============================================================================== RACE: Wolverhampton (AW) ? · 2026-05-18 Sky Sports Fillies' Handicap Standard · Flat · AW ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. SYMBOL OF MAJESTY (GB) (#1 · Σ 72.0) 3yo F · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Robert Havlin Trainer John & Thady Gosden Owner Isa Salman Abdulla Al Khalifa Pedigree Sire New Bay (GB) Dam Sovereign Parade (IRE) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 2.38 (Bet365) 21:22 2.25 (Bet365) 10:05 2.38 (Bet365) 10:58 2.50 (Bet365) 12:10 2.38 (Bet365) 12:58 2.25 (Bet365) 13:10 2.38 (Bet365) 13:37 2.25 (Bet365) 13:49 2.38 (Bet365) 14:08 2.25 (Bet365) 14:18 2.38 (Bet365) 14:31 2.25 (Bet365) 14:43 2.38 (Bet365) 14:55 2.25 (Bet365) 15:16 2.38 (Bet365) 15:37 2.25 (Bet365) 18:25 2.10 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 Top OFR (86) in the field by 2lb and joint-top RPR bracket; unbeaten record means little exposed downside. Form 9.0/10 Form figures read 1-1, won both career starts including last time 23 days ago. Connections 10.0/10 Gosden yard 9/34 (26%) last 14 days, trainer Elo 1818 (elite), Havlin jockey Elo 1686 — top-tier combination. Fitness 9.0/10 Ideal 23-day gap since winning last time, no layoff concerns. Trip 7.0/10 Both wins suggest she stays; New Bay stock handle a stiff mile but unraced on AW Tapeta. Pace 7.0/10 Has won leading and from off the pace — versatile in a small field with no obvious speed duel. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 1 on Wolves inside isn't a negative over this trip with a long run to the first bend. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear, no medical notes — straightforward profile. Weight 4.0/10 Top-weight 136lb after winning off a lower mark; OFR 86 is a stiff opening handicap assessment. Value 7.0/10 An unbeaten Gosden filly is rarely a big price but the rating gap and hot stable form justify a market-leading rank. Σ Summary 72.0/100 Highest-rated, in-form, hot yard, elite jockey — the most likely winner despite top weight. Verdict Strong contender ELO Horse 1558.8 (2 runs, 2 wins, 100.0%) Jockey 1685.8 (5907 runs, 821 wins, 13.9%) Trainer 1818.0 (2604 runs, 637 wins, 24.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 1247r 169w 14% A/E 0.89 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1005r 212w 21% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)131r 33w 25% A/E 0.95 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 596r 105w 18% A/E 1.05 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 3r 3w 100% A/E 2.62 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 4915r 643w 13% A/E 0.88 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 5/7 6/5F 1.25L 86 92 Robert Havlin Slowly into stride - midfield - waiting for room and dropped to last over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 11/10 tchd Evens and tchd 5/4) 2026-04-25 Haydock 1m Good To F Cla 1/8 1/2F won — 85 William Buick Prominent - pressed leader over 3f out - pushed along to lead over 1f out - soon ran green - faced challenge inside final furlong - kept on well(op 4/6 tchd 4/9) 2025-12-04 Chelmsford (A 1m Standard Cla 1/9 9/2 won — 80 Robert Havlin Slowly away - in rear - plenty to do when headway over 2f out - pushed along and kept on well inside final furlong - led final strides - cosily(op 7/2) Comment Slowly into stride - midfield - waiting for room and dropped to last over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 11/10 tchd Evens and tchd 5/4) Finishing result Position 5 SP 6/5F (2.200) Beaten (L) 1.25 Total beaten 2.25 OR after 86 In-running comment Slowly into stride - midfield - waiting for room and dropped to last over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 11/10 tchd Evens and tchd 5/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. CITY QUEEN (IRE) (#4 · Σ 69.0) 3yo F · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Connor Planas Trainer Charlie Appleby Owner Godolphin Pedigree Sire Dubawi (IRE) Dam Alkandora (GB) Damsire Nathaniel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 4.33 (Bet365) 00:31 4.00 (Bet365) 09:11 2.75 (Spreadex) 10:52 2.63 (William Hill) 11:13 2.50 (William Hill) 11:23 2.63 (Spreadex) 13:37 2.75 (Betfred) 13:43 2.63 (Coral) 13:49 2.75 (Betfred) 13:57 2.63 (Betfred) 14:02 2.75 (Spreadex) 15:43 2.88 (Unibet) 15:49 2.75 (William Hill) 17:02 2.88 (Unibet) 17:06 2.75 (William Hill) 17:18 2.88 (Unibet) 18:04 2.75 (William Hill) 18:12 2.88 (SportingIndex) 18:18 3.00 (Unibet) 18:25 2.75 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 RPR 92 second-best in the race and Horse Elo 1577 tops the field — clearly competitive on figures. Form 8.0/10 Form line 5-221 with a win and two seconds in last three; trajectory upwards. Connections 9.0/10 Appleby 4/15 (27%) last 14d, trainer Elo 1770 — but 5lb claimer Planas a slight question on the jockey side. Fitness 7.0/10 43 days off is a deliberate freshen-up after a winning run, suggests targeted return. Trip 7.0/10 Dubawi/Nathaniel pedigree handles middle distances; should be effective at the trip. Pace 6.0/10 Closed strongly to win last time — should be ridden similarly with cover here. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 is neutral over 1m142y at Wolverhampton. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment changes flagged. Weight 6.0/10 132lb off OFR 82 is fair after a course-and-distance win; mark looks workable. Value 7.0/10 Appleby handicap debutants with a recent win are usually well-fancied; rank as clear second pick. Σ Summary 69.0/100 Solid second favourite — won last, top trainer, but the claimer and tight handicap rise temper enthusiasm. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1576.9 (4 runs, 1 wins, 25.0%) Jockey 1654.5 (933 runs, 92 wins, 9.9%) Trainer 1769.6 (4319 runs, 1351 wins, 31.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 134r 9w 7% A/E 0.54 (negative) Jockey × trainer 14r 4w 29% A/E 0.85 (fair) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)339r 111w 33% A/E 0.92 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 2409r 482w 20% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 4r 1w 25% A/E 0.87 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 187r 20w 11% A/E 0.74 (negative) Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 3/7 13/8 0.10L 82 94 Connor Planas Towards rear - raced wide but headway from over 2f out - pressed leader from over 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 7/4) 2026-04-05 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 1/6 3/1 won 77 84 Toby Moore In touch with leaders - headway to lead inside final furlong - kept on(op 5/2 tchd 16/5) 2026-03-10 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 2/7 5/2 1.25L — 81 Toby Moore Disputed lead - led narrowly after 3f - increased tempo 2f out - went clear with winner 1f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(op 5/4) 2026-02-23 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/9 EvensF 1.75L — 77 Connor Planas Prominent - chased clear leader after 2f - some headway but hung left from over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong (jockey said filly hung left-handed in the straight)(op 5/6 tchd 4/5) 2025-08-22 Newmarket (Ju 7f Good To F Cla 5/10 8/1 0.10L — 71 Dougie Costello Held up in rear - headway over 1f out - outpaced inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds(op 9/1) Comment Towards rear - raced wide but headway from over 2f out - pressed leader from over 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 7/4) Finishing result Position 3 SP 13/8 (2.620) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 0.30 OR after 82 In-running comment Towards rear - raced wide but headway from over 2f out - pressed leader from over 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - kept on towards finish(op 7/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. SILKEN BAY (IRE) (#5 · Σ 61.0) 3yo F · Draw 7 · h Connections Jockey Jack Doughty Trainer Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Owner Urloxhey Racing Bronsan Townbraccan Pedigree Sire New Bay (GB) Dam La Negra (IRE) Damsire Dark Angel Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 13.00 (Bet365) 09:11 41.00 (Bet365) 10:40 36.00 (7Bet) 10:46 41.00 (Spreadex) 10:52 36.00 (7Bet) 10:58 34.00 (Spreadex) 11:23 29.00 (Coral) 12:10 34.00 (Spreadex) 13:49 29.00 (William Hill) 13:51 31.00 (7Bet) 13:57 29.00 (William Hill) 14:12 21.00 (William Hill) 16:02 23.00 (Midnite) 16:06 21.00 (William Hill) 17:56 23.00 (Coral) 18:18 26.00 (Coral) 18:25 29.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 90 sits in the second tier, two pounds behind the top pair. Form 7.0/10 Won last time (form 813) and RPR moving forward. Connections 5.0/10 Newland/Insole 3/27 (11%) last 14d with RTF 46 — yard not flying. Fitness 8.0/10 23 days since winning last — peak window. Trip 6.0/10 New Bay/Dark Angel mix — stamina is the question over the extended mile. Pace 6.0/10 Neutral pace profile, can race handy in small field. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 is widest — slight negative but small field mitigates. Equipment 6.0/10 Headgear reapplied after winning in it — positive note. Weight 6.0/10 129lb off OFR 79 is fair following the win. Value 6.0/10 Solid each-way profile but unlikely to be over-priced after a recent win. Σ Summary 61.0/100 In-form headgear runner but lacks the connections firepower of the top two. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1520.5 (3 runs, 1 wins, 33.3%) Jockey 1630.4 (1160 runs, 141 wins, 12.2%) Trainer 1670.9 (1099 runs, 131 wins, 11.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 295r 28w 9% A/E 0.79 (negative) Jockey × trainer 28r 5w 18% A/E 1.23 (value) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)118r 13w 11% A/E 0.80 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 596r 105w 18% A/E 1.05 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 3r 1w 33% A/E 5.27 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 1070r 113w 11% A/E 0.82 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 6/7 20/1 3.75L 79 90 Jack Doughty Prominent - weakened from over 1f out(op 22/1 and tchd 28/1) 2026-04-25 Haydock 1m Good To F Cla 3/8 33/1 2.25L — 79 Jack Doughty Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - outpaced inside final furlong - rallied and went third inside final 110yds - no match for first two(op 22/1) 2026-04-02 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 1/5 50/1 won — 74 Jack Doughty Prominent - shaken up over 2f out - ridden to lead over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong - always doing enough 2026-02-23 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 8/9 11/1 2.00L — 50 Hollie Doyle Hampered start - took keen hold - in rear throughout (jockey said filly hung right-handed)(op 14/1) Comment Prominent - weakened from over 1f out(op 22/1 and tchd 28/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 3.75 Total beaten 6.00 OR after 79 In-running comment Prominent - weakened from over 1f out(op 22/1 and tchd 28/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. ESTISSA (GB) (#2 · Σ 56.0) 3yo F · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Daniel Muscutt Trainer James Fanshawe Owner Mrs A M Swinburn Pedigree Sire Dubawi (IRE) Dam Audarya (FR) Damsire Wootton Bassett Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 4.75 (CopyBet) 00:31 5.00 (William Hill) 09:11 9.00 (Bet365) 09:16 8.50 (Unibet) 09:20 8.00 (Bet365) 12:51 8.50 (Bet365) 13:51 8.00 (Bet365) 13:57 8.50 (Bet365) 14:02 9.00 (Bet365) 14:08 8.50 (Coral) 17:58 9.00 (Bet365) 18:04 9.50 (Unibet) 18:25 11.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 87 and OFR 84 puts her firmly in the in-form contender bracket. Form 7.0/10 Won last time (12 in form) but TS only 46 suggests limited improvement margin. Connections 4.0/10 Fanshawe yard 0/18 (0%) last 14 days — runners not finding the form despite RTF 67. Fitness 5.0/10 38-day break a touch long but RTF 67 suggests she should be ready. Trip 7.0/10 Dubawi/Wootton Bassett pedigree — should stay this trip well. Pace 5.0/10 No standout pace edge in the brief. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 6 neutral at Wolves. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment notes. Weight 6.0/10 134lb off OFR 84 — fair after the win. Value 5.0/10 Recently won so unlikely to be a value pick despite the cold yard mitigation. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Solid figures but cold stable and modest TS keep her a tier below the principals. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1552.6 (3 runs, 1 wins, 33.3%) Jockey 1613.6 (5996 runs, 710 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1704.2 (3162 runs, 463 wins, 14.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 867r 122w 14% A/E 0.94 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1003r 149w 15% A/E 0.84 (negative) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)480r 76w 16% A/E 0.79 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 2409r 482w 20% A/E 0.93 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 1w 50% A/E 0.82 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 31r 9w 29% A/E 1.42 (value) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 1/7 15/2 won 84 91 Daniel Muscutt Held up in rear - headway then waiting for room over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - led towards finish - cosily(op 8/1 tchd 7/1 and tchd 9/1) 2026-04-10 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/4 1/4F 1.00L — 71 Oisin Murphy Raced in second - going easily 2f out - soon pressed winner - ridden inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds(op 1/7) 2026-03-23 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 1/10 11/8F won — 81 Oisin Murphy Prominent on inner - pressed leader over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - cosily(op 5/4 tchd 6/4) 2025-12-15 Lingfield (AW 1m Standard Cla 3/11 12/1 2.00L — 62 Daniel Muscutt Fractious at the post - slowly away - towards rear early - headway into midfield after 1f - switched right and ridden over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - went third towards finish(op 14/1 tchd 10/1) Comment Held up in rear - headway then waiting for room over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - led towards finish - cosily(op 8/1 tchd 7/1 and tchd 9/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 15/2 (8.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 84 In-running comment Held up in rear - headway then waiting for room over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - led towards finish - cosily(op 8/1 tchd 7/1 and tchd 9/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. MORVEN (IRE) (#3 · Σ 56.0) 3yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Edward Greatrex Trainer Ralph Beckett Owner Mrs Fitri Hay Pedigree Sire Gleneagles (IRE) Dam Tajamhor (USA) Damsire Candy Ride Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 7.50 (Bet365) 00:31 8.00 (Bet365) 09:11 8.50 (Unibet) 09:16 9.00 (Bet365) 09:28 9.50 (Bet365) 09:59 10.00 (Bet365) 10:05 9.50 (Bet365) 10:52 11.00 (Bet365) 11:23 12.00 (Unibet) 11:25 11.00 (Bet365) 12:10 12.00 (Bet365) 12:51 11.00 (Bet365) 12:58 12.00 (Bet365) 13:10 11.00 (Bet365) 13:37 12.00 (Bet365) 13:49 11.00 (Bet365) 13:57 12.00 (Bet365) 14:08 11.00 (Bet365) 14:31 10.00 (Bet365) 15:28 11.00 (Bet365) 17:39 10.00 (Bet365) 17:43 11.00 (Bet365) 18:12 12.00 (SportingIndex) 18:25 13.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 9.0/10 Top RPR 93 in the field — clearly the best-rated juvenile form on offer. Form 5.0/10 Form 315- (placed 3rd, won, then 5th) but no run since October. Connections 6.0/10 Beckett a solid 17% 14d but RTF 55 not great and Greatrex jockey Elo only 1545. Fitness 2.0/10 210-day layoff is a major fitness question, especially with RTF 55. Trip 6.0/10 Gleneagles/Candy Ride pedigree should appreciate the trip after winning over 7f as a juvenile. Pace 6.0/10 Versatile profile, neutral pace fit in a small field. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5 neutral at Wolverhampton. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment changes. Weight 6.0/10 132lb off OFR 82 is fair given the RPR 93 profile. Value 5.0/10 Best-rated but the layoff and RTF concerns mean she may not be cherry-ripe. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Best on figures but the seven-month absence is the dominant factor against. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1497.8 (3 runs, 1 wins, 33.3%) Jockey 1544.8 (2470 runs, 300 wins, 12.1%) Trainer 1718.6 (5769 runs, 1049 wins, 18.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 373r 55w 15% A/E 1.15 (value) Jockey × trainer 112r 23w 21% A/E 0.94 (fair) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)501r 89w 18% A/E 0.88 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 740r 83w 11% A/E 0.77 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 1w 50% A/E 3.08 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 24r 5w 21% A/E 1.96 (value) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 2/7 17/2 0.20L 82 93 Edward Greatrex In touch with leaders - headway and led narrowly from over 1f out - carried left inside final furlong - headed towards finish(op 11/1 tchd 8/1 and tchd 12/1) 2025-10-20 Pontefract 1m Soft Cla 5/5 7/1 8.50L — 42 Hector Crouch Took keen hold - prominent - weakened over 2f out(op 11/2) 2025-09-27 Haydock 1m Good To S Cla 1/4 6/1 won — 85 Hector Crouch Took keen hold - soon raced in last but in touch with leaders - headway 3f out - challenging 2f out - led inside final furlong - won going away(op 4/1) 2025-09-12 Salisbury 1m Heavy Cla 3/10 9/2 8.00L — 63 Harry Davies Midfield - some headway from 2f out - went modest third towards finish(op 17/2) Comment In touch with leaders - headway and led narrowly from over 1f out - carried left inside final furlong - headed towards finish(op 11/1 tchd 8/1 and tchd 12/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 17/2 (9.500) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 0.20 OR after 82 In-running comment In touch with leaders - headway and led narrowly from over 1f out - carried left inside final furlong - headed towards finish(op 11/1 tchd 8/1 and tchd 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. LYRA LEA (GB) (#6 · Σ 48.0) 3yo F · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Lewis Edmunds Trainer Rod Millman Owner Tom Chadney And Friends Pedigree Sire Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) Dam Bradfield Magic (IRE) Damsire Holy Roman Emperor Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 15.00 (Coral) 16:42 17.00 (CopyBet) 09:11 41.00 (Bet365) 09:59 36.00 (7Bet) 10:05 34.00 (William Hill) 10:52 31.00 (7Bet) 10:58 29.00 (BetTom) 11:00 26.00 (Bet365) 11:31 23.00 (Bet365) 11:37 21.00 (BetTom) 11:45 19.00 (Bet365) 12:10 23.00 (Bet365) 12:51 21.00 (Bet365) 13:43 23.00 (Bet365) 13:49 21.00 (Bet365) 13:57 23.00 (Bet365) 14:08 21.00 (Bet365) 14:31 19.00 (Bet365) 14:55 21.00 (Bet365) 15:31 19.00 (Bet365) 17:12 21.00 (Bet365) 17:56 23.00 (Midnite) 18:12 21.00 (Bet365) 18:18 23.00 (Bet365) 18:25 26.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 90 and TS 79 indicate underlying ability but OFR 72 is well off the top. Form 4.0/10 Form 21873- finished last campaign with 7 and 3 — momentum lost before the break. Connections 3.0/10 Millman 3/20 (15%) but RTF 25 is very poor — yard runners flat. Fitness 2.0/10 218-day absence with RTF 25 is the worst combination on the card. Trip 6.0/10 Lope Y Fernandez progeny stay middle distances adequately. Pace 5.0/10 Neutral pace expectations. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 inside is fine. Equipment 5.0/10 No equipment changes flagged. Weight 7.0/10 122lb is light and OFR 72 is workable if she can recapture juvenile form. Value 4.0/10 Could be a market mover but the layoff/RTF combo is hard to back at any price. Σ Summary 48.0/100 Ability on figures but seven-month absence with a cold yard is a heavy negative stack. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1556.3 (7 runs, 1 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1550.2 (4193 runs, 438 wins, 10.4%) Trainer 1631.0 (3218 runs, 377 wins, 11.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 503r 59w 12% A/E 0.97 (fair) Jockey × trainer 198r 33w 17% A/E 1.19 (value) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)473r 45w 10% A/E 0.90 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 67r 6w 9% A/E 0.83 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 3r 1w 33% A/E 3.20 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 1079r 128w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 4/7 25/1 0.75L 72 90 Lewis Edmunds Pressed leader early - in touch with leaders after 1f - headway and pressed leaders over 1f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 22/1) 2025-10-12 Goodwood 7f Good Cla 3/10 16/1 2.75L 73 62 George Wood Took keen hold - prominent - kept on and went third final stride(tchd 14/1 and tchd 20/1) 2025-09-24 Goodwood 7f Good To S Cla 7/14 33/1 0.00L 74 69 George Wood Never better than midfield(op 40/1 tchd 25/1) 2025-09-04 Haydock 7f Good Cla 8/8 4/1 4.25L 73 52 P J McDonald In touch with leaders - went third over 3f out - weakened 2f out (trainer said - regarding the poor form shown - that filly was unsuited by racing wide on this occasion)(tchd 7/2 and tchd 9/2) 2025-08-26 Lingfield (AW 7f Standard Cla 1/8 8/1 won 68 75 Lewis Edmunds Ducked right start - raced in second - led going easily over 2f out - clear over 1f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong - readily(op 6/1) 2025-08-09 Lingfield 7½f Good Cla 2/7 9/2 6.00L — 63 George Wood Carried left start - prominent - pressed leader from over 3f out - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 5/1) 2025-07-22 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 3/11 11/2 0.75L — 63 Lewis Edmunds Ducked sharply left start - midfield - headway from over 2f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 9/2 tchd 6/1) 2025-06-29 Ffos Las 7½f Soft Cla 2/6 8/1 3.25L — 66 Lewis Edmunds Slowly into stride - in rear - ran green but headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 11/2) Comment Pressed leader early - in touch with leaders after 1f - headway and pressed leaders over 1f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 22/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 25/1 (26.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 1.00 OR after 72 In-running comment Pressed leader early - in touch with leaders after 1f - headway and pressed leaders over 1f out - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 22/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. GOLDEN MABEL (GB) (#7 · Σ 40.0) 3yo F · Draw 3 · h Connections Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall Trainer Lisa Williamson Owner R Heath Pedigree Sire Massaat (IRE) Dam Caledonian Gold (GB) Damsire Acclamation Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:21 67.00 (Bet365) 16:42 71.00 (7Bet) 09:11 151.00 (Bet365) 09:16 126.00 (Bet365) 16:58 101.00 (Bet365) 17:02 126.00 (Bet365) 18:12 151.00 (Bet365) 18:25 201.00 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 1.0/10 Bottom of the field by 8lb on OFR and 13lb on RPR — clear class shortfall. Form 2.0/10 Form figures 885 — finished tailed off in last three. Connections 2.0/10 Williamson 0/3 14d, trainer Elo 1413 (sub-1500), apprentice Kiely-Marshall jockey Elo 1579. Fitness 7.0/10 Recent run 13 days ago keeps her sharp. Trip 5.0/10 Massaat/Acclamation pedigree — questionable at the trip but not impossible. Pace 4.0/10 No pace edge indicated; likely held up out the back. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 3 fine over this trip. Equipment 5.0/10 Headgear in place but no signal it's sparking improvement. Weight 6.0/10 Bottom weight 116lb with 5lb claim helps but doesn't bridge the form gap. Value 2.0/10 Will be a big price for good reason; no realistic value angle. Σ Summary 40.0/100 Outclassed on every key figure with a cold yard — needs a wholesale form turnaround. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1438.1 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1579.0 (553 runs, 42 wins, 7.6%) Trainer 1412.9 (1520 runs, 74 wins, 4.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ 1m½f no data Jockey @ Wolverhampton (AW) 24r 1w 4% A/E 0.32 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m½f no data Trainer @ Wolverhampton (AW)799r 27w 3% A/E 0.64 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m½f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 189r 13w 7% A/E 0.77 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m½f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m½f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 1809r 193w 11% A/E 0.77 (negative) Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 7/7 200/1 4.50L 66 74 Tom Kiely-Marshall Taken down early - soon led - headed and weakened from over 1f out(op 125/1) 2026-05-05 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 5/6 400/1 0.50L — — Jack Dace Led - headed over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 300/1) 2026-04-25 Haydock 1m Good To F Cla 8/8 250/1 9.00L — 24 Ben Robinson Took keen hold - midfield - hung left over 2f out - soon weakened (jockey said filly hung left-handed)(op 200/1 tchd 300/1) 2026-03-23 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 8/10 300/1 2.25L — 37 Sean Kirrane Upset in stalls - never better than midfield (jockey said filly was fractious in stalls)(op 200/1 tchd 500/1) Comment Taken down early - soon led - headed and weakened from over 1f out(op 125/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 200/1 (201.000) Beaten (L) 4.50 Total beaten 10.50 OR after 66 In-running comment Taken down early - soon led - headed and weakened from over 1f out(op 125/1) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (4 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 1m½f · Class 4 · Standard Sky Sports Fillies' Handicap 1 Estissa (GB) won SP 15/2 2 Morven (IRE) 0.20L SP 17/2 3 City Queen (IRE) 0.10L SP 13/8 4 Lyra Lea (GB) 0.75L SP 25/1 5 Symbol Of Majesty (GB) 1.25L SP 6/5F 6 Silken Bay (IRE) 3.75L SP 20/1 7 Golden Mabel (GB) 4.50L SP 200/1 2026-04-25 · Haydock · 1m · Class 4 · Good To Firm William Hill Price Boosts Every Day EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) 1 Symbol Of Majesty (GB) won SP 1/2F 3 Silken Bay (IRE) 2.25L SP 33/1 8 Golden Mabel (GB) 9.00L SP 250/1 2026-03-23 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 1m½f · Class 4 · Standard Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) 1 Estissa (GB) won SP 11/8F 8 Golden Mabel (GB) 2.25L SP 300/1 2026-02-23 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 1m½f · Class 4 · Standard Daily Profit Boosts At betmgm.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) 2 City Queen (IRE) 1.75L SP EvensF 8 Silken Bay (IRE) 2.00L SP 11/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely steady, even-paced AW mile-and-a-bit with no obvious lone leader; sets up for the strong-travelling pair (Symbol Of Majesty and City Queen) ridden with cover. Narrative: Compact 7-runner fillies' handicap on the Tapeta. Symbol Of Majesty (unbeaten 2/2 for the Gosdens, hot 26% 14-day yard, elite jockey) and City Queen (won her last start for Appleby, who is 31% career and 27% 14d) look the standout pair on profile. Morven is technically the top RPR (93) but resumes from a 210-day break off a busy October finish, and Lyra Lea is in the same boat with 218d off and a 25 RTF stable. The other three sit a clear notch below on numbers. Recommended: Symbol Of Majesty Unbeaten in two starts, top OFR in the field at 86, John & Thady Gosden firing at 26% over the last fortnight and Havlin a top-class pilot — minimum penalty rise off a 1-1 form line is hard to oppose with so little ceiling shown. Alternative: City Queen Won last time and now joins Charlie Appleby (career 31% strike, 27% 14d) for her handicap debut off 82 — RPR 92 already competitive and a 43-day freshen-up suggests she's been targeted at this. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:39 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11955385