAPE FEAR (GB) (#3) 3yo C · Draw 5 Connections Jockey P J McDonald Trainer Andrew Balding Owner Kingsclere Racing Club Pedigree Sire Kameko (USA) Dam Cape Spirit (IRE) Damsire Cape Cross Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 2.63 (Bet365) 21:42 2.50 (Bet365) 01:31 2.38 (Bet365) 06:28 2.25 (Unibet) 06:34 2.20 (Bet365) 06:55 2.25 (Bet365) 06:59 2.20 (Bet365) 07:32 2.25 (Unibet) 07:38 2.20 (Bet365) 07:42 2.25 (PricedUp Bet) 08:27 2.20 (Bet365) 08:37 2.25 (PricedUp Bet) 08:46 2.20 (Bet365) 08:52 2.25 (Bet365) 09:06 2.10 (Bet365) 09:19 2.00 (Bet365) 10:49 1.91 (Bet365) 11:02 2.00 (Bet365) 11:41 1.91 (William Hill) 13:30 1.83 (Bet365) 13:36 1.91 (William Hill) ELO Horse 1534.1 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1572.7 (7964 runs, 954 wins, 12.0%) Trainer 1672.5 (9623 runs, 1496 wins, 15.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 625r 61w 10% A/E 0.83 (negative) Jockey × trainer 301r 61w 20% A/E 1.07 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 54r 10w 19% A/E 1.09 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 141r 18w 13% A/E 1.01 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 8r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 2548r 297w 12% A/E 0.89 (fair) Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/6 10/11F 0.75L 78 78 P J McDonald Flyjumped start - pressed leader - led over 5f out - ridden 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/6 tchd Evens) 2026-05-11 Windsor 1m2f Good To F Cla 3/14 100/30 5.50L 78 79 Jason Watson Prominent - briefly went second 2f out - outpaced final furlong(op 4/1) 2026-04-23 Beverley 1m2f Good Cla 2/8 5/4F 0.50L — 77 P J McDonald Raced in second - pressed leader 4f out - led over 2f out - soon hung right - kept on inside final furlong - reduced lead towards finish - headed final strides(op 5/2 tchd 6/5) 2026-04-05 Bath 1m2f Good Cla 3/8 7/1 0.10L — 70 Rob Hornby Prominent - pressed leader over 2f out - outpaced over 1f out - lost second towards finish(op 17/2 tchd 13/2) 2025-10-16 Brighton 1m Good To F Cla 5/7 16/1 0.20L — 57 Jason Watson Slowly away - in rear - some headway from 2f out - kept on but not pace to challenge(op 12/1) Comment Flyjumped start - pressed leader - led over 5f out - ridden 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/6 tchd Evens) Finishing result Position 2 SP 10/11F (1.910) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 0.75 OR after 78 In-running comment Flyjumped start - pressed leader - led over 5f out - ridden 2f out - rallied when headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/6 tchd Evens) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. CHAMPION LAWMAN (IRE) (#4) 3yo C · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Connor Beasley Trainer Charlie Johnston Owner Jaber Abdullah Pedigree Sire Showcasing (GB) Dam Allegation (FR) Damsire Lawman Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 3.50 (Bet365) 04:02 4.00 (Midnite) 06:09 4.33 (Midnite) 06:34 4.00 (Midnite) 06:49 4.33 (Midnite) 06:59 4.50 (Midnite) 08:54 5.00 (Midnite) 09:06 5.50 (Unibet) 09:19 6.00 (Unibet) 09:29 6.50 (Betfred) 11:24 7.00 (BetMGM) 11:53 7.50 (BetMGM) 13:42 7.00 (William Hill) 13:44 7.50 (Ladbrokes) ELO Horse 1514.5 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1649.7 (6435 runs, 683 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1633.3 (3386 runs, 450 wins, 13.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 472r 44w 9% A/E 0.78 (negative) Jockey × trainer 72r 14w 19% A/E 1.33 (value) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 65r 8w 12% A/E 0.87 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 2098r 219w 10% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 13r 2w 15% A/E 0.86 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 686r 72w 10% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 2 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/6 9/1 6.50L — 70 Connor Beasley Led at steady pace - soon pestered - headed and pressed leader over 5f out - lost second over 3f out - weakened 2f out(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) 2026-04-28 Lingfield (AW 1m Standard Cla 4/12 11/4F 0.20L — 69 Billy Loughnane In touch with leaders - outpaced over 3f out - rallied over 1f out - kept on and went fourth inside final 110yds(op 4/1) Comment Led at steady pace - soon pestered - headed and pressed leader over 5f out - lost second over 3f out - weakened 2f out(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) Finishing result Position 5 SP 9/1 (10.000) Beaten (L) 6.50 Total beaten 15.00 In-running comment Led at steady pace - soon pestered - headed and pressed leader over 5f out - lost second over 3f out - weakened 2f out(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. HOSEKI (IRE) (#5) 3yo F · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Cieren Fallon Trainer William Haggas Owner Simon Munir Isaac Souede Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Sea Karats (IRE) Damsire Sea The Stars Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 3.00 (Bet365) 21:42 3.25 (Bet365) 00:31 3.00 (Bet365) 01:31 3.25 (Bet365) 07:05 3.00 (Bet365) 07:09 3.25 (Bet365) 07:15 3.00 (Bet365) 09:12 3.25 (Bet365) 09:19 3.00 (Bet365) 11:16 3.25 (Bet365) 11:24 3.00 (Bet365) 13:24 3.25 (Bet365) 13:42 2.75 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1509.2 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1627.6 (3917 runs, 545 wins, 13.9%) Trainer 1730.6 (6888 runs, 1582 wins, 23.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 60r 12w 20% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer 849r 193w 23% A/E 0.97 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 216r 55w 25% A/E 0.95 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 430r 63w 15% A/E 0.94 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 740r 103w 14% A/E 0.84 (negative) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 1/6 11/8 won — 75 Cieren Fallon Prominent - pressed leader over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 7/4 tchd 5/4) 2025-11-18 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 4/7 9/4F 1.75L — 61 Harry Burns In touch with leaders - prominent over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 7/2 tchd 85/40) 2025-10-25 Newbury 1m Soft Cla 3/8 10/1 3.25L — 65 Tom Marquand Dwelt start - took keen hold - in touch with leaders - lost ground and towards rear 6f out - steady headway over 3f out - kept on and went third inside final 110yds(op 12/1) Comment Prominent - pressed leader over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 7/4 tchd 5/4) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/8 (2.380) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Prominent - pressed leader over 3f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on(op 7/4 tchd 5/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. TALITHA ROUGE (IRE) (#6) 3yo F · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Mark Winn Trainer David O'Meara Owner Hot To Trot Racing 2 Pedigree Sire Space Blues (IRE) Dam Coco Rouge (IRE) Damsire Shamardal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 12.00 (Bet365) 04:02 13.00 (William Hill) 06:55 15.00 (William Hill) 07:09 13.00 (Bet365) 07:15 15.00 (Coral) 09:19 17.00 (Bet365) 09:33 19.00 (Spreadex) 13:09 21.00 (Bet365) 13:16 19.00 (Bet365) 13:36 21.00 (Bet365) 13:42 23.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1581.5 (1286 runs, 136 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1579.9 (10045 runs, 1346 wins, 13.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Redcar 53r 11w 21% A/E 1.72 (value) Jockey × trainer 435r 49w 11% A/E 0.92 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Redcar 738r 110w 15% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 72r 6w 8% A/E 0.57 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 2120r 255w 12% A/E 0.81 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-26 Redcar 1m2f Good To F Cla 3/6 20/1 0.30L — — Mark Winn In touch with leaders - headway 3f out - edged left and pressed leaders inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 22/1) Comment In touch with leaders - headway 3f out - edged left and pressed leaders inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 22/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 1.00 In-running comment In touch with leaders - headway 3f out - edged left and pressed leaders inside final furlong - kept on(tchd 22/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (1 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-26 · Redcar · 1m2f · Class 4 · Good To Firm Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands A B C and D) (GBB Race) 1 Hoseki (IRE) won SP 11/8 2 Cape Fear (GB) 0.75L SP 10/11F 3 Talitha Rouge (IRE) 0.30L SP 20/1 4 Poppeye (GB) 7.50L SP 50/1 5 Champion Lawman (IRE) 6.50L SP 9/1 6 Matilda Bea (IRE) 2.75L SP 125/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely steady tempo in a six-runner maiden over 1m2f with no obvious front-runner; should favour the more tactically versatile 3yos sat handy off the rail. Narrative: Small-field restricted maiden where Cape Fear sets the form standard with three placed efforts at 77 RPR, but he's a confirmed bridesmaid who hasn't won in five starts. Hoseki is the obvious unexposed type from Haggas with the best yard form, though a 189-day absence is a meaningful negative. Champion Lawman shaped with promise on debut for an in-form Johnston string and is open to sharp improvement, while the rest are exposed or untested with weaker connections. Recommended: Cape Fear Top-rated on RPR/OFR with three consecutive placed runs and the most reliable form line; ready to convert with a sound recent return and strong jockey/trainer combo. Alternative: Hoseki Unexposed Haggas type with the best connections in the race and pedigree to relish 1m2f; layoff is the only blot and yard is in cracking form. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-27 19:23 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11946246