============================================================================== RACE: Chepstow ? · 2026-05-29 Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes Good To Firm · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. STRONG MAN TOM (GB) (#1) 4yo G · Draw 5 Connections Jockey William Cox Trainer Barry John Murphy Owner A Evans Pedigree Sire Massaat (IRE) Dam Ssafa (GB) Damsire Motivator Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 151.00 (Bet365) 01:31 201.00 (Midnite) 05:00 151.00 (Bet365) 05:48 201.00 (Midnite) 06:46 251.00 (Midnite) ELO Horse 1441.5 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1421.1 (2196 runs, 119 wins, 5.4%) Trainer 1421.0 (169 runs, 1 wins, 0.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 211r 18w 9% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 39r 2w 5% A/E 0.50 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 276r 22w 8% A/E 0.63 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 6/8 250/1 31.00L — — William Cox Midfield - weakened 3f out(op 200/1) 2026-05-21 Chepstow 1m2f Good To S Cla 6/6 250/1 20.00L — — William Cox Took keen hold - dwelt start - held up in rear - no impression from over 3f out(op 150/1 tchd 300/1) 2026-04-11 Newcastle 2m1f Good Cla 9/10 80/1 51.00L — — Dylan O'Connor In touch with leaders - pushed along and reminders halfway - tailed off from over 3f out - eased home straight(op 66/1 tchd 100/1) 2026-03-25 Hereford 2m Good Cla 9/9 25/1 99.00L — — Dylan O'Connor Midfield - dropped to rear back straight - tailed off from 4f out(op 22/1 tchd 20/1) Comment Midfield - weakened 3f out(op 200/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 250/1 (251.000) Beaten (L) 31.00 Total beaten 36.25 In-running comment Midfield - weakened 3f out(op 200/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. MADAME DRAGON (GB) (#2) 4yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Taylor Fisher Trainer Polly Gundry Owner Mrs Wendy Jarrett Pedigree Sire Jack Hobbs (GB) Dam The Flying Doc (IRE) Damsire Dr Massini Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 67.00 (Bet365) 17:22 71.00 (7Bet) 17:40 67.00 (Bet365) 01:31 81.00 (Midnite) 05:00 67.00 (Bet365) 05:58 81.00 (Midnite) 08:56 101.00 (Bet365) 09:02 81.00 (Bet365) 09:04 101.00 (Bet365) 09:16 81.00 (Bet365) 09:31 101.00 (Bet365) 10:25 126.00 (Bet365) 11:37 151.00 (Midnite) 11:41 126.00 (Bet365) 12:09 151.00 (Midnite) 12:24 126.00 (Bet365) 13:49 151.00 (Spreadex) 13:53 251.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1562.8 (877 runs, 99 wins, 11.3%) Trainer 1406.0 (482 runs, 24 wins, 5.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 53r 8w 15% A/E 0.98 (fair) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 57r 1w 2% A/E 0.28 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 53r 7w 13% A/E 0.99 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 248r 39w 16% A/E 0.92 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 8/8 250/1 14.00L — — Taylor Fisher Dwelt start - always behind(op 125/1 tchd 300/1) Comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 125/1 tchd 300/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 250/1 (251.000) Beaten (L) 14.00 Total beaten 50.50 In-running comment Dwelt start - always behind(op 125/1 tchd 300/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. PROPHET SQUEEZE (IRE) (#3) 8yo M · Draw 3 · h Connections Jockey Mason Paetel Trainer Barry John Murphy Owner A Evans Pedigree Sire Walk In The Park (IRE) Dam Prophets Honor (FR) Damsire Highest Honor Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 101.00 (Bet365) 01:31 126.00 (Midnite) 08:56 151.00 (Midnite) 09:02 126.00 (Bet365) 11:37 151.00 (Midnite) 11:41 126.00 (Bet365) 12:09 151.00 (Midnite) 12:24 126.00 (Bet365) 13:49 151.00 (Spreadex) 13:53 201.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1401.0 (7 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1591.7 (351 runs, 43 wins, 12.3%) Trainer 1421.0 (169 runs, 1 wins, 0.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 422r 71w 17% A/E 0.82 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 16r 4w 25% A/E 1.61 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 520r 66w 13% A/E 0.86 (fair) Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 7/8 250/1 0.20L — — Mason Paetel Slowly away - always behind (jockey said mare was slowly away)(op 125/1) 2025-08-27 Hexham 2m4f Good Cla 6/7 18/1 23.00L 79 62 Robert Dunne Took keen hold - held up in rear - mistake 1st - mistake 4 out - weakened before last where bad mistake (jockey said mare sustained a wound to her right-hind leg)(op 25/1 tchd 28/1) 2025-07-27 Uttoxeter 2m Good Cla 11/12 66/1 26.00L 76 38 Shane Fenelon Took keen hold - midfield - in touch with leaders 4th - not fluent 5th - weakened before 3 out(op 40/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-07-13 Stratford 2m6f Good To F Cla 5/7 25/1 0.50L 74 63 Lilly Pinchin Held up in rear - headway after 3 out - went fourth after 2 out - weakened run-in(op 14/1) 2024-11-20 Ffos Las 2m4f Soft Cla PU/12 300/1 — — — Shane Fenelon Held up in last - mistake 1st - struggling 4 out - pulled up before 3 out(op 250/1) 2024-10-30 Fakenham 2m Good Cla F/5 200/1 — — — Ellis Collier Jumped right on occasions - took keen hold - held up in last - went remote fourth 4 out - dropped to last 2 out - tailed off when fell last(op 150/1) 2024-10-13 Ffos Las 2m6f Good To S Cla 7/10 250/1 7.00L — 31 Shane Fenelon In rear - bumped 1st - lost touch after 4 out - tailed off(op 125/1 tchd 300/1) 2024-09-11 Worcester 2m4f Good Cla PU/12 150/1 — — — Lorcan Williams In rear - lost touch after 4 out - pulled up 3 out (jockey said mare hung badly left-handed) Comment Slowly away - always behind (jockey said mare was slowly away)(op 125/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 250/1 (251.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 36.50 In-running comment Slowly away - always behind (jockey said mare was slowly away)(op 125/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. ALFARAZ (GB) (#4) 3yo C · Draw 2 · h Connections Jockey David Probert Trainer Andrew Balding Owner Saeed Suhail Pedigree Sire Nathaniel (IRE) Dam Sequilla (FR) Damsire Siyouni Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 1.80 (Bet365) 07:02 1.83 (William Hill) 07:33 1.91 (Unibet) 07:50 1.83 (Bet365) 07:58 1.91 (Coral) 08:39 2.00 (Bet365) 09:24 2.10 (Unibet) 11:16 2.20 (Unibet) 13:53 2.10 (William Hill) ELO Horse 1521.3 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1551.7 (10271 runs, 1173 wins, 11.4%) Trainer 1672.5 (9623 runs, 1496 wins, 15.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 555r 75w 14% A/E 0.92 (fair) Jockey × trainer 3689r 553w 15% A/E 0.92 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 322r 57w 18% A/E 0.90 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 523r 70w 13% A/E 0.84 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 57r 2w 4% A/E 0.27 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 5/8 10/11F 0.50L 90 93 David Probert Taken down early - took keen hold - in touch with leaders - outpaced from over 1f out - lost fourth inside final 110yds(op 11/10 tchd 5/6) 2026-04-17 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 6/10 9/2 0.10L — 92 Oisin Murphy Keen to post - ducked left start - took keen hold - soon led - clear after 3f - reduced lead from 3f out - headed over 1f out - no extra when lost position inside final 110yds(op 6/1) 2025-09-28 Epsom 1m½f Good Cla 2/3 EvensF 2.25L — 85 Oisin Murphy Led - headed 2f out - edged left but kept on inside final furlong(op 10/11 tchd 11/10) 2025-08-24 Goodwood 1m Good To F Cla 2/6 9/2 1.25L — 76 Jason Watson In rear - in touch with leaders 3f out - switched right over 2f out - prominent when switched left over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong(tchd 5/1) Comment Taken down early - took keen hold - in touch with leaders - outpaced from over 1f out - lost fourth inside final 110yds(op 11/10 tchd 5/6) Finishing result Position 5 SP 10/11F (1.910) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 5.25 OR after 90 In-running comment Taken down early - took keen hold - in touch with leaders - outpaced from over 1f out - lost fourth inside final 110yds(op 11/10 tchd 5/6) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. BLUE HERCULES (IRE) (#5) 3yo C · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Lewis Edmunds Trainer William Muir & Chris Grassick Owner Perspicacious Punters Racing Club Pedigree Sire Ghaiyyath (IRE) Dam Sousmain (GB) Damsire Shamardal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 9.50 (Bet365) 01:31 10.00 (Midnite) 02:31 11.00 (Midnite) 06:13 12.00 (Midnite) 06:19 11.00 (Bet365) 06:25 12.00 (Midnite) 06:39 13.00 (Midnite) 08:45 15.00 (Bet365) 08:49 13.00 (Bet365) 10:39 12.00 (Bet365) 13:49 13.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1461.8 (1 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1550.2 (4193 runs, 438 wins, 10.4%) Trainer 1548.2 (1121 runs, 135 wins, 12.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 26r 2w 8% A/E 0.36 (negative) Jockey × trainer 517r 59w 11% A/E 0.91 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 18r 4w 22% A/E 1.19 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 32r 8w 25% A/E 1.06 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 958r 139w 15% A/E 1.01 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 2/8 14/1 2.25L — 77 Lewis Edmunds Led - headed over 2f out - kept on(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) 2026-05-15 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 4/9 125/1 1.75L — 65 Lewis Edmunds Took keen hold - prominent - lost position 3f out - rallied final furlong - kept on(tchd 100/1) 2026-04-18 Newbury 1m3f Good Cla 8/8 33/1 3.75L — 58 Lewis Edmunds Led - headed over 3f out - weakened over 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 28/1) Comment Led - headed over 2f out - kept on(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 14/1 (15.000) Beaten (L) 2.25 Total beaten 2.25 In-running comment Led - headed over 2f out - kept on(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. ECHO OF STARS (IRE) (#6) 3yo C · Draw 1 · t Connections Jockey Jamie Spencer Trainer Oliver Cole Owner Mrs Fitri Hay Pedigree Sire Sea The Stars (IRE) Dam Valais Girl (GB) Damsire Holy Roman Emperor Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 4.00 (Bet365) 01:31 4.33 (Bet365) 06:06 4.50 (William Hill) 06:13 4.33 (Bet365) 06:25 4.00 (Bet365) 07:27 3.75 (Bet365) 07:52 3.50 (Bet365) 08:45 3.25 (William Hill) 09:24 3.13 (Unibet) 09:31 3.00 (Coral) 09:37 3.25 (Bet365) 13:53 3.50 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1514.3 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1613.0 (4488 runs, 572 wins, 12.7%) Trainer 1553.1 (103 runs, 9 wins, 8.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 85r 17w 20% A/E 0.84 (negative) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow no data Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 647r 118w 18% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 5r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 475r 55w 12% A/E 0.93 (fair) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 1/8 2/1 won 87 89 Jamie Spencer Took keen hold - raced in second - pushed along to lead over 2f out - drifted right and ridden over 1f out - kept on(op 9/4 tchd 15/8 and tchd 5/2) 2026-05-15 Newbury 1m2f Good Cla 4/11 11/4 2.50L — 92 Jamie Spencer Took keen hold - soon raced in second - chased clear leader 6f out - lost second 2f out - no extra from over 1f out(op 5/2 tchd 10/3) 2025-10-04 Newmarket 1m Good Cla 2/7 3/1 1.00L — 86 James Doyle Raced in third - pressed leader over 3f out - carried left over 1f out - kept on(op 7/2) 2025-09-06 Ascot 1m Soft Cla 4/5 13/2 0.75L — 80 Jamie Spencer Raced in last - outpaced over 2f out - headway inside final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 10/1) Comment Took keen hold - raced in second - pushed along to lead over 2f out - drifted right and ridden over 1f out - kept on(op 9/4 tchd 15/8 and tchd 5/2) Finishing result Position 1 SP 2/1 (3.000) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 87 In-running comment Took keen hold - raced in second - pushed along to lead over 2f out - drifted right and ridden over 1f out - kept on(op 9/4 tchd 15/8 and tchd 5/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. EL NAY (IRE) (#7) 3yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Sean Levey Trainer Richard Hannon Owner Shadwell Estate Company Ltd Pedigree Sire Palace Pier (GB) Dam Anghaam (IRE) Damsire Frankel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 5.00 (Bet365) 06:06 4.50 (Bet365) 06:19 5.00 (Coral) 09:31 5.50 (Bet365) 09:37 5.00 (Bet365) 10:49 4.50 (Bet365) 11:01 5.00 (Bet365) 11:10 4.50 (Bet365) 11:16 5.00 (Bet365) 11:30 4.50 (Bet365) 13:53 4.33 (Betfred) ELO Horse 1552.6 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1679.8 (5951 runs, 709 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1640.6 (11041 runs, 1575 wins, 14.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow 115r 12w 10% A/E 0.71 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3399r 446w 13% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 289r 39w 13% A/E 0.75 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 13r 2w 15% A/E 0.89 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 103r 15w 15% A/E 1.04 (fair) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 3/8 7/2 2.25L 86 86 Sean Levey Raced in third - disputing third over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds - just held third(op 3/1) 2026-05-06 Chester 1m2½f Good Cla 2/5 15/2 2.00L — 94 Sean Levey Took keen hold - led - headed then in touch with leaders after 2f - short of room against rail over 2f out - headway when in the clear over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - soon no extra(op 9/1 tchd 15/2) 2026-03-18 Kempton (AW) 7f Standard Cla 3/8 3/1 1.25L — 83 Sean Levey Took keen hold - prominent - went second over 1f out - lost second inside final furlong - no extra towards finish(op 10/3) 2026-02-21 Lingfield (AW 1m Standard Cla 2/9 100/30 0.75L — 87 Sean Levey Dwelt start - soon led - headed after 2f - soon prominent - pressed winner over 1f out - carried right inside final furlong - promising(op 4/1) Comment Raced in third - disputing third over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds - just held third(op 3/1) Finishing result Position 3 SP 7/2 (4.500) Beaten (L) 2.25 Total beaten 4.50 OR after 86 In-running comment Raced in third - disputing third over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds - just held third(op 3/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. KINETIC IMPACT (GB) (#8) 3yo C · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Harry Vigors Trainer Charles Hills Owner D M James Partner Pedigree Sire Zelzal (FR) Dam Kitkitty (FR) Damsire Olympic Glory Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 14:41 15.00 (Bet365) 05:44 17.00 (Midnite) 06:25 19.00 (Bet365) 07:12 23.00 (Midnite) 07:17 21.00 (Bet365) 07:27 23.00 (Bet365) 07:39 26.00 (Midnite) 07:45 23.00 (Bet365) 11:18 26.00 (Midnite) 11:24 23.00 (Bet365) 13:08 26.00 (Bet365) 13:16 23.00 (Bet365) 13:35 26.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1530.0 (106 runs, 14 wins, 13.2%) Trainer 1587.4 (5191 runs, 714 wins, 13.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ 1m2f no data Jockey @ Chepstow no data Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m2f no data Trainer @ Chepstow 84r 11w 13% A/E 0.66 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m2f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 15r 1w 7% A/E 1.08 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m2f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m2f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-29 Chepstow 1m2f Good To F Cla 4/8 22/1 0.20L — — Harry Vigors Dwelt start - towards rear - headway over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong(tchd 20/1) Comment Dwelt start - towards rear - headway over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong(tchd 20/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 22/1 (23.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 4.75 In-running comment Dwelt start - towards rear - headway over 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong(tchd 20/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (1 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-29 · Chepstow · 1m2f · Class 3 · Good To Firm Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes 1 Echo Of Stars (IRE) won SP 2/1 2 Blue Hercules (IRE) 2.25L SP 14/1 3 El Nay (IRE) 2.25L SP 7/2 4 Kinetic Impact (GB) 0.20L SP 22/1 5 Alfaraz (GB) 0.50L SP 10/11F 6 Strong Man Tom (GB) 31.00L SP 250/1 7 Prophet Squeeze (IRE) 0.20L SP 250/1 8 Madame Dragon (GB) 14.00L SP 250/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely a steady tempo with no obvious front-runner in the field; should suit the patiently-ridden, well-rated types like Alfaraz and El Nay rather than the unraced contingent. Narrative: Small-field novice over 1m2f on quick ground with Alfaraz the clear ratings pick — Balding's gelding boasts an RPR of 92 (six pounds clear) and was placed twice before a midfield run last time. El Nay (Hannon) brings the most consistent profile with 232 form and a hot 18% yard, while Echo Of Stars adds class. The remaining quartet (one with a 73 RPR, three never seen on a racecourse) need plenty to find. Kinetic Impact is the obvious unraced threat from Hills' in-form yard. Recommended: Alfaraz Six pounds clear on RPR, top yard and rider, and has tangible placed form in better company — the clear ratings choice in a thin novice. Alternative: El Nay Most consistent profile in the race with three straight placings and the hottest trainer on the day. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-30 18:54 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11947091