============================================================================== RACE: Roscommon (IRE) ? · 2026-05-18 Abbey Hotel Handicap Good To Yielding · Flat · Turf ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. FEMME BEAUTY (IRE) (#4 · Σ 66.0) 3yo F · Draw 1 · t Connections Jockey Shane Foley Trainer K J Condon Owner Mrs Pauline Condon Pedigree Sire Ghaiyyath (IRE) Dam La Femme (IRE) Damsire Cape Cross Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 5.50 (Bet365) 09:11 6.00 (CopyBet) 09:16 5.50 (Bet365) 09:55 5.00 (Bet365) 09:59 5.50 (Bet365) 10:40 6.00 (Spreadex) 13:30 5.50 (Bet365) 13:43 6.00 (Unibet) 14:16 5.50 (Bet365) 14:22 6.00 (Unibet) 14:35 5.50 (Bet365) 17:52 5.00 (Bet365) 18:06 4.50 (Bet365) 18:19 5.00 (Coral) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 73 competitive, TS 69 strong; OFR 62 leaves room. Form 8.0/10 -93741 culminating in a win last time — clearly progressive trajectory. Connections 8.0/10 K J Condon 2/10 (20%) past 14 days; Shane Foley (jockey Elo 1667, 11%) classy ride. Fitness 8.0/10 6 days off after winning — quick double bid, fitness sharp. Trip 6.0/10 Ghaiyyath x Cape Cross pedigree suits middle distances. Pace 6.0/10 Front-running tendencies plausible from winning style; suits low draw. Draw 8.0/10 Stall 1 — best draw of fancied runners at Roscommon 1m4f. Equipment 5.0/10 Tongue tie reapplied, no change. Weight 4.0/10 130lb after rating rise off the win — penalty considered. Value 7.0/10 Last-time winners often overbet but profile is genuine. Σ Summary 66.0/100 Last-time winner, hot yard, ace draw — clearly second favourite. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1490.0 (13 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1666.8 (7799 runs, 826 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1662.8 (1576 runs, 141 wins, 8.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 323r 32w 10% A/E 0.75 (negative) Jockey × trainer 680r 79w 12% A/E 0.95 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 71r 7w 10% A/E 0.94 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 15 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 4/13 4/1 4.25L 62 73 Shane Foley Prominent - no extra on outer from under 2f out(op 7/2) 2026-05-12 Killarney (IR 1m3f Good — 1/11 8/1 won 57 74 Shane Foley Made all - ridden under 2f out - edged right but ran on inside final furlong(op 15/2 tchd 17/2) 2026-05-08 Ballinrobe (I 1m1½f Good To Y — 4/13 7/1 1.75L 60 61 Max Popan Towards rear - headway 2f out - ran on well final furlong - went fourth final 110yds(op 8/1) 2026-05-05 Gowran Park ( 1m Good To Y — 7/14 16/1 0.75L 60 48 Max Popan Midfield - headway and prominent 3f out - disputing second over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 20/1) 2026-04-08 Gowran Park ( 1m Soft — 3/9 28/1 0.50L 53 58 Max Popan Midfield - switched left and steady headway on outer from over 2f out - went third towards finish - nearest finish(op 25/1) 2026-03-30 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Heavy — 9/13 12/1 0.75L 54 41 Shane Foley In rear - towards near side when some headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out 2025-11-28 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 14/14 14/1 3.00L 58 — W J Lee Always behind (jockey said filly got pushed wide at first bend)(op 11/1) 2025-11-14 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 8/12 9/1 1.25L 61 41 Ronan Whelan In touch with leaders - weakened gradually over 1f out(op 15/2) 2025-09-18 Naas (IRE) 1m Yielding — 11/16 13/2 2.00L 62 27 Jamie Powell In touch with leaders - soon dropped to midfield - weakened under 2f out(tchd 6/1) 2025-08-22 Killarney (IR 1m Good — 4/9 17/2 1.25L 64 58 Jamie Powell Prominent on inner - outpaced 1f out - kept on - not reach leaders(op 13/2 tchd 6/1 and tchd 9/1) 2025-07-18 Down Royal (I 7f Good — 4/14 33/1 3.25L 67 59 Ronan Whelan Prominent - outpaced under 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - not reach leaders (jockey said filly took a false step at road crossing)(op 20/1 tchd 40/1) 2025-07-01 Roscommon (IR 7½f Yielding — 9/15 14/1 0.75L — 44 Wayne Hassett Never better than midfield(op 12/1) 2025-06-13 Fairyhouse (I 6f Good To Y — 5/15 14/1 1.50L — 61 N G McCullagh Midfield - headway 1f out - ran on well inside final furlong 2025-06-01 Listowel (IRE 6½f Good To Y — 4/6 18/1 0.30L — 63 Shane Foley Took keen hold - prominent - no extra over 1f out(op 12/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-05-23 Curragh (IRE) 6f Good — 9/21 25/1 0.50L — 55 N G McCullagh Dwelt start - towards rear - headway from under 2f out - kept on final furlong - never near to challenge(op 28/1 and tchd 33/1) Comment Prominent - no extra on outer from under 2f out(op 7/2) Finishing result Position 4 SP 4/1 (5.000) Beaten (L) 4.25 Total beaten 8.50 OR after 62 In-running comment Prominent - no extra on outer from under 2f out(op 7/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. MUSASHI (IRE) (#2 · Σ 64.0) 3yo G · Draw 9 · b Connections Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien Owner Atlantic Thoroughbreds Pedigree Sire Saxon Warrior (JPN) Dam Cherriya (FR) Damsire Montjeu Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 4.00 (BetTom) 17:41 3.75 (William Hill) 09:36 3.25 (Bet365) 16:16 3.00 (Bet365) 18:19 3.25 (William Hill) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 6.0/10 RPR 74 within touching distance of top, TS 71 strongest in field — quality form lines. Form 7.0/10 Form 000-22 — back-to-back seconds is the most consistent recent form line in the race. Connections 9.0/10 Joseph O'Brien 20% strike last 14d (17 wins from 85), Dylan Browne McMonagle (jockey Elo 1772) — elite combination. Fitness 8.0/10 6 days off — quick reappearance, clearly fit and in rhythm after two recent placed efforts. Trip 6.0/10 Saxon Warrior x Montjeu pedigree suits 1m4f extended trip well. Pace 5.0/10 No standout running style cue; likely raced prominently/midfield in recent placings. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 9 of 14 — middle-to-outside, no significant bias at Roscommon. Equipment 5.0/10 Blinkers on (b) but no indication of change. Weight 6.0/10 134lb mid-pack burden off OFR 66 — fair allocation given improving form. Value 7.0/10 Most credible win profile in the field given form and connections. Σ Summary 64.0/100 Best blend of class, form, fitness and connections — clear top pick. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1433.4 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1772.3 (3190 runs, 425 wins, 13.3%) Trainer 1719.4 (8022 runs, 1472 wins, 18.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 83r 12w 14% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 1446r 262w 18% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 262r 52w 20% A/E 0.94 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 6 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 12/13 9/4F 59.00L 66 74 Dylan Browne McMon Prominent - lost position 5f out - weakened 3f out - soon eased - tailed off(op 2/1) 2026-05-12 Killarney (IR 1m3f Good — 2/11 7/2F 0.50L 64 70 Dylan Browne McMon Prominent - lost position 3f out - against rail and rallied from over 1f out - went second towards finish(tchd 4/1) 2026-04-10 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 2/6 9/2 2.25L 62 62 Declan McDonogh In touch with leaders - switched left when headway over 2f out - soon bumped - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 7/1) 2025-11-05 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 11/11 150/1 0.10L — 51 Declan McDonogh Never better than midfield(op 100/1 tchd 80/1) 2025-10-27 Galway (IRE) 7f Soft To H — 12/12 40/1 6.00L — 11 Dylan Browne McMon Dwelt start - never going well - in rear throughout(op 50/1 tchd 33/1 and 66/1) 2025-10-16 Curragh (IRE) 1m Yielding — 14/16 18/1 3.00L — 17 Wayne Hassett Dwelt start - towards rear - lost touch from over 2f out(op 20/1 tchd 16/1) Comment Prominent - lost position 5f out - weakened 3f out - soon eased - tailed off(op 2/1) Finishing result Position 12 SP 9/4F (3.250) Beaten (L) 59.00 Total beaten 91.50 OR after 66 In-running comment Prominent - lost position 5f out - weakened 3f out - soon eased - tailed off(op 2/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. WIPEAWAYYOURTEARS (IRE) (#12 · Σ 63.0) 3yo F · Draw 3 · p Connections Jockey Jack Cleary Trainer Michael Butler Owner Bredwinner Syndicate Pedigree Sire Alkumait (GB) Dam Elshabakiya (IRE) Damsire Diktat Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 10.00 (BetTom) 17:41 9.50 (William Hill) 00:31 10.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 11.00 (7Bet) 09:16 9.50 (PricedUp Bet) 09:36 8.00 (Bet365) 09:55 7.50 (Bet365) 11:50 7.00 (Bet365) 13:30 7.50 (Bet365) 14:35 8.00 (Bet365) 15:10 7.50 (Bet365) 15:16 8.00 (Bet365) 15:24 7.50 (Bet365) 15:51 8.00 (Bet365) 16:10 7.50 (Bet365) 16:49 8.00 (Bet365) 16:56 7.50 (Bet365) 17:22 8.00 (Bet365) 18:10 9.50 (Spreadex) 18:14 10.00 (Spreadex) 18:19 12.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 76 joint top of field, well clear of OFR — handicap blot. Form 6.0/10 706-2 — second on return is encouraging. Connections 4.0/10 Michael Butler 0/4 (0%) 14d; Jack Cleary 5lb claimer with low jockey Elo 1470. Fitness 7.0/10 15 days off — fine. Trip 6.0/10 Alkumait x Diktat — should get 1m4f. Pace 5.0/10 Hold up most likely. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 3 — favourable. Equipment 7.0/10 Cheekpieces (p) reapplied; helped to that recent second. Weight 7.0/10 Just 122lb off OFR 54 — well handicapped given RPR 76. Value 7.0/10 Form/ratings gap to OFR suggests overlay potential. Σ Summary 63.0/100 Handicap blot on figures; only the connections drag holds him back. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1504.0 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1470.0 (793 runs, 56 wins, 7.1%) Trainer 1508.5 (315 runs, 11 wins, 3.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 27r 2w 7% A/E 1.16 (value) Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 32r 4w 12% A/E 1.53 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 3/13 12/1 3.75L 54 76 Jack Cleary Midfield - pressed leaders under 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 15/2) 2026-05-03 Sligo (IRE) 1m2½f Yielding — 2/9 16/1 2.00L 54 58 Jack Cleary Towards rear - headway on outer from over 2f out - went second final strides(op 12/1) 2025-09-18 Naas (IRE) 1m Yielding — 6/11 12/1 0.75L — 42 Wayne Hassett Midfield - outpaced 1f out(op 11/1 tchd 14/1) 2025-08-21 Leopardstown 7f Good — 10/11 15/2 0.20L — 58 Wayne Hassett Dwelt start - always behind(op 10/1 tchd 6/1) 2025-07-26 Gowran Park ( 7f Good — 7/16 10/1 1.25L — 39 Wayne Hassett Towards rear - headway up the centre over 2f out - ran on towards near side final furlong - not reach leaders (jockey said filly hung left throughout)(op 25/1) Comment Midfield - pressed leaders under 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 15/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 12/1 (13.000) Beaten (L) 3.75 Total beaten 4.25 OR after 54 In-running comment Midfield - pressed leaders under 2f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 15/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. SURVIVOR'S CODE (IRE) (#13 · Σ 59.0) 3yo F · Draw 11 · b Connections Jockey Rory Cleary Trainer Conor David Maxwell Owner Breen White Pedigree Sire Nando Parrado (GB) Dam Ownwan (USA) Damsire Kingmambo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 19.00 (Bet365) 09:11 21.00 (Bet365) 09:16 26.00 (Bet365) 09:20 34.00 (William Hill) 09:26 41.00 (William Hill) 09:55 51.00 (William Hill) 11:39 41.00 (William Hill) 12:51 34.00 (Bet365) 14:35 29.00 (Bet365) 14:55 31.00 (7Bet) 15:10 34.00 (Bet365) 16:16 31.00 (7Bet) 16:22 34.00 (Bet365) 16:24 31.00 (7Bet) 16:45 34.00 (Bet365) 17:10 31.00 (7Bet) 17:22 34.00 (Bet365) 17:31 31.00 (7Bet) 17:58 34.00 (Bet365) 18:06 31.00 (7Bet) 18:14 29.00 (Bet365) 18:19 26.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 77 — outright top of field on raw figures. Form 5.0/10 6-0177 — sandwich of a win and two 7ths. Connections 3.0/10 Maxwell yard 0/5 (0%) 14d; Rory Cleary jockey Elo 1442, 4% strike. Fitness 7.0/10 10 days off — fine. Trip 6.0/10 Nando Parrado x Kingmambo — stays 1m4f. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-pack. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 11. Equipment 6.0/10 Blinkers retained. Weight 8.0/10 Carries just 120lb — lightest-but-one with the field's top RPR. Major handicap edge. Value 7.0/10 Weight-vs-RPR mismatch is the angle. Σ Summary 59.0/100 Handicap edge keeps him as a major player despite stable form. Verdict Each-way ELO Horse 1501.7 (9 runs, 1 wins, 11.1%) Jockey 1442.1 (4716 runs, 198 wins, 4.2%) Trainer 1578.5 (187 runs, 13 wins, 7.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 324r 10w 3% A/E 0.43 (negative) Jockey × trainer no data Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 12r 2w 17% A/E 1.68 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 10 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 9/13 25/1 3.25L 52 75 Rory Cleary In rear - raced wide and some headway 6f out - weakened from 2f out(tchd 22/1) 2026-05-08 Ballinrobe (I 1m1½f Good To Y — 7/13 9/1 0.30L 53 66 Nicola Burns Never better than midfield - towards rear when raced wide home turn - ran on inside final furlong - never on terms 2026-04-22 Gowran Park ( 7f Soft — 7/12 10/1 0.30L 55 41 N G McCullagh Towards rear - some headway when not clear run inside final furlong - switched left and kept on inside final 110yds(op 8/1) 2026-04-08 Gowran Park ( 7f Soft — 1/10 12/1 won 50 57 N G McCullagh Prominent - ridden over 2f out - soon challenging - led and ran on well final 110yds(op 18/1) 2026-03-30 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Heavy — 10/13 50/1 2.00L 51 34 N G McCullagh Ran without declared tongue-tie - towards rear - headway over 3f out - in touch with leaders on far side of group 2f out - weakened final furlong (raceday stewards granted permission for filly to run without declared tongue strap)(op 40/1) 2025-10-27 Galway (IRE) 7f Heavy — 6/15 10/1 2.75L 53 36 N G McCullagh In touch with leaders - no impression final furlong - not pace to challenge(op 8/1) 2025-10-20 Gowran Park ( 7f Heavy — 6/15 25/1 1.75L 53 41 Shane Foley In rear - switched left and on outer over 2f out - hung right from over 1f out - stayed on inside final furlong - nearest finish(tchd 22/1) 2025-10-09 Thurles (IRE) 1m Good To Y — 6/9 80/1 1.25L — 44 Colin Keane Soon led - headed 2f out - weakened quickly over 1f out(op 50/1) 2025-09-18 Naas (IRE) 1m Yielding — 5/11 12/1 2.50L — 38 Patrick McGettigan Midfield - ran green and some headway up the centre 1f out - kept on - never on terms(op 11/1 tchd 10/1) 2025-09-05 Down Royal (I 7f Good — 9/14 16/1 3.00L — 44 Jamie Powell Never better than midfield(op 18/1 tchd 20/1) Comment In rear - raced wide and some headway 6f out - weakened from 2f out(tchd 22/1) Finishing result Position 9 SP 25/1 (26.000) Beaten (L) 3.25 Total beaten 30.25 OR after 52 In-running comment In rear - raced wide and some headway 6f out - weakened from 2f out(tchd 22/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. TENACIOUS (IRE) (#7 · Σ 54.0) 3yo F · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Nathan Crosse Trainer Mrs John Harrington Owner Miss Kate Harrington Pedigree Sire Ten Sovereigns (IRE) Dam Nassya (GB) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 12.00 (Bet365) 09:11 15.00 (Bet365) 09:16 17.00 (Bet365) 09:20 23.00 (Spreadex) 09:32 26.00 (William Hill) 10:19 29.00 (William Hill) 10:25 26.00 (Bet365) 11:39 29.00 (Bet365) 13:28 26.00 (Bet365) 16:56 23.00 (Bet365) 17:45 26.00 (Bet365) 17:58 23.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 76 joint-top — quality class signal even if results don't yet match. Form 3.0/10 7-0930 — last four runs all out of placings. Connections 4.0/10 Mrs Harrington only 3/40 (8%) past 14 days; Nathan Crosse jockey Elo 1512 weak. Fitness 7.0/10 10 days off — sharp. Trip 6.0/10 Ten Sovereigns x Dubawi — should stay 1m4f, but ten sovereigns sires more milers. Pace 5.0/10 No clear shape; held up. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 5 — favourable. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 130lb off OFR 62 fair. Value 5.0/10 Class horse waiting to deliver — speculative. Σ Summary 54.0/100 RPR top but yard out of form and rider lacks polish. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1418.6 (7 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1512.5 (2629 runs, 144 wins, 5.5%) Trainer 1613.7 (7152 runs, 868 wins, 12.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 60r 1w 2% A/E 0.21 (negative) Jockey × trainer 231r 20w 9% A/E 0.96 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 468r 60w 13% A/E 0.85 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 13/13 20/1 1.75L 62 76 Nathan Crosse Towards rear - dropped to last and weakened from 5f out - soon eased - tailed off(tchd 22/1) 2026-05-08 Ballinrobe (I 1m1½f Good To Y — 13/13 3/1F 12.00L 59 69 Shane Foley Pressed leader - lost position under 2f out - eased and dropped to rear inside final furlong(op 10/3 tchd 18/5) 2026-05-05 Gowran Park ( 1m Good To Y — 3/14 14/1 0.05L 59 61 Keithen Kennedy Prominent - pressed leader after 2f - led when edged left over 1f out - hung left and faced challenges final 110yds - headed and lost two places towards finish(op 18/1 tchd 12/1) 2026-02-27 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 9/13 66/1 1.00L 62 40 Nathan Crosse Towards rear throughout(op 50/1) 2026-02-11 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 11/11 28/1 0.20L 64 40 Scott McCullagh In rear throughout(op 25/1) 2025-10-09 Thurles (IRE) 1m Good To Y — 7/11 80/1 0.75L — 66 Shane Foley Midfield - outpaced 2f out(op 66/1) 2025-09-18 Naas (IRE) 7f Yielding — 13/16 28/1 1.25L — 40 Shane Foley Took keen hold - prominent - weakened from 2f out(op 33/1 tchd 40/1) 2025-07-26 Gowran Park ( 7f Good — 11/16 17/2 1.50L — 30 Keithen Kennedy Dwelt start - towards rear - some headway when short of room over 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - never near to challenge (jockey said filly was slowly away)(op 10/1 tchd 8/1) Comment Towards rear - dropped to last and weakened from 5f out - soon eased - tailed off(tchd 22/1) Finishing result Position 13 SP 20/1 (21.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 93.25 OR after 62 In-running comment Towards rear - dropped to last and weakened from 5f out - soon eased - tailed off(tchd 22/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. CAPTAIN CON (IRE) (#8 · Σ 53.0) 3yo G · Draw 12 Connections Jockey Colin Keane Trainer Noel Meade Owner Captain Con Partnership Pedigree Sire Persian King (IRE) Dam Sermina (IRE) Damsire Anodin Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 13.00 (BetTom) 17:41 12.00 (William Hill) 00:31 13.00 (Bet Victor) 09:11 15.00 (7Bet) 09:20 13.00 (Coral) 09:32 15.00 (7Bet) 09:46 13.00 (Betfred) 10:25 12.00 (Bet365) 10:46 11.00 (Bet365) 13:30 10.00 (Bet365) 13:49 11.00 (Bet365) 16:16 12.00 (Bet365) 16:22 13.00 (Bet365) 18:14 15.00 (Betfred) 18:19 17.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 75 high, TS 64 supportive. Form 2.0/10 0-00 — never finished placed. Connections 6.0/10 Colin Keane (jockey Elo 1709, 15%) classy book; Noel Meade cold at 1/25 (4%), RTF 24. Fitness 7.0/10 13 days off — appropriate. Trip 6.0/10 Persian King x Anodin — middle-distance pedigree. Pace 5.0/10 Tactical race possible. Draw 4.0/10 Stall 12 — wide. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 5.0/10 128lb off OFR 60 — fair. Value 6.0/10 Keane booking the angle; needs to translate ratings to result. Σ Summary 53.0/100 Talent on ratings, jockey booking helps, but stable form a worry. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1439.5 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1709.0 (8411 runs, 1235 wins, 14.7%) Trainer 1612.5 (4749 runs, 582 wins, 12.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 283r 48w 17% A/E 0.87 (fair) Jockey × trainer 714r 95w 13% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 550r 101w 18% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 6/13 14/1 1.75L 60 75 Colin Keane Midfield - brief headway over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 12/1) 2026-05-05 Gowran Park ( 1m Good To Y — 10/16 28/1 3.50L — — Ronan Whelan In rear on inner - still plenty to do 3f out - some headway from over 1f out - no impression(tchd 40/1) 2026-03-30 Navan (IRE) 1m2f Heavy — 13/13 9/1 48.00L — — Colin Keane In touch with leaders - weakened 5f out(op 11/1 tchd 7/1) 2025-07-19 Curragh (IRE) 7f Good — 13/15 100/1 1.00L — 63 Chris Hayes Towards rear throughout(op 66/1) Comment Midfield - brief headway over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 12/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 14/1 (15.000) Beaten (L) 1.75 Total beaten 14.00 OR after 60 In-running comment Midfield - brief headway over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out(op 12/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. ONYEISI (GB) (#9 · Σ 51.0) 3yo G · Draw 7 · b Connections Jockey Robbie Colgan Trainer Karl Thornton Owner Gary Ryan Pedigree Sire Profitable (IRE) Dam Fire Dancing (GB) Damsire Iffraaj Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 11.00 (Bet365) 09:11 17.00 (William Hill) 09:16 19.00 (William Hill) 09:20 21.00 (William Hill) 09:32 26.00 (William Hill) 09:55 29.00 (Bet365) 10:40 34.00 (William Hill) 10:46 29.00 (Bet365) 11:29 34.00 (Bet365) 11:33 36.00 (7Bet) 11:39 41.00 (Bet365) 12:08 51.00 (William Hill) 12:49 41.00 (Bet365) 18:10 67.00 (Spreadex) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 7.0/10 RPR 75 high; horse Elo 1501 best in field, hinting at intrinsic ability. Form 5.0/10 3-2227 — multiple placings but last out 7th. Connections 3.0/10 Karl Thornton 0/3 in 14d (RTF 33); Robbie Colgan jockey Elo 1483 with 4% career strike — weak combo. Fitness 4.0/10 103 days off — meaningful layoff. Trip 6.0/10 Profitable x Iffraaj — adequate for 1m4f. Pace 5.0/10 Mid-pack. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 7 central. Equipment 5.0/10 Blinkers on, no change indicated. Weight 5.0/10 128lb off OFR 60 — fair. Value 5.0/10 Mixed signals — needs everything right. Σ Summary 51.0/100 Class merits respect but layoff and connections cap upside. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1501.2 (10 runs, 1 wins, 10.0%) Jockey 1483.0 (4011 runs, 161 wins, 4.0%) Trainer 1471.5 (851 runs, 79 wins, 9.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 213r 9w 4% A/E 0.69 (negative) Jockey × trainer 159r 9w 6% A/E 1.01 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 17r 1w 6% A/E 0.87 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 11 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 10/13 66/1 0.30L 60 75 Robbie Colgan Disputed lead - led clearly 6f out - headed and weakened from over 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 50/1) 2026-02-04 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 7/9 100/30F 2.50L 61 37 Jason Hart In touch with leaders early - led after 1f - headed and weakened from over 1f out (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the poor form shown)(op 9/2 tchd 5/1) 2026-01-21 Kempton (AW) 1m4f Standard Cla 2/5 6/5F 0.50L 60 63 Billy Loughnane Led - went clear from over 2f out - reduced lead 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - no extra towards finish(op 13/8) 2026-01-17 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 2/5 10/1 1.25L 60 62 Billy Loughnane Prominent - challenging over 1f out - went second final 110yds - kept on but no match for winner(tchd 12/1) 2026-01-09 Newcastle (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 2/6 11/4 0.50L 60 61 Jason Watson Led - headed over 1f out - soon disputing second - rallied inside final 110yds - pressed winner towards finish - kept on well(op 3/1 tchd 10/3) 2025-12-20 Wolverhampton 1m1½f Standard Cla 3/8 10/1 1.00L 60 53 Jack Mitchell Prominent - pressed leader 2f out - drifted left but kept on inside final furlong(tchd 9/1 and tchd 11/1) 2025-11-06 Chelmsford (A 1m2f Standard Cla 1/6 8/1 won 57 57 Rossa Ryan In touch with leaders - headway to lead over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the apparent improvement in form)(op 10/1) 2025-11-01 Newcastle (AW 1m Standard Cla 6/7 6/1 6.50L 57 16 P J McDonald Prominent - weakened over 1f out(op 15/2) 2025-10-11 Wolverhampton 6f Standard Cla 4/5 40/1 4.50L — 59 Oliver Stammers Hampered start - always behind - lost touch from over 2f out(tchd 33/1 and tchd 50/1) 2025-10-01 Catterick 7f Soft Cla 5/8 6/1 4.75L — 48 Silvestre De Sousa Held up in rear - headway 3f out - switched to near side over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(op 11/2 tchd 13/2) 2025-09-18 Chelmsford (A 7f Standard Cla 7/11 11/2 1.25L — 51 Silvestre De Sousa Towards rear throughout(op 7/1) Comment Disputed lead - led clearly 6f out - headed and weakened from over 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 50/1) Finishing result Position 10 SP 66/1 (67.000) Beaten (L) 0.30 Total beaten 30.50 OR after 60 In-running comment Disputed lead - led clearly 6f out - headed and weakened from over 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 50/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8. CONNECTEO (IRE) (#11 · Σ 51.0) 3yo G · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Chris Hayes Trainer A Oliver Owner A Oliver Pedigree Sire Teofilo (IRE) Dam Reunite (IRE) Damsire Kingmambo Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 17.00 (Bet365) 09:20 19.00 (Bet365) 09:32 21.00 (Bet365) 11:29 23.00 (Bet365) 11:33 26.00 (7Bet) 14:16 29.00 (Bet365) 14:35 26.00 (Bet365) 16:29 29.00 (Bet365) 17:10 26.00 (Bet365) 18:02 21.00 (Bet365) 18:19 23.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 67, TS 34 — modest. Form 3.0/10 00-8 — yet to threaten. Connections 6.0/10 A Oliver 2/12 (17%) past 14d; Chris Hayes solid. Fitness 7.0/10 8 days off. Trip 5.0/10 Teofilo x Kingmambo — stays. Pace 5.0/10 No firm style. Draw 7.0/10 Stall 6 — favourable. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 6.0/10 126lb off OFR 58 — light. Value 4.0/10 Plain. Σ Summary 51.0/100 Decent connections but the form figures don't back the claim. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1459.4 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1624.9 (8021 runs, 657 wins, 8.2%) Trainer 1645.9 (1752 runs, 177 wins, 10.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 358r 32w 9% A/E 0.79 (negative) Jockey × trainer 782r 62w 8% A/E 0.77 (negative) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 129r 13w 10% A/E 0.91 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 2/13 18/1 0.50L 58 67 Chris Hayes In rear - headway from over 2f out - went second over 1f out - edged left when challenging inside final furlong - ran on(tchd 16/1 and tchd 20/1) 2026-05-10 Leopardstown 7f Good — 8/9 22/1 4.50L — 59 Chris Hayes In rear throughout(op 40/1 tchd 20/1) 2025-11-07 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 10/13 200/1 0.30L — 55 Jack Kearney Towards rear throughout(tchd 250/1) 2025-10-29 Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard — 12/13 33/1 1.00L — 37 Ben Coen Unseated rider before start - midfield - headway after 2f - weakened 3f out(op 28/1 tchd 22/1) Comment In rear - headway from over 2f out - went second over 1f out - edged left when challenging inside final furlong - ran on(tchd 16/1 and tchd 20/1) Finishing result Position 2 SP 18/1 (19.000) Beaten (L) 0.50 Total beaten 0.50 OR after 58 In-running comment In rear - headway from over 2f out - went second over 1f out - edged left when challenging inside final furlong - ran on(tchd 16/1 and tchd 20/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9. SEA OF DUBKA (IRE) (#6 · Σ 50.0) 3yo F · Draw 13 Connections Jockey W J Lee Trainer Henry De Bromhead Owner Anthony Head Stephen E Mccarthy Mrs Paul Shanahan Pedigree Sire Sea The Moon (GER) Dam Dubka (GB) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 7.50 (Bet365) 18:20 7.00 (Bet365) 10:46 6.50 (Bet365) 12:12 6.00 (Bet365) 12:55 6.50 (Unibet) 15:31 7.00 (Bet365) 17:06 6.50 (Bet365) 17:22 7.00 (Bet365) 18:10 6.50 (Betfred) 18:19 6.00 (BetWright) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 5.0/10 RPR 70 mid-field. Form 5.0/10 90-834, mild progress last time. Connections 5.0/10 De Bromhead 14%, W J Lee solid 12%. Fitness 7.0/10 24 days off — well-spaced. Trip 6.0/10 Sea The Moon x Dubawi pedigree ideal for 1m4f. Pace 4.0/10 Likely hold-up, race shape uncertain. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 13 of 14 — wide and a probable negative. Equipment 5.0/10 No change noted. Weight 5.0/10 130lb off OFR 62 fair. Value 5.0/10 Each-way only at best. Σ Summary 50.0/100 Drawn wrong and lacks the form to overcome it. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1461.2 (5 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1659.1 (6482 runs, 766 wins, 11.8%) Trainer 1639.0 (6279 runs, 1033 wins, 16.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 308r 32w 10% A/E 0.85 (fair) Jockey × trainer 225r 34w 15% A/E 1.10 (value) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 163r 28w 17% A/E 0.98 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 6 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 5/13 4/1 3.75L 62 70 W J Lee In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - stayed on from 2f out - not pace to challenge(op 5/1 tchd 7/2) 2026-04-24 Cork (IRE) 1m4f Good To Y — 4/8 11/1 1.25L 62 60 Wayne Lordan Led but pestered - faced challenges when ridden over 1f out - headed and no extra inside final 110yds (jockey said filly leaned left throughout) 2026-04-10 Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f Standard — 3/6 28/1 0.50L 61 60 W J Lee Prominent - pressed leader after 3f - disputed lead over 3f out - headed over 1f out - no extra towards finish(op 20/1) 2026-03-22 Naas (IRE) 1m Soft — 8/10 150/1 4.25L — 56 Gary Carroll In touch with leaders on outer - lost ground over 3f out - dropped to rear over 2f out - soon no chance(op 125/1 tchd 200/1) 2025-12-05 Dundalk (AW) 1m Standard — 11/14 150/1 4.50L — 23 Robbie Colgan In rear - weakened over 1f out(tchd 125/1) 2025-10-20 Gowran Park ( 1m½f Heavy — 9/11 16/1 12.00L — 23 Colin Keane In rear throughout(op 12/1) Comment In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - stayed on from 2f out - not pace to challenge(op 5/1 tchd 7/2) Finishing result Position 5 SP 4/1 (5.000) Beaten (L) 3.75 Total beaten 12.25 OR after 62 In-running comment In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - stayed on from 2f out - not pace to challenge(op 5/1 tchd 7/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10. LILO PELEKAI (IRE) (#14 · Σ 48.0) 3yo F · Draw 14 Connections Jockey Orla Tynan Trainer Jack Foley Owner Donnchadh Doyle Pedigree Sire Sottsass (FR) Dam Three Decades (IRE) Damsire Invincible Spirit Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 26.00 (Bet365) 18:20 23.00 (Bet365) 09:11 29.00 (Bet365) 09:16 34.00 (Bet365) 09:20 41.00 (William Hill) 10:31 51.00 (Bet365) 10:40 67.00 (William Hill) 11:39 51.00 (Bet365) 18:10 67.00 (Spreadex) 18:14 51.00 (Bet365) 18:19 67.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 RPR 68 lower-mid; OFR 51 lowest in race. Form 3.0/10 000-05 — never placed yet. Connections 5.0/10 Jack Foley 1/7 14d (14%); Orla Tynan apprentice 7lb claim. Fitness 7.0/10 10 days off — sharp. Trip 5.0/10 Sottsass x Invincible Spirit — should get the trip. Pace 5.0/10 No style cue. Draw 3.0/10 Stall 14 — widest of all. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 7.0/10 Just 119lb with 7lb claim effectively — light burden. Value 4.0/10 Speculative outsider only. Σ Summary 48.0/100 Light weight is the only major positive against the wide draw. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1384.7 (7 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1702.0 (39 runs, 7 wins, 17.9%) Trainer 1562.3 (37 runs, 5 wins, 13.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) no data Jockey × trainer 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) no data Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 8 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 8/13 80/1 7.50L 51 68 Orla Tynan Towards rear - no impression from 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 66/1) 2026-05-08 Ballinrobe (I 1m1½f Good To Y — 5/10 50/1 1.75L 52 67 Orla Tynan In rear - plenty to do 2f out - ridden and kept on well against rail inside final furlong - nearest finish(op 40/1) 2026-04-08 Gowran Park ( 7f Soft — 10/10 28/1 3.00L 53 — Luke McAteer In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 3f - dropped to rear 2f out(op 50/1 tchd 25/1) 2025-11-12 Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard — 14/14 125/1 5.50L 58 16 Jack Cleary Never better than midfield(op 66/1) 2025-10-27 Galway (IRE) 7f Heavy — 13/15 66/1 2.00L 61 20 Leigh Roche Always behind(op 33/1) 2025-09-06 Navan (IRE) 6f Good — 13/15 150/1 0.05L — 31 Killian Leonard Midfield - dropped to rear 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 100/1) 2025-08-24 Naas (IRE) 6f Good — 9/12 125/1 1.25L — 47 Killian Leonard Never better than midfield(op 100/1) 2025-08-13 Gowran Park ( 7f Good — 10/14 80/1 0.50L — 43 Killian Leonard Slowly away - in rear - brief headway home straight - never on terms(op 100/1) Comment Towards rear - no impression from 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 66/1) Finishing result Position 8 SP 80/1 (81.000) Beaten (L) 7.50 Total beaten 27.00 OR after 51 In-running comment Towards rear - no impression from 2f out(op 40/1 tchd 66/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11. ADEL (GER) (#1 · Σ 45.0) 3yo G · Draw 2 Connections Jockey Jamie Powell Trainer M D O'Callaghan Owner Adel Partnership Pedigree Sire Alson (GER) Dam Achinora (GB) Damsire Sleeping Indian Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 15.00 (Bet365) 09:11 13.00 (Bet365) 09:40 15.00 (Bet365) 09:55 13.00 (Bet365) 10:05 15.00 (Bet365) 10:46 13.00 (Bet365) 11:39 15.00 (Bet365) 12:08 13.00 (Bet365) 12:12 15.00 (Bet365) 12:18 13.00 (Bet365) 12:49 15.00 (Bet365) 13:22 13.00 (Bet365) 14:35 12.00 (Bet365) 15:10 13.00 (Bet365) 15:24 12.00 (Bet365) 16:16 11.00 (Bet365) 17:16 12.00 (Bet365) 18:06 13.00 (Bet365) 18:10 15.00 (Spreadex) 18:14 13.00 (Bet365) 18:19 15.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 OFR 70, RPR 72 mid-field — below the top-rated bracket on raw figures. Form 3.0/10 Form 667-87, last 8th — no recent threat shown. Connections 4.0/10 Trainer Elo strong but 0/11 last 14d (0%); claiming jockey on weak strike rate (7%). Fitness 6.0/10 44 days since last run, reasonable fitness window. Trip 5.0/10 Untried at 1m4f based on form figures shown; pedigree (Alson x Sleeping Indian) gives some stamina hint. Pace 5.0/10 No clear running style indicator from form figures. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 2 in 14-runner Roscommon handicap, inner draw helpful. Equipment 5.0/10 No headgear change noted. Weight 3.0/10 Top weight 138lb off OFR 70 looks unattractive given moderate form. Value 4.0/10 Hard to see the angle that beats the market here. Σ Summary 45.0/100 Top-weighted with limited recent form and cold yard — solid pass. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1450.3 (5 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1503.6 (1322 runs, 90 wins, 6.8%) Trainer 1691.0 (1716 runs, 196 wins, 11.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 25r 1w 4% A/E 0.46 (negative) Jockey × trainer 97r 8w 8% A/E 0.79 (negative) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 40r 5w 12% A/E 1.17 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 6 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 1/13 11/1 won 70 72 Jamie Powell Took keen hold early - midfield - in touch with leaders after 4f - led over 2f out - ridden when faced challenge inside final furlong - ran on well(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) 2026-04-04 Cork (IRE) 1m Soft To H — 7/9 11/1 8.00L 71 31 Jamie Powell Reduced visibility - in touch with leaders - weakened from over 2f out(op 10/1 tchd 9/1 and tchd 12/1) 2026-03-22 Naas (IRE) 7f Soft — 8/13 20/1 1.75L 75 66 Reese Holohan Never better than midfield(op 18/1 tchd 16/1) 2025-09-20 Gowran Park ( 1m Heavy — 7/9 40/1 4.50L — 70 Jamie Powell Never better than midfield(tchd 66/1) 2025-08-30 Curragh (IRE) 1m Good — 6/7 50/1 0.75L — 70 Ronan Whelan Prominent - outpaced 1f out(op 22/1) 2025-08-02 Galway (IRE) 1m½f Good To Y — 6/9 16/1 1.50L — 65 Ronan Whelan Towards rear - headway from under 2f out - bit short of room against far rail then weakened inside final furlong (jockey said colt ran green early and he had to take a precautionary check in straight)(op 12/1) Comment Took keen hold early - midfield - in touch with leaders after 4f - led over 2f out - ridden when faced challenge inside final furlong - ran on well(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) Finishing result Position 1 SP 11/1 (12.000) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 70 In-running comment Took keen hold early - midfield - in touch with leaders after 4f - led over 2f out - ridden when faced challenge inside final furlong - ran on well(op 12/1 tchd 14/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12. ARIZONA STAR (IRE) (#10 · Σ 43.0) 3yo F · Draw 10 Connections Jockey Leigh Roche Trainer Peter McCreery Owner Ross Barrett Pedigree Sire Arizona (IRE) Dam Bequia (IRE) Damsire Helmet Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 29.00 (Bet365) 09:11 34.00 (Bet365) 09:16 41.00 (William Hill) 09:32 51.00 (William Hill) 09:40 67.00 (William Hill) 12:08 81.00 (William Hill) 12:12 67.00 (Bet365) 12:29 81.00 (William Hill) 12:43 67.00 (Bet365) 12:47 81.00 (William Hill) 14:35 67.00 (Bet365) 18:19 81.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 2.0/10 RPR 52 — clearly weakest top-line figure. Form 4.0/10 00-3 — placed last time but limited. Connections 2.0/10 Peter McCreery trainer Elo 1374, career 2% strike — bottom of barrel. Fitness 7.0/10 45 days off — fresh. Trip 4.0/10 Arizona x Helmet pedigree more speed-leaning than 1m4f. Pace 5.0/10 Held up typically. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 10 — neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No change. Weight 6.0/10 Light 126lb off OFR 58 — workable burden. Value 3.0/10 True outsider. Σ Summary 43.0/100 Lowest class with weakest connections — true longshot. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1463.9 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1497.1 (4180 runs, 271 wins, 6.5%) Trainer 1373.9 (386 runs, 8 wins, 2.1%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 141r 12w 9% A/E 1.34 (value) Jockey × trainer 9r 1w 11% A/E 2.82 (value) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 96r 2w 2% A/E 0.31 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 11/13 80/1 2.00L 58 52 Leigh Roche Disputed lead - raced in second 6f out - weakened from over 2f out(op 50/1) 2026-04-03 Curragh (IRE) 1m2f Soft To H — 3/10 400/1 18.00L — 38 Leigh Roche In touch with leaders - raced in fourth behind clear leaders 3f out - stayed on and went remote third final 110yds(op 300/1 tchd 500/1) 2025-10-18 Leopardstown 7f Yielding — 13/13 250/1 2.50L — — Jamie Powell Always behind(op 300/1 tchd 200/1) 2025-09-28 Curragh (IRE) 7f Yielding — 10/12 200/1 4.50L — 7 Leigh Roche Slowly away - always behind(op 125/1) Comment Disputed lead - raced in second 6f out - weakened from over 2f out(op 50/1) Finishing result Position 11 SP 80/1 (81.000) Beaten (L) 2.00 Total beaten 32.50 OR after 58 In-running comment Disputed lead - raced in second 6f out - weakened from over 2f out(op 50/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 13. ADMIRAL WILL BROWN (GB) (#3 · Σ 41.0) 3yo G · Draw 8 Connections Jockey Ben Coen Trainer Daniel McLoughlin Owner Barry Judge Pedigree Sire Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) Dam She's So Flawless (IRE) Damsire Fastnet Rock Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% Best-odds movement 16:42 19.00 (Bet365) 09:11 17.00 (Bet365) 09:16 15.00 (Bet365) 09:36 13.00 (Bet365) 10:13 12.00 (Boyle Sports) 11:19 11.00 (Bet365) 17:58 10.00 (Bet365) 18:06 11.00 (Bet365) 18:14 12.00 (Bet365) 18:19 11.00 (BetWright) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 4.0/10 RPR 68 mid-pack, no proven class wins on form figures shown. Form 2.0/10 Form 877 last campaign — no winning evidence. Connections 4.0/10 Trainer 0/4 in 14d, RTF 75 a positive but small-yard signal. Fitness 2.0/10 232 days off — heavy fitness concern despite RTF. Trip 5.0/10 Lope Y Fernandez x Fastnet Rock pedigree adequate for trip. Pace 5.0/10 No usable shape data. Draw 5.0/10 Stall 8, neutral. Equipment 5.0/10 No change noted. Weight 5.0/10 133lb fair on OFR 65. Value 4.0/10 Hard to back blind off such a layoff. Σ Summary 41.0/100 Layoff dominant negative — needs the run. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1471.1 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1622.9 (4196 runs, 402 wins, 9.6%) Trainer 1647.0 (143 runs, 12 wins, 8.4%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 120r 17w 14% A/E 0.99 (fair) Jockey × trainer 54r 7w 13% A/E 1.13 (value) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 3r 1w 33% A/E 2.32 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Past form (last 4 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-18 Roscommon (IR 1m4f Good To Y — 7/13 5/1 5.50L 65 68 Ben Coen In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - weakened from 2f out(op 10/1) 2025-09-28 Curragh (IRE) 7f Yielding — 7/12 150/1 8.50L — 29 Ben Coen Sweating - midfield - weakened from 3f out 2025-09-16 Punchestown ( 1m Good To Y — 7/10 80/1 2.75L — 55 Ben Coen In touch with leaders - weakened from over 2f out 2025-08-31 Tipperary (IR 1m1f Good To Y — 8/12 125/1 0.75L — 61 Ben Coen Never better than midfield(op 80/1) Comment In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - weakened from 2f out(op 10/1) Finishing result Position 7 SP 5/1 (6.000) Beaten (L) 5.50 Total beaten 19.50 OR after 65 In-running comment In touch with leaders - dropped to midfield after 4f - weakened from 2f out(op 10/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 14. RETRO GAL (NR) (#NR · Σ 47.0) 3yo F · 130lb · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Ronan Whelan Trainer Henry De Bromhead (Knockeen, Co Waterford) Owner Back Nine Syndicate Breeder Pantile Stud Trainer 14d 8/45 (18%) DOB 2023-02-18 Pedigree Sire Palace Pier (GB) Dam Nathalizia (GB) Damsire Nathaniel Form / ratings Form string 77-7 Last run (days) 40 OFR 62 RPR 62 TS 36 Prices & value EV — Kelly (¼) 0.00% All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 4/5 William Hill - (-) · EW 4/5 Coral - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfred - (-) · EW 4/5 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 4/5 Unibet - (-) · EW 4/5 BetTom - (-) · EW 3/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 3/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 4/5 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 4/5 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 3/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 3/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betano - (-) · EW 3/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 3/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 3/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 4/5 BresBet - (-) · EW 3/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 3/4 7Bet - (-) · EW 3/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 3/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 4/5 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 4/5 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 4/5 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 16:42 17.00 (Bet365) 09:26 15.00 (Bet365) 09:55 13.00 (Bet365) 10:40 15.00 (Bet365) 11:29 17.00 (Bet365) 12:51 15.00 (Bet365) 13:22 17.00 (Bet365) 14:35 19.00 (Bet365) AI ratings (1-10 per dimension) Class 3.0/10 RPR 65 below median, TS 36 weak. Form 3.0/10 77-7 — never threatening. Connections 5.0/10 De Bromhead 6/42 (14%) 14d, fair; Ronan Whelan competent. Fitness 7.0/10 40 days off — fresh enough. Trip 5.0/10 Palace Pier x Nathaniel pedigree suits 1m4f. Pace 4.0/10 Held up, faces likely tactical race. Draw 6.0/10 Stall 4 — inside half. Equipment 5.0/10 No change noted. Weight 5.0/10 130lb off OFR 62 reasonable. Value 4.0/10 Hard to recommend without recent improvement. Σ Summary 47.0/100 Plain form lines and low TS hold her back. Verdict Outsider ELO Horse 1445.6 (3 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1659.9 (5619 runs, 506 wins, 9.0%) Trainer 1639.0 (6279 runs, 1033 wins, 16.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ 1m4f no data Jockey @ Roscommon (IRE) 200r 14w 7% A/E 0.73 (negative) Jockey × trainer 37r 4w 11% A/E 1.57 (value) Trainer @ 1m4f no data Trainer @ Roscommon (IRE) 163r 28w 17% A/E 0.98 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4f no data Sire progeny in this class no data Dam progeny @ 1m4f no data Dam progeny in this class no data Damsire grand @ 1m4f no data Damsire grand in this class no data Spotlight Never competitive in three maiden outing over 1m; half-sister to 1m2f AW winner and is out of a Nathaniel mare, so good chance this trip will suit; handicap debut and looks yard second-string, but not one to dismiss by any means. Comment Never competitive in three maiden outing over 1m; half-sister to 1m2f AW winner ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (11 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-18 · Roscommon (IRE) · 1m4f · Good To Yielding Abbey Hotel Handicap 1 Adel (GER) won SP 11/1 2 Connecteo (IRE) 0.50L SP 18/1 3 Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) 3.75L SP 12/1 4 Femme Beauty (IRE) 4.25L SP 4/1 5 Sea Of Dubka (IRE) 3.75L SP 4/1 6 Captain Con (IRE) 1.75L SP 14/1 7 Admiral Will Brown (GB) 5.50L SP 5/1 8 Lilo Pelekai (IRE) 7.50L SP 80/1 9 Survivor's Code (IRE) 3.25L SP 25/1 10 Onyeisi (GB) 0.30L SP 66/1 11 Arizona Star (IRE) 2.00L SP 80/1 12 Musashi (IRE) 59.00L SP 9/4F 13 Tenacious (IRE) 1.75L SP 20/1 2026-05-12 · Killarney (IRE) · 1m3f · Good Brehon Hotel Handicap 1 Femme Beauty (IRE) won SP 8/1 2 Musashi (IRE) 0.50L SP 7/2F 2026-05-08 · Ballinrobe (IRE) · 1m1½f · Good To Yielding MG Plant Sales Handicap 4 Femme Beauty (IRE) 1.75L SP 7/1 7 Survivor's Code (IRE) 0.30L SP 9/1 13 Tenacious (IRE) 12.00L SP 3/1F 2026-05-05 · Gowran Park (IRE) · 1m · Good To Yielding Follow Us On Instagram Apprentice Handicap 3 Tenacious (IRE) 0.05L SP 14/1 7 Femme Beauty (IRE) 0.75L SP 16/1 2026-04-10 · Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 1m2½f · Standard Greyhound Racing Every Weekend Handicap 2 Musashi (IRE) 2.25L SP 9/2 3 Sea Of Dubka (IRE) 0.50L SP 28/1 2026-04-08 · Gowran Park (IRE) · 7f · Soft Gowran Park Handicap 1 Survivor's Code (IRE) won SP 12/1 10 Lilo Pelekai (IRE) 3.00L SP 28/1 2026-03-30 · Navan (IRE) · 1m2f · Heavy Bective Restaurant Handicap 9 Femme Beauty (IRE) 0.75L SP 12/1 10 Survivor's Code (IRE) 2.00L SP 50/1 2025-10-27 · Galway (IRE) · 7f · Heavy www.swordsecurity.com Nursery Handicap 6 Survivor's Code (IRE) 2.75L SP 10/1 13 Lilo Pelekai (IRE) 2.00L SP 66/1 2025-09-28 · Curragh (IRE) · 7f · Yielding To Soft Fitzpatricks Mercedes-Benz Irish EBF Maiden 7 Admiral Will Brown (GB) 8.50L SP 150/1 10 Arizona Star (IRE) 4.50L SP 200/1 2025-09-18 · Naas (IRE) · 1m · Yielding To Soft Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Maiden 5 Survivor's Code (IRE) 2.50L SP 12/1 6 Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) 0.75L SP 12/1 2025-07-26 · Gowran Park (IRE) · 7f · Good Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) 7 Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) 1.25L SP 10/1 11 Tenacious (IRE) 1.50L SP 17/2 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely steady to moderate gallop with Femme Beauty and Musashi prominent from low draws; tactical race that should suit hold-up types finishing strongly off a slow-quickening pace. Narrative: Open 3yo handicap headed by Joseph O'Brien's Musashi, who comes here off back-to-back seconds, gets Dylan Browne McMonagle and represents a yard running at 20% over the past fortnight. Femme Beauty has the strongest recent form (won last time for in-form Condon yard) but is up in the weights. Survivor's Code and Wipeawayyourtears share top RPR but bring questions — Survivor's Code's last two efforts have been moderate, Wipeawayyourtears uses a 5lb claimer. The race profile favours the proven recent form over the OFR-top handicap blots. Recommended: Musashi Two strong seconds in a row, top yard at 20% 14d strike, premier rider, only 6 days off, RPR 74 with TS 71 suggests room to improve. Best blend of class, form, fitness and connections in the field. Alternative: Femme Beauty Last-time winner for a 20%-strike Condon yard, drawn 1, shane Foley booked. Up in grade but a progressive profile. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-19 13:42 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11969139