16:10Chester· GB · 2026-05-06
updated 55h ago✓ Result
TMT Group Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
1m2f70y· Good· Class 3· Flat· Turf· £12,885· 5 runners
Market payout 94.1%(book holds 5.9%)AI payout 100.0%
Result
| Pos | Draw | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | SP | Btn | OR | RPR | TS | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Tornado Tower 3yo C · 133lb | James Doyle | 13/8 2.62 | won | – | – | – | Prominent - led 2f out - ridden and kept on well inside final furlong(op 6/5) |
| 2 | 3 | El Nay 3yo G · 133lb | Sean Levey | 15/2 8.50 | 2L | – | – | – | Took keen hold - led - headed then in touch with leaders after 2f - short of room against rail over 2f out - headway when in the clear over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - soon no extra(op 9/1 tchd 15/2) |
| 3 | 6 | Outback Legend 3yo C · 133lb | Jack Doughty | 40/1 41.00 | .5L | – | – | – | In rear - in touch with leaders 6f out - pushed along under 3f out - soon headway on outer - weakened gradually final 110yds(tchd 33/1) |
| 4 | 5 | Sottsfield 3yo C · 133lb | Dale Swift | 150/1 151.00 | 2L | – | – | – | In rear - ran green but headway over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(op 100/1) |
| 5 | 4 | Arabian Desert 3yo C · 133lb | Rossa Ryan | 8/11F 1.73 | 27L | 99 | – | – | Prominent - led after 2f - increased tempo over 4f out - headed 2f out - soon weakened quickly (trainer had no explanation for the poor form shown)(op Evens) |
| — | 1 | Alfaraz 3yo C · 133lb | NON-RUNNER | — | — | 90 | 99 | - | — |
| — | 2 | Norman Invasion 3yo G · 133lb | — | — | - | 80 | 56 | — |
Winning time: 2m 12.90s (slow by 4.20s)
Non-runners: Alfaraz (vet's certificate, lame), Norman Invasion (vet's certificate, cut leg)
Pre-race AI predictions · what we said before the race ran
| # | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Wgt | Form | OR | RPR | TS | ELO_H | ELO_T | ELO_J | Σ | Best | Fair | ML | EV | Slip | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 dr.4 |  | 3yo C | 9-7133lb | 522-2 29d | #2 | — | -4.5% | ||||||||||||
3 dr.3 |  | 3yo G | 9-7133lb | 23 49d | #3 | — | -4.2% | ||||||||||||
7 dr.7 |  | 3yo C | 9-7133lb | 2 28d | #4 | — | -9.0% | ||||||||||||
5 dr.6 |  | 3yo C | 9-7133lb | 6 28d | #5 | — | +9.7% | ||||||||||||
6 dr.5 |  | 3yo C | 9-7133lb | 8- 160d | #7 | — | +13.5% | ||||||||||||
NR dr.1 |  | NR 3yo C | 9-7133lb | 22-6 19d | — | #1 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||
NR dr.2 |  | NR 3yo G | 9-7133lb | 53- 181d | — | #6 | — | — | — | — |
Click any runner row for the original spotlight, AI ratings and pedigree. Use this to compare what the model predicted vs how the race actually played out.
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Betting forecast
5/4 Tornado Tower, 11/8 Arabian Desert, 11/2 El Nay, 11/1 Norman Invasion, 25/1 Outback Legend, 66/1 Sottsfield
Fair odds derived from a market-anchored consensus model (heuristic v0). EV >= 5% indicates the best available price exceeds the market consensus. See methodology. 18+. BeGambleAware.