============================================================================== RACE: Roscommon (IRE) ? · 2026-05-18 Knockcroghery Handicap Good To Yielding · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. ROYAL IMPACT (IRE) (#4 · Σ 63.0) 4yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Jack Kearney Trainer Jack W Davison Owner Miss C Benson Pedigree Sire Far Above (IRE) Dam Queen Of Dunsany (IRE) Damsire Most Improved Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 7.00 (Bet365) 18:20 7.50 (Bet365) 20:22 6.50 (BetWright) 20:41 6.00 (Bet365) 01:00 5.00 (Bet365) 02:31 6.00 (Boyle Sports) 03:30 5.50 (Bet365) 09:11 3.50 (Bet365) 10:13 3.75 (Spreadex) 10:19 3.50 (Bet365) 10:21 3.75 (Bet365) 10:44 3.50 (Bet365) 11:02 3.75 (Bet365) 13:55 4.00 (Bet365) 15:39 3.75 (Bet365) 15:51 4.00 (Bet365) 15:58 3.75 (Bet365) 16:31 4.00 (Bet365) 16:43 4.33 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 71, OFR 69 mid-pack but rising. Form 7.0/10 4-3145 — beaten 5 lengths or less in all four recent runs, consistent. Connections 6.0/10 Davison Elo 1678 solid; 3lb claim from Kearney handy though Elo modest. Fitness 7.0/10 29 days off, fresh enough but recent form. Trip 7.0/10 7f on good is what verdict pinpoints as ideal. Pace 6.0/10 Closer who should be running on late in fair-paced race. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 6, neutral mid-draw position. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change. Weight 5.0/10 139lb fair on OFR 69. Value 8.0/10 Progressive 4yo getting going-switch — under-the-radar overlay. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Most likely improver with conditions in his favour — top pick. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1604.6 (7 runs, 1 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1501.2 (1107 runs, 86 wins, 7.8%) Trainer 1678.5 (911 runs, 74 wins, 8.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 20r 1w 5% A/E 0.45 (negative) Jockey × trainer 9r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 27r 5w 19% A/E 1.48 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 6/15 3/1F 3.50L 69 71 Jack Kearney Bumped start - in rear - headway when bit short of room inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 11/4) 2026-04-19 Curragh (IRE) 6f Soft — 5/21 4/1 0.50L 69 64 James Ryan Prominent towards far side - challenging over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong 2026-03-28 Curragh (IRE) 7f Soft To H — 4/23 9/1 0.50L 69 63 James Ryan Midfield - switched right and headway under 2f out - ran on and went fourth towards finish - not reach leaders(op 17/2) 2026-02-20 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 1/14 6/1 won 63 70 James Ryan Towards rear - headway then shaken up over 1f out - led and ridden inside final furlong - kept on(op 7/1) 2026-01-23 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 3/14 15/2 2.75L 63 66 Jack Kearney Prominent - ridden up the centre 2f out - no extra and lost second inside final 110yds(op 9/2) 2025-12-12 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 4/13 18/1 0.20L — 68 James Ryan Midfield - in touch with leaders under 3f out - kept on from under 2f out - lost third final stride(op 20/1) 2025-10-01 Bellewstown ( 1m4½f Soft — 9/11 12/1 3.00L — 59 James Ryan Midfield - in touch with leaders halfway - disputing second 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 16/1) 2025-08-26 Bellewstown ( 1m Good To Y — 6/14 28/1 2.50L — 57 James Ryan Dwelt start - soon prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 25/1 tchd 33/1) Comment Bumped start - in rear - headway when bit short of room inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 11/4) Finishing result Position 6 SP 3/1F (4.000) Beaten (L) 3.50 Total beaten 7.50 OR after 69 In-running comment Bumped start - in rear - headway when bit short of room inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 11/4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. THRIFTY OF DIGBY (IRE) (#3 · Σ 62.0) 5yo M · Draw 11 · p Connections Jockey Shane Foley Trainer Mrs John Harrington Owner P Harty Pedigree Sire Profitable (IRE) Dam Abstain (GB) Damsire Araafa Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 21.00 (7Bet) 10:44 19.00 (Ladbrokes) 11:43 17.00 (Bet365) 12:08 19.00 (7Bet) 12:12 17.00 (Bet365) 12:31 15.00 (Bet365) 12:37 13.00 (Bet365) 13:28 12.00 (Bet365) 14:31 13.00 (Bet365) 15:51 12.00 (Bet365) 16:43 13.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 8.0/10 RPR 76 highest among realistic contenders, won this kind of handicap before. Form 6.0/10 Form 173-08: won three starts back, fair third before that, faded last day. Connections 7.0/10 Mrs Harrington 40 runs/3 wins 14d (8%), top jockey Foley Elo 1667 — strong combo. Fitness 7.0/10 Last ran 15 days ago, prime interval. Trip 6.0/10 Won at 7f previously, suited by trip. Pace 5.0/10 Tactically versatile, prominent racer. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 11 of 15 mid-to-wide, manageable. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces reapplied — worked when last won. Weight 5.0/10 140lb off OFR 70 within recent operating mark. Value 7.0/10 Stable + top jockey under-rated by some after recent flop. Σ Summary 62.0/100 Best-rated horse with strong connections — clear primary contender. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1580.8 (19 runs, 3 wins, 15.8%) Jockey 1666.8 (7799 runs, 826 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1613.7 (7152 runs, 868 wins, 12.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 323r 32w 10% A/E 0.75 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3244r 399w 12% A/E 0.81 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 468r 60w 13% A/E 0.85 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 1/15 11/1 won 70 76 Shane Foley Made all - soon pestered - joined and clear with one other over 1f out - asserted final 110yds - gamely 2026-05-03 Sligo (IRE) 1m2½f Yielding — 8/10 14/1 4.25L 74 59 Darragh O'Sullivan Prominent - weakened from under 3f out 2026-04-08 Gowran Park ( 1m Soft — 14/16 16/1 0.50L 74 36 Shane Foley Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 14/1) 2025-10-08 Navan (IRE) 1m Yielding — 3/9 9/1 5.50L 75 71 Shane Foley Prominent - in touch with leaders after 3f - outpaced 2f out - went third inside final furlong - no match for first two(op 10/1) 2025-09-16 Punchestown ( 1m1½f Good To Y — 7/14 11/1 1.25L 75 71 Shane Foley Soon led - headed and prominent after 2f - weakened from over 1f out(op 15/2) 2025-09-02 Gowran Park ( 1m Good To Y — 1/16 5/1F won 69 76 Shane Foley Made all - pushed along 2f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong - always doing enough (trainer's rep said - regarding the apparent improvement in form - that filly ran too keen on her last run in cheekpieces so they removed them today)(op 11/2 tchd 9/2) 2025-07-01 Roscommon (IR 1m2½f Yielding — 13/14 5/1 2.75L 70 39 Shane Foley Took keen hold - led - headed after halfway - lost position under 2f out - weakened quickly from 1f out - eased final 110yds(op 4/1) 2025-06-12 Leopardstown 1m1f Soft — 3/15 7/1 0.50L 70 69 Shane Foley Led - ridden over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - soon no chance with winner - lost second final strides(op 8/1) 2025-05-19 Roscommon (IR 1m2½f Good — 1/10 15/2 won 67 71 Shane Foley Made all - faced challenge under 2f out - kept on well inside final furlong - comfortably(op 7/1 tchd 13/2) 2025-04-25 Limerick (IRE 1m Soft — 3/12 7/1 0.50L 67 66 Shane Foley Midfield on outer - steady headway from over 2f out - went third inside final 110yds - stayed on(op 15/2) 2025-03-30 Leopardstown 1m Good — 11/17 22/1 0.20L 67 62 Nathan Crosse Towards rear - kept on from over 1f out - never near to challenge(tchd 20/1) 2024-10-28 Galway (IRE) 1m½f Heavy — 14/18 7/1 0.50L 68 37 Shane Foley Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on inner - weakened over 1f out(op 6/1 tchd 5/1) 2024-10-21 Gowran Park ( 1m½f Soft To H — 1/15 9/1 won 61 68 Shane Foley Made all - soon pestered - ridden over 1f out - stayed on final 110yds(op 15/2) 2024-09-01 Tipperary (IR 1m1f Good — 4/15 15/2 0.20L 59 60 Scott McCullagh Led - headed but prominent after 1f - outpaced under 2f out - ran on well inside final furlong - not reach leaders(op 17/2 tchd 10/1) 2024-08-23 Killarney (IR 1m Yielding — 4/14 8/1 0.50L 60 60 Shane Foley Held up in rear - detached when pushed along from 4f out - reminders 3f out - headway under 2f out - switched left and hampered rival inside final 110yds - nearest finish(op 9/1 and tchd 10/1) 2024-07-04 Bellewstown ( 1m Good — 5/12 12/1 2.00L 64 64 Shane Foley Soon midfield - headway from 3f out - prominent 2f out - soon ridden but unbalanced and hung left - tenderly handled and kept on inside final furlong(op 9/1) 2024-06-22 Limerick (IRE 7f Good — 3/10 12/1 3.75L 65 57 Keithen Kennedy Midfield - towards rear 3f out - still plenty to do 1f out - ran on well and went third towards finish - nearest finish(op 14/1) 2024-06-07 Fairyhouse (I 7f Good — 7/15 16/1 0.05L — 53 Shane Foley Disputed lead early - raced in second after 1f - lost second but prominent after 2f - weakened over 1f out(op 14/1 tchd 18/1) 2024-05-05 Sligo (IRE) 5½f Yielding — 4/9 3/1 7.00L — 44 Shane Foley Prominent on inner - outpaced under 2f out - weakened and eased final furlong(op 9/2 tchd 16/5) 2023-10-07 Curragh (IRE) 6f Soft — 5/13 12/1 0.30L — 65 Ronan Whelan Midfield - headway final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 18/1) Comment Made all - soon pestered - joined and clear with one other over 1f out - asserted final 110yds - gamely Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/1 (12.000) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 70 In-running comment Made all - soon pestered - joined and clear with one other over 1f out - asserted final 110yds - gamely ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. BUCANEER'S SPIRIT (IRE) (#7 · Σ 62.0) 5yo G · Draw 3 · p Connections Jockey Sam Coen Trainer Ian Patrick Donoghue Owner Hoggies Bar Syndicate Pedigree Sire Invincible Spirit (IRE) Dam Anne Bonney (GB) Damsire Jade Robbery Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 6.50 (Bet365) 22:01 7.00 (Bet365) 22:22 6.50 (Bet365) 01:00 7.00 (Bet365) 02:31 6.50 (Bet365) 09:11 7.00 (Bet365) 09:14 7.50 (Bet365) 10:13 8.00 (BresBet) 10:19 7.50 (Coral) 10:31 7.00 (Bet365) 10:46 6.50 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 73, TS 67 both above field median. Form 6.0/10 000-16 shows recent revival ending with a win last time. Connections 7.0/10 Donoghue 2/22 14d (9%), top-end claimer Sam Coen Elo 1688. Fitness 6.0/10 3 days off is very quick but reflects trainer confidence. Trip 6.0/10 7f winner last time, trip proven. Pace 5.0/10 Versatile, can lay up. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 3 of 15 low draw advantage on tight track. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces retained after winning. Weight 5.0/10 136lb off OFR 66, likely after penalty. Value 7.0/10 In-form runner with claimer can overdeliver vs odds. Σ Summary 62.0/100 Hot horse with rider/draw advantages — second-line value. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1533.8 (24 runs, 4 wins, 16.7%) Jockey 1687.5 (363 runs, 34 wins, 9.4%) Trainer 1574.5 (522 runs, 52 wins, 10.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 6r 1w 17% A/E 1.24 (value) Jockey × trainer 3r 1w 33% A/E 2.19 (value) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 13r 3w 23% A/E 2.43 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 3/15 9/2 0.75L 66 73 Sam Coen Prominent - outpaced and edged right over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 11/2) 2026-05-15 Leopardstown 1m Good — 6/15 20/1 0.75L 66 75 Hugh Horgan Midfield - headway 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - not reach leaders(op 11/1) 2026-05-02 Punchestown ( 2m Yielding — 17/22 25/1 1.75L 66 — Dave Bennett (op 28/1) 2026-04-24 Cork (IRE) 1m Good To Y — 1/18 5/1 won 60 68 Sam Coen Midfield - waiting for room over 2f out - headway when in the clear over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final 110yds - kept on well - always doing enough(op 4/1) 2025-10-29 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 14/14 11/1 2.00L 61 30 James Ryan Always behind(op 12/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-09-28 Curragh (IRE) 1m2f Yielding — 11/22 40/1 1.75L 62 42 Mr J P Sutton Midfield - brief headway on outer over 2f out - soon no impression(op 50/1) 2025-09-20 Gowran Park ( 1m1½f Heavy — 13/16 14/1 1.75L 64 26 Robert Whearty Slowly away - always behind(tchd 16/1) 2025-09-05 Down Royal (I 1m2½f Good — 8/13 12/1 0.20L 66 56 Rory Mulligan Midfield - towards rear 3f out - kept on final furlong - never dangerous(op 16/1) 2025-08-15 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 8/14 6/1 2.75L 74 57 James Ryan Towards rear - some headway inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) 2025-08-13 Gowran Park ( 1m Good — 5/13 9/2 0.30L 74 73 James Ryan In touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - not clear run inside final 110yds - lost fourth towards finish(op 13/2 tchd 4/1) 2025-07-21 Ballinrobe (I 1m1½f Good To Y — 1/7 11/8F won 74 69 James Ryan In touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led from over 1f out - ridden and kept on final furlong(op 11/10 tchd Evens) 2025-06-20 Down Royal (I 7f Good — 9/14 13/2 0.30L 76 61 Ronan Whelan Bumped rival start - prominent - disputed lead over 2f out - headed and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding jumped left out of stalls and stopped 1 1/2f down)(op 6/1 tchd 11/2) 2025-05-20 Cork (IRE) 7f Good — 4/6 11/4J 3.00L 79 70 James Ryan Awkward start - in rear - headway from over 2f out - no impression over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 9/4 tchd 3/1) 2025-05-12 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good — 11/14 5/1 0.50L 79 64 James Ryan In touch with leaders on inner - not clear run repeatedly from 2f out - not recover (jockey said gelding got no run)(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) 2025-04-25 Limerick (IRE 1m Soft To H — 7/16 16/1 0.20L 80 66 James Ryan Travelled strongly - led early - soon prominent - outpaced over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 18/1) 2025-03-30 Leopardstown 1m Good — 10/17 10/1 0.10L 82 78 Ronan Whelan Held up in rear - headway 1f out - kept on - never near to challenge 2025-03-21 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 10/14 16/1 0.30L 83 78 James Ryan Midfield - hung left 2f out - soon weakened (jockey said gelding hung left throughout)(op 14/1) 2025-02-21 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 9/11 12/1 0.20L 83 80 James Ryan Never better than midfield - no extra over 1f out(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) 2024-10-11 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 4/9 9/2 0.50L 83 84 Ronan Whelan In touch with leaders on inner - midfield halfway - headway towards far side over 1f out - went fourth inside final furlong - kept on - not reach leaders(op 4/1) 2024-09-21 Navan (IRE) 1m Good — 1/11 6/4F won 78 86 Ronan Whelan Prominent - briefly led soon after start - led again under 2f out - ridden when faced challenge inside final furlong - ran on well final 110yds(op 7/4 tchd 7/5) Comment Prominent - outpaced and edged right over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 11/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 9/2 (5.500) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 3.25 OR after 66 In-running comment Prominent - outpaced and edged right over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 11/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. BELLA COLOMBIA (IRE) (#11 · Σ 59.0) 5yo M · Draw 8 Connections Jockey W J Lee Trainer W McCreery Owner Cor Racing Syndicate Pedigree Sire The Last Lion (IRE) Dam Daanaat (IRE) Damsire Kheleyf Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 7.50 (Bet365) 18:20 7.00 (Bet365) 22:01 7.50 (Bet365) 00:31 7.00 (Bet365) 01:00 7.50 (Bet365) 02:31 7.00 (Bet365) 09:11 9.00 (Unibet) 10:13 8.50 (Bet365) 12:31 9.00 (Unibet) 13:55 8.50 (Unibet) 14:12 8.00 (Bet365) 14:45 8.50 (Unibet) 15:01 8.00 (Bet365) 15:08 8.50 (Unibet) 16:10 8.00 (Bet365) 16:18 8.50 (Unibet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 70 lower-middle, OFR 62. Form 7.0/10 -26713 — placed two of last three including 3rd last time. Connections 6.0/10 McCreery a top-of-trade stable historically but 14d strike modest; Lee top jockey. Fitness 6.0/10 23 days off, freshened. Trip 5.0/10 Handles 7f. Pace 5.0/10 Closer in fair-pace race. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 8 mid-draw. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 7.0/10 132lb light, mark of 62 attractive after a 3rd. Value 7.0/10 In-form profile + top jockey could be underrated. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Consistent form figures plus class jockey — solid value. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1527.0 (25 runs, 2 wins, 8.0%) Jockey 1659.1 (6482 runs, 766 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1769.0 (2892 runs, 280 wins, 9.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 308r 32w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1600r 184w 12% A/E 0.84 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 114r 15w 13% A/E 1.11 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 5/15 6/1 0.20L 62 70 W J Lee Midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not pace to challenge(op 15/2) 2026-04-25 Limerick (IRE 1m Yielding — 3/14 8/1 1.50L 62 62 Leigh Roche Midfield - in touch with leaders going okay 2f out - kept on and went third inside final 110yds - not pace to challenge(op 14/1) 2026-03-06 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 1/13 7/1 won 59 67 W J Lee Midfield - towards rear 5f out - steady headway over 2f out - led inside final furlong - soon ridden - kept on(tchd 15/2) 2026-02-06 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 7/9 20/1 0.30L 61 58 Wayne Lordan Prominent - pressed leader over 3f out - weakened over 1f out(tchd 18/1 and 25/1) 2026-01-16 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 6/14 28/1 0.00L 61 54 Donagh O'Connor Led - headed but prominent under 6f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 22/1 tchd 28/1) 2026-01-09 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 2/14 50/1 2.00L 60 63 Donagh O'Connor In touch with leaders - headway from over 1f out - pressed leader and carried left inside final furlong - weakened final 110yds(op 28/1) 2025-12-10 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 10/11 33/1 1.75L 60 48 Nathan Crosse Slowly away - detached soon after start - always behind (jockey said filly stood in gates momentarily) 2025-10-06 Tipperary (IR 2m½f Good To Y — 5/7 33/1 8.00L 82 57 Darragh O'Keeffe Midfield - mistake and lost position 6th - dropped to last 3 out (jockey said filly made a mistake at the first hurdle in the back straight)(op 18/1) 2025-08-05 Roscommon (IR 1m7½f Good To Y — 9/15 50/1 3.25L — 76 Darragh O'Keeffe Never better than midfield(op 33/1) 2025-07-07 Roscommon (IR 2m Good — 8/12 66/1 0.20L — 80 Daniel King Midfield - hampered 3rd - disputing fourth omitted 3 out - weakened after 2 out(op 50/1) 2024-12-27 Leopardstown 2m Yielding — 13/16 125/1 2.00L — 50 Michael O'Sullivan Never better than midfield(op 100/1) 2024-11-06 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 7/7 16/1 2.00L 68 59 Nathan Crosse Slowly into stride - always behind(op 12/1) 2024-10-21 Gowran Park ( 1m½f Soft To H — 4/15 18/1 1.75L 68 66 Nathan Crosse Held up in rear - headway over 1f out - went fourth inside final furlong - kept on(op 14/1 tchd 12/1) 2024-10-07 Killarney (IR 1m Heavy — 3/13 9/2 1.25L 68 71 W J Lee Midfield - headway over 2f out - ridden and challenging over 1f out - briefly led inside final furlong - lost second and no extra inside final 110yds(tchd 5/1) 2024-10-03 Bellewstown ( 1m Yielding — 4/6 18/1 1.25L 68 70 Nathan Crosse Raced in third - lost third under 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 16/1) 2024-09-21 Navan (IRE) 1m Good — 9/11 22/1 0.50L 69 60 Nathan Crosse Slowly away and lost many lengths start - in rear - brief headway over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out (jockey said filly stood in stalls and was slowly away)(op 18/1) 2024-09-03 Gowran Park ( 7f Good — 7/8 6/1 2.00L 71 64 W J Lee Disputed lead early - raced in second before halfway - challenging towards near side 2f out - weakened 1f out(tchd 11/2) 2024-08-27 Bellewstown ( 1m Good To Y — 3/15 13/2 3.50L 72 72 W J Lee Dwelt start - in rear - headway before halfway - in touch with leaders when bit short of room 2f out - ridden from over 1f out - went third towards finish(tchd 6/1) 2024-08-20 Roscommon (IR 7½f Heavy — 4/14 9/1 0.50L 73 76 W J Lee Prominent - switched right and outpaced over 1f out - wandered around inside final furlong - kept on(op 17/2 tchd 10/1) 2024-08-10 Curragh (IRE) 1m Good To F — 4/6 25/1 2.75L 78 70 Jessica Maye Held up in rear - some headway 2f out - ran on inside final furlong - went fourth towards finish - not reach leaders(op 18/1) Comment Midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not pace to challenge(op 15/2) Finishing result Position 5 SP 6/1 (7.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 4.00 OR after 62 In-running comment Midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not pace to challenge(op 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. QUEEN AETHELFLAED (IRE) (#10 · Σ 56.0) 4yo F · Draw 4 · t Connections Jockey Andrew Slattery Trainer Andrew Slattery Owner Kay Russell Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Don't Be (GB) Damsire Cape Cross Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 10.00 (Bet365) 11:39 9.50 (Bet365) 12:12 9.00 (BetTom) 12:18 8.50 (Bet365) 12:25 8.00 (Bet365) 16:48 8.50 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 64 lower middle, RPR 69. Form 5.0/10 0132-8 — solid second half of last campaign, weak return. Connections 7.0/10 Slattery yard 5/41 14d in good nick, jockey himself a strong rider. Fitness 6.0/10 37 days off — reasonable second-up freshness. Trip 5.0/10 7f explored before. Pace 5.0/10 No standout style. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 4 of 15 low draw favourable. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 6.0/10 134lb off OFR 64 light weight. Value 6.0/10 Stable second-up improver could overdeliver. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Hot yard plus good draw — solid each-way candidate. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1552.1 (7 runs, 1 wins, 14.3%) Jockey 1572.1 (2923 runs, 215 wins, 7.4%) Trainer 1646.3 (3298 runs, 304 wins, 9.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 71r 6w 8% A/E 0.79 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1297r 119w 9% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 135r 15w 11% A/E 1.17 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 12/15 13/2 0.75L 64 69 Andrew Slattery Towards rear throughout(tchd 7/1) 2026-04-11 Bellewstown ( 1m Soft — 8/14 4/1 2.00L 64 27 Andrew Slattery Prominent - weakened under 2f out(tchd 7/2) 2025-12-17 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 2/14 4/1 1.25L 64 68 Orla Tynan Raced wide early - prominent - led after 2f - wandered around over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds(op 8/1 tchd 7/2) 2025-10-19 Leopardstown 7f Heavy — 3/10 22/1 3.50L 63 63 Andrew Slattery In touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - briefly went second over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 20/1 tchd 25/1) 2025-10-09 Thurles (IRE) 1m Good To Y — 1/14 11/1 won 58 63 J M Sheridan Prominent - ridden and led against far rail over 1f out - clear final 110yds - reduced lead towards finish(tchd 14/1) 2025-07-19 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 13/21 125/1 1.50L — 60 N G McCullagh Towards rear - never on terms(op 100/1 tchd 150/1) 2025-06-25 Naas (IRE) 1m Good — 8/11 50/1 5.50L — 54 J M Sheridan Slowly away - in rear - steady headway from over 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 40/1) 2025-06-07 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Good — 8/14 100/1 1.00L — 59 J M Sheridan Never better than midfield(op 80/1) Comment Towards rear throughout(tchd 7/1) Finishing result Position 12 SP 13/2 (7.500) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 11.50 OR after 64 In-running comment Towards rear throughout(tchd 7/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. ZABRISKIE POINT (GB) (#15 · Σ 56.0) 5yo G · Draw 9 · v Connections Jockey Adam Caffrey Trainer Adrian McGuinness Owner B White M W White Ms H Mcguinness D Sheridan Pedigree Sire Blue Point (IRE) Dam Familliarity (GB) Damsire Nayef Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 10.00 (Bet365) 18:20 9.50 (Bet365) 09:11 10.00 (Bet365) 11:39 9.50 (Bet365) 12:37 10.00 (Bet365) 16:31 11.00 (Betfred) 16:48 12.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 73/TS 64 decent. Form 3.0/10 8P9835 — pulled up two back, 5th last time. Connections 6.0/10 McGuinness 3/25 14d (12%) hot stat. Fitness 7.0/10 26 days off ideal. Trip 5.0/10 7f explored. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 9 of 15 fair. Equipment 7.0/10 Visor (v) noted — could be FTO change if so, sparking move. Weight 6.0/10 131lb light. Value 5.0/10 Mid-price candidate. Σ Summary 56.0/100 Equipment tweak + hot yard combine to lift profile. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1526.7 (23 runs, 2 wins, 8.7%) Jockey 1579.3 (1388 runs, 124 wins, 8.9%) Trainer 1620.2 (4063 runs, 402 wins, 9.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 40r 4w 10% A/E 1.04 (fair) Jockey × trainer 942r 92w 10% A/E 0.92 (fair) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 135r 12w 9% A/E 0.93 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 2/15 9/1 2.50L 61 73 Adam Caffrey Pressed winner - disputed lead and went clear with winner over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 10/1) 2026-04-22 Gowran Park ( 7f Soft — 5/14 3/1F 0.50L 61 57 Reese Holohan Dwelt start - midfield - towards rear 3f out - headway from over 2f out - kept on but no impression inside final furlong(op 11/4) 2026-04-15 Leopardstown 7f Yielding — 3/12 11/2 0.50L 60 64 Adam Caffrey Midfield - headway towards near side under 2f out - went third inside final furlong - kept on well towards finish(op 9/2) 2026-03-28 Curragh (IRE) 7f Soft To H — 8/23 28/1 0.50L 64 40 Gabriella Hill Towards rear - headway under 2f out - kept on - never on terms(op 33/1) 2026-03-22 Naas (IRE) 6f Soft — 9/15 25/1 3.00L 67 48 Adam Caffrey Slowly away - always behind(tchd 22/1) 2026-03-15 Curragh (IRE) 1m Heavy — PU/26 33/1 — 70 — Gabriella Hill Prominent - weakened 4f out - pulled up over 1f out(op 50/1) 2026-02-20 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 8/14 40/1 0.75L 68 43 Gabriella Hill Midfield - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 50/1) 2026-02-06 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 9/9 33/1 0.30L 73 60 Ronan Whelan Dwelt start - always behind(tchd 40/1) 2026-01-28 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 8/8 20/1 1.75L 74 51 Rory Cleary Lost many lengths start - always behind(op 12/1) 2025-09-23 Listowel (IRE 7f Heavy — 10/14 11/1 0.50L 76 62 Ronan Whelan Towards rear throughout(op 8/1) 2025-09-01 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 4/12 50/1 0.50L 78 78 Ross Coakley In rear - headway 2f out - went second over 1f out - weakened and lost two places final 110yds(op 22/1) 2025-08-09 Curragh (IRE) 1m Good — 8/8 9/1 4.50L 82 66 Sam Coen Always behind(op 10/1 tchd 11/1) 2025-08-03 Galway (IRE) 7f Soft — 13/15 40/1 0.50L 86 34 Shane Foley Dwelt start then slowly into stride - in rear throughout (jockey said gelding was slowly away)(op 33/1 tchd 50/1) 2025-07-23 Naas (IRE) 7f Yielding — 9/11 9/1 1.75L 86 65 Sam Coen Slowly away - always behind(op 11/1) 2025-06-05 Leopardstown 7½f Good — 12/12 9/2 0.10L 86 68 Sam Coen Always behind (vet reported gelding to have a slight nasal discharge post race)(op 13/2) 2024-10-26 Doncaster 7f Soft Cla 8/17 9/1 0.75L 88 84 Hollie Doyle Midfield on near side of group - no telling impression(op 17/2 tchd 12/1) 2024-08-17 Newbury 7f Good To F Cla 6/11 8/1 0.50L 89 90 Hollie Doyle Took keen hold - prominent behind clear leader - outpaced inside final furlong(op 15/2) 2024-08-03 Goodwood 7f Good To F Cla 5/11 10/1 1.25L 91 87 Richard Kingscote In rear - smooth headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - never dangerous(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) 2024-07-11 Newmarket (Ju 6f Good To S Cla 7/13 10/1 0.30L 93 93 Billy Loughnane Sweating - took keen hold - towards far side - led group - headed in group over 1f out - weakened gradually inside final 110yds - 2nd of 5 in group(op 11/1) 2023-09-28 Newmarket 7f Good To F Cla 9/12 8/1 2.00L 93 87 Kevin Stott Took keen hold - led - headed over 2f out - soon weakened(tchd 15/2 and tchd 9/1) Comment Pressed winner - disputed lead and went clear with winner over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 10/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 9/1 (10.000) Beaten (L) 2.50 Total beaten 2.50 OR after 61 In-running comment Pressed winner - disputed lead and went clear with winner over 1f out - no extra final 110yds(tchd 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. TARA NA RI (IRE) (#14 · Σ 55.0) 4yo G · Draw 14 · p Connections Jockey Colin Keane Trainer Noel Meade Owner Derek Iceton Pedigree Sire River Boyne (IRE) Dam Beau Nuage (IRE) Damsire Mukhadram Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 21.00 (Quinn Bet) 17:21 19.00 (Betfred) 18:02 17.00 (William Hill) 18:20 19.00 (BetWright) 00:31 21.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 36.00 (7Bet) 12:08 41.00 (7Bet) 16:31 36.00 (7Bet) 16:39 34.00 (Bet365) 16:43 31.00 (7Bet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 74 one of best in field, ran in better grades. Form 2.0/10 9/98-0 — no top-eight finish recently. Connections 7.0/10 Keane top jockey (Elo 1709) plus Meade established yard. Fitness 5.0/10 64 days off, freshened but enough. Trip 5.0/10 7f untested at peak. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 14 — wide draw on tight Roscommon turn. Equipment 6.0/10 Cheekpieces reapplied, worth a 0-3lb upgrade. Weight 7.0/10 131lb light off OFR 61 attractive. Value 7.0/10 Backed on connections name — overlay if form returns. Σ Summary 55.0/100 Class connections drag rating up despite woeful figures. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1466.0 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1709.0 (8411 runs, 1235 wins, 14.7%) Trainer 1612.5 (4749 runs, 582 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 283r 48w 17% A/E 0.87 (fair) Jockey × trainer 714r 95w 13% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 550r 101w 18% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 10/15 28/1 0.50L 61 74 Colin Keane Dwelt start - always behind(tchd 25/1) 2026-03-15 Curragh (IRE) 1m Heavy — 23/26 28/1 14.00L 62 — Colin Keane Never better than midfield(op 16/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-10-31 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 8/14 66/1 0.50L — 65 Ben Coen In touch with leaders - edged right and weakened inside final furlong(op 50/1) 2025-10-19 Leopardstown 1m1f Heavy — 9/13 33/1 0.50L — 52 Ben Coen Held up in rear - some headway 3f out - soon outpaced - weakened 1f out(op 25/1 tchd 20/1) 2024-10-23 Navan (IRE) 6f Yielding — 9/19 22/1 1.00L — 58 Colin Keane Dwelt start - hampered start - in rear towards far side - headway into midfield over 2f out - in touch with leaders over 1f out - no extra final furlong (jockey said gelding suffered interference as gates opened)(tchd 20/1 and tchd 25/1) Comment Dwelt start - always behind(tchd 25/1) Finishing result Position 10 SP 28/1 (29.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 10.25 OR after 61 In-running comment Dwelt start - always behind(tchd 25/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. GO OUT (FR) (#5 · Σ 50.0) 4yo G · Draw 13 · tp Connections Jockey Terry Casey Trainer Daniel James Murphy Owner Mrs John Murphy John Pearson Karl Kirwan Pedigree Sire Hello Youmzain (FR) Dam Gracefully (IRE) Damsire Orpen Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 8.00 (Bet365) 09:11 10.00 (Unibet) 10:13 9.50 (Bet365) 10:44 11.00 (Coral) 12:47 12.00 (Coral) 16:35 11.00 (Bet365) 16:39 13.00 (Bet365) 16:43 15.00 (Betfred) 16:48 17.00 (Betfred) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 72 mid-field, TS 63 reasonable. Form 4.0/10 228776 shows declining run, last three off the board. Connections 5.0/10 D J Murphy 0/7 14d, claimer Casey Elo 1579. Fitness 7.0/10 14 days since last run. Trip 5.0/10 Maiden over 7f, no clear bias. Pace 5.0/10 No standout style. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 13 of 15 wide draw on tight Roscommon turn. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 5.0/10 138lb off OFR 68. Value 4.0/10 Maiden status undermines pricing edge. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Plausible without clear win signal — mid-field price. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1596.3 (10 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1579.2 (76 runs, 3 wins, 3.9%) Trainer 1606.8 (318 runs, 39 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 3r 1w 33% A/E 2.74 (value) Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 11 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 9/15 14/1 0.20L 68 72 Terry Casey Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on outer - hung right and weakened over 1f out(op 11/1) 2026-05-04 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 6/15 9/1 0.75L 70 65 Patrick McGettigan In touch with leaders - briefly went third inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(tchd 17/2) 2026-04-19 Curragh (IRE) 6f Soft — 7/21 20/1 0.30L 71 64 Shane Foley Held up in midfield towards far side - kept on inside final furlong 2026-03-15 Curragh (IRE) 6f Heavy — 7/12 14/1 2.50L 72 59 Shane Foley In touch with leaders on far side of group - weakened from over 1f out(op 12/1 tchd 16/1) 2026-03-06 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 8/11 11/4F 0.20L 73 63 Reese Holohan Dwelt start - raced wide - took keen hold - towards rear - bumped over 2f out - no impression(tchd 9/4) 2026-02-20 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 2/10 2/1 0.10L 74 75 Declan McDonogh In touch with leaders - raced in second after 2f - carried right 2f out - led over 1f out - kept on but headed final strides(op 7/4 tchd 13/8) 2026-02-06 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 2/9 9/2 0.50L 73 79 Declan McDonogh Led - faced challenges over 3f out - hung right over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - no extra inside final 110yds (jockey said gelding hung right up straight)(op 9/4 tchd 5/1) 2026-01-16 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 2/7 7/1 0.75L 73 79 Patrick McGettigan Dwelt start - in rear - midfield over 4f out - went second over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 9/2 tchd 8/1) 2025-04-18 Chelmsford (A 7f Standard Cla 4/9 12/1 1.00L — 71 Daniel Tudhope In touch with leaders - switched left over 1f out - lost two places when no extra inside final 110yds(op 14/1 tchd 9/1 and tchd 16/1) 2025-03-28 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 4/12 25/1 1.25L — 68 Trevor Whelan Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - went third 1f out - kept on but lost third final 110yds(tchd 28/1) 2025-02-27 Newcastle (AW 7f Standard Cla 3/5 2/1 2.50L — 51 Trevor Whelan Ducked left start - took keen hold early - in touch with leaders - no extra inside final furlong(op 7/4) Comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on outer - hung right and weakened over 1f out(op 11/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 14/1 (15.000) Beaten (L) 0.20 Total beaten 9.75 OR after 68 In-running comment Took keen hold - in touch with leaders on outer - hung right and weakened over 1f out(op 11/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. IRISH RUMOUR (IRE) (#12 · Σ 50.0) 6yo M · Draw 16 · t Connections Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle Trainer Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Owner Jerry Fennell Pat Phibbs Pedigree Sire Footstepsinthesand (GB) Dam Selfless (GB) Damsire Harbour Watch Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 7.00 (Bet365) 09:11 9.50 (Unibet) 09:14 10.00 (Unibet) 10:13 9.50 (Unibet) 11:58 10.00 (Midnite) 12:02 9.50 (Bet365) 12:08 11.00 (William Hill) 12:12 12.00 (William Hill) 14:08 13.00 (Midnite) 14:31 12.00 (Coral) 15:16 11.00 (Bet365) 15:24 12.00 (Midnite) 16:10 13.00 (Midnite) 16:16 12.00 (Bet365) 16:18 13.00 (Midnite) 16:24 15.00 (Betfred) 16:39 13.00 (Bet365) 16:43 15.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 74 + TS 77 both top-tier in this field. Form 4.0/10 35825- — useful figures but ending with a fade then long break. Connections 6.0/10 Top jockey Browne McMonagle huge plus, but trainer dormant. Fitness 2.0/10 194 days off the track. Trip 5.0/10 7f comparable to prior trips. Pace 5.0/10 No standout style. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 16 of 18 — wide draw given small active field, big negative. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 7.0/10 131lb light off OFR 61 attractive mark. Value 6.0/10 Class horse poorly drawn after break — can drift to value. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Class on figures undercut by absence + wide draw — each-way only. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1663.3 (28 runs, 1 wins, 3.6%) Jockey 1772.3 (3190 runs, 425 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1474.8 (259 runs, 11 wins, 4.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 83r 12w 14% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 7r 1w 14% A/E 1.03 (fair) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 4r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 15/15 12/1 5.00L 61 74 Dylan Browne McMon Took keen hold - midfield on outer - weakened 2f out 2025-11-05 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 5/14 6/1 0.75L 59 59 James Ryan Visibility reduced by fog - held up in midfield - headway and went fourth over 1f out - lost fourth inside final 110yds(op 13/2 and tchd 7/1) 2025-09-22 Fairyhouse (I 7f Yielding — 2/18 20/1 0.05L 62 69 James Ryan Midfield - headway on outer over 1f out - ran on and pressed winner final strides - just failed(op 16/1) 2025-09-10 Cork (IRE) 6f Soft — 8/20 7/1 0.30L 63 43 Dylan Browne McMon Raced near side - midfield - headway over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong - no impression - 3rd of 4 in group(tchd 15/2) 2025-08-16 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 5/13 15/2 2.50L 66 56 Rory Cleary Dwelt start - in rear - headway on outer 2f out - soon pressed leaders - outpaced inside final furlong(tchd 8/1) 2025-07-23 Naas (IRE) 6f Yielding — 3/16 8/1 0.50L 65 69 Dylan Browne McMon In rear - headway on far side of group over 1f out - pressed leaders inside final 110yds - kept on(op 10/1) 2025-07-05 Naas (IRE) 6f Good — 5/8 5/1 1.75L 67 65 Dylan Browne McMon Towards rear - headway halfway - outpaced from over 1f out(op 9/2) 2025-06-07 Navan (IRE) 5f Good — 7/13 7/1 0.75L 67 59 Robbie Colgan Never better than midfield(op 10/1) 2025-05-10 Naas (IRE) 5f Good — 2/20 9/2J 0.20L 66 75 Colin Keane Raced far side - prominent - ridden over 1f out - kept on well inside final 110yds - pressed winner towards finish - just held - 2nd of 7 in group(op 13/2 tchd 7/1) 2025-04-12 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 8/15 9/1 1.50L 67 60 Dylan Browne McMon Led towards far side - headed 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 12/1) 2024-12-13 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 12/14 10/1 0.30L 64 50 Jack Kearney Towards rear - brief headway over 1f out - soon no impression(op 9/1) 2024-11-29 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 9/14 9/1 2.75L 67 49 J M Sheridan Prominent - weakened from over 1f out(op 14/1) 2024-11-13 Dundalk (AW) 5f Standard — 7/12 9/2 0.30L 68 60 James Ryan In touch with leaders - lost position when bit short of room under 2f out - no impression towards near side final 110yds (trainer said filly pulled her left-hind shoe in running)(op 7/2) 2024-10-17 Curragh (IRE) 5f Yielding — 6/17 5/1 0.75L 68 62 Dylan Browne McMon In touch with leaders up the centre - prominent 2f out - no extra final 110yds(op 11/2 tchd 9/2 and 6/1) 2024-09-21 Navan (IRE) 5f Good — 3/8 11/4F 0.20L 68 69 Leigh Roche Prominent - led halfway - headed over 1f out - ran on well final 110yds 2024-09-07 Navan (IRE) 5f Good — 1/15 7/2F won 62 74 Dylan Browne McMon Towards rear towards near side - pushed along and headway from 2f out - went second inside final furlong - led towards finish 2024-08-24 Curragh (IRE) 5f Good — 2/13 11/1 0.75L 60 68 Dylan Browne McMon Towards rear - headway when switched left from over 1f out - ran on inside final furlong - went second but no chance with winner final strides - nearest finish 2024-04-13 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 6/14 4/1F 0.20L 62 59 Adam Caffrey In touch with leaders - headway and prominent under 2f out - weakened final 110yds(op 9/2) 2024-02-23 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 4/14 5/4F 0.75L 65 69 Colin Keane Took keen hold - prominent - brief headway 1f out - weakening when edged right inside final 110yds(op 6/4 tchd 6/5 and 7/4) 2024-01-31 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 2/10 3/1 1.50L 63 70 Robbie Colgan Midfield - headway over 4f out - kept on well inside final furlong - went second towards finish Comment Took keen hold - midfield on outer - weakened 2f out Finishing result Position 15 SP 12/1 (13.000) Beaten (L) 5.00 Total beaten 28.25 OR after 61 In-running comment Took keen hold - midfield on outer - weakened 2f out ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. BLUE ANTHEM (GB) (#9 · Σ 49.0) 4yo G · Draw 7 · t Connections Jockey Siobhan Rutledge Trainer Gerard O'Leary Owner Purosangue Racing Syndicate Pedigree Sire Starspangledbanner (AUS) Dam Blues Sister (GB) Damsire Compton Place Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 34.00 (Quinn Bet) 17:21 29.00 (Betfred) 00:31 34.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 21.00 (William Hill) 09:34 19.00 (Betfred) 16:31 17.00 (Bet365) 16:39 19.00 (Bet365) 16:43 21.00 (Spreadex) 16:48 23.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 72 mid-field. Form 3.0/10 9500 last four — sharp decline. Connections 4.0/10 O'Leary 0/9 14d, RTF 13 — yard out of form. Fitness 7.0/10 14 days off. Trip 5.0/10 No specific edge at 7f. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 7 of 15 fair. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 5.0/10 134lb off OFR 64. Value 4.0/10 Form trend suggests overbet on past placings. Σ Summary 49.0/100 Yard in poor form drags overall score down. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1547.3 (17 runs, 3 wins, 17.6%) Jockey 1600.7 (1543 runs, 82 wins, 5.3%) Trainer 1542.5 (948 runs, 88 wins, 9.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 39r 3w 8% A/E 1.43 (value) Jockey × trainer 14r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 38r 6w 16% A/E 1.22 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 18 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 8/15 20/1 1.75L 64 72 Siobhan Rutledge Dwelt start - in rear - some headway when short of room final 110yds - never on terms(op 16/1) 2026-05-04 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 13/20 18/1 0.75L 67 — Shane Foley Dwelt start - towards rear - kept on final furlong - never dangerous(op 16/1 tchd 20/1) 2026-04-19 Curragh (IRE) 6f Soft — 13/21 14/1 0.30L 69 40 Siobhan Rutledge Dwelt start - towards rear throughout(op 16/1) 2026-03-27 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 5/8 18/1 3.25L 71 64 Siobhan Rutledge Steadied start - held up in rear - alone towards near side home straight - some headway final furlong - never dangerous(op 12/1) 2026-03-06 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 9/14 10/1 0.30L 73 66 Shane Foley Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - no extra inside final furlong(op 6/1) 2025-10-20 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 2/9 9/2 1.00L 73 78 Billy Loughnane In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - headed and no extra inside final furlong(op 4/1) 2025-09-29 Southwell (AW 5f Standard Cla 4/12 9/1 1.50L 74 74 Billy Loughnane Midfield - in touch with leaders 2f out - no impression from over 1f out(op 8/1) 2025-09-12 Sandown 5f Soft Cla 6/9 12/1 0.30L 75 72 Pat Cosgrave In touch with leaders - no extra inside final furlong(op 14/1 tchd 11/1 and tchd 16/1) 2025-08-18 Windsor 6f Good To F Cla 5/8 15/2 0.75L 76 66 Billy Loughnane Led - headed over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(tchd 7/1) 2025-06-27 Yarmouth 6f Good Cla 2/5 5/4F 3.25L 76 76 Billy Loughnane Held up in rear - switched right 2f out - headway but hung left over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong - just held second(op 11/8) 2025-06-17 Thirsk 5f Good To F Cla 1/9 3/1F won 70 77 Daniel Tudhope Prominent - challenging 2f out - ridden and led 1f out - kept on well and went clear final 110yds 2025-05-24 Salisbury 7f Good To F Cla 1/10 10/1 won 67 73 Billy Loughnane Took keen hold early - made all - clear and ridden over 1f out - reduced lead towards finish - always doing enough 2025-03-05 Kempton (AW) 6f Standard Cla 8/12 9/1 0.20L 68 55 Benoit De La Sayet Towards rear - outpaced when up the centre 2f out - keeping on when bit short of room inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 14/1) 2025-02-15 Southwell (AW 1m Standard Cla 5/8 2/1F 0.75L 68 61 Billy Loughnane Prominent - weakened gradually inside final furlong(op 13/8) 2025-02-03 Wolverhampton 7f Standard Cla 1/9 5/1 won 65 68 Billy Loughnane Prominent - headway to lead final 110yds - kept on towards finish(tchd 11/2) 2024-08-31 Lingfield (AW 5f Standard Cla 5/7 33/1 3.25L — 60 Jack Mitchell In touch with leaders - lost ground over 2f out - outpaced from over 1f out(op 25/1 tchd 40/1) 2024-08-17 Newmarket (Ju 6f Good Cla 10/11 66/1 0.50L — 43 Edward Greatrex Awkward start - in rear - in touch with leaders halfway - soon weakened(op 50/1) 2024-08-09 Newmarket (Ju 6f Good Cla 12/15 14/1 0.50L — 38 Daniel Muscutt Ducked right start - midfield on far side of group - unbalanced soon after start - weakened 2f out (jockey said gelding lost his action and took a false step shortly after start)(op 18/1) Comment Dwelt start - in rear - some headway when short of room final 110yds - never on terms(op 16/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 9.50 OR after 64 In-running comment Dwelt start - in rear - some headway when short of room final 110yds - never on terms(op 16/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11. FREE SOLO (IRE) (#2 · Σ 47.0) 9yo G · Draw 12 · tp Connections Jockey Conor Cusack Trainer P J F Murphy Owner Mrs Margaret Ahern Pedigree Sire Showcasing (GB) Dam Amuser (IRE) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 11.00 (Quinn Bet) 17:21 10.00 (William Hill) 17:41 9.50 (Bet365) 09:11 12.00 (Unibet) 10:01 11.00 (Bet365) 10:19 12.00 (CopyBet) 10:21 11.00 (Bet365) 10:44 13.00 (Spreadex) 11:39 15.00 (William Hill) 12:12 17.00 (William Hill) 12:18 19.00 (William Hill) 13:22 17.00 (William Hill) 14:39 15.00 (Bet365) 14:45 17.00 (Coral) 15:08 15.00 (Bet365) 15:10 17.00 (Coral) 15:45 15.00 (Bet365) 15:51 17.00 (Coral) 16:04 15.00 (Bet365) 16:16 17.00 (Coral) 16:18 15.00 (William Hill) 16:31 13.00 (Bet365) 16:43 15.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 75 mid-upper of field, OFR 70 mid. Form 2.0/10 Form 80-007 shows recent finishes 0/0/7, no recent strike. Connections 5.0/10 Murphy 1/7 (14%) last 14d acceptable, claimer Cusack offsets. Fitness 7.0/10 Last run 14d ago, ideal sweet-spot interval. Trip 5.0/10 No specific 7f comment, neutral. Pace 5.0/10 No clear style hinted. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 12 of 15 on Roscommon's tight turf could leave him wide. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied, no first-time gear. Weight 5.0/10 140lb fair off OFR 70. Value 4.0/10 Age and form figures likely overlaid by some. Σ Summary 47.0/100 Acceptable rating profile but recent form figures undercut the case. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1614.7 (65 runs, 6 wins, 9.2%) Jockey 1586.2 (59 runs, 6 wins, 10.2%) Trainer 1600.8 (766 runs, 61 wins, 8.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) no data Jockey × trainer 15r 3w 20% A/E 1.54 (value) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 29r 3w 10% A/E 1.35 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 11/15 14/1 0.50L 70 75 Conor Cusack Dwelt start - never better than midfield(op 11/1) 2026-05-04 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 7/15 10/1 1.25L 72 64 Sam Coen Led narrowly - headed over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 12/1) 2026-04-15 Leopardstown 7f Yielding — 11/16 40/1 2.75L 76 52 Chris Hayes Towards rear - weakened inside final furlong 2026-02-27 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 13/13 33/1 6.00L 77 49 W J Lee Always behind(tchd 28/1) 2025-10-13 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 12/15 25/1 0.20L 77 62 Ben Coen In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 12/1) 2025-09-27 Curragh (IRE) 7f Soft — 8/12 14/1 1.50L 78 68 Wayne Hassett In touch with leaders - weakened final furlong(op 16/1) 2025-09-01 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 5/12 8/1 0.50L 80 79 Rory Mulligan Prominent - went second under 4f out - lost position over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 10/1) 2025-08-19 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good — 1/12 15/2 won 70 82 Ben Coen Took keen hold - led - raced in second after 2f - led again over 3f out - ridden and faced challenge 2f out - went clear final 110yds(op 11/1) 2025-07-17 Leopardstown 7f Good — 4/12 13/2 0.10L 71 75 Wayne Hassett Prominent - soon went second - weakened towards finish(op 15/2) 2025-06-20 Down Royal (I 7f Good — 4/14 13/2 0.20L 71 68 Wayne Hassett Bumped start - midfield - switched left and headway from under 2f out - kept on (jockey said gelding received interference as stalls opened)(op 15/2) 2025-06-12 Leopardstown 7f Soft — 2/14 11/2 1.25L 70 75 Wayne Hassett Prominent - soon went third - challenging over 1f out - outpaced inside final 110yds - kept on(op 15/2 tchd 8/1) 2025-05-23 Curragh (IRE) 1m Good — 7/20 11/1 0.75L 70 63 Wayne Hassett In touch with leaders - headway and prominent over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 14/1) 2025-05-05 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 1/25 10/1 won 62 74 Wayne Hassett Midfield - good headway towards near side over 1f out - ridden and ran on well to lead final 110yds - won going away(tchd 11/1) 2025-04-25 Limerick (IRE 1m Soft To H — 6/12 16/1 0.75L 65 57 Ben Coen Midfield - in touch with leaders 3f out - no extra from under 2f out(op 10/1) 2025-04-05 Bellewstown ( 1m Good — 7/12 6/1 1.25L 66 56 Adam Browne-Souza Prominent - led after 1f - headed and prominent behind clear leaders after 2f - no extra from over 1f out(op 8/1) 2025-03-14 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 5/13 8/1 0.30L 68 70 Ben Coen Prominent - keeping on over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong - weakened gradually final 110yds(Mkt1: op 10/1 tchd 17/2) 2025-01-31 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 5/14 15/2 0.50L 68 65 Leigh Roche Midfield - headway under 2f out - kept on - not reach leaders(op 10/1) 2025-01-27 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 4/13 7/2 1.50L 68 69 Sam Coen Prominent - soon went second - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - weakened and lost two places towards finish(op 4/1) 2025-01-17 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 2/10 9/4 1.50L 64 68 Sam Coen Prominent - soon led narrowly or disputed lead - led when pushed along over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - kept on - no match for winner(op 11/4) 2025-01-10 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 2/12 9/1 3.50L 64 64 Sam Coen Prominent - went second from 1f out - kept on but no match for winner(op 11/1) Comment Dwelt start - never better than midfield(op 11/1) Finishing result Position 11 SP 14/1 (15.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 10.75 OR after 70 In-running comment Dwelt start - never better than midfield(op 11/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12. SUERTE (IRE) (#13 · Σ 47.0) 4yo F · Draw 18 · ht Connections Jockey Robbie Colgan Trainer Ms Sheila Lavery Owner Suerte Partnership Pedigree Sire Dandy Man (IRE) Dam Clytha (GB) Damsire Mark Of Esteem Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 34.00 (Bet365) 09:11 51.00 (Midnite) 10:25 41.00 (Bet365) 10:38 51.00 (10 Bet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 72/TS 64 reasonable. Form 2.0/10 0769-7 — no top-four finish in five runs. Connections 4.0/10 Lavery 0/2 14d, Colgan modest jockey Elo. Fitness 6.0/10 37 days off acceptable. Trip 5.0/10 7f a fair guess. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 18 — outside if all reserves run, otherwise wide. Equipment 6.0/10 Hood + tongue tie may help focus. Weight 6.0/10 131lb light off mark 61. Value 3.0/10 Limited recent winning chance. Σ Summary 47.0/100 Lightweight runner needing big career-best — outsider. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1517.5 (9 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1483.0 (4011 runs, 161 wins, 4.0%) Trainer 1590.2 (1740 runs, 134 wins, 7.7%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 213r 9w 4% A/E 0.69 (negative) Jockey × trainer 953r 57w 6% A/E 0.76 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 57r 7w 12% A/E 1.24 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 10 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 13/15 50/1 0.75L 61 72 Robbie Colgan Took keen hold - on outer - never better than midfield 2026-04-11 Bellewstown ( 1m Soft — 7/14 33/1 3.75L 62 31 Robbie Colgan Dwelt start - towards rear - kept on from over 1f out - never near to challenge(tchd 28/1) 2025-11-12 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 9/14 16/1 0.50L 64 42 Robbie Colgan In rear - on near side of group when some headway inside final furlong(tchd 18/1) 2025-08-19 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good — 6/10 13/2 2.50L 66 63 Robbie Colgan Slowly away - took keen hold - midfield on inner - outpaced 2f out - no impression(op 8/1) 2025-07-25 Cork (IRE) 6f Good To F — 7/17 16/1 2.00L 69 47 Robbie Colgan Raced far side - midfield - kept on final furlong - never on terms 2025-06-28 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 11/17 12/1 2.00L 73 49 Rory Cleary In touch with leaders - weakened from under 2f out(op 14/1 tchd 11/1 and tchd 16/1) 2025-05-23 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 5/10 12/1 2.50L — 61 Robbie Colgan Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 11/1 tchd 16/1) 2025-05-06 Cork (IRE) 6f Good — 4/10 33/1 0.05L — 71 Robbie Colgan Towards rear - switched left and steady headway from over 2f out - went fourth inside final 110yds(op 25/1 tchd 40/1) 2025-01-14 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 2/7 14/1 0.20L — 76 Robbie Colgan Ducked right start - switched left soon after start - prominent - challenging when ridden over 1f out - kept on well - just held(op 12/1) 2024-12-13 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 8/14 28/1 0.20L — 63 Rory Cleary Midfield - in touch with leaders after 1f - outpaced over 1f out(op 22/1) Comment Took keen hold - on outer - never better than midfield Finishing result Position 13 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 12.25 OR after 61 In-running comment Took keen hold - on outer - never better than midfield ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 13. LOHENGRIN (GB) (#8 · Σ 43.0) 6yo G · Draw 15 · t Connections Jockey Ben Coen Trainer E D Delany Owner Alan Delany Pedigree Sire Ulysses (IRE) Dam Diyavana (FR) Damsire Pivotal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 51.00 (William Hill) 18:20 41.00 (Bet365) 00:31 51.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 71.00 (7Bet) 13:28 67.00 (Unibet) 13:30 51.00 (Bet365) 16:39 67.00 (Bet365) 16:48 51.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 OFR 66 mid but RPR 70/TS 13 expose limited form. Form 2.0/10 610-B0 — last run a well-beaten 0. Connections 5.0/10 B Coen useful (Elo 1623) but yard cold 0/2 14d. Fitness 7.0/10 23 days off, fair. Trip 5.0/10 No specific bias. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 15 of 15, outside on tight track is a clear negative. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 5.0/10 136lb off OFR 66. Value 3.0/10 Likely outsider justified. Σ Summary 43.0/100 Weak Elo and bad draw combine — long shot. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1436.4 (26 runs, 1 wins, 3.8%) Jockey 1622.9 (4196 runs, 402 wins, 9.6%) Trainer 1514.1 (471 runs, 29 wins, 6.2%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 120r 17w 14% A/E 0.99 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 18r 2w 11% A/E 0.94 (fair) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 14/15 50/1 11.00L 66 70 Ben Coen Always behind 2026-04-25 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Good To Y — 20/23 66/1 4.75L 68 33 Ben Coen In rear throughout 2026-04-11 Bellewstown ( 1m Soft — BD/14 40/1 — 68 — Seamie Heffernan Midfield - brought down 4f out(op 50/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-12-17 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 13/14 50/1 4.50L 68 25 N G McCullagh Never better than midfield(op 28/1) 2025-11-29 Fairyhouse (I 2m Yielding — 22/24 150/1 8.00L — — Ryan Treacy Always behind 2025-11-04 Fairyhouse (I 2m Soft To H — 15/16 100/1 1.25L — 38 Jordan Gainford Towards rear throughout(op 66/1) 2025-09-04 Laytown (IRE) 7f Standard — 1/9 6/1 won 57 68 Jordan Gainford Made all - pushed along 2f out - ridden inside final furlong - kept on(Mkt1: op 7/1 tchd 6/1; Mkt2 op 5/1 tchd 13/2) 2025-08-16 Curragh (IRE) 1m Good — 6/21 28/1 0.50L 59 55 Declan McDonogh Midfield - headway over 1f out - kept on - not reach leaders(op 20/1) 2025-07-26 Gowran Park ( 1m1½f Good — 4/13 12/1 0.50L 59 62 Nicola Burns In rear - raced wide and headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 9/1) 2025-07-04 Bellewstown ( 1m4f Good — 8/14 20/1 0.50L 60 48 James Ryan Took keen hold - never better than midfield(op 12/1) 2025-06-11 Limerick (IRE 1m3½f Good — 3/12 16/1 0.50L 57 66 Colin Keane Towards rear - headway from over 2f out - kept on and went third towards finish(op 12/1 tchd 18/1) 2025-05-13 Killarney (IR 1m Good — 6/6 250/1 0.50L 60 65 Killian Leonard Towards rear - weakened from 2f out(op 150/1) 2024-10-11 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 13/14 9/1 0.50L 63 47 Sam Coen Towards rear throughout(op 10/1 tchd 8/1) 2024-09-16 Laytown (IRE) 7f Standard — 3/10 4/1 0.10L 63 63 Colin Keane Held up in last - headway from over 2f out - switched right under 2f out - ridden on near side of group 1f out - ran on inside final 110yds - nearest finish(op 6/1) 2024-09-05 Clonmel (IRE) 1m1½f Good — 3/6 16/1 2.50L 59 70 Scott McCullagh Towards rear but in touch with leaders - ridden on near side of group under 2f out - headway when switched right and went third inside final furlong - kept on - no match for first two(tchd 22/1) 2024-08-16 Cork (IRE) 1m1f Good To F — 11/18 8/1 0.50L 61 59 Colin Keane Stumbled start - soon dropped to rear - kept on inside final furlong(op 17/2 and tchd 9/1) 2024-08-09 Tipperary (IR 1m1f Good To F — 3/4 40/1 5.50L 61 73 Colin Keane In rear - outpaced and detached under 2f out - ran on inside final furlong - went third towards finish - no match for first two(op 33/1) 2024-07-27 Gowran Park ( 7f Good — 10/16 5/1F 0.50L 62 52 Colin Keane Towards rear - some headway inside final furlong - never near to challenge(tchd 11/2) 2024-07-12 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 6/13 6/1 0.20L 63 63 Colin Keane Prominent - disputing lead over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 15/2 tchd 8/1) 2024-06-17 Gowran Park ( 1m Good — 3/8 6/1 0.50L 63 67 Colin Keane Held up in last - headway on near side of group when hung right 2f out - went third final strides - nearest finish(tchd 11/2 and tchd 7/1) Comment Always behind Finishing result Position 14 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 11.00 Total beaten 23.25 OR after 66 In-running comment Always behind ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 14. FAMED AGAIN (IRE) (#6 · Σ 39.0) 4yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Donagh O'Connor Trainer Miss Hilary McLoughlin Owner Alan G Sheehan Pedigree Sire Far Above (IRE) Dam Dutch Forest (GB) Damsire Dutch Art Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 29.00 (Quinn Bet) 17:41 26.00 (Betfred) 20:41 29.00 (BetWright) 00:31 34.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 41.00 (Spreadex) 10:58 51.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 67 mid but RPR/TS show limited ceiling. Form 2.0/10 0/500- — middling fifth then 219-day break. Connections 3.0/10 McLoughlin 0/2 14d, RTF blank, no claimer help. Fitness 1.0/10 219 days off the track. Trip 5.0/10 No specific edge. Pace 5.0/10 No standout style. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 5 of 15 neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 137lb off OFR 67 within mark. Value 3.0/10 Likely overbet on memory. Σ Summary 39.0/100 Long absentee from a quiet yard — major negative profile. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1483.1 (9 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1580.4 (2292 runs, 167 wins, 7.3%) Trainer 1504.5 (484 runs, 28 wins, 5.8%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 40r 4w 10% A/E 1.19 (value) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 7r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 10 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 7/15 50/1 0.30L 67 71 Donagh O'Connor Midfield on inner - headway over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong 2025-10-11 Naas (IRE) 7f Yielding — 10/16 150/1 1.25L 70 60 Donagh O'Connor Prominent - dropped to midfield after 2f - outpaced over 1f out(op 50/1) 2025-09-22 Fairyhouse (I 7f Yielding — 11/14 28/1 3.50L 72 50 Gavin Ryan Pulled hard - midfield - weakened from 2f out(op 22/1 tchd 20/1 and tchd 33/1) 2025-06-21 Limerick (IRE 7f Good — 5/13 10/1 2.75L 76 65 Paddy Harnett Midfield - no impression(op 8/1 tchd 15/2) 2024-10-22 Curragh (IRE) 1m Soft — 11/11 150/1 5.50L 78 48 Colin Keane Midfield - weakened from under 3f out(op 80/1) 2024-10-13 Naas (IRE) 7f Yielding — 4/16 16/1 0.20L 75 75 Ronan Whelan In touch with leaders on inner - outpaced under 2f out - headway over 1f out - went third inside final furlong - kept on but lost third final strides(op 12/1) 2024-09-23 Listowel (IRE 1m Good — 4/15 12/1 1.75L 76 62 Wayne Hassett Took keen hold - soon led - headed and weakened gradually from over 1f out(op 20/1) 2024-09-10 Galway (IRE) 7f Yielding — 3/16 66/1 1.75L — 71 Wesley Joyce Midfield - headway from 2f out - bit short of room when switched left and ran on inside final furlong - no match for first two(op 50/1) 2024-07-13 Navan (IRE) 6f Good To F — 15/19 14/1 3.50L — 31 Seamie Heffernan Soon led - headed under 2f out - soon weakened(op 9/2 tchd 16/1) 2024-06-21 Down Royal (I 7f Good — 8/13 22/1 1.25L — 49 Leigh Roche Took keen hold - never better than midfield(op 18/1 tchd 28/1) Comment Midfield on inner - headway over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong Finishing result Position 7 SP 50/1 (51.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 7.75 OR after 67 In-running comment Midfield on inner - headway over 1f out - no impression inside final furlong ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 15. MERCURIAL (IRE) (#1 · Σ 38.0) 7yo G · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Darragh O'Sullivan Trainer John J Nallen Owner John J Nallen Pedigree Sire Prince Of Lir (IRE) Dam Conjuring (IRE) Damsire Showcasing Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 15.00 (Quinn Bet) 18:20 13.00 (Bet365) 20:22 17.00 (Betfred) 20:41 15.00 (Bet365) 00:31 17.00 (Coral) 09:11 19.00 (Midnite) 09:34 17.00 (Bet365) 11:06 15.00 (Bet365) 12:08 13.00 (Bet365) 12:12 12.00 (Bet365) 16:18 11.00 (Bet365) 16:31 10.00 (Bet365) 16:43 11.00 (Betfred) 16:48 10.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 72 places him top of the handicap, RPR 71 mid-pack of field. Form 2.0/10 Form figures 08429- show declining trajectory, beaten well last four runs. Connections 3.0/10 Trainer 14d 0/3 (0%), RTF 33 cold, 7lb claimer with sub-1500 jockey Elo. Fitness 1.0/10 197 days off the track, no prep run, no comment of running well fresh. Trip 5.0/10 No specific 7f data flagged, neutral assumption. Pace 5.0/10 No clear running style hinted at. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 of 15, low-to-mid neutral at Roscommon. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change indicated. Weight 4.0/10 Top weight 142lb after OFR 72, asks for career-best. Value 3.0/10 Profile suggests overbet on old Elo rather than recent form. Σ Summary 38.0/100 Long absentee with declining figures and cold yard — sum sits low despite Elo halo. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1656.8 (40 runs, 2 wins, 5.0%) Jockey 1463.9 (226 runs, 13 wins, 5.8%) Trainer 1813.2 (200 runs, 18 wins, 9.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 5r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Jockey × trainer 3r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 21r 4w 19% A/E 1.17 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 20 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 7½f Good To Y — 4/15 17/2 0.50L 72 71 Darragh O'Sullivan Took keen hold - prominent on inner - no extra over 1f out(op 9/1) 2025-11-02 Curragh (IRE) 7f Heavy — 9/20 15/2 0.50L 73 60 Seamie Heffernan In touch with leaders - outpaced halfway - rallied over 1f out - weakened final 110yds(op 8/1 tchd 17/2) 2025-10-21 Curragh (IRE) 6f Heavy — 2/17 12/1 2.75L 70 73 Seamie Heffernan Pressed leader on far side of group - ridden and edged left over 1f out - kept on but no match for winner(op 16/1) 2025-09-23 Listowel (IRE 7f Heavy — 4/14 12/1 0.30L 70 65 Seamie Heffernan Awkward start - soon midfield - headway and went fourth inside final furlong - ran on (jockey said gelding didn't handle the track)(op 14/1) 2025-06-27 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 8/15 14/1 0.20L 74 71 Seamie Heffernan Prominent up the centre - outpaced 2f out - kept on inside final furlong(Mkt1: op 16/1) 2025-06-01 Listowel (IRE 6½f Good To Y — 12/13 18/1 3.25L 77 63 Alan Casey Midfield on outer - weakened over 1f out(op 12/1) 2025-04-25 Limerick (IRE 1m Soft To H — 10/16 28/1 0.30L 82 61 Alan Casey Midfield on outer - headway after 3f - keeping on when short of room under 2f out - soon no extra(op 25/1 tchd 33/1) 2025-03-23 Naas (IRE) 7f Soft To H — 12/15 14/1 2.75L 83 53 Alan Casey Never better than midfield(op 12/1) 2024-11-03 Curragh (IRE) 7f Yielding — 3/26 12/1 2.25L 83 84 Sean D Bowen Prominent up the centre - soon went second - led over 2f out - headed over 1f out - kept on - no match for first two(op 16/1) 2024-10-18 Haydock 6f Heavy Cla 5/8 15/8F 0.50L 80 62 Sean D Bowen In touch with leaders - weakened over 1f out(op 9/4) 2024-10-14 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 2/12 4/1 0.30L 80 85 Darragh O'Sullivan Prominent - joined leader going okay over 1f out - led narrowly when ridden inside final furlong - headed final strides(op 11/2) 2024-09-14 Chester 7½f Soft Cla 5/9 5/1 0.20L 80 74 Sean D Bowen Prominent on outer - lost position halfway - raced wide home turn - rallied and some headway inside final furlong(op 7/2) 2024-09-13 Chester 7f Heavy Cla 5/11 4/1 1.50L 74 65 Sean D Bowen Dwelt start - in rear - switched right and on outer over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - never on terms 2024-09-02 Roscommon (IR 7½f Soft — 2/12 9/1 0.50L 74 81 Seamie Heffernan Midfield - nudged along before halfway - headway when ridden under 2f out - switched left when went second from 1f out - kept on and pressed winner inside final 110yds - just held(op 13/2) 2024-04-20 Curragh (IRE) 6f Heavy — 1/21 9/1 won 69 85 Robert Whearty Prominent towards near side - disputed lead after 1f - led narrowly when groups merged 3f out - ridden and faced challenges from 2f out - ran on inside final 110yds(op 14/1 tchd 10/1) 2024-03-18 Curragh (IRE) 6f Heavy — 9/20 5/1 2.50L 70 53 Sean D Bowen Prominent towards near side - weakened gradually from 2f out(op 9/2 tchd 4/1) 2023-10-31 Curragh (IRE) 6f Heavy — 2/19 16/1 1.00L 68 77 Sean D Bowen Prominent up the centre throughout - disputed lead 2f out - led 1f out - kept on 2023-09-27 Bellewstown ( 1m Heavy — 6/9 15/2 0.50L 69 60 Chris Hayes Prominent - soon went second - outpaced 2f out - soon no extra(op 4/1) 2023-09-19 Listowel (IRE 7f Soft — 2/13 9/1 0.05L 68 77 Sean D Bowen Prominent - headway when bit short of room and ridden under 2f out - soon challenging - kept on well towards finish - just held(op 17/2 tchd 10/1) 2023-09-12 Galway (IRE) 7f Soft — 2/9 100/30F 5.00L 68 68 Sean D Bowen Pressed leaders - raced in third after 1f - went second over 2f out - carried head awkwardly and outpaced 1f out - kept on - no match for winner(op 3/1 tchd 7/2) Comment Took keen hold - prominent on inner - no extra over 1f out(op 9/1) Finishing result Position 4 SP 17/2 (9.500) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 3.75 OR after 72 In-running comment Took keen hold - prominent on inner - no extra over 1f out(op 9/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 16. LOINGSEOIR (NR) (#NR · Σ 46.0) 10yo G · 141lb · Draw 10 · t Connections Jockey Jack Cleary(5) Trainer M C Grassick (Curragh, Co. Kildare) Owner W Keeling & M C Grassick & Mrs M J Grassick Breeder M Grassick & A Goonan Trainer 14d 1/8 (13%) DOB 2016-04-13 Pedigree Sire Henrythenavigator (USA) Dam Only Exception (IRE) Damsire Jeremy Form / ratings Form string 010-97 Last run (days) 23 OFR 71 RPR 72 TS 52 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 4/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 4/5 Coral - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 4/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 4/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 4/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 4/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 4/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 4/5 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 4/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 4/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 16:42 21.00 (Quinn Bet) 17:21 19.00 (Betfred) 09:11 21.00 (7Bet) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 OFR 71 reasonable, RPR 72. Form 2.0/10 010-97 — beaten well last two. Connections 4.0/10 Grassick 1/6 14d, claimer Cleary low Elo. Fitness 7.0/10 23 days off ok. Trip 5.0/10 Handles 7f. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 10 neutral if drawn in. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 4.0/10 141lb after old OFR 71 high enough. Value 3.0/10 Limited. Σ Summary 46.0/100 Aged reserve, marginal contender. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1631.6 (75 runs, 7 wins, 9.3%) Jockey 1470.0 (793 runs, 56 wins, 7.1%) Trainer 1543.1 (902 runs, 53 wins, 5.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 27r 2w 7% A/E 1.16 (value) Jockey × trainer 43r 4w 9% A/E 1.49 (value) Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 39r 3w 8% A/E 1.06 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Spotlight Recorded the most recent of his seven wins last autumn; two mid-division runs this season; retains ability; first reserve. Comment First reserve, recorded the most recent of his seven wins last autumn, retains ability ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 17. LUST (NR) (#NR · Σ 38.0) 8yo G · 123lb · Draw 17 · t Connections Jockey — Trainer Conor David Maxwell (Stamullen, Co. Meath) Owner R Bird Breeder Newtown Anner Stud Trainer 14d 0/5 (0%) DOB 2018-04-16 Pedigree Sire Fastnet Rock (AUS) Dam Desire Moi (IRE) Damsire Galileo Form / ratings Form string 80500- Last run (days) 209 OFR 53 RPR 69 TS 49 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 4/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 4/5 Coral - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 4/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 4/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 4/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 4/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 4/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 4/5 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 4/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 4/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 16:42 51.00 (Quinn Bet) 18:02 41.00 (William Hill) 09:11 51.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 OFR 53 lowest, RPR 69 historic. Form 2.0/10 80500- shows nothing. Connections 4.0/10 Maxwell 0/5 14d, no jockey listed. Fitness 1.0/10 209 days off. Trip 5.0/10 Neutral. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 17 if drawn in is wide. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied. Weight 6.0/10 123lb very light. Value 2.0/10 Reserve outsider. Σ Summary 38.0/100 Reserve with long break and no jockey — bottom of market. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1463.8 (32 runs, 4 wins, 12.5%) Trainer 1578.5 (187 runs, 13 wins, 7.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) no data Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 12r 2w 17% A/E 1.68 (value) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Spotlight Listed winner in 2022 and rated 102 at his peak; form has slumped dramatically in recent seasons; down to 53 now; third reserve. Comment Third reserve, Listed winner in 2022, form has slumped dramatically in recent seasons ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 18. BUTTERMERE RIDGE (NR) (#NR · Σ 37.0) 5yo G · 141lb · Draw 1 · b Connections Jockey — Trainer Oliver McKiernan (Rathcoole, Co Dublin) Owner Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited Breeder Sh Bloodstock & Sean Martin Trainer 14d 1/4 (25%) DOB 2021-04-13 Pedigree Sire Profitable (IRE) Dam Buttermere (USA) Damsire Street Cry Form / ratings Form string 0/600- Last run (days) 203 OFR 71 RPR 68 TS 43 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 4/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 4/5 Coral - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 4/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 4/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 4/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 4/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 4/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 4/5 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 4/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 4/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 16:42 41.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 OFR 71 inflated by old runs, RPR 68/TS 43 weak. Form 2.0/10 0/600- declining badly. Connections 4.0/10 McKiernan 1/5 14d ok but no jockey listed yet. Fitness 1.0/10 203 days off. Trip 5.0/10 Neutral. Pace 5.0/10 No standout. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 1 if drawn in is fine. Equipment 5.0/10 Blinkers retained. Weight 4.0/10 141lb high for current ability. Value 2.0/10 Reserve outsider. Σ Summary 37.0/100 Weak reserve unlikely to fire. Verdict Avoid ELO Horse 1370.7 (14 runs, 1 wins, 7.1%) Trainer 1574.7 (1378 runs, 91 wins, 6.6%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 7½f no data Jockey @ 7½f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) no data Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 7½f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 44r 3w 7% A/E 0.76 (negative) Sire progeny @ 7½f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 7½f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 7½f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Spotlight Nothing of any note in her form since early in her career; blinkered now; second reserve. Comment Second reserve, nothing of any note in her form since early in her career, blinkered now ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (16 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Roscommon (IRE) · 7½f · Good To Yielding Knockcroghery Handicap 1 Thrifty Of Digby (IRE) won SP 11/1 2 Zabriskie Point (GB) 2.50L SP 9/1 3 Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) 0.75L SP 9/2 4 Mercurial (IRE) 0.50L SP 17/2 5 Bella Colombia (IRE) 0.20L SP 6/1 6 Royal Impact (IRE) 3.50L SP 3/1F 7 Famed Again (IRE) 0.30L SP 50/1 8 Blue Anthem (GB) 1.75L SP 20/1 9 Go Out (FR) 0.20L SP 14/1 10 Tara Na Ri (IRE) 0.50L SP 28/1 11 Free Solo (IRE) 0.50L SP 14/1 12 Queen Aethelflaed (IRE) 0.75L SP 13/2 13 Suerte (IRE) 0.75L SP 50/1 14 Lohengrin (GB) 11.00L SP 50/1 15 Irish Rumour (IRE) 5.00L SP 12/1 2026-05-04 · Curragh (IRE) · 7f · Good PG Duffy & Sons Citroen Apprentice Handicap 6 Go Out (FR) 0.75L SP 9/1 7 Free Solo (IRE) 1.25L SP 10/1 2026-04-19 · Curragh (IRE) · 6f · Soft Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap 5 Royal Impact (IRE) 0.50L SP 4/1 7 Go Out (FR) 0.30L SP 20/1 13 Blue Anthem (GB) 0.30L SP 14/1 2026-04-11 · Bellewstown (IRE) · 1m · Soft BOYLE Sports Handicap 7 Suerte (IRE) 3.75L SP 33/1 8 Queen Aethelflaed (IRE) 2.00L SP 4/1 BD Lohengrin (GB) SP 40/1 2026-03-28 · Curragh (IRE) · 7f · Soft To Heavy Cavalor Equine Nutrition Handicap 4 Royal Impact (IRE) 0.50L SP 9/1 8 Zabriskie Point (GB) 0.50L SP 28/1 2026-03-15 · Curragh (IRE) · 1m · Heavy 1xBet.ie Supporting Irish Racing Handicap 23 Tara Na Ri (IRE) 14.00L SP 28/1 PU Zabriskie Point (GB) SP 33/1 2026-02-20 · Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 7f · Standard Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap 1 Royal Impact (IRE) won SP 6/1 8 Zabriskie Point (GB) 0.75L SP 40/1 2026-02-06 · Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 7f · Standard Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap 2 Go Out (FR) 0.50L SP 9/2 7 Bella Colombia (IRE) 0.30L SP 20/1 9 Zabriskie Point (GB) 0.30L SP 33/1 2025-12-17 · Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 1m2½f · Standard DundalkStadium.com Handicap 2 Queen Aethelflaed (IRE) 1.25L SP 4/1 13 Lohengrin (GB) 4.50L SP 50/1 2025-09-23 · Listowel (IRE) · 7f · Heavy Kelleher Feeds & Agri Suppliers Ballymullen Tralee Handicap 4 Mercurial (IRE) 0.30L SP 12/1 10 Zabriskie Point (GB) 0.50L SP 11/1 2025-09-01 · Roscommon (IRE) · 7½f · Soft Lidan Handicap 4 Zabriskie Point (GB) 0.50L SP 50/1 5 Free Solo (IRE) 0.50L SP 8/1 2025-06-20 · Down Royal (IRE) · 7f · Good Proparamedics Medicall Handicap 4 Free Solo (IRE) 0.20L SP 13/2 9 Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) 0.30L SP 13/2 2025-04-25 · Limerick (IRE) · 1m · Soft To Heavy Great National South Court Hotel Handicap 7 Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) 0.20L SP 16/1 10 Mercurial (IRE) 0.30L SP 28/1 2025-03-30 · Leopardstown (IRE) · 1m · Good Legacy Wine Bar Handicap 10 Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) 0.10L SP 10/1 11 Thrifty Of Digby (IRE) 0.20L SP 22/1 2024-10-21 · Gowran Park (IRE) · 1m½f · Soft To Heavy Dine At Gowran Park Handicap 1 Thrifty Of Digby (IRE) won SP 9/1 4 Bella Colombia (IRE) 1.75L SP 18/1 2024-09-21 · Navan (IRE) · 1m · Good Navan Racecourse Handicap 1 Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) won SP 6/4F 9 Bella Colombia (IRE) 0.50L SP 22/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely fair gallop with several hold-up types (Tara Na Ri, Bella Colombia, Royal Impact); no obvious lone leader, so a prominent racer with tactical speed could be favoured but the race shape suits a closer. Narrative: Competitive Roscommon 7f handicap with several recent winners and form horses. Top-rated on RPR is Thrifty Of Digby (76) but Royal Impact looks the most progressive 4yo, well-treated and switching to better ground after two creditable Curragh runs on soft. Bucaneer's Spirit landed a Dundalk handicap last week and reappears just 3 days later — a stat-busting quick turnaround for Donoghue. Irish Rumour has obvious class credentials (TS 77) but is fresh after 194 days. Long-absentee reserves and a couple of declining veterans pad out the field. Recommended: Royal Impact Progressive 4yo with form figures 4-3145, beaten less than 4 lengths in two Curragh handicaps on soft, now drops onto good ground that the verdict highlights as ideal. Lightly raced relative to rivals, Davison stable in decent nick and 3lb claimer Kearney takes useful weight off. Alternative: Bucaneer's Spirit Off a 7lb winning mark from Dundalk last week, reappears just 3 days later which is bold but Donoghue does pull these off. RPR 73 and TS 67 stack up well at the weights, with 5lb claimer Coen aboard. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:40 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11969100