============================================================================== RACE: Southwell (AW) ? · 2026-05-21 attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A B C And D) (GBB Race) Standard · Flat · AW ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. SEA IDOL (GB) (#1) 2yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Jack Gilligan Trainer Sir Mark Prescott Bt Owner Belcher Gregson Scouller Pedigree Sire Sea The Moon (GER) Dam New England Wave (FR) Damsire Fastnet Rock Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 9.50 (Bet365) 16:41 8.50 (Bet365) 05:25 7.50 (Bet365) 06:48 8.00 (Bet365) 07:15 7.00 (Bet365) 08:52 7.50 (Bet365) 09:02 8.00 (Bet365) 09:49 8.50 (Bet365) 10:03 8.00 (Bet365) 10:14 8.50 (Bet365) 10:30 9.50 (Bet365) 10:36 10.00 (Bet365) 10:49 11.00 (Bet365) 10:57 10.00 (Bet365) 11:22 11.00 (Bet365) 11:28 10.00 (Bet365) 11:30 11.00 (Bet365) 11:42 12.00 (Bet365) 12:34 13.00 (Bet365) 13:25 12.00 (Bet365) 14:40 13.00 (Bet365) 14:48 12.00 (Bet365) 14:52 13.00 (Bet365) 16:40 15.00 (Bet365) 17:09 13.00 (Bet365) 18:03 15.00 (Coral) 18:07 13.00 (Bet365) 18:20 15.00 (Bet365) 18:28 19.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1627.0 (228 runs, 35 wins, 15.4%) Trainer 1607.8 (2819 runs, 486 wins, 17.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 18r 2w 11% A/E 0.99 (fair) Jockey × trainer 36r 5w 14% A/E 0.60 (negative) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 720r 158w 22% A/E 0.92 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 747r 89w 12% A/E 0.81 (negative) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 1250r 133w 11% A/E 0.85 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 2/6 28/1 0.20L — — Jack Gilligan In rear - headway towards far side over 1f out - ridden and pressed leaders inside final furlong - went second towards finish - just held(op 16/1) Comment In rear - headway towards far side over 1f out - ridden and pressed leaders inside final furlong - went second towards finish - just held(op 16/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 28/1 (29.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 0.20 In-running comment In rear - headway towards far side over 1f out - ridden and pressed leaders inside final furlong - went second towards finish - just held(op 16/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. CHOREOGRAPHY (IRE) (#2) 2yo C · Draw 3 Connections Jockey Jamie Spencer Trainer Michael Bell Owner J P M Oconnor Edward J Ware Pedigree Sire New Bay (GB) Dam Bohemian Dance (IRE) Damsire Dansili Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 4.00 (Bet365) 06:03 3.75 (Bet365) 07:07 4.00 (Bet365) 07:15 4.33 (Bet365) 08:25 4.50 (Bet365) 09:10 5.00 (Bet365) 10:55 5.50 (Bet365) 11:53 6.00 (Bet365) 18:23 6.50 (Spreadex) 18:28 7.50 (7Bet) ELO Jockey 1613.0 (4488 runs, 572 wins, 12.7%) Trainer 1655.8 (3976 runs, 515 wins, 13.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 333r 76w 23% A/E 0.96 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1126r 197w 17% A/E 0.92 (fair) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 375r 63w 17% A/E 0.82 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 596r 105w 18% A/E 1.05 (fair) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 2918r 369w 13% A/E 0.91 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 1/6 11/2 won — — Jamie Spencer Prominent - switched to near side and pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led narrowly inside final 110yds - kept on - just did enough(op 6/1 tchd 13/2) Comment Prominent - switched to near side and pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led narrowly inside final 110yds - kept on - just did enough(op 6/1 tchd 13/2) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/2 (6.500) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 In-running comment Prominent - switched to near side and pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led narrowly inside final 110yds - kept on - just did enough(op 6/1 tchd 13/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. CROWN RANGER (IRE) (#3) 2yo C · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Marco Ghiani Trainer Marco Botti Owner Mohamed Rashid Hamdan Al Saadi Pedigree Sire Camelot (GB) Dam Mary Pickersgill (IRE) Damsire Starspangledbanner Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 4.00 (Bet365) 06:42 3.75 (Bet365) 07:15 3.50 (Bet365) 07:32 3.75 (Bet365) 08:37 3.50 (Bet365) 08:58 3.25 (BetWright) 09:02 2.90 (7Bet) 09:04 2.88 (Betfred) 09:10 2.75 (Bet365) 09:16 2.63 (Bet365) 10:55 2.50 (Bet365) 11:49 2.38 (Bet365) 14:34 2.50 (Grosvenor Sports) 16:20 2.38 (Bet365) 17:46 2.50 (BetMGM) 17:49 2.38 (BetMGM) ELO Jockey 1699.2 (3197 runs, 431 wins, 13.5%) Trainer 1788.9 (4305 runs, 528 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 242r 35w 14% A/E 1.02 (fair) Jockey × trainer 330r 62w 19% A/E 1.07 (value) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 235r 27w 11% A/E 0.74 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 1107r 137w 12% A/E 0.83 (negative) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 102r 10w 10% A/E 0.67 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 6/6 5/4F 2.00L — — Marco Ghiani Led narrowly - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op Evens tchd 10/11) Comment Led narrowly - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op Evens tchd 10/11) Finishing result Position 6 SP 5/4F (2.250) Beaten (L) 2.00 Total beaten 4.75 In-running comment Led narrowly - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op Evens tchd 10/11) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. GUADALEVIN (IRE) (#4) 2yo F · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Paddy Bradley Trainer Charlie Fellowes Owner Andrew Julia Turner Pedigree Sire State Of Rest (IRE) Dam Creme Anglaise (GB) Damsire Motivator Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 5.00 (Bet365) 06:48 5.50 (Bet365) 08:58 6.00 (Bet365) 10:30 5.50 (Bet365) 10:36 5.00 (Bet365) 10:55 4.50 (BetTom) 10:57 4.33 (Bet365) 11:49 4.00 (Bet365) 12:21 4.33 (Bet365) 12:26 4.00 (Bet365) 14:52 4.33 (Bet365) 18:28 4.50 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1654.3 (1969 runs, 167 wins, 8.5%) Trainer 1711.1 (2609 runs, 319 wins, 12.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 54r 11w 20% A/E 1.23 (value) Jockey × trainer 27r 9w 33% A/E 2.06 (value) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 101r 13w 13% A/E 0.79 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 no data Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 20r 2w 10% A/E 0.90 (fair) Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 538r 71w 13% A/E 0.97 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/6 9/4 0.20L — — Paddy Bradley Took keen hold - towards rear - switched to near side over 1f out - rapid headway inside final 110yds - went third post (trainer's rep said the filly was showing signs of being in season)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2) Comment Took keen hold - towards rear - switched to near side over 1f out - rapid headway inside final 110yds - went third post (trainer's rep said the filly was showing signs of being in season)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 9/4 (3.250) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 0.50 In-running comment Took keen hold - towards rear - switched to near side over 1f out - rapid headway inside final 110yds - went third post (trainer's rep said the filly was showing signs of being in season)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. CASH COVE (IRE) (#5) 2yo F · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Sean D Bowen Trainer Charlie Johnston Owner Kingsley Park 45 Pedigree Sire New Bay (GB) Dam Cash In The Hand (USA) Damsire Exchange Rate Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 4.50 (Bet365) 16:41 5.50 (CopyBet) 17:02 5.00 (Bet365) 18:00 5.50 (William Hill) 00:32 6.00 (William Hill) 06:48 6.50 (William Hill) 09:10 7.50 (Coral) 09:16 8.00 (Spreadex) 10:36 8.50 (William Hill) 10:43 9.00 (Spreadex) 10:57 9.50 (Bet365) 12:21 10.00 (Unibet) 12:32 9.50 (Bet365) 13:38 10.00 (Bet365) 13:46 9.50 (Bet365) 15:07 10.00 (Unibet) 15:34 9.50 (Bet365) 16:34 10.00 (Bet365) 17:32 9.50 (Bet365) 17:34 10.00 (Bet365) 17:46 9.50 (Bet365) 17:49 10.00 (Bet365) 18:23 9.50 (Bet365) 18:28 10.00 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1506.1 (1530 runs, 136 wins, 8.9%) Trainer 1633.3 (3386 runs, 450 wins, 13.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 107r 11w 10% A/E 0.75 (negative) Jockey × trainer 56r 10w 18% A/E 1.28 (value) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 211r 31w 15% A/E 0.89 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 596r 105w 18% A/E 1.05 (fair) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 2r 1w 50% A/E 2.19 (value) Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 78r 2w 3% A/E 0.25 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 4/6 17/2 0.05L — — Sean D Bowen Slowly away - in rear early - pressed leaders when ridden to lead over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - kept on - lost third post(tchd 8/1 and tchd 10/1) Comment Slowly away - in rear early - pressed leaders when ridden to lead over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - kept on - lost third post(tchd 8/1 and tchd 10/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 17/2 (9.500) Beaten (L) 0.05 Total beaten 0.50 In-running comment Slowly away - in rear early - pressed leaders when ridden to lead over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - kept on - lost third post(tchd 8/1 and tchd 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. PARIOCA (IRE) (#6) 2yo F · Draw 5 · p Connections Jockey Hollie Doyle Trainer Jack Morland Owner Bloor Beswicks And Hoyeau Pedigree Sire Cotai Glory (GB) Dam Pell Mell (IRE) Damsire Empire Maker Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 16:20 7.50 (Bet365) 16:41 8.00 (William Hill) 00:32 8.50 (William Hill) 06:48 9.00 (William Hill) 07:19 8.50 (Bet365) 07:25 9.00 (Bet365) 07:32 8.50 (Bet365) 08:21 9.00 (Bet365) 08:25 8.50 (Bet365) 08:37 9.00 (Bet365) 08:46 8.50 (Bet365) 08:52 9.00 (Bet365) 09:02 9.50 (Bet365) 09:16 10.00 (Bet365) 10:30 11.00 (William Hill) 10:36 12.00 (William Hill) 11:57 11.00 (Bet365) 12:01 12.00 (Bet365) 13:13 11.00 (Bet365) 15:15 12.00 (Unibet) 15:26 11.00 (Bet365) 15:28 12.00 (Bet365) 15:40 11.00 (Bet365) 16:15 12.00 (Bet365) 18:14 11.00 (William Hill) ELO Jockey 1652.0 (8428 runs, 1112 wins, 13.2%) Trainer 1621.0 (212 runs, 24 wins, 11.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7f no data Jockey @ 7f no data Jockey @ Southwell (AW) 444r 56w 13% A/E 0.79 (negative) Jockey × trainer 5r 2w 40% A/E 1.53 (value) Trainer @ 7f no data Trainer @ Southwell (AW) 17r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7f no data Sire progeny in Class 4 522r 70w 13% A/E 1.02 (fair) Dam progeny @ 7f no data Dam progeny in Class 4 no data Damsire grand @ 7f no data Damsire grand in Class 4 169r 21w 12% A/E 0.79 (negative) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-21 Southwell (AW 7f Standard Cla 5/6 9/1 2.25L — — Hollie Doyle Pressed leader - ridden over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 10/1 tchd 17/2) Comment Pressed leader - ridden over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 10/1 tchd 17/2) Finishing result Position 5 SP 9/1 (10.000) Beaten (L) 2.25 Total beaten 2.75 In-running comment Pressed leader - ridden over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 10/1 tchd 17/2) ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (1 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-21 · Southwell (AW) · 7f · Class 4 · Standard attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A B C And D) (GBB Race) 1 Choreography (IRE) won SP 11/2 2 Sea Idol (GB) 0.20L SP 28/1 3 Guadalevin (IRE) 0.20L SP 9/4 4 Cash Cove (IRE) 0.05L SP 17/2 5 Parioca (IRE) 2.25L SP 9/1 6 Crown Ranger (IRE) 2.00L SP 5/4F ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Hard to predict with debutants over 7f on the Southwell Tapeta; likely an even tempo with no obvious confirmed front-runner, slightly favouring a tractable type ridden positively. Narrative: Six-runner novice on the Tapeta with all six debutants, so form lines don't exist — connections, pedigree and market intent do the talking. Guadalevin (Fellowes) is the Racing Post's pick and her yard has been clicking with juveniles on AW, while Crown Ranger's stable banged in an easy 2yo winner over track and trip on Monday, making both obvious contenders. Choreography (Bell) is well-bred and flagged as "one to note in the market", with the rest needing significant market support to be taken too seriously on debut. Recommended: Guadalevin Fellowes is a strong yard with 2yos on AW per spotlight, the RP verdict singles her out, pedigree is full of winners and Bradley keeps the ride. Best blend of stable form and paper appeal in a race full of unknowns. Alternative: Crown Ranger Botti's yard had an easy 2yo winner over course and trip on Monday and the spotlight explicitly flags market significance. Top jockey/trainer Elo combination in the field. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-30 18:09 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11965382